scholarly journals Debt and Private Investment: Does the EU Suffer from a Debt Overhang?

Author(s):  
Willem Vanlaer ◽  
Mattia Picarelli ◽  
Wim Marneffe
2011 ◽  
Vol 50 (4II) ◽  
pp. 599-615 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naeem Akram

Over the years Pakistan has failed to collect enough revenues for financing of its budget. Consequently, the problem of twin deficits emerged and to finance the developmental activities government has to rely on public external and domestic debt. The positive effects of public debt relate to the fact that in resource-starved economies debt financing if done properly leads to higher growth and adds to their capacity to service and repay public debt. The negative effects work through two main channels—i.e., ―Debt Overhang‖ and ―Crowding Out‖ effects. The present study examines the consequences of public debt for economic growth and investment in Pakistan for the period 1972-2009. It develops a hybrid model that explicitly incorporates the role of public debt in growth equations. As the some variables are I (1) and other are I (0) so Autoregressive Distributed Lag(ARDL) technique has been applied to estimate the model. Study finds that public external debt has negative relationship with per capita GDP and investment confirming the existence of ―Debt Overhang effect‖. However, due to insignificant relationships of debt servicing with investment and per capita GDP, the existence of the crowding out hypothesis could not be confirmed. Similarly, domestic debt has a negative relationship with investment and per capita GDP. In other words, it seems to have crowded out private investment. JEL classification: H63, O43, E22, C22 Keywords: Public Debt, Economic Growth, Investment, ARDL


Author(s):  
Staņislavs Keišs ◽  
Alla Seregina

The article investigates the structure and dynamics of public debt of Latvia for the period from 2006–2016 year. The relevance of the study long-term effects of public debt on the economy of Latvia is predetermined by a significant increase in its volume of low GDP growth rates in recent years. This article discusses conceptual approaches and criteria for evaluation of the public debt. An analysis of the main reasons for the growth of public debt of Latvia after joining the EU, considers its specific characteristics and consequences as compared with the more developed EU countries on the basis of these annual reports of Latvia Treasury over the past ten years. Analysis of the structure of the debt of Latvia on maturity shows that an effective public debt management necessarily involves consideration of the long-term effects of the growth of public debt to the public. High level of the external indebtedness in the structure of Latvian public debt is a factor of the growth of “debt overhang” even following Maastricht criterions of public debt. As a result of the research is justification of differentiated approach necessity to the evaluation of public debt with considering of intertemporal effects.


Author(s):  
Abdul Waheed

This paper analyzes the determinants of domestic private investment in Pakistan using long time series data for the period 1982 to 2012. The conventional variable such as output is not significant in explaining the domestic private investment but the interest rate has significant negative effect on private investment in the long run. The results of the study confirm the validity of crowding in hypothesis and debt overhang hypothesis for Pakistan. This study did not find any support for Mackinnon-Shaw hypothesis. The improvement in law and order condition and existence of democratic political regime in the country has significant positive effect on domestic private investment in the long run. The focus on non-conventional variables could restore investors’ confidence and may result in the recovery of domestic private investment in the country.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheunesu Zhou

PurposeThe aim of this paper is to analyse the relationship between public debt, corporate debt service costs and private capital formation in South Africa.Design/methodology/approachTo capture the long-run characteristic of investment, the study adopts the Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares approach and tests for cointegration using Hansen (1992)'s Parameter Instability test.FindingsWe find that private capital formation increases in domestic debt and decreases in external debt during the pre-crisis period. However, during the period post the Global Financial Crisis, we find evidence of domestic public debt crowding out private capital formation, whereas external debt crowds-in capital formation. Debt service costs are found to reduce investment due to the effect of the debt overhang throughout the period under analysis.Research limitations/implicationsThe paper has important implications for macroeconomic policy. In particular, there is need for deleveraging and allocation of a higher proportion of debt to public infrastructure expenditure which has complementary effects on private investment.Practical implicationsDebt overhang signal that South African firms could be over-leveraged, which hinders future growth prospects. Firms that face high levels of debt should consider debt restructuring.Originality/valueEmpirical studies undertaken to explore this relationship have yielded contradicting results suggesting that the relationship between public debt and private investment is heterogeneous depending on a given economy or prevailing macroeconomic environment. In particular, existing research does not provide evidence on whether recent increases in public debt in South Africa have led to crowding-in or crowding-out of private investment. This paper therefore contributes to empirical literature on the impact of public debt on private investment within a small open economy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-24
Author(s):  
Eliza Barbachowska ◽  
Roland Z. Kozlowski

