scholarly journals A simple prognostic model for overall survival in metastatic renal cell carcinoma

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hazem I. Assi ◽  
Francois Patenaude ◽  
Ethan Toumishey ◽  
Laura Ross ◽  
Mahmoud Abdelsalam ◽  
...  

<p><strong>Introduction:</strong> The primary purpose of this study was to develop a simpler prognostic model to predict overall survival for patients treated for metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) by examining variables shown in the literature to be associated with survival.</p><p><strong>Methods:</strong> We conducted a retrospective analysis of patients treated for mRCC at two Canadian centres. All patients who started first-line treatment were included in the analysis. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was constructed using a stepwise procedure. Patients were assigned to risk groups depending on how many of the three risk factors from the final multivariate model they had.</p><p><strong>Results:</strong> There were three risk factors in the final multivariate model: hemoglobin, prior nephrectomy, and time from diagnosis to treatment. Patients in the high-risk group (two or three risk factors) had a median survival of 5.9 months, while those in the intermediate-risk group (one risk factor) had a median survival of 16.2 months, and those in the low-risk group (no risk factors) had a median survival of 50.6 months.</p><p><strong>Conclusions:</strong> In multivariate analysis, shorter survival times were associated with hemoglobin below the lower limit of normal, absence of prior nephrectomy, and initiation of treatment within one year of diagnosis.</p>

Cancers ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 808
Author(s):  
Ondrej Fiala ◽  
Jindrich Finek ◽  
Alexandr Poprach ◽  
Bohuslav Melichar ◽  
Jindrich Kopecký ◽  
...  

Background: The Memorial Sloan–Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) prognostic model has been widely used for the prediction of the outcome of metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) patients treated with systemic therapies, however, data from large studies are limited. This study aimed at the evaluation of the impact of the MSKCC score on the outcomes in mRCC patients treated with first-line sunitinib, with a focus on the intermediate-risk group. Methods: Clinical data from 2390 mRCC patients were analysed retrospectively. Progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and objective response rate (ORR) were analysed according to the MSKCC risk score. Results: ORR, median PFS, and OS for patients with one risk factor were 26.7%, 10.1, and 28.2 months versus 18.7%, 6.2, and 16.2 months, respectively, for those with two risk factors (ORR: p = 0.001, PFS: p < 0.001, OS: p < 0.001). ORR, median PFS, and OS were 33.0%, 17.0, and 44.7 months versus 24.1%, 9.0, and 24.1 months versus 13.4%, 4.5, and 9.5 months in the favourable-, intermediate-, and poor-risk groups, respectively (ORR: p < 0.001, PFS: p < 0.001, OS: p < 0.001). Conclusions: The results of the present retrospective study demonstrate the suitability of the MSKCC model in mRCC patients treated with first-line sunitinib and suggest different outcomes between patients with one or two risk factors.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 628-628
Author(s):  
Michael Moran ◽  
Marcus Hubbe ◽  
Michael Rink ◽  
Lothar Bergmann ◽  
Arne Strauss ◽  
...  

628 Background: Metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) treatment is partly informed by risk group. The two most commonly used prognostic models, the International Metastatic RCC Database Consortium (IMDC) and the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC), stratify patients (pts) into favorable (0 risk factors [RFs]), intermediate (1–2 RFs) or high risk (≥3 RFs) groups. This study examined real-world outcomes according to IMDC and MSKCC RFs in sunitinib-treated pts with mRCC. Methods: Data were extracted on 19 June 2019 from a large, prospective German multicenter registry (STAR-TOR). Only pts with sufficient data for risk stratification by IMDC and MSKCC were included in this analysis. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The impact of RFs on survival was assessed using Cox’s regression analysis and the chi square test. Results: According to IMDC or MSKCC, 16.7% and 15.3%, 26.2% and 30.8%, 18.7% and 24.7%, and 38.5% and 29.2 of pts had 0, 1, 2 and ≥3 RFs, respectively. In IMDC intermediate pts, only < 1 year diagnosis to therapy (24.8%) was the most common RF; in MSKCC intermediate pts, < 1 year diagnosis to therapy with low hemoglobin (19.9%) were the most common. OS was not significantly different for pts with 0 vs 1 (p = 0.24), or 2 vs ≥3 (p = 0.16) IMDC RFs, but was significant according to MSKCC RFs (0 vs 1, p = 0.04; 2 vs ≥3, p < 0.01). OS was significantly longer for pts with 1 vs 2 RFs for IMDC (p = 0.03) and MSKCC (p = 0.04), but PFS was not (IMDC, p = 0.29; MSKCC, p = 0.12). OS was significantly longer for 0 vs 2, 0 vs ≥3, and 1 vs ≥3 RFs for IMDC and MSKCC RFs (all comparisons, p < 0.01). Similar results were observed for PFS with the exception of 0 vs 1 IMDC RF (p = 0.01). Conclusions: The intermediate risk group appears to be heterogeneous. OS for pts with 1 RF may align with the favorable risk group and pts with 2 RFs may align with the poor risk group.[Table: see text]


