Effects of long-term exposure to air pollution on all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality in seven major cities of South Korea: Korean national health and nutritional examination surveys with mortality follow-up

2021 ◽  
Vol 192 ◽  
pp. 110290
Author(s):  
Honghyok Kim ◽  
Garam Byun ◽  
Yongsoo Choi ◽  
Sera Kim ◽  
Soo-Yeon Kim ◽  
...  
BMJ Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. e046040
Author(s):  
Johan Nilsson Sommar ◽  
Eva M Andersson ◽  
Niklas Andersson ◽  
Gerd Sallsten ◽  
Leonard Stockfelt ◽  
...  

ObjectivesTo estimate concentration–response relationships for particulate matter (PM) and black carbon (BC) in relation to mortality in cohorts from three Swedish cities with comparatively low pollutant levels.SettingCohorts from Gothenburg, Stockholm and Umeå, Sweden.DesignHigh-resolution dispersion models were used to estimate annual mean concentrations of PM with aerodynamic diameter ≤10 µm (PM10) and ≤2.5 µm (PM2.5), and BC, at individual addresses during each year of follow-up, 1990–2011. Moving averages were calculated for the time windows 1–5 years (lag1–5) and 6–10 years (lag6–10) preceding the outcome. Cause-specific mortality data were obtained from the national cause of death registry. Cohort-specific HRs were estimated using Cox regression models and then meta-analysed including a random effect of cohort.ParticipantsDuring the study period, 7 340 cases of natural mortality, 2 755 cases of cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality and 817 cases of respiratory and lung cancer mortality were observed among in total 68 679 individuals and 689 813 person-years of follow-up.ResultsBoth PM10 (range: 6.3–41.9 µg/m3) and BC (range: 0.2–6.8 µg/m3) were associated with natural mortality showing 17% (95% CI 6% to 31%) and 9% (95% CI 0% to 18%) increased risks per 10 µg/m3 and 1 µg/m3 of lag1-5 exposure, respectively. For PM2.5 (range: 4.0–22.4 µg/m3), the estimated increase was 13% per 5 µg/m3, but less precise (95% CI −9% to 40%). Estimates for CVD mortality appeared higher for both PM10 and PM2.5. No association was observed with respiratory mortality.ConclusionThe results support an effect of long-term air pollution on natural mortality and mortality in CVD with high relative risks also at low exposure levels. These findings are relevant for future decisions concerning air quality policies.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristin M Kvakkestad ◽  
Morten W Fagerland ◽  
Jan Eritsland ◽  
Sigrun Halvorsen

Background: The existence of gender differences in cause-specific mortality after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is unknown. Aim: To study gender differences in all-cause and cause-specific mortality in women and men with AMI. Methods: Consecutive AMI patients were enrolled in a prospective cohort study during 2005-2011. Cardiovascular (CV) risk factors, treatment and in-hospital complications were registered. Date and cause of death were obtained from the Norwegian cause of death registry, with censoring date set to Dec 31, 2012. Patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-STEMI (NSTEMI) were analysed separately. We used Kaplan Meier- and cumulative incidence function-plots to assess gender differences in CV, cancer and all-cause mortality. Cox- and Fine-Gray regression models, adjusted for age, estimated the effect of female gender. Results: We included 5159 NSTEMI (34% women) and 4899 STEMI (25% women) patients. Women were older and had more complications compared to men. After a median follow-up time of 1043 and 1262 days for NSTEMI and STEMI, respectively, 1461 NSTEMI (28%) and 886 STEMI (18%) patients had died. After adjustment for age, NSTEMI women had lower (HR 0.89 [95% CI: 0.80-0.99]) and STEMI women similar (HR 1.05 [95% CI: 0.91-1.22]) risk of all-cause mortality compared to men. There were no gender differences in CV mortality. We observed a non-significant trend toward lower cancer mortality in women than men with NSTEMI (adjusted subhazard ratio 0.76 [95% CI:0.56-1.03]). In both genders, CV death was more prevalent (Figure) and occurred earlier than cancer death. Conclusion: After adjustment for age, there were no excess risks of all-cause or CV mortality in women versus men with AMI during long-term follow-up. Possible gender differences in risk of cancer mortality needs further investigation.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
P Huang ◽  
C Liu

