scholarly journals Frequency and within-type variations of large-scale circulation types and their effects on low-frequency climate variability in central europe since 1780

2007 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 473-491 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Beck ◽  
J. Jacobeit ◽  
P. D. Jones
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huang-Hsiung Hsu

<p>Tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western North Pacific (WNP) are modulated by large-scale circulation systems such monsoon trough, intraseasonal oscillation, teleconnection pattern, El Niño and Southern Oscillation, and some interdecadal oscillations. While the low-frequency, large-scale circulation produces a clustering effect on TCs, the latter in return leave marked footprints in climate mean state and variability because of large amplitudes in circulation and strong heating. In this study, we applied PV inversion technique to remove TCs from reanalysis and evaluate their contribution to mean circulation and climate variability. It is found that the mean climatological circulation (e.g., low-level monsoon trough and upper-tropospheric anticyclone) would be much weaker with TCs removed. Intraseasonal and interannual variance of certain variables could decrease by as much as 40–50 percent. An accompanied study indicated that TCs had slowed down the sea surface warming in the WNP for the past few decades because of TC-induced cooling. Our results suggest that TC effect has to be considered to understand the climate variability in the tropical atmosphere and ocean. The ensemble effect of TCs, at least in the statistical sense, has to be resolved in climate models to better simulate climate variability and produce more reliable climate projection in the TC-prone regions.</p>


2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (20) ◽  
pp. 5009-5030 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Lehodey ◽  
J. Alheit ◽  
M. Barange ◽  
T. Baumgartner ◽  
G. Beaugrand ◽  
...  

Abstract Fish population variability and fisheries activities are closely linked to weather and climate dynamics. While weather at sea directly affects fishing, environmental variability determines the distribution, migration, and abundance of fish. Fishery science grew up during the last century by integrating knowledge from oceanography, fish biology, marine ecology, and fish population dynamics, largely focused on the great Northern Hemisphere fisheries. During this period, understanding and explaining interannual fish recruitment variability became a major focus for fisheries oceanographers. Yet, the close link between climate and fisheries is best illustrated by the effect of “unexpected” events—that is, nonseasonal, and sometimes catastrophic—on fish exploitation, such as those associated with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The observation that fish populations fluctuate at decadal time scales and show patterns of synchrony while being geographically separated drew attention to oceanographic processes driven by low-frequency signals, as reflected by indices tracking large-scale climate patterns such as the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). This low-frequency variability was first observed in catch fluctuations of small pelagic fish (anchovies and sardines), but similar effects soon emerged for larger fish such as salmon, various groundfish species, and some tuna species. Today, the availability of long time series of observations combined with major scientific advances in sampling and modeling the oceans’ ecosystems allows fisheries science to investigate processes generating variability in abundance, distribution, and dynamics of fish species at daily, decadal, and even centennial scales. These studies are central to the research program of Global Ocean Ecosystems Dynamics (GLOBEC). This review presents examples of relationships between climate variability and fisheries at these different time scales for species covering various marine ecosystems ranging from equatorial to subarctic regions. Some of the known mechanisms linking climate variability and exploited fish populations are described, as well as some leading hypotheses, and their implications for their management and for the modeling of their dynamics. It is concluded with recommendations for collaborative work between climatologists, oceanographers, and fisheries scientists to resolve some of the outstanding problems in the development of sustainable fisheries.


2017 ◽  
Vol 549 ◽  
pp. 484-500 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eva Steirou ◽  
Lars Gerlitz ◽  
Heiko Apel ◽  
Bruno Merz

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (12) ◽  
pp. 2960-2975 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huang-Hsiung Hsu ◽  
Ching-Hui Hung ◽  
An-Kai Lo ◽  
Chun-Chieh Wu ◽  
Chih-Wen Hung

