scholarly journals Quantified uncertainties in fission yields from machine learning

2020 ◽  
Vol 242 ◽  
pp. 05003
Author(s):  
A.E. Lovell ◽  
A.T. Mohan ◽  
P. Talou ◽  
M. Chertkov
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Nuclear Physics ◽  
Experimental Error ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Mixture Density ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Predicted Values ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Fission Yields

As machine learning methods gain traction in the nuclear physics community, especially those methods that aim to propagate uncertainties to unmeasured quantities, it is important to understand how the uncertainty in the training data coming either from theory or experiment propagates to the uncertainty in the predicted values. Gaussian Processes and Bayesian Neural Networks are being more and more widely used, in particular to extrapolate beyond measured data. However, studies are typically not performed on the impact of the experimental errors on these extrapolated values. In this work, we focus on understanding how uncertainties propagate from input to prediction when using machine learning methods. We use a Mixture Density Network (MDN) to incorporate experimental error into the training of the network and construct uncertainties for the associated predicted quantities. Systematically, we study the effect of the size of the experimental error, both on the reproduced training data and extrapolated predictions for fission yields of actinides.

scholarly journals Possibility of Autonomous Estimation of Shiba Goat’s Estrus and Non-Estrus Behavior by Machine Learning Methods

Animals ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 771
Author(s):  
Toshiya Arakawa
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Markov Models ◽  
Tracking System ◽  
Video Tracking ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods

Mammalian behavior is typically monitored by observation. However, direct observation requires a substantial amount of effort and time, if the number of mammals to be observed is sufficiently large or if the observation is conducted for a prolonged period. In this study, machine learning methods as hidden Markov models (HMMs), random forests, support vector machines (SVMs), and neural networks, were applied to detect and estimate whether a goat is in estrus based on the goat’s behavior; thus, the adequacy of the method was verified. Goat’s tracking data was obtained using a video tracking system and used to estimate whether they, which are in “estrus” or “non-estrus”, were in either states: “approaching the male”, or “standing near the male”. Totally, the PC of random forest seems to be the highest. However, The percentage concordance (PC) value besides the goats whose data were used for training data sets is relatively low. It is suggested that random forest tend to over-fit to training data. Besides random forest, the PC of HMMs and SVMs is high. However, considering the calculation time and HMM’s advantage in that it is a time series model, HMM is better method. The PC of neural network is totally low, however, if the more goat’s data were acquired, neural network would be an adequate method for estimation.

scholarly journals Machine Learning Methods Applied for Modeling the Process of Obtaining Bricks Using Silicon-Based Materials

Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (23) ◽  
pp. 7232
Author(s):  
Costel Anton ◽  
Silvia Curteanu ◽  
Cătălin Lisa ◽  
Florin Leon
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Raw Materials ◽  
Optimization Procedure ◽  
Exhaust Emission ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Emission Changes ◽  
The Impact

Most of the time, industrial brick manufacture facilities are designed and commissioned for a particular type of manufacture mix and a particular type of burning process. Productivity and product quality maintenance and improvement is a challenge for process engineers. Our paper aims at using machine learning methods to evaluate the impact of adding new auxiliary materials on the amount of exhaust emissions. Experimental determinations made in similar conditions enabled us to build a database containing information about 121 brick batches. Various models (artificial neural networks and regression algorithms) were designed to make predictions about exhaust emission changes when auxiliary materials are introduced into the manufacture mix. The best models were feed-forward neural networks with two hidden layers, having MSE < 0.01 and r2 > 0.82 and, as regression model, kNN with error < 0.6. Also, an optimization procedure, including the best models, was developed in order to determine the optimal values for the parameters that assure the minimum quantities for the gas emission. The Pareto front obtained in the multi-objective optimization conducted with grid search method allows the user the chose the most convenient values for the dry product mass, clay, ash and organic raw materials which minimize gas emissions with energy potential.

scholarly journals Multi-label pathway prediction based on active dataset subsampling

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdur Rahman M. A. Basher ◽  
Steven J. Hallam
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Microbial Communities ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Class Imbalance ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Great Promise ◽  
Biological Organization ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Pathway Prediction

AbstractMachine learning methods show great promise in predicting metabolic pathways at different levels of biological organization. However, several complications remain that can degrade prediction performance including inadequately labeled training data, missing feature information, and inherent imbalances in the distribution of enzymes and pathways within a dataset. This class imbalance problem is commonly encountered by the machine learning community when the proportion of instances over class labels within a dataset are uneven, resulting in poor predictive performance for underrepresented classes. Here, we present leADS, multi-label learning based on active dataset subsampling, that leverages the idea of subsampling points from a pool of data to reduce the negative impact of training loss due to class imbalance. Specifically, leADS performs an iterative process to: (i)-construct an acquisition model in an ensemble framework; (ii) select informative points using an appropriate acquisition function; and (iii) train on selected samples. Multiple base learners are implemented in parallel where each is assigned a portion of labeled training data to learn pathways. We benchmark leADS using a corpora of 10 experimental datasets manifesting diverse multi-label properties used in previous pathway prediction studies, including manually curated organismal genomes, synthetic microbial communities and low complexity microbial communities. Resulting performance metrics equaled or exceeded previously reported machine learning methods for both organismal and multi-organismal genomes while establishing an extensible framework for navigating class imbalances across diverse real world datasets.Availability and implementationThe software package, and installation instructions are published on github.com/[email protected]

