Investigation of features of May, 2001 tropical cyclone over the Arabian Sea through IRS-P4 and other satellite data

In this paper, utility of satellite derived atmospheric motion vectors and geophysical parameters is brought out to discern appropriate signals for improving short-range forecasts in respect of development/dissipation of tropical cyclones over the Indian region. Results of a particular case study of May, 2001 cyclone, which formed in the Arabian Sea are reported. Analysis of wind field with input of modified cloud motion vectors and water vapour wind vectors is performed utilizing Optimum Interpolation (OI) technique at 850 and 200 hPa for finding dynamical changes such as vorticity, convergence and divergence for the complete life period of this cyclone. Simultaneously, variations in geophysical parameters obtained from IRS-P4 and TRMM satellites in ascending and descending nodes are compared with dynamical variations for discerning some positive signals to improve short range forecasts over the Indian region. The enhancement of cyclonic vorticity at 200 hPa over larger area surrounding center of cyclone was observed from 26 to 28 May 2001 which gave a positive signal for dissipation of storm.

Physical Process Contributions to the Development of a Super Explosive Cyclone Over the Gulf Stream

Contributions of different physical processes to the development of a super explosive cyclone (SEC) migrating over the Gulf Stream with the maximum deepening rate of 3.45 Bergeron were investigated using the ERA5 atmospheric reanalysis from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The evolution of the SEC resembled the Shapiro-Keyser model. The moisture transported to the bent-back front by easterlies from Gulf Stream favored precipitation and enhanced the latent heat release. The bent-back front and warm front were dominated by the water vapor convergence in the mid-low troposphere, the cyclonic-vorticity advection in the mid-upper troposphere and the divergence in the upper troposphere. These factors favored the rapid development of the SEC, but their contributions showed significant differences during the explosive-developing stage. The diagnostic results based on the Zwack-Okossi equation suggested that the early explosive development of the SEC was mainly forced by the diabatic heating in the mid-low troposphere. From the early explosive-developing moment to maximum-deepening-rate moment, the diabatic heating, warm-air advection and cyclonic-vorticity advection were all enhanced significantly, their combination forced the most explosive development, and the diabatic heating had the biggest contribution, followed by the warm-air advection and cyclonic-vorticity advection, which is different from the previous studies of ECs over the Northwestern Atlantic. The cross section of these factors suggested that during the rapid development, the cyclonic-vorticity advection was distributed and enhanced significantly in the mid-low troposphere, the warm-air advection was strengthened significantly in the mid-low and upper troposphere, and the diabatic heating was distributed in the middle troposphere.

Characteristics of Mesoscale Convective Complexes that Triggered Heavy Rainfall Related to Severe Flash Flood in Luwu, Sulawesi, Indonesia

A severe flash flood hit Luwu, Sulawesi, Indonesia, on 13 July 2020. This flood was preceded by persistent heavy rainfall from 11 to 13 July 2020. In this study, we explore both the physical and dynamical processes that caused the heavy rainfall using a convection-permitting model with 1-km resolution. The heavy rainfall was modulated by the development of a pair of Mesoscale Convective Complexes (MCCs) during the night. The pair of MCCs was triggered by an anti-cyclonic vorticity anomaly over the Makassar Strait and was maintained by the warm front passing between the sea and land over central Sulawesi. This front was characterized by moist-warm and cold-dry low-level air, which may have helped to extend the lifetime of the MCCs. The northwestward propagation of the MCCs was due to the interaction between predominantly southeasterly monsoon and sea surface temperature anomalies.

