scholarly journals Stock Return Predictability with Financial Ratios: An Empirical Study of Listed Manufacturing Companies in Sri Lanka

Author(s):  
Saradhadevi Anandasayanan

This study attempts to investigate financial ratios’ predictive power, using the yearly time series data during the period of 2012-2017 for 33 listed manufacturing companies in Colombo Stock Exchange. This study specifically identifies the financial ratios, which are acknowledged as the predictors of stock returns in the share market, to test the stock return predictability. The financial ratios include the ratio of dividend yield, earnings per share, and earnings yield which are most useful and effective on stock return predictability in order to cover a wide range of predictions which have been used by all most all the previous researches. The stock return predictability is analyzed by regressing the dividend yield, earning per share and earning yield respectively on the yearly stock returns from 2012 to 2017. The results show high predictability power, since the R2-value is high and the coefficients are very significant and autocorrelation corrected standard errors. The results reveal that the three ratios hold a somehow predictive power regarding stock returns of the Listed Manufacturing Companies in Colombo Stock Exchange.

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Susi Lusiana

The study of this research is to determine the effect of returning shares in manufacturing companies. This study uses the financial ratios contained in the company's financial statements. The financial ratios used in this study are the current ratio, return on equity, and earnings per share to stock returns in manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesian stock exchange in 2010-2019. This type of research used in this research is quantitative and the analytical method used is purposive sampling using SPSS 21 as many 10 manufacturing companies in the food, beverage, textile, rubber goods (tires), fisheries, and agriculture sectors. Data collection techniques are used by retrieving data through the website www.idx.co.id. The results showed that Current Ratio (CR) has a positive and significant effect on Stock Returns, Return On Equity (ROE) has a positive and significant effect on Stock Returns, and Earning Per Share (EPS) has a negative and significant effect on Stock Return.


Author(s):  
Jesper Rangvid

This chapter lays out what we know about stock return predictability on the short-to-medium horizon. It recognizes that most of the fluctuations in the stock market are unpredictable, but characterizes those that are. Another important lesson of this chapter is that stock markets are very volatile in the short run but appears to be less so in the long run. Paradoxically, this implies that it looks as if we can say a little more about the future movements in the stock market when dealing with the longer run (several years). From today until tomorrow, or next week, we can say very little. The chapter illustrates how stock returns are somewhat predictable by indicators such as the yield spread and the dividend yield.


Author(s):  
Aprih . Santoso

Abstract : Companies need funds in order to carry out operations such as the financing of production activities, pay employees, pay other expenses related to the operation of the company. One way to obtain these funds is to attract investors to invest in companies in the form of stock, but in making this investment is certainly not easy for investors, because investors need consideration beforehand to find out how the company's performance. The purpose of this study was to examine and analyze the effect of operating cash flow to stock return through stock price at companies listed on the Stock Exchange Year 2012-2015. The data used in this study dala are secondary data from the financial statements of companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange period 2012 - 2015. The data are in the form of financial statements can be obtained from the Indonesian Capital Market Directory (ICMD), the IDX website www.idx.co. id as well as from various other sources to support this research. The population in this research is manufacturing companies listed on the Stock Exchange the period 2012 - 2015. The samples taken by the sampling technique used purposive sampling.From the test results and analysis of the data it can be concluded that operating cash flow directly and indirectly has no effect on stock returns through stock prices showed no significant results. Keywords :  Operating Cash Flow, Stock Price, Stocks Return


Author(s):  
Vicky Dwi Putra ◽  
Jaja Suteja ◽  
Erik Syawal Alghifari

Future stock returns are factors for investors to consider investing. This research aims to identify the influence of intellectual capital, earning management, and stock return toward future stock return in manufacturing companies of sub sectors food and beverages industry listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange period 2012 to 2017. This research used quantitative research methods with the sample as many as 7 companies. The sampling technique is used, as well as purposive sampling done based on certain criteria. The type of data used is secondary with analysis using panel data regression model with Eviews 10. The result shows that simultaneosly intellectual capital, earning management, and stock returns gave influence on future stock returns as much as 76.15%. Partially, intellectual capital had a positve but not significant, earning management had a negative and significant, stock returns had a positive and significant effects to future stock returns.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 214
Author(s):  
Arindam Banerjee