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastiano Buti ◽  
Pierre I. Karakiewicz ◽  
Melissa Bersanelli ◽  
Umberto Capitanio ◽  
Zhe Tian ◽  
...  

Abstract The purpose of the present study was to validate the new GRade, Age, Nodes and Tumor (GRANT) score for renal cell carcinoma (RCC) prognostication within a large population of patients. Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, we identified patients with either clear-cell or papillary RCC, who underwent nephrectomy between 2001 and 2015. Harrell’s C-Index, calibration plot and decision curve analysis were used to validate the GRANT model using a five-risk group stratification (0 vs. 1 vs. 2 vs. 3 vs. 4 risk factors). The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS) at 60 months. The analyses were repeated according to the histologic subgroup. The overall population included 73217 cases; 60900 with clear-cell RCC and 12317 with papillary histology, respectively. According to a five-risk group stratification, 23985 patients (32.8%) had no risk factor (0), 35019 (47.8%) had only one risk factor (1), 13275 (18.1%) had risk score 2, 854 (1.2%) had 3 risk factors and 84 (0.1%) of cases had a GRANT score of 4, respectively. At 60 months, OS rates as determined by the GRANT score were respectively 94% (score 0) vs. 86% (score 1) vs. 76% (score 2) vs. 46% (score 3) vs. 16% (score 4). In both histologic subtypes, the GRANT score yielded good calibration and high net benefit. OS C-Index values were 0.677 and 0.650 for clear-cell and papillary RCC at 60 months after surgery, respectively. In conclusion, the GRANT score was validated with a five-risk group stratification in a huge population from the SEER database, offering a further demonstration of its reliability for prognostication in RCC.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinpeng Wang ◽  
Pengfei Wu ◽  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Wenbin Hou ◽  
Enyang Zhao ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Accumulating evidence suggests that DNA methylation has essential roles in the development of renal cell carcinoma (RCC). Aberrant DNA methylation acts as a vital role in RCC progression through regulating gene expression, yet little is known about the role of methylation and its association with prognosis in RCC. The purpose of this study is to explore the DNA methylation-driven genes for establishing prognostic-related molecular clusters and providing a basis for survival prediction.Methods: Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were calculated by the “limma” R package. DNA methylation-driven genes (MDGs) were identified using the “methylMix” R package. The differentially expressed DNA methylation-driven genes (DEMDGs) were obtained by intersecting MDGs and DEGs. RCC data sets were divided into two groups using “ConsensusClusterPlus” R packet. The prognostic model was constructed based on multivariate Cox regression analysis. Based on the optimal cut-off value of the risk score, the patients were divided into high-risk group and low-risk group. The potential molecular mechanisms of prognostic-related DEMDGs were detected by GO, KEGG and GSEA analysis.Results: In this study, 146 DEMDGs were selected and two clusters were distinguished by consensus clustering. We further evaluated the immune status of two clusters and selected 106 DEGs in cluster 1. Functional enrichment analysis of 106 DEGs and cluster-based immune status analysis provided new insights for the development of RCC. The prognostic model based on 17 DEMDGs was constructed to predict prognosis of RCC patients. The predictive nomogram and the web-based survival rate calculator (http://127.0.0.1:7634/) were built to validate predictive accuracy of prognostic model. Furthermore, the risk scores were strongly associated with clinical features, immune status and drug susceptibility.Conclusion: Novel prognosis-related clusters based on the 146 DEMDGs were constructed and might contribute to precision medicine development. The 17 DEMDGs were utilized to construct a prognostic model for RCC prediction, which was significantly correlated with prognosis, immune infiltration, clinical features and drug sensitivity.


