Proportional odds logistic regression—effective means of dealing with limited uncertainty in dichotomizing clinical outcomes

2006 ◽  
Vol 25 (24) ◽  
pp. 4227-4234 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zdenek Valenta ◽  
Jan Pitha ◽  
Rudolf Poledne
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Effective Means ◽  
Proportional Odds

Risk factors and clinical outcomes associated with blood culture contamination

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Justin M. Klucher ◽  
Kevin Davis ◽  
Mrinmayee Lakkad ◽  
Jacob T. Painter ◽  
Ryan K. Dare
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Blood Culture ◽  
Hospital Mortality ◽  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Tertiary Care ◽  
Blood Cultures ◽  
Hospital Charges ◽  
Patient Specific ◽  
Contaminated Blood

Abstract Objective: To determine patient-specific risk factors and clinical outcomes associated with contaminated blood cultures. Design: A single-center, retrospective case-control risk factor and clinical outcome analysis performed on inpatients with blood cultures collected in the emergency department, 2014–2018. Patients with contaminated blood cultures (cases) were compared to patients with negative blood cultures (controls). Setting: A 509-bed tertiary-care university hospital. Methods: Risk factors independently associated with blood-culture contamination were determined using multivariable logistic regression. The impacts of contamination on clinical outcomes were assessed using linear regression, logistic regression, and generalized linear model with γ log link. Results: Of 13,782 blood cultures, 1,504 (10.9%) true positives were excluded, leaving 1,012 (7.3%) cases and 11,266 (81.7%) controls. The following factors were independently associated with blood-culture contamination: increasing age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.01; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01–1.01), black race (aOR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.15–1.51), increased body mass index (BMI; aOR, 1.01; 95% CI, 1.00–1.02), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (aOR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.02–1.33), paralysis (aOR 1.64; 95% CI, 1.26–2.14) and sepsis plus shock (aOR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.07–1.49). After controlling for age, race, BMI, and sepsis, blood-culture contamination increased length of stay (LOS; β = 1.24 ± 0.24; P < .0001), length of antibiotic treatment (LOT; β = 1.01 ± 0.20; P < .001), hospital charges (β = 0.22 ± 0.03; P < .0001), acute kidney injury (AKI; aOR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.40–1.83), echocardiogram orders (aOR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.30–1.75) and in-hospital mortality (aOR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.31–2.16). Conclusions: These unique risk factors identify high-risk individuals for blood-culture contamination. After controlling for confounders, contamination significantly increased LOS, LOT, hospital charges, AKI, echocardiograms, and in-hospital mortality.

scholarly journals The association between neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio and poor outcomes following infant cardiac surgery

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Gao ◽  
Jinping Liu ◽  
Xu Wang ◽  
Peiyao Zhang ◽  
Yu Jin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mechanical Ventilation ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Cardiac Surgery ◽  
Hospital Stay ◽  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Neutrophil Lymphocyte Ratio ◽  
Lymphocyte Ratio ◽  
Time Length ◽  
Mechanical Ventilation Time ◽  
Poor Outcomes

Abstract Background Neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a valuable indicator for evaluating inflammation and adverse outcomes after cardiac surgery. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association of perioperative NLR with clinical outcomes in infants undergoing congenital heart surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. Methods We performed a retrospective review of 424 consecutive infants (≤ 1 year) undergoing cardiac surgery between January 2019 and September 2019. Neonates (≤ 28 days) and patients with incomplete NLR data were excluded. The study endpoint was a composite of poor outcomes after surgery. We assess the correlation between perioperative NLR and clinical outcomes. A receiver operating characteristic curve and multivariable logistic regression were applied to identify the prognosis performance of postoperative NLR for poor outcomes. Results A total of 68 (16%) infants experienced at least one of the poor outcomes. Postoperative NLR on the third day after the surgery showed the best prognostic significance (AUC = 0.763, 95%CI 0.700–0.826) among perioperative period, with a cut-off value of 2.05. Postoperative NLR was also strongly correlated with mechanical ventilation time, length of ICU and hospital stay (p < 0.001). Multivariable logistic regression revealed that elevated postoperative NLR (OR 3.722, 95%CI 1.895–7.309, p < 0.001) was an independent risk factor for poor outcomes in infants after cardiac surgery. Conclusions Postoperative NLR was correlated with increased mechanical ventilation time, length of ICU and hospital stay. Elevated postoperative NLR was an independent predictor for poor outcomes after cardiac surgery in infants.