Jupiter's Zonal Vorticity Profile Observed by JunoCam

<p>We derive Jupiter's zonal vorticity profile from JunoCam images, with Juno's polar orbit allowing the observation of latitudes that are difficult to observe from Earth or from equatorial flybys.  We identify cyclonic local vorticity maxima near 77.9°, 65.6°, 59.3°, 50.9°, 42.4°, and 34.3°S planetocentric at a resolution of ~1°, based on analyzing selected JunoCam image pairs taken during the 16 Juno perijove flybys 15-30. We identify zonal anticyclonic local vorticity maxima near 80.7°, 73.8°, 62.1°, 56.4°, 46.9°, 38.0°, and 30.7°S.  These results agree with the known zonal wind profile below 64°S, and reveal novel structure further south, including a prominent cyclonic band centered near 66°S. The anticyclonic vorticity maximum near 73.8°S represents a broad and skewed fluctuating anticyclonic band between ~69.0° and ~76.5°S, and is hence poorly defined. This band may even split temporarily into two or three bands.  The cyclonic vorticity maximum near 77.9°S appears to be fairly stable during these flybys, probably representing irregular cyclonic structures in the region. The area between ~82° and 90°S is relatively small and close to the terminator, resulting in poor statistics, but generally shows a strongly cyclonic mean vorticity, representing the well-known circumpolar cyclone cluster.</p><p>The latitude range between ~30°S and ~85°S was particularly well observed, allowing observation periods lasting several hours. For each considered perijove we selected a pair of images separated by about 30 - 60 minutes. We derived high-passed and contrast-normalized south polar equidistant azimuthal maps of Jupiter's cloud tops. They were used to derive maps of local rotation at a resolution of ~1° latitude by stereo-corresponding Monte-Carlo-distributed and Gauss-weighted round tiles for each image pair considered. Only the rotation portion of the stereo correspondence between tiles was used to sample the vorticity maps. For each image pair, we rendered ~40 vorticity maps with different Monte-Carlo runs. The standard deviation of the resulting statistics provided a criterion to define a valid area of the mean vorticity map. Averaging vorticities along circles centered on the south pole returned a zonal vorticity profile for each of the perijoves considered. Averaging the resulting zonal vorticity profiles built the basis for a discussion of the mean profile.</p><p>JunoCam also images the northern hemisphere, at higher resolution but with coverage restricted to a briefer time span and smaller area due to the nature of Juno's elliptical orbit, which will restrict our ability to obtain zonal vorticity profiles.</p>

Análise do Eixo Vertical de dois Ciclones Extratropicais na América do Sul

Ciclones extratropicais (CE) são sistemas de baixa pressão que ocorrem em latitudes médias (LM) ao longo do ano. São fenômenos vastamente estudados por serem normalmente associados à eventos de precipitação intensa, tempestades e grandes variações de temperatura. Os CEs são inicialmente identificados em superfície, contudo, também são observados até a tropopausa. Características como intensidade e tempo de vida podem estar relacionadas ao seu desenvolvimento em níveis superiores. Assim, este trabalho analisa por meio da estrutura vertical o ciclo de vida de dois CE, os quais se formaram em 31 de dezembro de 2012 e 12 de junho de 2014. Para isto foram utilizados dados em ponto de grade do Climate Forecast System Version 2/National Center for Atmospheric Research (CFSv2/NCAR). Ambos casos apresentaram: maior defasagem (diferença longitudinal entre o sistema em altos e baixos níveis devido à inclinação do seu eixo vertical para oeste) ao longo de seu desenvolvimento, similaridade no período de ocorrência e no menor valor da pressão central, assim como no aprofundamento do ciclone sendo superior a 24 hPa em 24 horas. No inverno (verão) o ciclone obteve maior (menor) defasagem e intensificou-se menos (mais), não sugerindo relação entre a inclinação do eixo vertical e a intensificação do ciclone. A inclinação na vertical para oeste foi mais (menos) acentuada no caso do inverno (verão), além de esboçar um comportamento menos (mais) retilíneo até ficar ocluso. Em ambos casos a vorticidade ciclônica esteve ligeiramente à leste do eixo vertical, estando mais próxima do mesmo no caso do verão. Analysis of Vertical Axis of two Extratropical Cyclones in South America A B S T R A C TExtratropical cyclones (EC) are low pressure systems that occur in mid latitudes (ML) throughout the year. CEs are widely studied phenomena since they are usually associated to events of intense precipitation, storms and large variations of temperature. These systems are initially identified on surface, however, they are also observed up to tropopause. This work analyzes the vertical structure of the life cycle of two EC formed on December 2012 and June 2014. Grid point data (0.5 ° x 0.5 °) from the Climate Forecast System Version 2 / National Center for Atmospheric Research (CFSv2 / NCAR) were used to identify and obtain the longitudinal lag of the pressure centers on the surface and in high levels. Both cases presented: greater lag – longitudinal difference between upper and lower levels due to westward vertical tilt of the axis system – during their development, similarity in the period of occurrence and in the lowest value of central pressure, as well as in the deepening of the cyclone being greater than 24 hPa in 24 hours. In winter (summer) the cyclone obtained a larger (smaller) lag and intensified less (more), suggesting no relationship between the inclination of the vertical axis and the cyclone intensification. The westward vertical tilt was more (less) pronounced in winter (summer) case, besides presenting a behavior less (more) rectilinear until it is occluded. In both cases the most intense cyclonic vorticity was slightly east from vertical axis, being closer of the axis in summer case.Keywords: baroclinic instability; axis of the trough; vertical tilt.