Abstract Background Lower systolic blood pressure (SBP) at admission or discharge was associated with poor outcomes in patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). However, the optimal long-term SBP for HFpEF was less clear. Purpose To examine the association of long-term SBP and all-cause mortality among patients with HFpEF. Methods We analyzed participants from the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) study. Participants had at least two SBP measurements of different times during the follow-up were included. Long-term SBP was defined as the average of all SBP measurements during the follow-up. We stratified participants into four groups according to long-term SBP: <120mmHg, ≥120mmHg and <130mmHg, ≥130mmHg and <140mmHg, ≥140mmHg. Multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for all-cause mortality associated with SBP level. To assess for nonlinearity, we fitted restricted cubic spline models of long-term SBP. Sensitivity analyses were conducted by confining participants with history of hypertension or those with left ventricular ejection fraction≥50%. Results The 3338 participants had a mean (SD) age of 68.5 (9.6) years; 51.4% were women, and 89.3% were White. The median long-term SBP was 127.3 mmHg (IQR 121–134.2, range 77–180.7). Patients in the SBP of <120mmHg group were older age, less often female, less often current smoker, had higher estimated glomerular filtration rate, less often had history of hypertension, and more often had chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and atrial fibrillation. After multivariable adjustment, long-term SBP of 120–130mmHg and 130–140mmHg was associated with a lower risk of mortality during a mean follow-up of 3.3 years (HR 0.65, 95% CI: 0.49–0.85, P=0.001; HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.50–0.88, P=0.004, respectively); long-term SBP of <120mmHg had similar risk of mortality (HR 1.03, 95% CI: 0.78–1.36, P=0.836), compared with long-term SBP of ≥140mmHg. Findings from restricted cubic spline analysis demonstrate that there was J-shaped association between long-term SBP and all-cause mortality (P=0.02). These association was essentially unchanged in sensitivity analysis. Conclusions Among patients with HFpEF, long-term SBP showed a J-shaped pattern with all-cause mortality and a range of 120–140 mmHg was significantly associated with better outcomes. Future randomized controlled trials need to evaluate optimal long-term SBP goal in patients with HFpEF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): China Postdoctoral Science Foundation Grant (2019M660229 and 2019TQ0380)


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Myriam Calle Rubio ◽  
◽  
Juan Luis Rodriguez Hermosa ◽  
Juan P. de Torres ◽  
José María Marín ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Control in COPD is a dynamic concept that can reflect changes in patients’ clinical status that may have prognostic implications, but there is no information about changes in control status and its long-term consequences. Methods We classified 798 patients with COPD from the CHAIN cohort as controlled/uncontrolled at baseline and over 5 years. We describe the changes in control status in patients over long-term follow-up and analyze the factors that were associated with longitudinal control patterns and related survival using the Cox hazard analysis. Results 134 patients (16.8%) were considered persistently controlled, 248 (31.1%) persistently uncontrolled and 416 (52.1%) changed control status during follow-up. The variables significantly associated with persistent control were not requiring triple therapy at baseline and having a better quality of life. Annual changes in outcomes (health status, psychological status, airflow limitation) did not differ in patients, regardless of clinical control status. All-cause mortality was lower in persistently controlled patients (5.5% versus 19.1%, p = 0.001). The hazard ratio for all-cause mortality was 2.274 (95% CI 1.394–3.708; p = 0.001). Regarding pharmacological treatment, triple inhaled therapy was the most common option in persistently uncontrolled patients (72.2%). Patients with persistent disease control more frequently used bronchodilators for monotherapy (53%) at recruitment, although by the end of the follow-up period, 20% had scaled up their treatment, with triple therapy being the most frequent therapeutic pattern. Conclusions The evaluation of COPD control status provides relevant prognostic information on survival. There is important variability in clinical control status and only a small proportion of the patients had persistently good control. Changes in the treatment pattern may be relevant in the longitudinal pattern of COPD clinical control. Further studies in other populations should validate our results. Trial registration: Clinical Trials.gov: identifier NCT01122758.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
Bushra Hoque ◽  
Zumin Shi

