scholarly journals Matching ERS scatterometer based soil moisture patterns with simulations of a conceptual dual layer hydrologic model over Austria

2008 ◽  
Vol 5 (6) ◽  
pp. 3313-3353 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Parajka ◽  
V. Naeimi ◽  
G. Blöschl ◽  
J. Komma

Abstract. This study compares ERS scatterometer top soil moisture observations with simulations of a dual layer conceptual hydrologic model. The comparison is performed for 148 Austrian catchments in the period 1991–2000. On average, about 5 to 7 scatterometer images per month with a mean spatial coverage of about 37% are available. The results indicate that the agreement between the two top soil moisture estimates changes with the season and the weight given to the scatterometer in hydrologic model calibration. The hydrologic model generally simulates larger top soil moisture values than are observed by the scatterometer. The differences tend to be smaller for lower altitudes and the winter season. The average correlation between the two estimates is more than 0.5 in the period from July to October, and about 0.2 in the winter months, depending on the period and calibration setting. Using both ERS scatterometer based soil moisture and runoff for model calibration provides more robust model parameters than using either of these two sources of information.

2009 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 259-271 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Parajka ◽  
V. Naeimi ◽  
G. Blöschl ◽  
J. Komma

Abstract. This study compares ERS scatterometer top soil moisture observations with simulations of a dual layer conceptual hydrologic model. The comparison is performed for 148 Austrian catchments in the period 1991–2000. On average, about 5 to 7 scatterometer images per month with a mean spatial coverage of about 37% are available. The results indicate that the agreement between the two top soil moisture estimates changes with the season and the weight given to the scatterometer in hydrologic model calibration. The hydrologic model generally simulates larger top soil moisture values than are observed by the scatterometer. The differences tend to be smaller for lower altitudes and the winter season. The average correlation between the two estimates is more than 0.5 in the period from July to October, and about 0.2 in the winter months, depending on the period and calibration setting. Using both ERS scatterometer based soil moisture and runoff for model calibration provides more robust model parameters than using either of these two sources of information.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bibi S Naz ◽  
Wendy Sharples ◽  
Klaus Goergen ◽  
Stefan Kollet

<p> <span>High-resolution large-scale predictions of hydrologic states and fluxes are important for many regional-scale applications and water resource management. However, because of uncertainties related to forcing data, model structural errors arising from simplified representations of hydrological processes or uncertain model parameters, model simulations remain uncertain. To quantify this uncertainty, multi-model simulations were performed at 3km resolution over the European continent using the Community Land Model (CLM3.5) and the ParFlow hydrologic model. While Parflow uses a similar approach as CLM in simulating the snow, vegetation and land-atmosphere exchange processes, it simulates three-dimensional variably saturated groundwater flow solving Richards equation and overland flow with a two-dimensional kinematic wave approximation. </span><span>The </span><span>CLM</span><span>3.5</span><span> uses a simple groundwater model to account for groundwater recharge and discharge processes. Both models were driven with the COSMO-REA6 reanalysis dataset at 6km resolution for the time period from 2000 to 2006 at an hourly time step, and both used the same datasets for the static input variables (such as topography, vegetation and soil properties). The performance of both models was analyzed through comparisons with independent observations including satellite-derived and in-situ soil moisture, evapotranspiration, river discharge, water table depth and total water storage datasets. Overall, both models capture the interannual variability in the hydrologic states and fluxes well, however differences in performance between models showed the uncertainty associated with the representation of hydrological processes, such as groundwater flow and soil moisture and its control on latent and sensible heat fluxes at the surface.</span></p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Mathias S. Weyland ◽  
Pauline Thumser-Henner ◽  
Katarzyna J. Nytko ◽  
Carla Rohrer Bley ◽  
Simone Ulzega ◽  
...  