On the Relationship of a Low-Level Jet and the Formation of a Heavy-Rainfall-Producing Mesoscale Vortex over the Yangtze River Basin

Dabie vortices (DBVs) are a type of heavy-rainfall-producing mesoscale vortices that appear with a high frequency around the Dabie Mountain over the Yangtze River Basin. For a long time, scholars have found that DBVs tend to form when a low-level jet (LLJ) appears in their neighboring regions. However, the underlying mechanisms of this phenomenon still remain vague. This study furthers the understanding of this type of event by conducting detailed analyses on a long-lived eastward-moving DBV that caused a severe flood in the 2020 summer. It is found that the LLJ in this event was belonged to a nocturnal LLJ type, with its maximum/minimum appeared around 2100/0600 UTC. The diurnal cycle of LLJ affected precipitation and intensity of the DBV notably: As the LLJ intensified, vortex’s precipitation and intensity both enhanced, and vice versa. The LLJ exerted two effects on the DBV’s formation that are opposite to each other. The more important effect is that the LLJ caused intense lower-level convergence around its northern terminus. This convergence directly produced cyclonic vorticity through vertical stretching, which dominates the DBV’s formation and enhances the convection-related upward cyclonic vorticity transport that acted as another favorable factor. The less important effect is that (i) the LLJ induced import of anticyclonic vorticity into the vortex’s central region, which decelerated the DBV’s formation; and (ii) the LLJ-related to strong ascending motions tilted horizontal vorticity into negative vertical vorticity, which reduced the growth rate of cyclonic vorticity.

Observations of Flow Separation and Mixing around the Northern Palau Island/Ridge

Turbulent mixing adjacent to the Velasco Reef and Kyushu–Palau Ridge, off northern Palau in the western equatorial Pacific Ocean, is examined using shipboard and moored observations. The study focuses on a 9-day-long, ship-based microstructure and velocity survey, conducted in November–December 2016. Several sections (9–15 km in length) of microstructure, hydrographic, and velocity fields were acquired over and around the reef, where water depths ranged from 50 to 3000 m. Microstructure profiles were collected while steaming slowly either toward or away from the reef, and underway current surveys were conducted along quasi-rectangular boxes with side lengths of 5–10 km. Near the reef, both tidal and subtidal motions were important, while subtidal motions were stronger away from the reef. Vertical shears of currents and mixing were stronger on the northern and eastern flanks of the reef than on the western flanks. High turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rates, 10−6–10−4 W kg−1, and large values of eddy diffusivities, 10−4–10−2 m2 s−1, with strong turbulent heat fluxes, 100–500 W m−2, were found. Currents flowing along the eastern side separated at the northern tip of the reef and generated submesoscale cyclonic vorticity of about 2–4 times the planetary vorticity. The analysis suggests that a torque, imparted by the turbulent bottom stress, generated the cyclonic vorticity at the northern boundary. The northern reef is associated with high vertical transports resulting from both submesoscale flow convergences and energetic mixing. Even though the area around Palau represents a small footprint of the ocean, vertical velocities and mixing rates are several orders magnitude larger than in the open ocean.