scholarly journals Early Plasma Osmolality Levels and Clinical Outcomes in Children Admitted to the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit: A Single-Center Cohort Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huabin Wang ◽  
Zhongyuan He ◽  
Jiahong Li ◽  
Chao Lin ◽  
Huan Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Intensive Care ◽  
Hospital Mortality ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Poor Prognosis ◽  
Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Plasma Osmolality ◽  
Pediatric Intensive Care ◽  
Linear Spline

Objective: Identifying high-risk children with a poor prognosis in pediatric intensive care units (PICUs) is critical. The aim of this study was to assess the predictive value of early plasma osmolality levels in determining the clinical outcomes of children in PICUs.Methods: We retrospectively assessed critically ill children in a pediatric intensive care database. The locally weighted-regression scatter-plot smoothing (LOWESS) method was used to explore the approximate relationship between plasma osmolality and in-hospital mortality. Linear spline functions and stepwise expansion models were applied in conjunction with a multivariate logistic regression to further analyze this relationship. A subgroup analysis by age and complications was performed.Results: In total, 5,620 pediatric patients were included in this study. An approximately “U”-shaped relationship between plasma osmolality and mortality was detected using LOWESS. In the logistic regression model using a linear spline function, plasma osmolality ≥ 290 mmol/L was significantly associated with in-hospital mortality [odds ratio (OR) 1.020, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.010–1.031], while plasma osmolality &lt;290 mmol/L was not significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (OR 0.990, 95% CI 0.966–1.014). In the logistic regression model with plasma osmolality as a tri-categorical variable, only high osmolality was significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (OR 1.90, 95% CI 1.38–2.64), whereas low osmolality was not associated with in-hospital mortality (OR 1.28, 95% CI 0.84–1.94). The interactions between plasma osmolality and age or complications were not significant.Conclusion: High osmolality, rather than low osmolality, can predict a poor prognosis in children in PICUs.

Prognostic CT Features and Prediction Model of Patients With Primary Hepatocellular Carcinomas Undergoing Partial Hepatectomy

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cuiping Zhou ◽  
Xiaohua Ban ◽  
Huijun Hu ◽  
Qiuxia Yang ◽  
Rong Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Partial Hepatectomy ◽  
Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression ◽  
Roc Curve Analysis ◽  
Hepatocellular Carcinomas ◽  
Ct Features

Abstract Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary malignant tumor in the liver. Partial hepatectomy is one of the most effective therapies for HCC but suffer from the high recurrence rate. At present, the studies of association between clinical outcomes and CT features of patients with HCCs undergoing partial hepatectomy are still limited. The purpose of this study is to determine the predictive CT features and establish a model for predicting relapse or metastasis in patients with primary hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) undergoing partial hepatectomy.Methods: The clinical data and CT features of 112 patients with histopathologically confirmed primary HCCs were retrospectively reviewed. The clinical outcomes were categorized into two groups according to whether relapse or metastasis occurred within 2 years after partial hepatectomy. The association between clinical outcomes and CT features including tumour size, margin, shape, vascular invasion (VI), arterial phase hyperenhancement, washout appearance, capsule appearance, satellite lesion, involvement segment, cirrhosis, peritumoral enhancement and necrosis was analyzed using univariate analysis and binary logistic regression. Then establish logistic regression model, followed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.Results: CT features including tumor size, margin, shape, VI, washout appearance, satellite lesion, involvement segment, peritumoral enhancement and necrosis were associated with clinical outcomes, as determined by univariate analysis (P<0.05). Only tumor margin and VI remained independent risk factors in binary logistic regression analysis (OR=6.41 and 10.92 respectively). The logistic regression model was logit(p)=-1.55+1.86 margin +2.39 VI. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under curve of the obtained logistic regression model was 0.887(95% CI：0.827-0.947).Conclusion: Patients with ill-defined margin or VI of HCCs were independent risk predictors of poor clinical outcome after partial hepatectomy. The model as logit(p)= -1.55+1.86 margin +2.39 VI was a good predictor of the clinical outcomes.