In this work, a method is established to calibrate a model that describes the basic dynamics of DNA damage and repair. The model can be used to extend planning for radiotherapy and hyperthermia in order to include the biological effects. In contrast to “syntactic” models (e.g., describing molecular kinetics), the model used here describes radiobiological semantics, resulting in a more powerful model but also in a far more challenging calibration. Model calibration is attempted from clonogenic assay data (doses of 0–6 Gy) and from time-resolved comet assay data obtained within 6 h after irradiation with 6 Gy. It is demonstrated that either of those two sources of information alone is insufficient for successful model calibration, and that both sources of information combined in a holistic approach are necessary to find viable model parameters. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) with simulated annealing is used for parameter search, revealing two aspects that are beneficial to resolving the calibration problem: (1) assessing posterior parameter distributions instead of point-estimates and (2) combining calibration runs from different assays by joining posterior distributions instead of running a single calibration run with a combined, computationally very expensive objective function.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
In-Young Yeo ◽  
Ali Binesh ◽  
Garry Willgoose ◽  
Greg Hancock ◽  
Omer Yeteman

<p>The water-limited region frequently experiences extreme climate variability.  This region, however, has relatively little hydrological information to characterize the catchment dynamics and its feedback to the climate system. This study assesses the relative benefits of using remotely sensed soil moisture, in addition to sparsely available in-situ soil moisture and stream flow observations, to improve the hydrologic understanding and prediction.  We propose a multi-variable approach to calibrate a hydrologic model, Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), a semi-distributed, continuous catchment model, with observed streamflow and in-situ soil moisture.  The satellite<span> soil moisture products (~ 5 cm top soil) from the Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) and the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) are then used to evaluate the model estimates of soil moisture over the spatial scales through time.  The results show the model calibrated against streamflow only could provide misleading prediction for soil moisture.  Long term in-situ soil moisture observations, albeit limited availability, are crucial to constrain model parameters leading to improved soil moisture prediction at the given site.  </span><span>Satellite soil moisture products </span><span>provide useful information to assess simulated soil moisture results across the spatial domains, filling the gap on the soil moisture information at landscape scales.</span> <span>The preliminary results from this study suggest the potential to produce robust soil moisture and streamflow estimates across scales for a semi-arid region, using a distributed catchment model with in-situ soil network and remotely sensed observations and enhance the overall water budget estimations for multiple hydrologic variables across scales.  </span>This research is conducted on Merriwa catchment, a semi-arid region located in the Upper Hunter Region of NSW, Australia.</p>


2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (5) ◽  
pp. 1925-1946 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikolaj Kruse Christensen ◽  
Steen Christensen ◽  
Ty Paul A. Ferre

Abstract. In spite of geophysics being used increasingly, it is often unclear how and when the integration of geophysical data and models can best improve the construction and predictive capability of groundwater models. This paper uses a newly developed HYdrogeophysical TEst-Bench (HYTEB) that is a collection of geological, groundwater and geophysical modeling and inversion software to demonstrate alternative uses of electromagnetic (EM) data for groundwater modeling in a hydrogeological environment consisting of various types of glacial deposits with typical hydraulic conductivities and electrical resistivities covering impermeable bedrock with low resistivity (clay). The synthetic 3-D reference system is designed so that there is a perfect relationship between hydraulic conductivity and electrical resistivity. For this system it is investigated to what extent groundwater model calibration and, often more importantly, model predictions can be improved by including in the calibration process electrical resistivity estimates obtained from TEM data. In all calibration cases, the hydraulic conductivity field is highly parameterized and the estimation is stabilized by (in most cases) geophysics-based regularization. For the studied system and inversion approaches it is found that resistivities estimated by sequential hydrogeophysical inversion (SHI) or joint hydrogeophysical inversion (JHI) should be used with caution as estimators of hydraulic conductivity or as regularization means for subsequent hydrological inversion. The limited groundwater model improvement obtained by using the geophysical data probably mainly arises from the way these data are used here: the alternative inversion approaches propagate geophysical estimation errors into the hydrologic model parameters. It was expected that JHI would compensate for this, but the hydrologic data were apparently insufficient to secure such compensation. With respect to reducing model prediction error, it depends on the type of prediction whether it has value to include geophysics in a joint or sequential hydrogeophysical model calibration. It is found that all calibrated models are good predictors of hydraulic head. When the stress situation is changed from that of the hydrologic calibration data, then all models make biased predictions of head change. All calibrated models turn out to be very poor predictors of the pumping well's recharge area and groundwater age. The reason for this is that distributed recharge is parameterized as depending on estimated hydraulic conductivity of the upper model layer, which tends to be underestimated. Another important insight from our analysis is thus that either recharge should be parameterized and estimated in a different way, or other types of data should be added to better constrain the recharge estimates.