Reexamination of the Climatology and Variability of the Northwest Pacific Monsoon Trough Using a Daily Index

This study developed a daily index to represent the northwest Pacific monsoon trough using westerly related cyclonic vorticity after removing tropical cyclones (TCs) from the reanalysis dataset. This index sufficiently captures the spatial and temporal variations in the monsoon trough. The use of this daily index revealed new features in the monsoon trough, including daily statistical characteristics, the active period over a year, and the main periodicity. A monsoon trough can be identified as active when the daily index is greater than 2.0 × 10−4 s−1. Active monsoon troughs occur during half of the summertime, and these is no monsoon trough on one-third of days, with the remaining days categorized as inactive. The most active month is August, in which approximately 20 days exhibit an active monsoon trough. Using this index, an active monsoon trough period, which is related to vigorous TC activity, was determined by identifying the establishment and decay dates for each year from 1979 to 2016. During most years, the active monsoon trough is established in mid-July and decays in late October, persisting for 3–5 months during the boreal summer. Moreover, spectral and wavelet analyses demonstrated the presence of intraseasonal, interannual, and interdecadal variabilities in the monsoon trough. The dominant periodicity for the interannual variability varied from 1.5 to 4 years in different decades. The relationship between the monsoon trough and TCs is also revealed using this index, showing that approximately 60% of TC formations were related to an active monsoon trough.

Vortex competition in coastal outflows

Experiments and field observations have shown that there are at least two modes of behavior for river plumes. In many cases, the plume turns to the right (in the Northern Hemisphere) on leaving the river mouth and follows the direction of Kelvin-wave propagation. Alternatively, a “bulge” can form in the plume and a fraction of the outflow volume becomes trapped near the mouth. This paper discusses how bulge formation can be affected by the vorticity profile at the river mouth. Due to the image effect, regions of cyclonic vorticity tend to propagate rightwards, whereas regions of anticyclonic vorticity propagate leftward upon exit from the source. If an outflow consists of regions of cyclonic vorticity to the left of regions of anticyclonic vorticity, the two image effects are in competition. We explore this phenomenon using a quasi-geostrophic model with piecewise-constant potential vorticity, which allows the vorticity profile at the source to be set as part of the problem. We present analytic solutions valid in the source region and at the head of the plume and show that all of the outflow travels rightwards if and only if the region of cyclonic vorticity is dominant. The initial-value problem for the model is integrated numerically using the method of contour dynamics, and the full parameter space is explored. We find that if the cyclonic and anticyclonic contributions cancel, as in the experiments of Avicola and Huq (2003), then steady solutions are unstable and a bulge can form downstream of the river mouth.

A Statistical Analysis of Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Trough Cells over the Western North Pacific during 2006–15

A statistical analysis of tropical upper-tropospheric trough (TUTT) cells over the western North Pacific Ocean (WNP) during 2006 to 2015 is performed using the NCEP Final reanalysis. A total of 369 TUTT-cell events or 6836 TUTT cells are identified, with a peak frequency in July. Most TUTT cells form to the east of 150°E and then move southwestward with a mean speed of 6.6 m s−1 and a mean life span of 4.4 days. About 75% of the TUTT cells have radii of <500 km with 200-hPa central heights of <1239.4 dam. In general, TUTT cells exhibit negative height anomalies above 450 hPa, with their peak amplitudes at 200 hPa, pronounced cold anomalies in the 650–200-hPa layer, and significant cyclonic vorticity in the 550–125-hPa layer. A comparison of the composite TUTT cells among the eastern, central, and western WNP areas shows the generation of an intense cold-cored vortex as a result of the southward penetration of a midlatitude trough into a climatological TUTT over the eastern WNP region. The TUTT cell with pronounced rotation is cut off from the midlatitude westerlies after moving to the central WNP region, where it enters its mature phase, under the influence of northeasterly flow. The TUTT cell weakens in rotation and shrinks in size, diminishing within the TUTT after arriving at the western WNP region. Results suggest that, although most TUTT cells may diminish before reaching the western WNP, their vertical influences may extend to the surface layer and last longer than their signals at 200 hPa.