scholarly journals «Time preference and investment expenditure»: comment on Hülsmann

2021 ◽  
pp. 291-304
Author(s):  
Xavier Méra
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Time Preference ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Time Preferences ◽  
Supply Side ◽  
Direct Impact ◽  
Investment Expenditure ◽  
Palabras Clave ◽  
Growth Types ◽  
Demand Schedule

Hülsmann (2008) argues that the neglect of time preference changes on the demand side of the time market renders Rothbard’s (1993) analysis incomplete in that it unduly portrays a rise in the volume of investment as a necessary counterpart to a fall in the pure interest rate. Focusing on the determinants of the demand for present goods, this paper shows that though Hülsmann’s strictures are essentially valid, Rothbard has actually explained why the direct impact of time preference changes should display themselves mostly on the supply side. However, the implications have been neglected both by Hülsmann and Rothbard. We explore these implications, demonstrating that the present demand schedule and the volume of investment should be considered as mostly independent from present time preferences and determined instead by past production decisions. We show how this approach allows for a more «dynamic» understanding of the time market and growth processes. Key words: Time Preference, Investment Expenditure, Time Market, Structure of Production, Interest Rate, Growth Types, Austrian Macroeconomics. JEL Classification: B53, E22, E23, E43, O11, O16, O40. Resumen: Hülsmann (2008) argumenta que pasar por alto los cambios en la preferencia temporal del lado de la demanda en el mercado de tiempo hace incompleto el análisis de Rothbard (1993) al representar indebidamente un incremento en el volumen de inversión como contrapartida necesaria a una caída en la tasa de interés pura. Centrándose en los determinantes de la demanda para bienes presentes, este paper muestra que, siendo las críticas de Hülsmann esencialmente válidas, Rothbard realmente explicó por qué el impacto directo de los cambios en la preferencia temporal debería reflejarse fundamentalmente en el lado de la oferta. Sin embargo, las implicaciones derivadas de ello fueron ignoradas por Hülsmann y Rothbard. Las exploraremos, demostrando que la curva de demanda presente y el volumen de inversión deberían considerarse esencialmente independientes de las preferencias temporales presentes, estando determinadas realmente por decisiones pro-ductivas pasadas. Esta aproximación permite una comprensión más «diná-mica» del mercado de tiempo y los procesos de crecimiento. Palabras clave: Preferencia temporal, gasto de inversión, mercado del tiempo, estructura de la producción, tipo de interés, tipos de crecimiento, macroeconomía austriaca. Clasificación JEL: B53, E22, E23, E43, O11, O16, O40.

scholarly journals Blocking progress in Austrian economics: a rejoinder

2017 ◽  
pp. 153-172
Author(s):  
Mark Skousen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Freedom ◽  
Free Market ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Austrian Economics ◽  
Government Policies ◽  
Supply Side ◽  
Consumer Spending ◽  
Palabras Clave ◽  
Structure Of Production

This paper shows that Block and Barnett (BnB) critique of Gross Out-put (GO) is wrong-headed and misguided, and is another sad example of why their limited version of Austrian economics is blocking the progress of the best that Austrian economics has to offer to the profession. I reject BnB’s assertion that GO is a «new threat to economic freedom» and «another government con.» To the contrary, the quarterly release of GO data has gone a long way to dispel falsehoods about the economy and government policies, while adding important information about how the economy works. It’s a triumph in supply- side Austrian economics, and should be celebrated by free-market economists everywhere. Keywords: Gross Output (GO), Austrian economics, structure of production, Hayek triangle, consumer spending. JEL Classification: B53, E23, E25. Resumen: Este trabajo muestra que la crítica de Block y Barnett (BnB) a la pro-ducción bruta (GO) es errónea y equivocada, y es otro triste ejemplo de por qué su versión limitada de la economía austriaca está bloqueando el progreso de lo mejor que la economía austriaca puede ofrecer a la profesión. Concretamente, este trabajo rechaza la afirmación de BnB de que GO es una «nueva amenaza a la libertad económica» y «otra estafa del gobierno». Por el contrario, la publicación trimestral de datos de GO ha recorrido un largo camino para disipar falsedades sobre la economía y las políticas gubernamen-tales, al tiempo que proporciona información sobre cómo funciona la econo-mía. GO representa un triunfo para la economía austriaca de la oferta, y debe ser celebrado por los economistas del mercado libre en cualquier parte. Palabras clave: Producto bruto (GO), economía austriaca, estructura de la pro-ducción, triángulo de Hayek, gasto del consumidor. Clasificación JEL: B53, E23, E25.

