The impact of temporary migration for demographic perspective in Poland

2015 ◽  
Vol 60 (7) ◽  
pp. 74-89
Author(s):  
Agnieszka Fihel

The National Population Census 2011 showed that over 2 million of Polish citizens have been temporarily staying abroad for at least 3 months. The aim of analysis is to present an impact of temporary emigration on the present and future demographic situation of our country, especially the change in the population size and number of births, as well as the advancement of aging process in the coming years. The results of the census 2011 indicate that the population losses due to temporary emigration may exceed 10% in the age groups 25–29 and 30–34. The results for 2014–2050 based on the CSO modified forecast including temporary emigration and immigration show a relevant decrease in the number of population at the age of economic activity. The possible return of emigrants could counteract the depopulation of our country, but in the long run will be intensified by the aging of the population.

Author(s):  
Matteo Gomellini ◽  
Cormac Ó Gráda

This chapter is an analytic account of Italian emigration and immigration between 1861 and the present. After describing the economic and demographic characteristics of emigrants, it analyzes the causes and effects of their migrations. It explores the consequences of the two main waves of Italian emigration (before 1914 and after 1945) for those left behind, and reckons that in the long run, emigration accounted for 4-5% of the growth in GDP per capita, with the South benefiting considerably more than the North. The chapter also describes the impact of recent immigration on those in residence in Italy, with a particular focus on the links with the economic activity, the labor market, the balance of payments, crime and public opinion, on the other.


Media Ekonomi ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 53
Author(s):  
Christine Tambunan ◽  
Jakaria Amin

<em>This study is to examine and to analyze the impact of State Budget Expenditure on the Level of Economic Activity in Indonesia. <em>Using the Autoregressive-Distributed Lag (ARDL) method. And using data from 2008-2017. <em>The result of this empirical study is that in the long run, state budget expenditure, consisting of Employee Expenditure, Special Allocation Fund (DAK) and General Allocation Fund (DAU,) has a significant positive effect on Level of Economic Activity. On the contrary, Capital Expenditure has a significant negative impact on growth. While Goods Expenditure shows a negative effect, though it was not statistically significant.</em></em></em>


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 9-28
Author(s):  
Krystyna Melich-Iwanek

The aim of the article is to analyze, from statistical and econometric perspectives, the dynamics of Poles’ economic activity, in particular, an attempt at a statistical measurement of the impact of select phenomena conditioning the labor market. Key considerations are preceded by a presentation the historical and current demographic situation in Poland. Problems of foreign migration and the aging of the Polish society were investigated. Moreover, impact of social policies on the labor market was analyzed, including the “Family 500+” program as well as regulations concerning retirement age. The study utilizes quantitative methods of time series analysis, including the time series models taking into account the occurrence of turning points. The results of research show, that: in the near future the Polish demographic situation will not improve, the lowering of retirement age is a threat to the labor market, the “500+” program not only did not influence a rise in fertility rate but lowered the rate of economic activity of women.


Author(s):  
Muhammad Anas

The quality of Indonesia’s infrastructure up until 2014 was considered uncompetitive, and one of the reasons was that there was not enough money spent on infrastructure, and too much on fuel subsidy. In November 2014, the government of Indonesia decided to cut the expenditure for fuel subsidy and reallocate the money to invest on public services. This study was conducted with the intention to quantify the impact of the program on economic growth and income distribution in Indonesia using Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) model. Simulation results indicated that the impact from social and human capital infrastructure was bigger than that of economic infrastructure, although the simulation for both categories resulted in an increase of sectoral output and domestic income. Therefore, improving infrastructure, especially social, is vital to stimulate economic activity in the long run.


