Analysis of Mining Lost Time Incident Duration Influencing Factors Through Machine Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 1031-1039
Author(s):  
Muhammet Mustafa Kahraman
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Tuan Vu Dinh ◽  
Hieu Nguyen ◽  
Xuan-Linh Tran ◽  
Nhat-Duc Hoang

Soil erosion induced by rainfall is a critical problem in many regions in the world, particularly in tropical areas where the annual rainfall amount often exceeds 2000 mm. Predicting soil erosion is a challenging task, subjecting to variation of soil characteristics, slope, vegetation cover, land management, and weather condition. Conventional models based on the mechanism of soil erosion processes generally provide good results but are time-consuming due to calibration and validation. The goal of this study is to develop a machine learning model based on support vector machine (SVM) for soil erosion prediction. The SVM serves as the main prediction machinery establishing a nonlinear function that maps considered influencing factors to accurate predictions. In addition, in order to improve the accuracy of the model, the history-based adaptive differential evolution with linear population size reduction and population-wide inertia term (L-SHADE-PWI) is employed to find an optimal set of parameters for SVM. Thus, the proposed method, named L-SHADE-PWI-SVM, is an integration of machine learning and metaheuristic optimization. For the purpose of training and testing the method, a dataset consisting of 236 samples of soil erosion in Northwest Vietnam is collected with 10 influencing factors. The training set includes 90% of the original dataset; the rest of the dataset is reserved for assessing the generalization capability of the model. The experimental results indicate that the newly developed L-SHADE-PWI-SVM method is a competitive soil erosion predictor with superior performance statistics. Most importantly, L-SHADE-PWI-SVM can achieve a high classification accuracy rate of 92%, which is much better than that of backpropagation artificial neural network (87%) and radial basis function artificial neural network (78%).


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sunil Saha ◽  
Amiya Gayen ◽  
Kaustuv Mukherjee ◽  
Hamid Reza Pourghasemi ◽  
M. Santosh

Abstract Machine learning techniques offer powerful tools for the assessment and management of groundwater resources. Here, we evaluated the groundwater potential maps (GWPMs) in Md. Bazar Block of Birbhum District, India using four GIS-based machine-learning algorithms (MLA) such as predictive neural network (PNN), decision tree (DT), Naïve Bayes classifier (NBC), and random forest (RF). We used a database of 85 dug wells and one piezometer location identified using extensive field study, and employed 12 influencing factors (elevation, slope, drainage density (DD), topographical wetness index, geomorphology, lineament density, rainfall, geology, pond density, land use/land cover (LULC), geology, and soil texture) for evaluation through GIS. The 85 dug wells and 1 piezometer locations were sub-divided into two classes: 70:30 for training and model validation. The DT, RF, PNN, and NBC MLAs were implemented to analyse the relationship between the dug well locations and groundwater influencing factors to generate GWPMs. The results predict excellent groundwater potential areas (GPA) DT RF of 17.38%, 14.69%, 20.43%, and 13.97% of the study area, respectively. The prediction accuracy of each GWPM was determined using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Using the 30% data sets (validation data), accuracies of 80.1%, 78.30%, 75.20%, and 69.2% were obtained for the PNN, RF, DT, and NBC models, respectively. The ROC values show that the four implemented models provide satisfactory and suitable results for GWP mapping in this region. In addition, the well-known mean decrease Gini (MDG) from the RF MLA was implemented to determine the relative importance of the variables for groundwater potentiality assessment. The MDG revealed that drainage density, lineament density, geomorphology, pond density, elevation, and stream junction frequency were the most useful determinants of GWPM. Our approach to delineate the GWPM can aid in the effective planning and management of groundwater resources in this region.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vallet Laurent ◽  
Gutarov Pavel ◽  
Chevallier Bertrand ◽  
Converset Julien ◽  
Paterson Graeme ◽  
...  

Abstract In the current economic environment, delivering wells on time and on budget is paramount. Well construction is a significant cost of any field development and it is more important than ever to minimize these costs and to avoid unnecessary lost time and non-productive time. Invisible lost time and non-productive time can represent as much as 40% of the cost of well construction and can lead to more severe issues such as delaying first oil, losing the well or environmental impact. There has been much work developing systems to optimize well construction, but the industry still fails to routinely detect and avoid problematic events such as stuck pipe, kicks, losses and washouts. Standardizing drilling practice can help also to improve the efficiency, this practice has shown a 30% cost reduction through repetitive and systematic practices, automation becomes the key process to realize it and Machine Learning introduced by new technologies is the key to achieve it. Drilling data analysis is key to understanding reasons for bad performances and detecting at an early stage potential downhole events. It can be done efficiently to provide to the user tools to look at the well construction process in its whole instead of looking at the last few hours as it is done at the rig site. In order to analyze the drilling data, it is necessary to have access to reliable data in Real-Time to compare with a data model considering the context (BHA, fluids, well geometry). Well planning, including multi-well offset analysis of risks, drilling processes and geology enables a user to look at the full well construction process and define levels of automation. This paper applies machine learning to a post multi-well analysis of a deepwater field development known for its drilling challenges. Minimizing the human input through automation allowed us to compare offset wells and to define the root cause for non-productive time. In our case study an increase of the pressure while drilling should have led to immediate mitigation measures to avoid a wiper trip. This paper presents techniques used to systematize surface data analysis and a workflow to identify at an early stage a near pack off which was spotted in an automatic way. The application of this process during operations could have achieved a 10%-time reduction of the section 12 ¼’’.