The Polish Life Science sector has been growing for the last decade and has received billions of euros in EU funding, but has still failed to attract significant private investment. Despite the EU financing, there are still no real market or investment success stories, although companies are emerging with the potential to be globally competitive. This article examines the financing and behaviour of the Polish Life Science sector in the context of the Polish innovative economy and provides a cultural perspective to the challenges facing the sector.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan Antonio Lloret Egea

The situation of Spain together with that of other surrounding countries has been analysed through different studies. A recent OECD report31 indicates that private equity investment in start-ups focused on AI in Spain between 2011 and mid 2018 is 3% of the total amount invested in start-ups based in the EU, well behind France (13%), Germany (14%) or the United Kingdom (55%). According to the study carried out by the consulting firm Roland Berger “Joining the dots- A map of Europe ́s AI Ecosystem”32, the four most important AI countries in Europe are the United Kingdom, France, Germany and Spain, which contribute 60% of start-ups, laboratories and communities33 of the 30 countries analysed (EU, plus Switzerland and Norway).Although the first three countries alternate in terms of the different measures used (for example, the United Kingdom clearly stands out in the number of start-ups and France in the number of laboratories), Spain ranks fourth, closely followed by countries classified in the group of emerging countries as the so-called “followers”. These data show that there is ample room for improvement with a better system of cooperation between agents and that the technological investment made so far in Spain is insufficient and that, in short, without solving these two aspects there will not be a favourable environment for AI technologies in our country. However, the situation in the EU is also not very encouraging when we observe that these EU investments account for 8% of global investment in 2017 (China and the US account for almost 85% of investment).Despite this, the European Commission's The European AI Landscape34 report gives evidence of Europe's leading role in being “at the forefront of AI and robotics, as evidenced by the excellent scientific position of European researchers, including several world experts in AI from Europe.”This European situation, characterized by insufficient public and private investment in a context of a global race to develop and incorporate AI technologies in the different areas of socio-economic impact, requires Spain to play a leading role, as is expected of our capabilities, with AI research groups of excellent international level, and where most universities already offer relevant engineering programs. University training in AI has some of the oldest and most consolidated postgraduate, masters and doctoral programs in Europe with more than 3 decades of history. According to RD 1393/200735 and RD 99/201136, which regulate official university and doctoral education, there are 11 current Master Courses and 2 doctoral programmes, although there are other official programs that include the study of AI in their curricula.


Author(s):  
Halit Yanıkkaya ◽  
Taner Turan

In theory, the main channel which through external debt would affect the growth rate is investment. On the one hand, external debt would boost the investment by providing more resources than domestically available. On the other hand, external debt would create a disincentive effect, as suggested by debt overhang arguments. Since it is not clear which effect will dominate in practice, empirical studies would be helpful to shed light on the issue. Moreover, one can argue that the effect of external debt on the private and public investment does not need to be the same. Therefore, aside from total investment we investigate the impact of external debt on disaggregated investment. We use dynamic panel analysis and data for a large sample of countries to investigate the subject at hand. Our results indicate that there exists a negative relationship between external debt and total investment. Furthermore, we find that both total and public external debt lowers the private investment, consistent with debt overhang arguments. On the other hand, there is no relationship between the external debt and government investment.


2021 ◽  
Vol 247 ◽  
pp. 01008
Author(s):  
Alfira Khaertdinova ◽  
Dilbar Sultanova ◽  
Albert Karimov

The article presents an economic analysis of the state of municipal waste generation, utilization and recycling in the countries of the European Union and the Russian Federation. As a basis for the analysis, we used data on the 20 most representative countries that make a significant contribution to the formation of the main macroeconomic indicators of the EU. The results of the implementation of the EU environmental policy, the degree of reflection on the volume of trade in secondary raw materials, private investment in this sector, employment in the processing and recycling sectors, etc. are considered. In addition, a correlation analysis was carried out, which allowed us to determine the degree of dependence of waste disposal and recycling on various indicators, to identify the most significant of them and the main factor affecting the effectiveness of the country’s environmental policy.


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