Author(s):  
N. Burda ◽  
◽  
N. Chebotarova ◽  

The article examines the theoretical aspects of the formation and application of labor potential on the basis of the elaboration of modern sources of scientific literature and official statistical data. The analysis of the main parameters of labor potential of Donetsk economic region is carried out and its features and dynamics are revealed. An assessment of the general demographic situation of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, which is marked by declining birth rates, aging, depopulation and migration. The migration of the population in the region has a significant impact on the formation of labor potential, which prompted the analysis of the migration movement of the population (interregional, interstate and migrating abroad). As part of the two oblasts is temporarily occupied, the research was conducted using the statistics on the territories of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts controlled by Ukraine. For a more complete picture of the impact of the current situation on people's desire to leave the region, data for the same period in Sumy region were given, as it also borders the Kharkiv region of Ukraine and the regions of the Russian Federation, as well as the two regions we studied. Since the formation of labor potential in the region is influenced by its reproduction, the birth rate analysis was also conducted. The application of labor potential in the field of economic activity is directly related to the level of economic activity of the population and the level of its employment, so their dynamics in the studied region over the past five years is analyzed. The necessity of effective application of labor potential, its qualitative component is substantiated, namely: first of all, it is necessary to improve the structure of employment and optimize the structure of jobs, to improve target programs in terms of their impact on employment conditions in industries and regions.


2021 ◽  
pp. 097215092110036
Author(s):  
Daniel Penido de Lima Amorim ◽  
Marcos Antônio de Camargos ◽  
Cristiano Mendonça Barbosa Lima Ferreira

The strategy of going public plays a relevant role in business growth. Macroeconomic conditions are decisive for initial public offerings (IPOs). In this study, we analyzed the impact of macroeconomic factors on IPOs in the Brazilian stock market, considering the period from 2007 to 2018. We used autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models to analyze the existence of cointegration between the variables and the long-run effects. The estimated models considered the effects on the proceeds or the number of IPO, which can be related to interest rates, stock market returns, economic activity, and economic uncertainty. Our results indicate that economic activity and uncertainty have long-run effects on both the proceeds and the number of IPOs. There is also evidence that the interest rate has a long-run relationship with the IPO proceeds. In addition, we tested the causal relationships between macroeconomic factors and the IPO variables. For this purpose, we adopted a Granger causality test. We highlight that uncertainty precedes the IPO proceeds. Expectations about macroeconomic conditions are relevant for the decision to go public. Our evidence can provide guidance for stakeholders and policymakers.


2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (15) ◽  
pp. 196-219
Author(s):  
Barbara Kijewska

The issue of economic activity of women is an important subject of interest of EU and national institutions, mainly due to the lack of symmetry between men and women in terms of employment, remuneration and access to managerial positions. The constant presence of these differences, despite the existing legal regulations, is treated as an element of economic discrimination against women. In the study of economic discrimination of women the analysis also includes the division of work among family members, the impact of the decision about having children on the continuation of the professional career, and the provision of a sufficient number of day care centers for children and dependents. This paper presents basic policy regulations against unequal treatment in economic life and then illustrates selected areas of economic activity of women in the Pomeranian voivodeship. The carried out analysis allows to draw the following conclusions: • There are differences in remuneration, which in the long run affects social security, pension rights and the risk of poverty among women. • Women are overrepresented in the area of part-time employment. • The unequal division of caring duties and housework between women and men has an impact on the career of women. • Women are underrepresented in high paid jobs and decision-making positions.


2018 ◽  
pp. 1-4
Author(s):  
Albert Esteve ◽  
Daniel Devolder ◽  
Amand Blanes

The falling number of births, increased life expectancy and future retirement of the baby-boomers represent a challenge for the sustainability of the pension system in Spain because the relationship between contributors and pensioners is now smaller. In this issue of Perspectivas Demográficas we shall examine the impact of these factors on the demographic sustainability of the pension system and the effects that several scenarios of death rate, fertility and immigration might have in times to come. The demographic conditions of the past, which were very favourable to the system, will not be repeated in future. However, the coming demographic situation need not be an obstacle for maintaining a sustainable, solidary and adequate pensions system based on the idea of distribution (pay-as-you-go pension system).


