scholarly journals A Review on the Decision-making Process for Extratropical Transition of Typhoon from an Operational Forecast Point of View

2008 ◽  
Vol 29 (7) ◽  
pp. 567-578 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eun-Jeong Cha ◽  
Jae-Kwan Shim ◽  
H.Joe Kwon

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 266
Author(s):  
Osama Khaled Alkhlaifat

The aim of this study has been to investigate and provide a deeper understanding of the motives of silence towards the participation in the work-related decisions, in both the public and private schools in the Jordanian capital (Amman). ‘100’ teachers were interviewed using the semi-structured interviews through the available communication means. The pre-set questions were directed to the sample of the study to identify both the situations related to the decisions and motives leading to silence and non-participation from the respondents' point of view. The motives were classified according to the factors to which they belong, as well as the situations were classified according to each stage of the decision-making process, where some specialists in the field of human resources management had been asked to help in accomplishing the classification. The results showed that the largest percentage of respondents faced at least one situation in which they chose to remain silent. Most of the situations mentioned were related to the first and last stage of decision-making process (identifying the problem and following up the decision). The results also showed that most of the motives were related to the organizational practices by the officials, where the total iteration is twice as the personal motives.



Author(s):  
Tamio Shimizu ◽  
Marley Monteiro de Carvalho ◽  
Fernando Jose Barbin

In the previous chapters, decisions models have been modeled based on the economic point of view of the problem expressed mainly through quantitative values and, in some cases by qualitative representation. The economic perspective draws unique coherence from economic assumptions of rational behavior and it draws predictive power from strongly valid rules of influence that employ mathematical or logical operators. Because the decision must be expressed in a way that is compatible with the rules of inference, great simplicity, and structure are required. In strategic decision making problems great effort has been directed toward relaxing the mathematical constraints, while retaining the economic — logic inference. Another important aspect to be considered is that in both theoretical and practical decision-making models, fixed numbers of decision alternatives or prefixed value of parameters have been considered. The major inputs to the analysis of an econometric model of decision-making process are subjective probabilities, utility values, and decision tree structures. Individuals may differ in their subjective value of probabilities, their utilities of outcomes or in their perceptions of the subsequent actions available. Strategic decision problems involve not only one person’s opinion but involve a group of individuals belonging to different classes and levels of interests inside and outside the organization. No longer is the problem concerned with the selection of the preferred alternative of one person. The analysis must be extended for a group of decision-makers, each one exhibiting a certain preference structure, perceiving different consequences, and corresponding to a diverse set of interest and responsibility. In some cases, depending on the number of persons involved as well as on the nature of the decision problem (for instance, promoting or hiring persons or, electing the president) it will be necessary to adopt a voting system. How can different groups of individual affect a decision-making process? In this chapter, we consider some behavioral aspects of individuals and group of individuals that may affect a decision-making process. Behavioral perspectives of competitive decision-making are neither as well articulated nor as complete as those of economic view. In behavioral views cognitive limitations and the use of mental effort are emphasized. In contrast to the rational approach of the economic frame, the behavioral views acknowledge that players may adopt different kind of rationality.



2016 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 2885
Author(s):  
Zişan Korkmaz Özcan