2011 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 1729-1743 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Milzow ◽  
P. E. Krogh ◽  
P. Bauer-Gottwein

Abstract. The availability of data is a major challenge for hydrological modelling in large parts of the world. Remote sensing data can be exploited to improve models of ungauged or poorly gauged catchments. In this study we combine three datasets for calibration of a rainfall-runoff model of the poorly gauged Okavango catchment in Southern Africa: (i) surface soil moisture (SSM) estimates derived from radar measurements onboard the Envisat satellite; (ii) radar altimetry measurements by Envisat providing river stages in the tributaries of the Okavango catchment, down to a minimum river width of about one hundred meters; and (iii) temporal changes of the Earth's gravity field recorded by the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) caused by total water storage changes in the catchment. The SSM data are shown to be helpful in identifying periods with over-respectively underestimation of the precipitation input. The accuracy of the radar altimetry data is validated on gauged subbasins of the catchment and altimetry data of an ungauged subbasin is used for model calibration. The radar altimetry data are important to condition model parameters related to channel morphology such as Manning's roughness. GRACE data are used to validate the model and to condition model parameters related to various storage compartments in the hydrological model (e.g. soil, groundwater, bank storage etc.). As precipitation input the FEWS-Net RFE, TRMM 3B42 and ECMWF ERA-Interim datasets are considered and compared.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (19) ◽  
pp. 3241
Author(s):  
Cassandra Nickles ◽  
Edward Beighley ◽  
Dongmei Feng

The Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite mission, expected to launch in 2022, will enable near global river discharge estimation from surface water extents and elevations. However, SWOT’s orbit specifications provide non-uniform space–time sampling. Previous studies have demonstrated that SWOT’s unique spatiotemporal sampling has a minimal impact on derived discharge frequency distributions, baseflow magnitudes, and annual discharge characteristics. In this study, we aim to extend the analysis of SWOT’s added value in the context of hydrologic model calibration. We calibrate a hydrologic model using previously derived synthetic SWOT discharges across 39 gauges in the Ohio River Basin. Three discharge timeseries are used for calibration: daily observations, SWOT temporally sampled, and SWOT temporally sampled including estimated uncertainty. Using 10,000 model iterations to explore predefined parameter ranges, each discharge timeseries results in similar optimal model parameters. We find that the annual mean and peak flow values at each gauge location from the optimal parameter sets derived from each discharge timeseries differ by less than 10% percent on average. Our findings suggest that hydrologic models calibrated using discharges derived from SWOT’s non-uniform space–time sampling are likely to achieve results similar to those based on calibrating with in situ daily observations.


2009 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 644-664 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enrique R. Vivoni ◽  
Kinwai Tai ◽  
David J. Gochis

Abstract Through the use of a mesoscale meteorological model and distributed hydrologic model, the effects of initial soil moisture on rainfall generation, streamflow, and evapotranspiration during the North American monsoon are examined. A collection of atmospheric fields is simulated by varying initial soil moisture in the meteorological model. Analysis of the simulated rainfall fields shows that the total rainfall, intensity, and spatial coverage increase with higher soil moisture. Hydrologic simulations forced by the meteorological fields are performed using two scenarios: (i) fixed soil moisture initializations obtained via a drainage experiment in the hydrologic model and (ii) adjusted initializations to match conditions in the two models. The scenarios indicate that the runoff ratio increases with higher rainfall, although a change is observed from a linear (fixed initialization) to a nonlinear response (adjusted initialization). Variations in basin response are attributed to controls exerted by rainfall, soil, and vegetation properties for varying initial conditions. Antecedent wetness significantly influences the runoff response through the interplay of different runoff generation mechanisms and also controls the evapotranspiration process. The authors conclude that a regional increase in initial soil moisture promotes rainfall generation, streamflow, and evapotranspiration for this warm-season case study.