2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 398-398 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jenny J. Ko ◽  
Wanling Xie ◽  
Daniel Yick Chin Heng ◽  
Nils Kroeger ◽  
Jae-Lyun Lee ◽  
...  

398 Background: Prior prognostic models for 2nd-line systemic therapy have not been studied in the setting of contemporary sequential targeted therapy (TT). We sought to validate the IMDC prognostic model in patients with mRCC receiving next-line TT after progression on 1st-line TT. Methods: Patients who received 2nd-line TT after progressing on 1st-line TT for mRCC at 19 centres were analyzed. For the patients who had immunotherapy (22%) prior to their 1st TT, we examined their second TT (ie 3rd-line therapy). The endpoint was median overall survival (OS) since the initiation of 2nd-line therapy. Additionally, we compared the IMDC model with the 3-factor-MSKCC model (Motzer et al JCO 2004) used for previously-treated patients. Results: 1,021 patients treated with a second TT were included. Median time on 2nd-line TT was 3.9 months (range 0-76+). 871 (85%) of patients had stopped 2nd-line TT by the time of analysis. Median OS since 2nd-line TT was 12.5 months (95% CI: 11.3-14.3 months), with 369 (36.1%) of patients remaining alive. 5 out of 6 pre-defined factors in IMDC model (anemia, thrombocytosis, neutrophilia, KPS <80%, and <1 year from diagnosis to treatment) measured at the time of 2nd-line TT were independent predictors of poorer OS (HR between 1.39 and 1.58, p<0.05). Hypercalcemia was not statistically significant in multivariable analysis (p=0.3008) likely due to the low incidence of hypercalcemia (9%). The concordance index using all 6 prognostic factors was 0.70, and was 0.66 with the 3-factor-MSKCC model. When patients were divided into 3 risk categories using IMDC criteria, median OS was 35.8 months (95% CI 28.3-47.8) in the favorable risk group (n=76), 16.6 months (95% CI 14.9-17.9) in the intermediate risk group (n=529), and 5.4 months (95% CI 4.7-6.8) in the poor risk group (n=261). Conclusions: The IMDC prognostic model has been validated in and can be applied to patients previously treated with TT, in addition to previously validated populations in 1st-line TT and non-clear cell setting.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16112-e16112
Author(s):  
I. Alex Bowman ◽  
Alana Christie ◽  
Tri Cao Le ◽  
Alisha Bent ◽  
James Brugarolas

e16112 Background: Brain metastases (BM) in metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) have historically been associated with a poor prognosis. We have previously reported improved outcomes for RCC patients diagnosed with brain metastases prior to or during 1st line systemic therapy among patients treated with modern systemic and local therapies. Here we report outcomes in all mRCC patients regardless of the timing of BM diagnosis. Methods: A retrospective database of mRCC patients treated at our institution between 2006 and 2015 was compiled and patients with BM identified. Overall survival (OS) was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method from the diagnosis of metastatic RCC, according to BM status and by IMDC risk group. Results: 271 patients with mRCC were identified, including 79 (29.2 %) diagnosed with BM. Clear-cell histology was more common among BM (94.2 v 81.0%, p = 0.01), otherwise patient characteristics were similar. BM were diagnosed prior to systemic therapy (44.3%), or after one or more lines of therapy (one 26.6%, two 13.9%, three 5.1%, four 6.3%, five 3.8%). Among BM patients, 54 (68.4%) received local therapy with stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) and/or surgical resection, 14 (17.7%) received WBRT alone, and 11 (13.9%) had no CNS-directed treatment. Local therapy consisted of SRS in 43 (54.4%) and surgical resection in 18 (22.8%), with some patients receiving both. Medial OS from metastatic diagnosis for those with BM was not significantly different from those without BM (26.4 v 28.7 mo, p = 0.305). This remained true when analyzed according to IMDC risk factors (see table). Conclusions: OS from the diagnosis of metastatic RCC did not significantly differ with or without BM in a cohort treated with modern systemic and CNS-directed therapies regardless of the timing of BM diagnosis or presence of IMDC risk factors. [Table: see text]