P–411 Does subcutaneous progesterone (SC-P) administration eliminate the necessity of serum progesterone level monitoring in frozen embryo transfer (FET) cycles?

2021 ◽  
Vol 36 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
F K Boynukalin ◽  
R Abalı ◽  
M Gultomruk ◽  
B Demir ◽  
Z Yarkiner ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Embryo Transfer ◽  
Endometrial Thickness ◽  
Hormone Replacement ◽  
Pregnancy Rates ◽  
Ongoing Pregnancy ◽  
Ongoing Pregnancy Rate ◽  
Serum Progesterone ◽  
Female Age

Abstract Study question Does SC-P provide similar ongoing pregnancy rates (OPRs) as intramuscular progesterone(IM-P) in hormone replacement therapy (HRT)-FET cycles and do serum progesterone (P) levels on FET day effect on pregnancy outcome? Summary answer: SC-P administration had similar OPR compared to IM-P in HRT-FET cycles. In SC-P group embryo transfer(ET) day P found to be insignificant factor for outcome. What is known already Different P routes can be used in HRT-FET cycles such as vaginal P, IM-P and recently SC-P. Only retrospective studies evaluated the comparison of SC-P with other routes in HRT-FET cycles. Here, we assessed prospectively whether SC-P is effective for HRT-FET cycles. Previous studies reported that serum P levels on ET day after vaginal P administration clinical outcomes were closely correlated. The correlation between serum P after IM-P administration and clinical outcomes were conflicting. In addition, there is lack of data on the serum P levels after SC-P administration. Serum P levels on ET day were evaluated in this study. Study design, size, duration This prospective cohort study was performed between July 1-October 31 2020, enrolled 224 patients scheduled for HRT-FET cycles with SC-P(25 mg twice daily) or IM-P(50 mg once daily). The route of P was decided according to the patient’s eligibility to hospital. First FET cycle was included after freeze-all cycles for each patients. Female age&gt;35, PGT-A cycles, cleavage ET, &gt;1 ET, patients with uterine pathology and hydrosalpinx, FET with surplus embryos, endometrial thickness&lt;7mm were excluded. Participants/materials, setting, methods Female age ≤ 35 years old with a triple-layer endometrium &gt;7 mm underwent transfer of single blastocysts after the first ET after freeze-all cycles. The indications for freeze-all were ovarian hyperstimuation syndrome and trigger day P level&gt;1.5 ng/ml. 224 patients were eligible for study; 133 in SC-P group and 91 in IM-P group.The primary endpoint was the ongoing pregnancy rate (OPR) beyond pregnancy week 12. Main results and the role of chance The demographic, cycle, embryologic characteristics were similar between groups. The median circulating P levels on the day of ET were 19.92(15.195–27.255)ng/&#x2028;ml and 21(16.48–28)ng/ml in the SC-P and IM-P groups,(p = 0.786). The clinical pregnancy rates [86/133(64.7%) vs 57/91(62.6%);p=0.757], miscarriage rates [21/86(24.4%) vs 10/57(17.5%) ;p=0.329], and OPR [65/133 (48.9%) vs 47/91(51.6%); p = 0.683] were comparable between the SC-P and IM-P. Binary logistic regression was performed for ongoing pregnancy as the dependent factor blastocyst morphology was found to be the only significant independent prognostic factor (p = 0.006), whereas the route of P was insignificant. In the SC-P and IM-P &#x2028;groups, the effect of ET day P levels were divided into quartiles(Q) to evaluate the effect on ongoing pregnancy. In SC-P group OPR were similar in four Q [Q1:33.3%(11/33),Q2:50%(17/34),Q3:60.6%(20/33),Q4:51.5%(17/33) (p = 0.1)].For IM-P group; Q1 had a significantly reduced OPR than Q2, Q3, Q4. [26.1%(6/23),65.2%(15/23),54.5%(12/22) and 60.9%(14/23), p = 0.031]. Logistic regression analysis for OP was performed separately in SC-P group and IM-P group. Although in SC-P group, ET day P levels was not found to be a significant factor, in IM-P ET day P level was found to be an independent factor for OP in IM-P group (Q1vs Q2+Q3+Q4; OR: 8,178 95% CI: [1.387–48.223] p:0.02). . Limitations, reasons for caution Although this study has the advantage of being prospective and in a homogenous study population, randomized controlled trials are warranted to evaluate the effectiveness of SC-P to other routes of P. Extrapolation to unselected populations of this study is needed. Wider implications of the findings: Assignment of threshold of serum P on the day of ET for HRT-FET cycles to optimize outcomes is critical for every route of P. Regarding these results, individual luteal phase for HRT-FET cycles can improve IVF outcome. Trial registration number None