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 171-194
Author(s):  
Maurizio Puzzonia

Abstract Objective: The World Commission on the Environment and Development defines as sustainable development that which can satisfy “the needs of the present without compromising the possibility of future generations to satisfy their own”. The attention to the issues of the environment, of the circular economy, of the ageing of the population is becoming a way to attract the curiosity and then the interest of the consumers with more and more awareness. Socially responsible finance is no longer a niche issue, so investing an ethical model must become a standard for both international and territorial realities. Methodology: The “myth” of low yields would seem debunked, because the companies that introduce Social, Environmental and Governance criteria have an excellent reputation and do not aim to opportunistic gains in the short, but sustainable results in the long run. An undeniable advantage for all the stakeholders and for the planet itself needs to be added; human resources valorization, equal opportunities, efficient exploitation of natural resources and reduction of pollution produced are just some of the positive results deriving from this new business philosophy. For this reason a new obligation on the commitment of the companies regarding the environment is needed, while for all the corporate summits bonuses and compensations must be rethought according to the objectives of environmental and social sustainability. In the past such commitments were considered by large companies as a further cost, and nowadays they are increasingly becoming an opportunity that even the small economic realities on a territorial level cannot afford to lose. Starting a dialogue, not only with the traditional stakeholders (such as customers and suppliers) direct users of the product value, but especially with the territory given the social impacts deriving from the economic activity on people is necessary. In this respect, it would be particularly fruitful, from the point of view of innovation and growth, to create relations with the institution traditionally identified as the depositary of research itself, that is the University. Findings: ESG (Environmental, Social and Governance) is an acronym that indicates the commitment of companies to the environment, sociability and respect for diversity. These criteria are destined to become, in the near future, one of the most important factors of business success, of investments discrimination, of orientation for big funds policies and of reputation for entrepreneurs and managers. Environmental and Social criteria relate to the real consumption of limited natural resources by an economic activity, and to what it then returns in terms of goods and services to the reference communities. The term Governance means the way in which an enterprise is managed, the relationships that are set up with the employees and the methods of remuneration for the top management. Thus, the ESG index is potentially able to reveal whether an economic activity is sustainable in the medium or long term beyond the financial variables. But how is possible to transpose these values on a territory level? Value Added: We have to look to those who are responsible for the innovation and development of that local reality. Unfortunately, the panorama of business, university and public collaboration is still jagged for a deep lack of relations between these different actors. At the same time, technological evolution imposes increasingly tighter rhythms to innovation, forcing companies to find out the R&D function by drawing on university research or acquiring from innovative start-ups. These new companies, often born as university spin-offs, however, encounter many difficulties of development related to the scarcity of capital and therefore to the impossibility of embedding the value created within a patent. It is therefore appropriate that the two main operators of this market, universities and companies, find a way to communicate and collaborate on a common project, creating value and bringing welfare not only to their respective realities, but also to the whole community of the territory interested in the sign of ESG ethic. Recommendations: For this reason it is important to take part in the projects in ethical ESG companies that, relating to the university and the territory, can guide innovation towards a horizon of welfare distributable among all stakeholders. A meeting point between all interests in the game could be a shared Hub where, through a contract, the modalities of collaboration will be established and the common objectives pursued; in this way the university will have the funds for the research, the enterprise – a targeted innovation for its purposes and the territory for new employment possibilities for the workers of the sector.


Author(s):  
Richard Bedford ◽  
Jacqueline Lidgard ◽  
Joanne Young

Between March 1991 and March 1996 the de facto population of New Zealand increased by around 225,000, the largest intercensal increase since the early 1970s. A short-lived surge in levels of natural increase in the early 1990s, coupled with some of the highest annual net migration gains since 1975, account for this substantial population growth. While there has been considerable comment in the media about the impact of this growth on the Auckland region in particular, the impacts which it has had on New Zealand's Labour force are less well known. This paper examines the components of change in labour force age groups between 1991 and 1996, isolating the impacts of immigration from those of structural change. The contrasting contributions to particular labour force age groups made by emigration of New Zealanders on the one hand, and immigration of citizens from other countries on the other, are then discussed. It is clear from the analysis that emigration and immigration are impacting quite differentially on the younger and older workforces. Some of the implications of these changes are explored with reference to the ageing labour force.


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