scholarly journals Evaluation of the Impacts of Non-Oil Exports on Economic Growth in Nigeria Between 1986-2018

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 39-64
Author(s):  
Chinyere F.E. ◽  
Samuel N.N. ◽  
Nkama O.N. ◽  
Chinwoke R.E.
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Capacity Utilization ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Ex Post ◽  
Oil Exports ◽  
The Government

Non-oil exports have been seen to be very vital in economic growth and development, especially for developing economics. Despite the poor contribution of non-oil exports to economic growth in Nigeria, this study is inspired by the inconsistencies in empirical findings regarding the connection and effect of non-oil exports on the economy. The objective of the study was to determine the effect of non-oil exports on economic growth in Nigeria. An ex-post facto research design was adopted. The time frame of thirty three (33) years, from 1986 to 2018 was adopted to allow for a large number of observations which will improve the robustness of the results. The data was obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin of 2017. The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) estimation technique was applied in guesstimating the models. E – views 9.0 was the econometric software used for the analysis. The result revealed that non-oil exports have no significant effect on the growth rate of real gross domestic product, agricultural contribution to real gross domestic product is not significantly affected by exports of non-oil products even though there is evidence of a positive but insignificant correlation between them. Manufacturing capacity utilization is not significantly influenced by variation in Nigeria’s non-oil exports. Non-oil exports are positively associated with manufacturing capacity utilization. Economic growth in Nigeria has not been significantly affected by non-oil exports despite the various non-oil promotion strategies by the government. We recommend that cost and access to financial services for non-oil exporters be moderate or relaxed.

scholarly journals Direct and Reverse Causation of External Debt, Foreign Investment and Economic Growth in Nigeria, 1980-2017

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Nwachukwu Ngozi Patricia ◽  
Willy Ugwuanyi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Ex Post ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Bound Test

This study examined the direct and reverse relationship among external debt, foreign investment and economic growth in Nigeria, 1980-2017. The study is ex-post facto in design and adopted the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, Granger causality test, bound co-integration test and error correction representations. It was found that external debt and exchange rate were significant functions of Real Gross Domestic Product. Foreign Direct Investment and its lag were insignificant functions of real gross domestic product. The bound test following the ARDL framework, showed evidence in favor of co-integration among the variables regardless their stationarity properties. The rightly signed error correction term of 30.4% gives an indication that it takes about 3.28 years to restore the long-run equilibrium state on the real gross domestic product should there be any shock from the explanatory variables. It is therefore recommended among others that government should create an enabling environment that will attract foreign investment given the catalytic role it plays on economic growth in Nigeria.

scholarly journals Non-Oil Exports and Manufacturing Sector Growth in an Oil-Rich Country in Africa

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Nwanneka Cynthia Ogunewe ◽  
Amalachukwu Ananwude ◽  
Dr Joseph Afamefuna Nduka
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Capacity Utilization ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Rich Country ◽  
Oil Exports ◽  
Oil Export ◽  
The Government

Purpose: This paper presents an analysis of the effect of non-oil exports on the manufacturing sector growth in an oil-rich country in Africa – Nigeria from 1986 to 2018. In clear terms, we evaluated how manufacturing sector capacity utilization is affected by non-oil exports. Methods: The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) estimation technique was applied in estimating the model and was lagged by two years. The long-run relationship was determined using the traditional Johansen co-integration methodology. How manufacturing sector growth is affected by non-oil exports was evaluated using the Granger Causality technique. The Augmented Dicky-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron tests were applied to check the stationarity properties of the data. Results: The growth in the manufacturing sector in Nigeria has not been significantly affected by non-oil export despite the various non-oil export promotion strategies initiated by the government. Implication: A major implication of the finding is that the cost and access to financial services for non-oil exporters should be reduced or relaxed by the Central Bank of Nigeria. High-interest rates charged by commercial banks and little disbursement characterized by the volume of commercial banks credit affect manufacturing firms concerning acquiring modern plants and machinery which results in a poor quality of non-oil exports.

Financial Deepening, Financial Intermediation and Nigerian Economic Growth: Time Variant Analysis