scholarly journals Impact of vanA-Positive Enterococcus faecium Exhibiting Diverse Susceptibility Phenotypes to Glycopeptides on 30-Day Mortality of Patients with a Bloodstream Infection

2020 ◽  
Vol 64 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dokyun Kim ◽  
Eun-Jeong Yoon ◽  
Jun Sung Hong ◽  
Hyukmin Lee ◽  
Kyeong Seob Shin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Bloodstream Infection ◽  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Enterococcus Faecium ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Multicenter Observational Study ◽  
Multivariable Logistic Regression ◽  
Significant Difference

ABSTRACT This study was performed to evaluate the impacts of vanA positivity of Enterococcus faecium exhibiting diverse susceptibility phenotypes to glycopeptides on clinical outcomes in patients with a bloodstream infection (BSI) through a prospective, multicenter, observational study. A total of 509 patients with E. faecium BSI from eight sentinel hospitals in South Korea during a 2-year period were enrolled in this study. Risk factors of the hosts and causative E. faecium isolates were assessed to determine associations with the 30-day mortality of E. faecium BSI patients via multivariable logistic regression analyses. The vanA gene was detected in 35.2% (179/509) of E. faecium isolates; 131 E. faecium isolates exhibited typical VanA phenotypes (group vanA-VanA), while the remaining 48 E. faecium isolates exhibited atypical phenotypes (group vanA-atypical), which included VanD (n = 43) and vancomycin-variable phenotypes (n = 5). A multivariable logistic regression indicated that vanA positivity of causative pathogens was independently associated with the increased 30-day mortality rate in the patients with E. faecium BSI; however, there was no significant difference in survival rates between the patients of the vanA-VanA and vanA-atypical groups (log rank test, P = 0.904). A high 30-day mortality rate was observed in patients with vanA-positive E. faecium BSIs, and vanA positivity of causative E. faecium isolates was an independent risk factor for early mortality irrespective of the susceptibility phenotypes to glycopeptides; thus, intensified antimicrobial stewardship is needed to improve the clinical outcomes of patients with vanA-positive E. faecium BSI.