Governence which means that governing structures act in unision instead of acting seperately is also very significant in the field of health. In this regard, governence approach aims at accomplishing the sense of simultaneous governing corresponding with creating policies and decision-making process by ensuring the participation not only the state but also citizens,private sector and non-governmental organizations (NGOS)  as important factors of change.This study aims at assessing whether deficiency in relation with the health tourism in Turkey relates to the governence or not. For that purpose, Antalya that is one of the most important provinces of Turkish tourism has been chosen as a range of application and magnitude of governence of Antalya in the field of health has been tried to be measured by carrying out survey study consisted of public-private institutions and organizations, and the authorities of non-governmental organizations with the over 106 people.According to the results of the suvey, there is a lack of governence in the field of health tourism in Antalya, and this endangers the potential of health tourism. So, being collaborated an advertisement, information and application activity in harmony on the health tourism, and being established public politicy are an important acqusition for both the country and Antalya in terms of economic, political, social and cultural. ÖzetYönetim yapılarının tek başlarına hareket etmeleri yerine, birlikte hareket etmeleri anlamına gelen yönetişim, sağlık turizmi alanında da önemli bir yer tutmaktadır. Bu bağlamda yönetişim yaklaşımı, politika oluşturma ve karar verme süreçlerine değişimin önemli aktörleri olarak sadece devletin değil; yurttaşların, özel sektör ve Sivil Toplum Kuruluşları (STK)'nın da katılımını sağlayarak birlikte yönetim anlayışını hayata ge­çirmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye'nin sağlık turizminde eksikliğinin yönetişim olup olmadığını belirleyebilmektir. Bu amaçla, Türk turizminin en önemli illerinden biri olan Antalya, uygulama bölgesi olarak seçilmiş ve kamu-özel sektör kurum ve kuruluşları ile STK'nın yetkili kişilerinden oluşan 106 kişi üzerinde yüzyüze yapılan anket çalışması yöntemiyle Antalya bölgesinin sağlık turizmi alanında yönetişim boyutu ölçülmeye çalışılmıştır. Anket çalışmasının sonuçlarına göre, Antalya’da sağlık turizmi alanında yönetişim eksikliği vardır ve bu eksiklik sağlık turizmi potansiyelini tehdit eder sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Bu bağlamda sağlık turizmi alanında yapılacak olan tanıtım, bilgilendirme ve uygulama faaliyetlerinin işbirliği içerisinde yapılması, kamu politikalarının da bu çerçevede oluşturulması hem ülkemiz, hem de Antalya ili açısından ekonomik, siyasal, sosyal ve kültürel anlamda önemli bir kazanç olacaktır.



2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 2103-2115
Author(s):  
Bilgehan TEKIN

Decision-making process is a multi-faceted and complex process. Decision making can be defined like a process of choosing from among a number of alternatives. It will not contribute enough to be fully understood and to effective decision making to be addressed only from the rational point of view. Behavioral finance is an integral part of the decision-making process. Individuals can improve their performance by recognizing the biases which discussed in the framework of behavioral finance. Understanding the possible negative effects of biases allows to the individuals to make better choices and they can avoid repeating the expensive errors in future. Result of investigations of behavioral biases on decision-makers in the firms, managerial bias issue has been raised. The studies show the effect of managerial biases on many financial decisions in firms. This paper investigated the role of biases such as overconfidence, loss aversion, optimism, anchoring, narrow framing, self-serving attribution, disposition effect etc. on financial decisions such as investing, financing, equity market, capital structure etc. This study review of 30 international studies related with behavioral corporate finance and behavioral biases that affect financial decisions in firms. The studies were gleaned from Web of Science and Google Scholar. The main contribution of this study to the literature is this study brings out the impact of behavioral biases on financial decisions in the firms by summarizing the previous studies. In this sense, this work also has an assembly quality. Therefore, this is also intended with this study that to transfer the knowledge and intellectual formation about the impact of behavioral bias on the financial decisions. In this paper, most important behavioral biases in the behavioral finance literature will be addressed.



2018 ◽  
pp. 127-144
Author(s):  
Marzena Barańska

In modern democracies, local residents’ awareness concerning their participation in the decision-making process is becoming increasingly important. The expanding range of instruments provided by existing law enables them to claim their rights not only by means of a system of legal complaints, but to take advantage of the privilege of civil disobedience, and also to become involved in lobbying. This particular aspect of activity has been observed recently, when changes in architectural developments, expansion of motorways, erection of public facilities, and changes of the use of land to serve a different purpose has resulted in the greater public interest sometimes losing priority, at least in the eyes of individual citizens or from the point of view of their interests. Practice is an important factor for citizens to become more and more aware of the opportunities to apply legislative solutions in order to express their approval or disapproval of the changes proposed for a particular location, especially when these concern the immediate neighborhood and are related to residential conditions, development of infrastructure, and investment plans. Experience shows that, as time goes by, we are becoming more involved in the defense of ‘local public interest’. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate how local communities and individuals take advantage of the privilege of participating in the process of applying legally sanctioned solutions to the establishment of spatial management plans at the district level and what instruments they use most frequently.



2016 ◽  
Vol 32 (02) ◽  
pp. 130-137
Author(s):  
Angelos Tsereklas-Zafeirakis ◽  
Konstantin Aravossis ◽  
George Gougoulidis ◽  
Yanna Pavlopoulou

In light of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) directives on climate change and the continuous effort of shipping companies to reduce operating costs, this article proposes a methodology for the technoeconomic evaluation of energy efficiency retrofits. The aim of this article is to provide a management tool able to support the decision-making process of investing in energy efficiency methods. The introductory part briefly discusses the environmental problem caused by the gaseous pollutants as well as the regulatory framework that is going to seriously affect the bunker pricing in the near future. In the main part, a series of energy efficiency retrofits, suggested by IMO in the Ship Energy Efficiency Management Plan Annex, are presented with a view to applying them on a bulk carrier. The analysis focuses on the evaluation of these retrofits as potential investments from an owner's strategic point of view. The assessment takes into account major uncertainties of the data used through Monte Carlo simulations and conducts multicriteria analysis to include also nonfinancial criteria in the decision-making process.