2019 ◽  
pp. 60-73
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Long Run

This study examines financial deepening, financial intermediation and Nigerian economic growth. The main purpose is to examine the relationship between financial deepening and Nigerian economic growth while the specific objectives are to examine the impact of interest rate, capital market development, rational savings, credit to private sector and broad money supply on the growth of Nigerian. Secondary data of the variables were sourced from the publications of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) from 1981-2017. Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP) was used as dependent variable while Broad money supply (M2), Credit to Private Sector (CPS), National Savings (NS), Capital Market Capitalization (CAMP) and Interest Rate (INTR) was used as independent variables. Multiple regressions with E-view statistical package were used as data analysis techniques. Cointegration test, Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit Root Test, Granger causality test was used to determine the relationship between the variable in the long-run and short-run. R2, F – statistics and β Coefficients were used to determine the extent to which the independent variable affects the dependent variable. It was found from the regression result that Broad Money Supply, credit to private sector have position effect on the growth of Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product while National Savings, Capitalization and Interest Rate on Nigeria Real Gross Domestic Product. The co-integration test revealed presence of long-run relationship among the variables, the stationary test indicated stationarity of the variables at level. The Granger Causality Test found bi – variant relationship from the dependent to the independent and from the independent to the dependent variables. The regression summary found 99.0% explained variation, 560.5031, F – statistics and probability of 0.00000. From the above, the study concludes that financial deepening has significant relationships with Nigerian economic growth. We recommend that government and the financial sector operators should make policies that will further deepen the functions of the financial system to enhance Nigerian economic growth.

scholarly journals KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
International Monetary Fund ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
The Third ◽  
Oil Market ◽  
Market Outlook ◽  
Oil Demand ◽  
The International Monetary Fund

Total global oil demand is expected to increase year-on-year (YoY) by 4.2 million barrels per day (MMb/d) in 2021 and further grow by 3.5 MMb/d in 2022, returning to 2019 levels by the third quarter (Q3) 2022. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts economic growth of around 5.4% in 2021, compared with a decline in real gross domestic product (GDP) in 2020 of -4.4%. However, KOMO estimates a forecast more in line with the OECD’s outlook for growth (4.2%), which presumes that GDP levels will only reach 2019 levels by the end of 2021.

scholarly journals Impact of Domestic Industrial Output on Economic Growth in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-67
Author(s):  
Kazeem Fasoye ◽  
Abiodun Sunday Olayiwola ◽  
Kehinde Elizabeth Joseph
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Practical Implication ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Industrial Output ◽  
Domestic Production ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Domestic Savings

Purpose: This paper examined the potential of domestic industrial output on economic growth in Nigeria. Approach/ Methodology/ Design: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model procedure was employed for data analysis. Findings: The results revealed that the contribution of the domestic industrial output to economic growth was appalling which was necessitated by the worrisome image of “Made-in-Nigeria” goods. It was also showed that the results that domestic industrial output and domestic savings have positive relationships with real gross domestic product (RGDP) in the long run. This implies that a rise in the level of each of domestic output and domestic savings necessitated an increase in real gross domestic product (RGDP). Practical Implication: The implication presented in this study is related to the concerned authorities. The results indicate the need for diverse domestic production in order to achieve a healthy competition in the industrial sector in the country. Originality/Value: The study innovates by employing various statistical tools for exploring the effect of domestic industrial output on economic growth. The significant contribution of this study is in identifying that domestic production in Nigeria has been lagged behind in terms of output performance in the economy.

scholarly journals ENGARUH KEGIATAN SEKTOR INDUSTRI,PERTAMBANGAN DAN TRANSPORTASI TERHADAP KUALITAS LINGKUNGAN DITINJAU DARI EMISI CO2 DI INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 63
Author(s):  
Ayudhia Andarini ◽  
Idris Idris ◽  
Ariusni Ariusni
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Mining Sector ◽  
Green House Gases ◽  
Industry Sector ◽  
Green House ◽  
Transportation Sector

Carbondioxyde emission is kind of green house gases that has highest concentration in he atmosphere than the ohers green house gases. The aim of this research is that analyzing influence of industry sector, mining sector, and transportation sector avtivities to the environment quality base on the carbondioxyde emission in Indonesia. This analysis used regression model with Ordinary Least Square method (OLS). Result of analysis indicate that Gross Domestic Product  (GDP) of industry sector has negative and significant  influence to carbondioxyde emission in Indonesia, with  significant value at 0.00,  Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of mining sector has positive and significant influence to carbondioxyde emission in Indonesia with significant value at 0.00 and Gross Domestic Product  (GDP) of transportation sector has positive and significant influence to Economic Growth in Indonesia, with significant value at 0.00. Then, Gross Domestic Product  (GDP) of industry sector, mining sector and transportation sector have significantly influence to Economic growth in Indonesia with significant value at 0.00 based on with the theory Environmental Kuznet Curve (EKC).

scholarly journals Adakah Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi terhadap Pendapatan Asli Daerah?