scholarly journals Time preference and investment expenditure

2021 ◽  
pp. 13-33
Author(s):  
Jörg Guido Hülsmann
Keyword(s):  
Business Cycle ◽  
Time Preference ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Business Cycle Theory ◽  
Austrian Business Cycle Theory ◽  
Investment Expenditure ◽  
Aggregate Consumption ◽  
Social Time ◽  
Austrian Business Cycle ◽  
Total Investment

This paper offers a critique of the Austrian theory according to which social time preference determines the proportion between aggregate consumption and aggregate saving, and therefore also the volume of total investment expenditure. We argue that there is no such necessary relationship between the (pure) interest rate and the volume of aggregate investment. Then we discuss the implications of our thesis for growth theory and business-cycle theory, stressing in particular the need to distinguish between two types of growth and two corresponding types of inter-temporal misallocation. Key words: Time Preference, Time Market, Investment Expenditure, Growth Types, Inter-Temporal Mis-allocation, Austrian Business-Cycle Theory, Austrian Macroeconomics. JEL classification: B53, D01, D40, D92, E22, E32, E43. The purpose of this paper is to offer a critique of the theory according to which social time preference determines the proportion between aggregate consumption and aggregate saving, and therefore also the volume of total investment expenditure. This theory is held by virtually all Austrian economists past and present. We will first present it based on Rothbard’s Man, Economy, and State, where it is stated in the clearest and most detailed form. Then we will examine its shortcomings and discuss some implications of our findings.

scholarly journals Minsky’s Financial Instability Hypothesis vs. Austrian Business Cycle Theory

2018 ◽  
pp. 155-186
Author(s):  
Olga Peniaz
Keyword(s):  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Business Cycle ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Financial Instability ◽  
Business Cycle Theory ◽  
Austrian Business Cycle Theory ◽  
Palabras Clave ◽  
Austrian Business Cycle

This article represents a detailed theoretical analysis, focusing on two heterodox theories: the Minsky’s Financial Instability Hypothesis and the Aus- trian Business Cycle Theory, particularly in the light of the 2008 crisis. It provi- des a theoretical comparative analysis of these theories and a review of the empirical studies of two approaches. Keywords: Economic crisis, interest rate, austrian business cycle theory, finan- cial instability hypothesis. JEL Classification: E32, E44, E52, E58. Resumen: Este artículo ofrece un análisis teórico detallado, centrado en dos teorías heterodoxas: la Hipótesis de la Inestabilidad Financiera de Minsky y la Teoría Austríaca del Ciclo Económico, especialmente en vista de la crisis de 2008. Este trabajo proporciona un análisis comparativo teórico de estas teo- rías y una revisión de los estudios empíricos de ambos enfoques. Palabras clave: Crisis económica, tipo de interés, teoría austriaca del ciclo eco- nómico, hipótesis de inestabilidad financiera. Clasificación JEL: E32, E44, E52, E58.