Abstract By estimating the differences between the original and tropical cyclone (TC)-removed fields derived from the 40-yr (ECMWF) Re-Analysis (ERA-40) and NCEP–NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis, this study reveals that TCs contribute significantly (exceeding 50% in certain regions) to the seasonal mean and the intraseasonal and interannual variance of the 850-hPa vorticity along the TC tracks in the tropical western North Pacific. Similar effects on the precipitation are also seen, as presented by the examples located in Taiwan. While the low-frequency, large-scale circulation produces a clustering effect on TCs, the latter, which has a large positive vorticity and tends to occur in the positive vorticity background flow, significantly enhances the strength of the positive vorticity. The contribution from TCs, which is not offset by the synoptic systems with weak negative vorticity, can therefore leave marked footprints in the climate signal and variability. This effect is not removed by long-term averaging and low-pass filtering, which are often used to retrieve the climate perturbations. This study reveals that the climate variability, as it is defined, is not contributed to merely by the low-frequency large-scale fluctuations. Instead, the TC effect has to be taken into account to understand the climate variability in the tropical western North Pacific. Subsequently, the ensemble effect of TCs, at least in the statistical sense, has to be resolved in the climate model to obtain a better simulation of the climate variability in the TC-prone region, such as the tropical western North Pacific.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 1263-1282
Author(s):  
Tiina Nygård ◽  
Michael Tjernström ◽  
Tuomas Naakka

Abstract. Thermodynamic profiles are affected by both the large-scale dynamics and the local processes, such as radiation, cloud formation and turbulence. Based on ERA5 reanalysis, radiosoundings and cloud cover observations from winters 2009–2018, this study demonstrates manifold impacts of large-scale circulation on temperature and specific humidity profiles in the circumpolar Arctic north of 65∘ N. Characteristic wintertime circulation types are allocated using self-organizing maps (SOMs). The study shows that influence of different large-scale flows must be viewed as a progressing set of processes: (1) horizontal advection of heat and moisture, driven by circulation, lead to so-called first-order effects on thermodynamic profiles and turbulent surface fluxes, and (2) the advection is followed by transformation of the air through various physical processes, causing second-order effects. An example of second-order effects is the associated cloud formation, which shifts the strongest radiative cooling from the surface to the cloud top. The temperature and specific humidity profiles are most sensitive to large-scale circulation over the Eurasian land west of 90∘ E and the Arctic Ocean sea ice, whereas impacts over North America and Greenland are more ambiguous. Eurasian land, between 90 and 140∘ E, occasionally receives warm and moist air from the northern North Atlantic, which, with the support of radiative impacts of clouds, weakens the otherwise strong temperature and specific humidity inversions. Altitudes of maximum temperature and specific humidity in a profile and their variability between the circulation types are good indicators of the depth of the layer impacted by surface–atmosphere processes interacting with the large-scale circulation. Different circulation types typically cause variations of a few hundred metres to this altitude, and the layer impacted is deepest over north-eastern Eurasia and North America.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Irfan Ullah ◽  
Xieyao Ma ◽  
Jun Yin ◽  
Farhan Saleem ◽  
Sidra Syed ◽  
...  

Abstract The long-term drought monitoring and its assessment are of great importance for meteorological disaster risk management. The recurrent spells of heatwaves and droughts have severely affected the environmental conditions worldwide, including Pakistan. The present work sought to investigate the spatiotemporal changes in drought characteristics over Pakistan during Rabi and Kharif cropping seasons. The role of large-scale circulation and interannual mode of climate variability is further explored to identify the physical mechanisms associated with droughts in the region. Monthly precipitation and temperature data (1983–2019) from 53 meteorological stations were used to study drought characteristics, using the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI). The non-parametric Mann-Kendall (MK), Sen’s Slope (SS), and Sequential Mann-Kendall (SQMK) tests were applied on the drought index to determine the statistical significance and magnitude of the historical trend. The state-of-the-art Bayesian Dynamic Linear (BDL) model was further used to analyze large scale climate drivers of droughts, analysis revealed an increase in drought severity mostly over arid to semi-arid regions for both cropping seasons. Temperature played a significant role in defining droughts over dry and hot seasons, while rainfall is influential over the western disturbances (WD) influenced region. The analysis of atmospheric circulation patterns revealed that large-scale changes in wind speed, air temperature, relative humidity and geopotential height anomalies are the likely drivers of droughts in the region. We found that Niño4, Sea Surface Temperature (SST), and multivariate El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO4.0) Index are the most influential factors for seasonal droughts across Pakistan. Overall, the findings provide a better understanding of drought-prone areas in the region, and this information is of potential use for mitigating and managing drought risks.