Abstract Selenium (Se) is a trace mineral that has antioxidant and anti-inflammatory properties. This study aimed to investigate the association between Se intake, diabetes, all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a representative sample of US adults. Data from 18,932 adults who attended the 2003-2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) were analysed. Information on mortality was obtained from the US mortality registry updated to 2015. Multivariable logistic regression and Cox regression were used. Cross-sectionally, Se intake was positively associated with diabetes. Comparing extreme quartiles of Se intake, the odds ratio (OR) for diabetes was 1.44 (95% CI: 1.09–1.89). During a mean of 6.6 years follow-up, there were 1627 death (312 CVD, 386 cancer). High intake of Se was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality. When comparing the highest with the lowest quartiles of Se intake, the hazard ratios (HRs) for all-cause, CVD mortality, cancer mortality and other mortality were: 0.77 (95% CI 0.59-1.01), 0.62 (95% CI, 0.35-1.13), 1.42 (95% CI, 0.78-2.58) and 0.60 (95% CI,0.40-0.80), respectively. The inverse association between Se intake and all-cause mortality was only found among white participants. In conclusion, Se intake was positively associated with diabetes but inversely associated with all-cause mortality. There was no interaction between Se intake and diabetes in relation to all-cause mortality.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
V Scheggi ◽  
I Olivotto ◽  
N Ceschia ◽  
I Merilli ◽  
V Andrei ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Despite optimal medical and surgical treatment, mortality in infective endocarditis (IE) remains high. Aim of this study was to identify predictors of long term mortality for any cause, adverse event rate, relapse rate and valvular dysfunction at follow-up, in a high-volume surgical center. Methods We retrospectively analyzed 358 consecutive patients (127 women) admitted to our department with definite diagnosis of IE not device-related. IE occurred on native valves in 224 patients (63%); the infection involved the aortic valve in 192 (54%), mitral valve in 139 (39%) and tricuspid valve in 26 (7%). Overall 285 (80%) patients underwent surgery and 73 (20%) were treated conservatively, 38 due to absence of surgical indication and 35 due to refusal or prohibitive surgical risk. Long-term follow-up was obtained by structured telephone interviews. Primary endpoints were all-cause mortality, freedom from recurrent endocarditis, postoperative incidence of major adverse events (hospitalization for any cause, pace-maker implantation, new onset of atrial fibrillation, sternal dehiscence), worsening of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and valvular dysfunction. Results Mean age was 65 years (SD 15.2). Mean vegetation length was 8.9 mm (SD 7.6). Endocarditis was left-sided in 332 (93%). Average follow-up was 6 months. At univariable analysis, mortality was associated with female gender (p=0.031), age (p<0.001), higher EuroSCORE 2 (p<0.001), chronic renal failure (p<0.001), diabetes (p=0.002), brain embolism on presentation (p=0.05), double valve infection (p=0.008), low ejection fraction (p<0.001), paravalvular extension (p=0.031), prosthetic infection (p=0.018), exclusion from surgery if indicated (p<0.001), high procalcitonin levels (p=0.035); factors associated with a significantly lower mortality were streptococcal infection (p=0.04; OR 0.34) and early surgery (p=0.009, OR 0.55). At multivariable analysis independent predictors of all-cause mortality were lower EF, EuroSCORE2, procalcitonin levels and diabetes. Non-fatal adverse events were associated with renal failure (p 0.035, OR 2.8). Relapse rate was associated with S aureus infection (p=0.005, OR 3.8), right-sided endocarditis (p<0.001, OR 6.7) and drug abuse (p<0.001, OR 9.4). Conclusions The present study shows that low EF, EuroSCORE2, procalcitonin levels and diabetes are independent predictors of death in patients with IE. Non-fatal adverse events are more frequent in patients with renal failure. Relapse rate is higher in drug abusers. These informations may help personalize follow-up strategies after acute admission for IE. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


Cardiology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dorte Marie Stavnem ◽  
Rakin Hadad ◽  
Bjørn Strøier Larsen ◽  
Olav Wendelboe Nielsen ◽  
Mark Aplin Frederiksen ◽  
...  

Background: In patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), the long-term prognosis of long electrocardiographic pauses in the ventricular action is not well-studied. Methods: Consecutive Holter recordings in patients with AF (n=200) between 2009-2011 were evaluated, focusing on pauses of at least 2.5 s. Outcomes of interest were all-cause mortality and pacemaker implantation. Results: Forty-three patients (21.5%) had pauses with a mean of 3.2 s and SD of 0.9 s. After a median follow-up of 99 months (ranging 89-111), 47% (20/43) of the patients with, and 45% (70/157) without pauses were deceased. Pauses of ≥ 2.5 s did not constitute a risk of increased mortality: HR = 0.75; (95% CI: 0.34 - 1.66); p = 0.48. Neither did pauses of ≥ 3.0 s: HR = 0.43; (95% CI: 0.06 - 3.20); p = 0.41. Sixteen percent of patients with pauses underwent pacemaker implantation during follow-up. Only pauses in patients referred to Holter due to syncope and/or dizzy spells were associated with an increased risk of pacemaker treatment: HR = 4.7 (95% CI: 1.4-15.9), p = 0.014, adjusted for age, sex and rate-limiting medication. Conclusion: In patients with AF, prolonged electrocardiographic pauses of ≥ 2.5 s or ≥ 3.0 s are not a marker for increased mortality in this real-life clinical study.


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