El lenguaje como institución. Una aproximación de su función evolutiva, económica y política desde una perspectiva austriaca

2021 ◽  
pp. 305-340
Author(s):  
Nicolás Daniel Fernández Álvarez
Keyword(s):  
Key Words ◽  
Oral Communication ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Spontaneous Order ◽  
De Re ◽  
Linguistic Rights ◽  
Palabras Clave ◽  
The World ◽  
The One ◽  
Linguistic Problem

In this paper, we try to give a different perspective to the one that has been studied and offered in linguistics until now. Language starts as the main form of oral communication that is transmitted from generation to generation. Language is in constant evolution. One of the greatest evolutions in the linguistic field has been precisely writing. It represented perfectly the union of graphic ideas and concepts with the beginning of the religious beliefs. We also try to analyze which are the causes and consequences of interventionism in something as personal and private as language. We will try to demonstrate how socialism, even in linguistics, distorts the correct evolution of lan guage, remembering the Universal Declaration of Linguistic Rights (1996) whose consequence is the strengthening of various nationalisms around the world. Finally, conclusions and solutions will be given to a very specific linguistic problem: Spain. Key words: Socialism, planification, spontaneous order, evolution, linguistics, language, pidgin, nationalism, economy, institution. JEL Classification: A1 (General Economics) → A12 (Relation of Economics to other Disciplines). Resumen: Este artículo pretende abordar una perspectiva diferente a la que se viene estudiando y ofreciendo en lingüística, pues el lenguaje comienza a forjarse como forma de comunicación oral que se transmite de generación en generación y que no deja de evolucionar. Está en constante evolución. Una de las mayores evoluciones en el campo de la lingüística fue precisamente la escritura que representaba a la perfección la unión de ideas o conceptos de forma gráfica y el comienzo de las creencias religiosas. En este mismo artículo analizamos cuáles son las causas de una interven - ción desde los poderes públicos en algo tan personal e intransferible como el len guaje, así como sus posibles consecuencias. Intentaremos, pues, demos - trar cómo el socialismo en materia lingüística (o su imposibilidad) distorsiona la correcta evolución del lenguaje, comenzando por la Declaración de De - re chos Lingüísticos del año 1996 que no ha hecho sino fortalecer un gran nú mero de nacionalismos a lo largo y ancho del globo terráqueo. Finalmente, intentaremos humildemente extraer conclusiones y poner posibles soluciones en un ejemplo muy concreto: España. Palabras clave: Socialismo, planificación, órden espontáneo, evolución, lingüística, lenguaje, pidgin, nacionalismo, economía, institución. Clasificación JEL: Dentro de A1 (General Economics), el apartado A12 (Rela tion of Economics to other Disciplines).

Impacts of Real Depreciation and Appreciation on Aggregate Output in Taiwan

2018 ◽  
Vol 65 (1) ◽  
pp. 123-130
Author(s):  
Yu Hsing
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Expected Inflation ◽  
Deficit Spending

Extending the IS-MP-AS model, this article finds that real depreciation helped to raise real gross domestic product (GDP) during 1999.Q1-2010.Q2 whereas real appreciation helped to increase real GDP during 2010.Q3-2016.Q4. In addition, a lower world real interest rate, a higher stock price, a higher real oil price or a lower expected inflation would increase real GDP. More deficit spending as a percent of GDP does not affect real GDP.JEL Classification: F41, E62

scholarly journals The business cycle: a definition

2021 ◽  
pp. 205-262
Author(s):  
Tuur Demeester
Keyword(s):  
Business Cycle ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Austrian School ◽  
Methodological Framework ◽  
The Core ◽  
Palabras Clave ◽  
The Business Cycle ◽  
Necessary And Sufficient ◽  
Counter Argument