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e17091-e17091
Author(s):  
Cengiz Karacin ◽  
Fatma Bugdaycı Basal ◽  
Irem Bilgetekin ◽  
Omur Berna Oksuzoglu

e17091 Background: The majority of patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) are in the intermediate-risk group, according to International Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Database Consortium (IMDC). Some patients in the intermediate-risk group have similar overall survival (OS) with those in the good-risk group, while others with those in the poor-risk group. In our study, we aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of the region of the metastasis and to classify the intermediate-risk group into two as favorable or unfavorable according to the metastasis region. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of patients with mRCC those in the intermediate-risk group seen at our Oncology Training and Research Hospital from 2010 to 2018. Patients who received at least one line of tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) were included in the study. Overall survival was calculated. The log-rank test was used to check the statistical significance for OS. Results: Of 113 patients, median age 58 (range 34-78) years, 99 (88%) had more than one site of metastasis: 61 (54%) lung, 41 (36%) bone, 21 (18%) lymph node, and 19 (17%) brain metastasis. Nine patients received one, 86 patients received two, and 18 patients received three lines of systemic therapy. Median follow up was 14 (range 4 – 54) months. Median OS for patients with bone and/or brain metastasis was 10 (95% CI = 6.1 – 13.9) months compared to 16 (95% CI = 10.1 – 22.2) months for patients with lung and/or lymph node metastasis (HR = 1.675, p-value = 0.012). Conclusions: Our data suggest that the bone and/or brain metastasis in the intermediate-risk group mRCC patients treated with TKI are unfavorable prognostic factors.


Neurosurgery ◽  
2002 ◽  
Vol 51 (3) ◽  
pp. 656-667 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul D. Brown ◽  
Cerise A. Brown ◽  
Bruce E. Pollock ◽  
Deborah A. Gorman ◽  
Robert L. Foote

Abstract OBJECTIVE Our aim was to evaluate the efficacy of stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) for the treatment of patients with brain metastases that have been determined to be “radioresistant” on the basis of histological examination. METHODS We reviewed the medical records of 41 consecutive patients who presented with 83 brain metastases from radioresistant primaries and subsequently underwent SRS. All patients were followed until death or for a median of 31 months after SRS. Tumor histologies included renal cell carcinoma (16 patients), melanoma (23 patients), and sarcoma (2 patients). Eighteen patients (44%) had a solitary metastasis, and 23 patients (56%) had multiple metastases. RESULTS The median overall survival time was 14.2 months after SRS. On the basis of univariate analysis, systemic disease status (P = 0.006) and Radiation Therapy Oncology Group recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) class (P = 0.005) were associated with survival. The median survival time was 23.5 months for patients in RPA Class I status and 10.5 months for patients in RPA Class II or III status. There was a trend (P = 0.12) toward improved median survival for patients with renal cell carcinoma (17.8 mo) as compared with patients with melanoma (9.7 mo). Multivariate analysis showed RPA class (P = 0.038) and histological diagnosis of primary tumor (P &lt; 0.001) to be independent predictors for overall survival. In the 35 patients who underwent follow-up imaging, 9 (12%) of 73 tumors recurred locally. In 54% of the patients, distant brain failure (DBF) developed. Whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) improved local control and decreased DBF, according to the univariate and multivariate analyses. Patients who received adjuvant WBRT in addition to SRS had 6-month actuarial local control of 100% as compared with 85% among those who did not receive WBRT (P = 0.018). Patients who received adjuvant WBRT with SRS had a 6-month actuarial DBF rate of 17%, as compared with a rate of 64% among patients who had SRS alone (P = 0.0027). CONCLUSION Well-selected patients with brain metastases from radioresistant primary tumors who undergo SRS survive longer than historical controls. RPA Class I status and primary renal cell carcinoma predict longer survival. Adjuvant WBRT improves local control and decreases DBF but does not affect overall survival. Further studies are needed to determine which patients should receive WBRT.


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