Complex Economic Metrics Linking to Scaling Money Supply

2017 ◽  
pp. 117-125
Author(s):  
Fred Y. Ye
Keyword(s):  
Money Supply

Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Nilai Tukar Dollar Amerika Serikat Terhadap Rupiah Tahun 2000–2013

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 177-191
Author(s):  
Rizki Rahma Kusumadewi ◽  
Wahyu Widayat
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
The United States ◽  
Economic Conditions ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Arch Model ◽  
United States Dollar ◽  
The Exchange Rate

Exchange rate is one tool to measure a country’s economic conditions. The growth of a stable currency value indicates that the country has a relatively good economic conditions or stable. This study has the purpose to analyze the factors that affect the exchange rate of the Indonesian Rupiah against the United States Dollar in the period of 2000-2013. The data used in this study is a secondary data which are time series data, made up of exports, imports, inflation, the BI rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and the money supply (M1) in the quarter base, from first quarter on 2000 to fourth quarter on 2013. Regression model time series data used the ARCH-GARCH with ARCH model selection indicates that the variables that significantly influence the exchange rate are exports, inflation, the central bank rate and the money supply (M1). Whereas import and GDP did not give any influence.

National Currency Appreciation and Growth of the Russian Economy

2004 ◽  
pp. 95-111
Author(s):  
T. Zolotoukhina
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
National Currency ◽  
Economic Factors ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators

The problem of interaction between Russian currency appreciation and positive dynamics of macroeconomic indicators is studied. Main economic factors of ruble appreciation are analyzed. Consequences of the Russian Central Bank's policy directed to oppose ruble appreciation and problems in financial area due to the increase of money supply through the exchange market are considered. Influence of exchange rate appreciation on economic growth, inflation, export, import, capital flows are discussed. It is concluded that Russian ruble appreciation stimulates an increase in efficiency of the Russian economy.

Investment Processes in the Russian Economy

2004 ◽  
pp. 4-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Lisin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
Economic Factors ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators

The problem of interaction between Russian currency appreciation and positive dynamics of macroeconomic indicators is studied. Main economic factors of ruble appreciation are analyzed. Consequences of the Russian Central Bank's policy directed to oppose ruble appreciation and problems in financial area due to the increase of money supply through the exchange market are considered. Influence of exchange rate appreciation on economic growth, inflation, export, import, capital flows are discussed. It is concluded that Russian ruble appreciation stimulates an increase in efficiency of the Russian economy.

The end of Alchemy of Finance and Sovereign Money (on the books by M. King “The end of Alchemy: Money, Banking and the Future of the Global Economy” and by J. Huber “Sovereign Money. Beyond Reserve Banking”)

2017 ◽  
pp. 131-141 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Yefimov
Keyword(s):  
Economic Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Institutional Theory ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Private Banks ◽  
Money Creation ◽  
Ministry Of Finance ◽  
Reserve Banking

The review discusses the institutional theory of money considered in the books by King and Huber, and the conclusions that follow from it for economic policy. In accordance with this theory, at present the most of the money supply is created not by the Central Bank but by private banks. When a bank issues a loan, new money is created, and when the loan is repaid this money is destructed. The concept of sovereign money involves the monopoly of money creation of the central bank. In this case the most of newly created money is handed over to the ministry of finance to implement government spending.

The Problem of Identifying and Modeling the Relationship between Monetary Factor and Inflation in the Russian Economy

2008 ◽  
pp. 61-76
Author(s):  
A. Porshakov ◽  
A. Ponomarenko
Keyword(s):  
Money Supply ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Complex Approach ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Long Time ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Supply Side Factors

The role of monetary factor in generating inflationary processes in Russia has stimulated various debates in social and scientific circles for a relatively long time. The authors show that identification of the specificity of relationship between money and inflation requires a complex approach based on statistical modeling and involving a wide range of indicators relevant for the price changes in the economy. As a result a model of inflation for Russia implying the decomposition of inflation dynamics into demand-side and supply-side factors is suggested. The main conclusion drawn is that during the recent years the volume of inflationary pressures in the Russian economy has been determined by the deviation of money supply from money demand, rather than by money supply alone. At the same time, monetary factor has a long-run spread over time impact on inflation.

On Practical Validity of Quantity Theory of Money, or How Much the Dogmatism of Monetary Authorities Costs

2008 ◽  
pp. 31-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Glazyev
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Market Equilibrium ◽  
Static State ◽  
Quantity Theory ◽  
Monetary Authorities ◽  
State Of The Economy ◽  
Market Organization

The article critically considers basic postulates of quantity theory of money. It shows that they reflect the static state of the economy in abstract models of market equilibrium but do not prove true in actual economic processes. In contrast to monetarists’ view, prices can rise as well as fall even if other variables of the monetarist equation are stable. Thus it cannot be used for grounding monetary policy. The author comes to the conclusion on the dogmatism of Russian monetary authorities that seriously hinders the country’s economic development. He proposes to switch to market organization of money supply basing on regulation of the refinancing rate.

Demand-pull Inflation and Cost-push Inflation: Factors of Origination and Forms of Expansion

2011 ◽  
pp. 40-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Dmitrieva ◽  
D. Ushakov
Keyword(s):  
Money Supply ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Raw Materials ◽  
Demand Pull

The paper treats the problems of correlation among inflation, increase in government spending and increase in money supply (M2). It is shown that there is no correlation for 13 out of 14 investigated countries including Russia. The paper proves that the type of inflation in Russia is cost-push inflation. Its main sources are monopolistic surplus for raw materials and energy being included in prices as well as prices for the products of natural federal and regional monopolies.

Oil, Rates and Inflation

2005 ◽  
pp. 4-20
Author(s):  
E. Yasin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Raw Materials ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Business Activity ◽  
Demand For Money ◽  
Percentage Points

Currency inflow in Russia from raw materials exports allows taking into account high business activity to assimilate growing money supply transforming it into economic growth. Fall in business activity as a result of pressure on business led to saturation of demand for money. This considerably increases the danger of inflation growth and requires sterilization of excess money supply including the usage of the Stabilization Fund. According to the author's estimates, corresponding losses in GDP growth will equal 1-2 percentage points per year.

The Role of Different Channels in Transmitting Monetary Policy into Output and Price in Vietnam

2015 ◽  
pp. 20-40
Author(s):  
Vinh Nguyen Thi Thuy
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Monetary Transmission ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rate Channel

The paper investigates the mechanism of monetary transmission in Vietnam through different channels - namely the interest rate channel, the exchange rate channel, the asset channel and the credit channel for the period January 1995 - October 2009. This study applies VAR analysis to evaluate the monetary transmission mechanisms to output and price level. To compare the relative importance of different channels for transmitting monetary policy, the paper estimates the impulse response functions and variance decompositions of variables. The empirical results show that the changes in money supply have a significant impact on output rather than price in the short run. The impacts of money supply on price and output are stronger through the exchange rate and credit channels, but however, are weaker through the interest rate channel. The impacts of monetary policy on output and inflation may be erroneous through the equity price channel because of the lack of an established and well-functioning stock market.

Analysis of Impact on Chinese Money Supply Caused by Funds Outstanding for Foreign Exchange

2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (08) ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Tan ◽  
Hua Deng
Keyword(s):  
Money Supply ◽  
Empirical Research ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
The Impact

This paper did an empirical research on the impact of foreign exchange on the money supply, using Johansen co-integration testand getting a conclusion that the actions are in the same direction.

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