The goal of this article is to properly define the economic phenomenon of the business cycle. The text is rooted in the tradition of the Austrian School of Economics, and the methodological framework builds on concepts developed by Aristotle and Thomas Aquinas. This leads to the development of a few new methodological concepts, such as a re-interpretation of «inflation» and «deflation», and the re-introduction of «imaginary goods» as an important social phenomenon. The core observation of the article is that the business cycle is in fact a subclass of another kind of cycle, the «fraud cycle». Our conclusion is that in order to produce a business cycle, the occurrence of institutional fraud in the sphere of money and banking are both necessary and sufficient. The counter-argument that honest banking can also produce business cycles is refuted in Appendix I. We believe this article is significant in two ways: 1) it provides an unambiguous recipe for the long term extermination of the business cycle; and 2) it helps expand the scope of the Austrian School beyond economics into fields of law and morality. Key words: Business Cycle, Fraud Cycle, Austrian School, money and banking. JEL Classification: B53, B49, D01, K13. Resumen: El objetivo de este artículo es definir apropiadamente el fenómeno económico del ciclo económico. El resto está enraizado en la tradición de la Escuela Austriaca de Economía, y el marco metodológico parte de los conceptos desarrollados por Aristóteles y Tomás de Aquino. Esto conduce al desarrollo de algunos conceptos metodológicos nuevos, tales como la reinterpretación de la «inflación» y la «deflación», y la reintroducción de los «bienes imaginarios» como un fenómeno social importante. La observación central de este artículo es que el ciclo económico es de hecho una subclase de otro tipo de ciclo, el «ciclo del fraude». Nuestra conclusión es que para producir un ciclo económico, la existencia de un fraude institucional en la esfera del dinero y la banca es una condición necesaria y suficiente. El Apéndice I refuta el contra-argumento de que una banca honesta también puede producir ciclos económicos. Creemos que este artículo es significativo por dos motivos: 1) ofrece una receta clara para la eliminación del ciclo económico; y 2) ayuda a expandir el ámbito de la Escuela Austriaca más allá del campo de la Economía hacia los campos del Derecho y la Moralidad. Palabras clave: Ciclo económico, ciclo del fraude, Escuela Austriaca, dinero y banca. Clasificación JEL: B53, B49, D01, K13.

scholarly journals Study of the effects on employment of public aid to renewable energy sources

2021 ◽  
pp. 13-70
Author(s):  
Gabriel Calzada Álvarez ◽  
Raquel Merino Jara Jara ◽  
Juan Ramón Rallo Julián ◽  
José Ignacio García Bielsa
Keyword(s):  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Renewable Energy Sources ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Economic Planning ◽  
Renewable Energies ◽  
Energy Sources ◽  
Green Jobs ◽  
Job Destruction ◽  
Palabras Clave ◽  
Public Aid

Economic crisis has raised the topic of whether governments should control the economy in order to promote prosperity and create jobs. This idea has specially sprung in relation to the promotion of entire productive sectors which are considered strategic or high-value by planners, one of which is renewable energies. This article analyzes the Spanish experience on subsidizing wind, mini-hydroelectric and photovoltaic energies in order to foster growth and create so-called «green jobs». Results suggest that more jobs are destroyed than those that initially were intended to be created. Key words: Renewable energies, subsidies, job destruction, economic planning, spending stimulus. JEL Classification: E24; E32; H25; H44; O13; Q42; Q43; Q48. Resumen: La crisis económica ha planteado la cuestión de si los gobiernos deberían controlar la economía para promover la prosperidad y crear empleo. Esta idea ha surgido especialmente en relación a la promoción de sectores productivos enteros que se consideran estratégicos o de alto valor por los planificadores, como el sector de las energías renovables. Este artículo analiza la experiencia española en relación con la subvención de las energías eólica, hidroeléctrica y fotovoltaica para impulsar el crecimiento y crear los llamados «empleos verdes». Los resultados sugieren que se destruyen más empleos de los que inicialmente se pretendía crear. Palabras clave: Energías renovables, subvenciones, destrucción de empleos, planificación económica, estímulos de gasto. Clasificación JEL: E24; E32; H25; H44; O13; Q42; Q43; Q48.

scholarly journals Growth and Financing Behaviour of Firms of Textile Industry in Pakistan: A Panel Data Analysis.