2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Faishal Fadli
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Regional Development ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Local Revenue ◽  
Economic Progress ◽  
Regional Budget ◽  
The Government

<p><em>The implementation of regional autonomy resulted in each region to be able to manage their finances independently. This is one way the central government to remove the dependency of local governments to the central government. Thus requiring local governments to explore the sources of local revenue in order to finance regional development. In an effort to increase local revenues derived from the PAD is determined by economic factors or economic potential which has the prospect to be developed for each area. While the economic progress of a region heavily dependent on the development efforts undertaken by the government in providing public facilities to support economic activity. so it needs to be studied further economic growth in East Java, which increased from year to year, is also accompanied by an increase in revenue (PAD) as one source of income in financing regional development. The result indicates the role of the revenue (PAD) in the Regional Budget (APBD) of East Java Province indicates that there is still very small, with an average of 15.47% of the total revenue budget. This means that the level of dependence of local governments on the central government is still high. Although the results of regional revenue projections indicate that component has been great in their contribution of the reception area, which amounted to 69.52%. Using the ordinary least squre method, the result of regression correlation are insignificant. This means that the regional gross domestic product does not have an effect on revenue of East Java Province. If an increase or decrease in regional gross domestic product will not increase or decrease revenue amount. This means that there is no significant relationship between economic growths towards the reception of the revenue.</em></p><p align="left"><em> </em></p><p><strong>Keywords: </strong>economic growth, revenues (PAD), Regional Budget (APBD), Gross Domestic Product (GDP).</p>

scholarly journals Selected Macroeconomic Variables and Agricultural Sector in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (06) ◽  
Author(s):  
James Ese Ighoroje ◽  
Catherine, Ogheneovo Orife
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Agricultural Output ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Ex Post

The study investigated effect of selected macroeconomic variables on agricultural sector output in Nigeria from 1987 - 2019. Annual Agricultural Output (AAO) represented the dependent variable for the study while gross domestic product, interest rate, money supply, and exchange rate represented the explanatory variables. Ex-post factor research design was employed for the study. Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit Roots test and Ordinary Least Square (OLS) Regression techniques were used to analyze data collected. The empirical investigation showed that gross domestic product as well as money supply has a positive and significant effect on agricultural output, while interest rate and exchange rate exerted a negative and insignificant effect on agricultural output. From the study, selected macroeconomic variables have positive effect on agricultural output in Nigeria and this has tremendously contributed to the country's growth and development. The study recommends amongst other; that government should accelerate the rate of economic growth by investing heavily on the agricultural sector so as to boost domestic production and enhance exportation in order to stabilize exchange rate while curbing inflation; give incentives to banks extending agricultural loans by lowering the lending rate on agricultural loans to ease access to funds for agricultural investment.

scholarly journals Determinant of Sesame Export Performance in Ethiopia: A Panel Gravity Model Application

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 714
Author(s):  
Murad Mohammed Baker ◽  
Beyan Ahmed Yuya
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Gravity Model ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Export Performance ◽  
Random Effect ◽  
Random Effect Model ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Determinant Factors ◽  
The Government

Ethiopia’s sesame export earn percentage share in the total export had been rapid declining over the last decades while it was the second commodity in currency grossing of the country. The objective of this study was to examine the determinant factors of Ethiopia’s sesame exports performance, in the aspect of export trade, by the use of a more realistic model approach, a panel gravity model. It used short panel data that cover 11 countries of consistent Ethiopia’s sesame importers for the period of 13 years from 2002 to 2014. The panel unit root test of Levin-Lin-Chu was used for each variable and applied the first difference transformation for the variables that had a unit root. The random effect model results suggested that real gross domestic product of importing countries; Ethiopian real gross domestic product, real exchange rate and weighted distance were found to be the determinant factors of Ethiopia’s sesame exports performance. The estimated results revealed that as real gross domestic product of importing countries increase by 1%, the flows of Ethiopia’s sesame exports performance increase by 1.63%. Based on the finding results, the researcher recommends that the policy maker must adopt the policies that reduce the cost of shipping through improving the infrastructure for shipments sector and contract a free trade agreement with distant countries. The government should encourage the private sector to diversify their products and improving the quality of its products to increase the competitiveness the Ethiopian products in foreign markets.

Trade Liberalization and Economic Growth: The Scenario of the MINT Economies

Economy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 35-48
Author(s):  
Innocent U Duru
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Trade Liberalization ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Policy Objectives ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Impact

This study investigated the impact of trade liberalization on economic growth for Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey from 1986 to 2020. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag Bounds approach to cointegration and Toda and Yamamoto causality test were utilized for this study. The long-run results revealed that there is no relationship between trade liberalization and real gross domestic product per capita except for Mexico and in this situation, the significance level was at 10%. The results of the causality test showed that no causality was detected between real gross domestic product per capita and trade liberalization for Mexico and Indonesia. A bidirectional causality between real gross domestic product per capita and trade liberalization was found for Nigeria whereas a unidirectional causality from trade liberalization to real gross domestic product per capita was revealed for Turkey. The no causality results for Mexico and Indonesia means that the policy objectives of trade liberalization and economic growth can be pursued independently in both economies. In addition, the bidirectional causality detected for Nigeria suggests that the policy objectives of trade liberalization and economic growth can be pursued together in Nigeria. Furthermore, the unidirectional causality from trade liberalization to real gross domestic product per capita found for Turkey implies that she employs trade liberalization policies effectively for objectives of economic growth, thus trade liberalization causes economic growth.

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