Author(s):  
Khaled Hamad ◽  
Mohamad Ali Khalil ◽  
Abdul Razak Alozi

2021 ◽  
Vol 245 ◽  
pp. 02026
Author(s):  
Du Lihong ◽  
Liu Yufang ◽  
Cao Fei ◽  
Li Fang ◽  
Min Guizhi ◽  
...  

At present, the existing indicator diagram can only be used for expost judgment and can not give early warning, and the influencing factors of pump inspection period are nonlinear, multi constrained and multi variable. In this paper, big data machine learning method is used to carry out relevant research. Firstly, around the influencing factors of pump inspection cycle, relevant data are collected and the evaluation index of pump inspection cycle is designed. Then, based on feature engineering technology, the production parameters of oil wells in different pump inspection periods are calculated to form the analysis sample set of pump inspection period. Finally, the early warning model of pump inspection period is established by using machine learning technology. The experimental results show that: the pump inspection cycle early warning model established by stochastic forest algorithm can identify the pump inspection status of single well, and the accuracy rate is about 85%.


Author(s):  
R. Madhuri ◽  
S. Sistla ◽  
K. Srinivasa Raju

Abstract Assessing floods and their likely impact in climate change scenarios will enable the facilitation of sustainable management strategies. In this study, five machine learning (ML) algorithms, namely (i) Logistic Regression, (ii) Support Vector Machine, (iii) K-nearest neighbor, (iv) Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost) and (v) Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), were tested for Greater Hyderabad Municipal Corporation (GHMC), India, to evaluate their clustering abilities to classify locations (flooded or non-flooded) for climate change scenarios. A geo-spatial database, with eight flood influencing factors, namely, rainfall, elevation, slope, distance from nearest stream, evapotranspiration, land surface temperature, normalised difference vegetation index and curve number, was developed for 2000, 2006 and 2016. XGBoost performed the best, with the highest mean area under curve score of 0.83. Hence, XGBoost was adopted to simulate the future flood locations corresponding to probable highest rainfall events under four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), namely, 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5 along with other flood influencing factors for 2040, 2056, 2050 and 2064, respectively. The resulting ranges of flood risk probabilities are predicted as 39–77%, 16–39%, 42–63% and 39–77% for the respective years.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Serge Dolgikh

AbstractBased on a subset of Covid-19 Wave 1 cases at a time point near TZ+3m (April, 2020), we perform an analysis of the influencing factors for the epidemics impacts with several different statistical methods. The consistent conclusion of the analysis with the available data is that apart from the policy and management quality, being the dominant factor, the most influential factors among the considered were current or recent universal BCG immunization and the prevalence of smoking.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (24) ◽  
pp. 4044
Author(s):  
Liyuan Shi ◽  
Huili Gong ◽  
Beibei Chen ◽  
Chaofan Zhou

In the Beijing Plain, land subsidence is one of the most prominent geological problems, which is affected by multiple factors. Groundwater exploitation, thickness of the Quaternary deposit and urban development and construction are important factors affecting the formation and development of land subsidence. Here we choose groundwater level change, thickness of the Quaternary deposit and index-based built-up index (IBI) as influencing factors, and we use the influence factors to predict the subsidence amount in the Beijing Plain. The Sentinel-1 radar images and the persistent scatters interferometry (PSI) were adopted to obtain the information of land subsidence. By using Google Earth Engine platform and Landsat8 optical images, IBI was extracted. Groundwater level change and thickness of the Quaternary deposit were obtained from hydrogeological data. Machine learning algorithms Linear Regression and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) were used to investigate the relationship between land subsidence and influencing factors. Based on the results obtained by Linear Regression and PCA, a suitable machine learning algorithm was selected to predict the subsidence amount in the Beijing Plain in 2018 through influencing factors. In this study, we found that the maximum subsidence rate in the Beijing Plain had reached 115.96 mm/y from 2016 to 2018. The land subsidence was serious in eastern Chaoyang and northwestern Tongzhou. In addition, the area where thickness of the Quaternary deposit reached 150–200 m was prone to more serious land subsidence in the Beijing Plain. In groundwater exploitation, the second confined aquifer had the greatest impact on land subsidence. Through Linear Regression and PCA, we found that the relationship between land subsidence and influencing factors was nonlinear. XGBoost was feasible to predict subsidence amount. The prediction accuracy of XGBoost on the subsidence amount reached 0.9431, and the mean square error was controlled at 15.97. By using XGBoost to predict the subsidence amount, our research provides a new idea for land subsidence prediction.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document