Affilia ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 34 (2) ◽  
pp. 219-236
Author(s):  
Bincy Wilson

Involvement of women in commercial sexual activity (CSA) has always been viewed from a moralistic point of view in India, with legislations attempting to rescue and rehabilitate them. Some, however, look at this involvement as legitimate work. Agencies engaged in service provision align themselves to these differing ideologies. This article examines the organizational frameworks and ideologies of agencies engaged in service provision to women in or exiting from CSA, along with assessing women’s level of satisfaction and the duration of services received from these agencies. In doing so, 40 service providers from nine agencies across five major cities in India were interviewed, and 163 women receiving services from these agencies participated in a survey. The findings revealed that agencies differed based on their guiding principles, factors determining services, structure, involvement of peers/survivors, and decision-making process. The level of satisfaction with services, and duration of services received, was the highest for those in women-centric agencies and the lowest in government state protective homes. Agencies assisting women in CSA must consider adopting non-institutional-based and women-centric service approaches, as this would make a real difference to those being assisted.



2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (22) ◽  
pp. 89-104
Author(s):  
Zdena Lustigova ◽  
Liběna Jarolímková ◽  
Jan Žufan

The dynamic development of information and communication technologies and online marketing in the hospitality and tourism industry changes customer behavior significantly.. This article presents the research results focused on measuring the visual attention of potential clients while choosing the hotel online. Eye-tracking-based data collection followed by appropriate statistical analyses was selected to study customers' behaviour and, consequently, judge the effectiveness and impact of used marketing tools. Three scenarios selected for this study covered different clients' segments: 1/overnight business guests (on the road), 2/weekend package guests (couples), and 3/team-building groups (small companies) and their specific needs. The behaviour of the respondents was monitored in two phases: browsing and deliberation phases. Our study reveals the specifics in Middle and East European consumers' behaviour in both phases, the differences in their priorities, their personal filters used, specifics of their decision-making process, etc., compared with Noone & Robson studies from 2014 and 2016 on US customers. From the methodological point of view, the study reveals the importance of so-called scenarios since it clearly shows that preferences during the browsing phase (e.g. photos of hotels, rooms, bathrooms, its environment, surrounding landscape, etc.) depend on the simulated life situation. The differences in both groups of clients' behaviour and especially in their decision-making process are discussed in the conclusions.



2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dimitris Papagoras ◽  
Maria Kanara ◽  
Stella Ntouvli

<p align="justify"><em>Elderly cancer patients represent a steadily rising population constituting a daily problem for any physician, who is confronted not only with medical questions but also with ethical and social dilemmas. In addition oncogeriatric patients are underrepresented or excluded from trials especially in surgery which results in a gap in practical and evidence based knowledge regarding their preoperative evaluation and treatment. Therefore the authors outline the framework a decision making process for a meaning – and success- full treatment plan has to rely on.</em><em></em></p>



2006 ◽  
Vol 35 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Björn Johansson Johansson

This paper describes a sourcing decision process and how that process is done in order to achieve high commitment in and of sourcing decisions. It can be stated that it is important with high commitment in and of sourcing decisions for the process as well as the result to be successful. The study uses a decision-making process in a Swedish municipality to describe the importance of having high commitment and how high commitment can be achieved. The sourcing decision process was a decision-making process where the final result was an internal reorganisation in the municipality regarding hosting of software applications. From an outsourcing point of view this can be described as internal outsourcing. The structure of the hosting was before the decision highly decentralised. The objective and the goal of the decision were to centralise hosting of software applications. There was weak motivation for changing the structure and thereby low commitment among involved stakeholders at the start of the process. The case shows how the decision-makers conducted the decision-making process in order to increase commitment of the already taken decision. That the decision already was taken at the start of the process indicates that the decision could be described as a decision-making paradox. From the case it can be concluded that the decision-making process was successful and that the high commitment existing after the process indicates that the outcome of the decision will have high potential to be successful as well.



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