Over the past few decades, numerous research across the globe has been conducted to examine the impact of firm performance on its stock return. The findings of these studies have been varied. In spite of the long standing research in this area, several attempt towards exploring this relationship has led to limited success owing largely to the existence of volatility across different stock markets. The variance in the volatility in these markets make it extremely difficult to obtain a uniform measure. A volatile stock market makes it difficult for the accounting and financial variables to accurately predict the stock returns (Feris & Erin, 2018).  The primary aim of this paper is aimed to investigate whether financial ratios can be used as a predictor of stock returns in the context of United Arab Emirates (UAE). The sample of the study includes thirty companies from the Dubai Financial Market (DFM) and Abu Dhabi stock exchange (ADX). Data is collected for the period of 2017. This research comprises of five independent variables namely, Earning Per Share ratio (EPS), Price Earning ratio (PE), Return on Equity ratio (ROE), Dividend Yield ratio (DY) and Debt Equity ratio (DE) and stock return is taken as the dependent variable. The study examines which among the given ratios can better predict stock returns both in the short run and the long run. The analysis is based on the regression analysis and correlation matrix. The results of correlation test revealed less multicollinearity between the variables and the regression results showed that Dividend Yield and the Return on Equity are statistically significant to predict the stock returns. However, Earning Per Share, Price Earning and Debt Equity could not predict the stock returns and thus can be safely considered as statistically insignificant. The t-stats test and p-value analysis were key indicators for arriving at the conclusion. The study can significantly benefit investors who can examine closely the dividend yield and return on equity while selecting an optimal portfolio. 


2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 063-076
Author(s):  
Ningsih Hikmawati ◽  
Adi Wiratno ◽  
Suyanto . ◽  
Darmansyah .

This study is aimed to ascertain and analyse the influence of return on assets, return on equity, debt to equit ratio, inflation, and interest rate, both partiall and simultaneously on the stock returns in manufacturing companies of secondary sectors listed in the Indonesian Stock Exchange. This research uses quantitative methods and EVIEWS panel 8 to analyse the regression. The population are manufacturing companies of secondary sector listed in the Indonesian Stock Exchange consisted of basic and chemical sectors, miscellaneous industry, and consumer goods sector in the period of 2010-2015. The sampling method used is pusposive sampling with the final number of 40 companies. The research required secondary data. The results show that return on assets has no negative effect on stock return, mean while, return on equity and interest rate have positive effect on stock return. Return on assets, return on equity, debt to equity ratio, inflation and interest rate all simultaneously have effect on stock returns.


2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivan Alexander Nanlohy ◽  
Putu Anom Mahadwartha ◽  
Arif Herlambang

This study aims to determine the influence of stock characteristics with stock returns on consumer goods industry companies listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange period 2011- 2015. Stock characteristics are illiquidity, size, beta, risk and dividend yield. This study uses quantitative approach by using multiple linear regression method in the form of panel data. This study uses a sample of consumer goods industry companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange period 2011-2015. The number of samples used in this study is 125 years of observation consisting of 25 companies. The finding of this study indicates that the influence of stock characteristics with stock returns. Illiquidity has no significant positive effect on stock return. Size has no significant positive effect on stock return. Beta has a significant positive effect on stock return. Risk has a significant negative effect on stock return. Dividend yield has a significant negative effect on stock return.


Author(s):  
Hermi Hermi ◽  
Ary Kurniawan

<p class="Style1"><em>This study aims to determine the effect of financial performance (return on the investments (ROI), Return on Equty (ROE), Net Profit Margin (NPM), Earning Per Share (EPS), Price to Book Value (PB V)) to return the shares either partial or simultaneously. The study focused on manufacturing comanies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) in the period 2008 to 2010. The selection of samples based on purposive sampling, so that the obtained sample of 56 manufacturing companies. The result of the sestudies show that partially only variable that has just EPS significantly influence on stock returns. While other variables, namely ROl, ROE, NPM, PBV had no signfficant effect on stock returns. In simultaneoualy free variabrl ROI,ROE, NPM, EPS, PBV has a significant effect on the stock Return.</em></p>


2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arisa Nurlitasari

This study entitled Effect of EPS, PER, ROE, and DEROn Stock Return in The Companies Pharmacy Sector Listed in Indonesian Stock Exchange. The purpose of this study to determine the effect of EPS, PER, ROE, and DERsimultaneously and partiallyto stock return consumer sector manufacturing companies in Indonesian Stock Exchange. The population of this research is all consumption sectors of manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the period 2011-2014. Based on these criteria the final sample obtained samples of 9 companies. Financial statement data used are the ones with the accounting year ended December 31, 2011-2014. While the return of data used is the stock return 31 December 2011-31 December 2014. Therefore, the data used in the research are secondary data, to determine the accuracy of the model needs to be tested on some of the assumptions underlying the classical regression model. Deviationclassical assumptions used in this study include Normality Test, Test of utocorrelation,Multikolonieritas Test, andTest heteroscedasticity.The results of the analysis of the data showed a positive effect of EPS and PER significant impact on stock returns. The results of the analysis of the data shows the influence of ROE and DER is positif and not significant to the stock return. Keywords: EPS, PER, ROE, DER, dan Stock Return


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