2011 ◽  
Vol 50 (4II) ◽  
pp. 699-714 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ijaz Hussain
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Capital Structure ◽  
Textile Industry ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Negative Sign ◽  
Cost Of Debt ◽  
Positive Sign ◽  
Financial Leverage

High economic growth, extremely low nominal interest rate and negative real interest rate gave a boost to financial leverage (gearing ratio) of the textile sector to its peak in 2005. Firms are now are facing the consequence of high gearing. An explosion in their financing costs along with removal of textile quota from 2005 onwards and later on an acute energy crisis hampered their profitability and ability to repay their debt. This in turn contributed to non-performing loans which is now is likely to pose a big challenge for financial sector and push economy into another crisis. Most of the previous studies including a very few on capital structure of Pakistani firms focus on understanding only the firm specific determinants of financial leverage and completely ignore macroeconomic or institutional factors. Findings of this paper prove that all firm specific determinants including profitability and efficiency, firms‘ growth, risk and collateral excluding size significantly influence corporate financial leverage of textile industry in Pakistan. All macroeconomic variables including overall economic growth, equity market conditions and nominal cost of debt also have significant impact on corporate gearing. Negative sign with the composite measure of profitability and efficiency implies that banks are compelled to fund inefficient and unprofitable firms because demand for loans comes more from inefficient and unprofitable firms. Positive sign with growth and negative sign with risk is indicative of the fact that banks prefer to lend to growing rather than riskier firms. JEL classification: C13, C23, C51, L65, G10, G30 Keywords: Capital Structure Determinants, Corporate Financial Leverage, Corporate Gearing Ratio

scholarly journals Vínculos entre la Escuela Austriaca de Economía y el método de la inversión en valor

2021 ◽  
pp. 255-304
Author(s):  
Diego E. Quijano Durán
Keyword(s):  
Common Sense ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Austrian School ◽  
Economic Calculation ◽  
Austrian School Of Economics ◽  
Value Investing ◽  
Palabras Clave ◽  
The World ◽  
The Common

The Austrian school of economics and the investment method known as value investing have a similar conception of the world, so that it is possible to find multiple links between them and form a coherent structure. To the economist, this allows for a much deeper understanding of the entrepreneurial function and the manner in which economic calculation is actually performed. To the investor, it offers a theoretical framework that explains economic phenomena, permitting him to better understand the role of the entrepreneur and to protect his investment when dangerous patterns can be observed. In this essay, we begin from the common stance of both schools of thought towards common sense, the use of realistic assumptions, the importance of prudence and the low value of complex mathematics in the fields of economics and finance. We then proceed to develop in greater depth nine aspects that have strong philosophical and scientific links. Key words: Value investing, Austrian school of economics, entrepreneurship, dynamic efficiency, economic calculation. JEL Classification: A12, G17, M20. Resumen: La Escuela Austriaca de Economía y el método de inversión en valor tienen una concepción similar del mundo que permite entrelazarlas coherentemente. Al economista, le permite profundizar el conocimiento del ejercicio de la función empresarial y la realización del cálculo económico en la práctica. Al inversor, le ofrece un marco teórico para comprender mejor el papel del empresario y los fenómenos económicos y detectar temprano patrones peligrosos y así protegerse. En este trabajo partimos de la base de que ambas escuelas de pensamiento tienen sus raíces en el sentido común y los supuestos realistas, que son prudentes a la hora de ver el futuro y que dudan de la utilidad de las matemáticas complejas en los campos económicos y financieros. Sobre ello, desarrollamos nueve aspectos en los cuales hay fuertes conexiones como, por ejemplo, la manera en que el ejercicio de la empresarialidad mejora la eficiencia del mercado y coordina los planes de las personas. Palabras clave: Inversión en valor, escuela austriaca de economía, empre-sarialidad, eficiencia dinámica, cálculo económico. Clasificación JEL: A12, G17, M20.

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