2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 11795-11828 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Yang ◽  
F. Tian ◽  
Y. Sun ◽  
X. Yuan ◽  
H. Hu

Abstract. Hindcasts based on the Extended Streamflow Prediction (ESP) approach are carried out in a typical rainfall-dominated basin in China, aiming to examine the roles of initial condition (IC), future atmospheric forcing (FC) and hydrologic model uncertainty (MU) in the streamflow forecast skill. The combined effects of IC and FC are explored within the framework of a forecast window. By implementing virtual numerical simulations without the consideration of MU, it is found that the dominance of IC could last up to 90 days in dry season, while its impact gives way to FC for lead times exceeding 30 days in the wet season. The combined effects of IC and FC on the forecast skill are further investigated by proposing a dimensionless parameter (β) that represents the ratio of the total amount of initial water storage and the incoming rainfall. The forecast skill increases exponentially with β, and varies greatly in different forecast windows. Moreover, the influence of MU on forecast skill is examined by focusing on the uncertainty of model parameters. Two different hydrologic model calibration strategies are carried out. The results indicate that the uncertainty of model parameters exhibits a more significant influence on the forecast skill in the dry season than in the wet season. The ESP approach is more skillful in monthly streamflow forecast during the transition period from wet to dry than otherwise. For the transition period from dry to wet, the low skill of the forecasts could be attributed to the combined effects of IC and FC, but less to the biases in the hydrologic model parameters. For the forecasting in dry season, the usefulness of the ESP approach is heavily dependent on the strategy of the model calibration.


2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 9599-9653 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. K. Christensen ◽  
S. Christensen ◽  
T. P. A. Ferre

Abstract. Despite geophysics is being used increasingly, it is still unclear how and when the integration of geophysical data improves the construction and predictive capability of groundwater models. Therefore, this paper presents a newly developed HYdrogeophysical TEst-Bench (HYTEB) which is a collection of geological, groundwater and geophysical modeling and inversion software wrapped to make a platform for generation and consideration of multi-modal data for objective hydrologic analysis. It is intentionally flexible to allow for simple or sophisticated treatments of geophysical responses, hydrologic processes, parameterization, and inversion approaches. It can also be used to discover potential errors that can be introduced through petrophysical models and approaches to correlating geophysical and hydrologic parameters. With HYTEB we study alternative uses of electromagnetic (EM) data for groundwater modeling in a hydrogeological environment consisting of various types of glacial deposits with typical hydraulic conductivities and electrical resistivities covering impermeable bedrock with low resistivity. It is investigated to what extent groundwater model calibration and, often more importantly, model predictions can be improved by including in the calibration process electrical resistivity estimates obtained from TEM data. In all calibration cases, the hydraulic conductivity field is highly parameterized and the estimation is stabilized by regularization. For purely hydrologic inversion (HI, only using hydrologic data) we used Tikhonov regularization combined with singular value decomposition. For joint hydrogeophysical inversion (JHI) and sequential hydrogeophysical inversion (SHI) the resistivity estimates from TEM are used together with a petrophysical relationship to formulate the regularization term. In all cases, the regularization stabilizes the inversion, but neither the HI nor the JHI objective function could be minimized uniquely. SHI or JHI with regularization based on the use of TEM data produced estimated hydraulic conductivity fields that bear more resemblance to the reference fields than when using HI with Tikhonov regularization. However, for the studied system the resistivities estimated by SHI or JHI must be used with caution as estimators of hydraulic conductivity or as regularization means for subsequent hydrological inversion. Much of the lack of value of the geophysical data arises from a mistaken faith in the power of the petrophysical model in combination with geophysical data of low sensitivity, thereby propagating geophysical estimation errors into the hydrologic model parameters. With respect to reducing model prediction error, it depends on the type of prediction whether it has value to include geophysical data in the model calibration. It is found that all calibrated models are good predictors of hydraulic head. When the stress situation is changed from that of the hydrologic calibration data, then all models make biased predictions of head change. All calibrated models turn out to be a very poor predictor of the pumping well's recharge area and groundwater age. The reason for this is that distributed recharge is parameterized as depending on estimated hydraulic conductivity of the upper model layer which tends to be underestimated. Another important insight from the HYTEB analysis is thus that either recharge should be parameterized and estimated in a different way, or other types of data should be added to better constrain the recharge estimates.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document