Predictive factors for long-term clinical outcomes of deep brain stimulation in the treatment of primary Meige syndrome

2020 ◽  
Vol 132 (5) ◽  
pp. 1367-1375 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Wang ◽  
Zhiqi Mao ◽  
Zhiqiang Cui ◽  
Xin Xu ◽  
Longsheng Pan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Deep Brain Stimulation ◽  
Clinical Outcome ◽  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Brain Stimulation ◽  
Meige Syndrome ◽  
Outcome Group ◽  
Deep Brain

OBJECTIVEPrimary Meige syndrome is characterized by blepharospasm and orofacial–cervical dystonia. Deep brain stimulation (DBS) is recognized as an effective therapy for patients with this condition, but previous studies have focused on clinical effects. This study explored the predictors of clinical outcome in patients with Meige syndrome who underwent DBS.METHODSTwenty patients who underwent DBS targeting the bilateral subthalamic nucleus (STN) or globus pallidus internus (GPi) at the Chinese People’s Liberation Army General Hospital from August 2013 to February 2018 were enrolled in the study. Their clinical outcomes were evaluated using the Burke–Fahn–Marsden Dystonia Rating Scale at baseline and at the follow-up visits; patients were accordingly divided into a good-outcome group and a poor-outcome group. Putative influential factors, such as age and course of disease, were examined separately, and the factors that reached statistical significance were subjected to logistic regression analysis to identify predictors of clinical outcomes.RESULTSFour factors showed significant differences between the good- and poor-outcome groups: 1) the DBS target (STN vs GPi); 2) whether symptoms first appeared at multiple sites or at a single site; 3) the sub-item scores of the mouth at baseline; and 4) the follow-up period (p < 0.05). Binary logistic regression analysis revealed that initial involvement of multiple sites and the mouth score were the only significant predictors of clinical outcome.CONCLUSIONSThe severity of the disease in the initial stage and presurgical period was the only independent predictive factor of the clinical outcomes of DBS for the treatment of patients with Meige syndrome.

scholarly journals Association of time-to-treatment with outcomes of Pneumocystis pneumonia with respiratory failure in HIV-negative patients

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryoung-Eun Ko ◽  
Soo Jin Na ◽  
Kyungmin Huh ◽  
Gee Young Suh ◽  
Kyeongman Jeon
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Respiratory Failure ◽  
Hospital Mortality ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Pneumocystis Pneumonia ◽  
Definitive Treatment ◽  
Hypoxemic Respiratory Failure ◽  
Hiv Negative

Abstract Background The prevalence of pneumocystis pneumonia (PCP) and associated hypoxic respiratory failure is increasing in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-negative patients. However, no prior studies have evaluated the effect of early anti-PCP treatment on clinical outcomes in HIV-negative patient with severe PCP. Therefore, this study investigated the association between the time to anti-PCP treatment and the clinical outcomes in HIV-negative patients with PCP who presented with hypoxemic respiratory failure. Methods A retrospective observational study was performed involving 51 HIV-negative patients with PCP who presented in respiratory failure and were admitted to the intensive care unit between October 2005 and July 2018. A logistic regression model was used to adjust for potential confounding factors in the association between the time to anti-PCP treatment and in-hospital mortality. Results All patients were treated with appropriate anti-PCP treatment, primarily involving trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole. The median time to anti-PCP treatment was 58.0 (28.0–97.8) hours. Thirty-one (60.8%) patients were treated empirically prior to confirmation of the microbiological diagnosis. However, the hospital mortality rates were not associated with increasing quartiles of time until anti-PCP treatment (P = 0.818, test for trend). In addition, hospital mortality of patients received early empiric treatment was not better than those of patients received definitive treatment after microbiologic diagnosis (48.4% vs. 40.0%, P = 0.765). In a multiple logistic regression model, the time to anti-PCP treatment was not associated with increased mortality. However, age (adjusted OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.01–1.14) and failure to initial treatment (adjusted OR 13.03, 95% CI 2.34–72.65) were independently associated with increased mortality. Conclusions There was no association between the time to anti-PCP treatment and treatment outcomes in HIV-negative patients with PCP who presented in hypoxemic respiratory failure.

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