Author(s):  
Robert F. Mudde

Gravity driven bubbles are found in many industrial applications. Two typical reactors are the bubble column, in which the liquid is stagnant and the air lift reactor in which the liquid circulates, under the action of gravity, through the reactor. These reactors are attractive for a number of reasons: they have no moving parts and are thus low in maintenance; the size can be enormous (diameters of several meters, heights of tens of meters) allowing large volume flows to be processed; good mixing and heat transfer characteristics, etc. Our knowledge about the structure of the flow induced is rather limited. This makes design, fine tuning of operation and scale up still difficult. The two-phase flow in a bubble reactor is complicated. In the bubble columns, the liquid exhibits a large-scale circulation in a time averaged sense, with upward flow in the center and downward flow in the wall region. The first reliable data on this large-scale circulation date back to the work of Hills (174). In 1984, Franz et al. reported on the motion of what was later called vortical structures, eddy like structures (with sizes on the order of the column diameter) that move through the bubbly mixture. These vortical structures have been research more extensive during the last ten year by e.g. Fan and coworkers, Dudukovic and coworkers and Mudde & Van den Akker. The structures are found for a wide range of gas fractions, ranging from a few percent to well above 20%. The vortical structures seem to be a universal feature of the gravity driven bubble flows as they were also found in air lift reactors. For this reactor it has been reported that the liquid flow behaves more or less like the superposition of a net liquid flow and the complicated flow features found in the bubble column. The similarities will be high lighted. The vortical structures have important consequences for e.g. the (pseudo-)turbulence and the mixing in the bubbly flow. In 2-dimensional equipment they appear very regular and a separation between the low frequency fluctuations and the high frequency ‘turbulence’ is easily made. However, in 3-dimensional columns the situation is more complicated. LDA data show that the vortical structures are still responsible for a the occurrence of low frequency oscillations (on the order of 0.1Hz), but they are no longer appearing regularly and a separation of frequencies is no longer possible. Finally, the newest experiment seem to show that the vortical structures can be suppressed up to gas fraction of (at least) 10%. These new experiments suggest that the gravity driven bubbly flow is not inherently unstable, but rather sensitive to the conditions at the gas inlet.


2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (12) ◽  
pp. 3249-3281 ◽  
Author(s):  
Young-Oh Kwon ◽  
Michael A. Alexander ◽  
Nicholas A. Bond ◽  
Claude Frankignoul ◽  
Hisashi Nakamura ◽  
...  

Abstract Ocean–atmosphere interaction over the Northern Hemisphere western boundary current (WBC) regions (i.e., the Gulf Stream, Kuroshio, Oyashio, and their extensions) is reviewed with an emphasis on their role in basin-scale climate variability. SST anomalies exhibit considerable variance on interannual to decadal time scales in these regions. Low-frequency SST variability is primarily driven by basin-scale wind stress curl variability via the oceanic Rossby wave adjustment of the gyre-scale circulation that modulates the latitude and strength of the WBC-related oceanic fronts. Rectification of the variability by mesoscale eddies, reemergence of the anomalies from the preceding winter, and tropical remote forcing also play important roles in driving and maintaining the low-frequency variability in these regions. In the Gulf Stream region, interaction with the deep western boundary current also likely influences the low-frequency variability. Surface heat fluxes damp the low-frequency SST anomalies over the WBC regions; thus, heat fluxes originate with heat anomalies in the ocean and have the potential to drive the overlying atmospheric circulation. While recent observational studies demonstrate a local atmospheric boundary layer response to WBC changes, the latter’s influence on the large-scale atmospheric circulation is still unclear. Nevertheless, heat and moisture fluxes from the WBCs into the atmosphere influence the mean state of the atmospheric circulation, including anchoring the latitude of the storm tracks to the WBCs. Furthermore, many climate models suggest that the large-scale atmospheric response to SST anomalies driven by ocean dynamics in WBC regions can be important in generating decadal climate variability. As a step toward bridging climate model results and observations, the degree of realism of the WBC in current climate model simulations is assessed. Finally, outstanding issues concerning ocean–atmosphere interaction in WBC regions and its impact on climate variability are discussed.


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