Machine Learning and Value-Based Software Engineering

2012 ◽  
pp. 287-301
Author(s):  
Du Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Software Engineering ◽  
Full Range ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Engineering Research ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Applications ◽  
Value Propositions ◽  
Software Engineering Research

Software engineering research and practice thus far are primarily conducted in a value-neutral setting where each artifact in software development such as requirement, use case, test case, and defect, is treated as equally important during a software system development process. There are a number of shortcomings of such value-neutral software engineering. Value-based software engineering is to integrate value considerations into the full range of existing and emerging software engineering principles and practices. Machine learning has been playing an increasingly important role in helping develop and maintain large and complex software systems. However, machine learning applications to software engineering have been largely confined to the value-neutral software engineering setting. In this paper, the general message to be conveyed is to apply machine learning methods and algorithms to value-based software engineering. The training data or the background knowledge or domain theory or heuristics or bias used by machine learning methods in generating target models or functions should be aligned with stakeholders’ value propositions. An initial research agenda is proposed for machine learning in value-based software engineering.

scholarly journals TADA: phylogenetic augmentation of microbiome samples enhances phenotype classification

2019 ◽  
Vol 35 (14) ◽  
pp. i31-i40 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erfan Sayyari ◽  
Ban Kawas ◽  
Siavash Mirarab
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Sample Size ◽  
Data Augmentation ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Supplementary Information ◽  
High Dimensional ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Phenotype Classification ◽  
Microbiome Data

Abstract Motivation Learning associations of traits with the microbial composition of a set of samples is a fundamental goal in microbiome studies. Recently, machine learning methods have been explored for this goal, with some promise. However, in comparison to other fields, microbiome data are high-dimensional and not abundant; leading to a high-dimensional low-sample-size under-determined system. Moreover, microbiome data are often unbalanced and biased. Given such training data, machine learning methods often fail to perform a classification task with sufficient accuracy. Lack of signal is especially problematic when classes are represented in an unbalanced way in the training data; with some classes under-represented. The presence of inter-correlations among subsets of observations further compounds these issues. As a result, machine learning methods have had only limited success in predicting many traits from microbiome. Data augmentation consists of building synthetic samples and adding them to the training data and is a technique that has proved helpful for many machine learning tasks. Results In this paper, we propose a new data augmentation technique for classifying phenotypes based on the microbiome. Our algorithm, called TADA, uses available data and a statistical generative model to create new samples augmenting existing ones, addressing issues of low-sample-size. In generating new samples, TADA takes into account phylogenetic relationships between microbial species. On two real datasets, we show that adding these synthetic samples to the training set improves the accuracy of downstream classification, especially when the training data have an unbalanced representation of classes. Availability and implementation TADA is available at https://github.com/tada-alg/TADA. Supplementary information Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.

scholarly journals Prediction of Collapsibility of Loess of Construction Sites in Xining Based on Machine Learning Methods

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qifei Zhao ◽  
Xiaojun Li ◽  
Yunning Cao ◽  
Zhikun Li ◽  
Jixin Fan
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Engineering Practice ◽  
Burial Depth ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
North East

Abstract Collapsibility of loess is a significant factor affecting engineering construction in loess area, and testing the collapsibility of loess is costly. In this study, A total of 4,256 loess samples are collected from the north, east, west and middle regions of Xining. 70% of the samples are used to generate training data set, and the rest are used to generate verification data set, so as to construct and validate the machine learning models. The most important six factors are selected from thirteen factors by using Grey Relational analysis and multicollinearity analysis: burial depth、water content、specific gravity of soil particles、void rate、geostatic stress and plasticity limit. In order to predict the collapsibility of loess, four machine learning methods: Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Subspace Based Support Vector Machine (RSSVM), Random Forest (RF) and Naïve Bayes Tree (NBTree), are studied and compared. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve indicators, standard error (SD) and 95% confidence interval (CI) are used to verify and compare the models in different research areas. The results show that: RF model is the most efficient in predicting the collapsibility of loess in Xining, and its AUC average is above 80%, which can be used in engineering practice.

scholarly journals The effects of co-morbidity in defining major depression subtypes associated with long-term course and severity

2014 ◽  
Vol 44 (15) ◽  
pp. 3289-3302 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. J. Wardenaar ◽  
H. M. van Loo ◽  
T. Cai ◽  
M. Fava ◽  
M. J. Gruber ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Cluster Analysis ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Penalized Regression ◽  
World Health ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Co Morbidity ◽  
Predicted Values

Background.Although variation in the long-term course of major depressive disorder (MDD) is not strongly predicted by existing symptom subtype distinctions, recent research suggests that prediction can be improved by using machine learning methods. However, it is not known whether these distinctions can be refined by added information about co-morbid conditions. The current report presents results on this question.Method.Data came from 8261 respondents with lifetime DSM-IV MDD in the World Health Organization (WHO) World Mental Health (WMH) Surveys. Outcomes included four retrospectively reported measures of persistence/severity of course (years in episode; years in chronic episodes; hospitalization for MDD; disability due to MDD). Machine learning methods (regression tree analysis; lasso, ridge and elastic net penalized regression) followed by k-means cluster analysis were used to augment previously detected subtypes with information about prior co-morbidity to predict these outcomes.Results.Predicted values were strongly correlated across outcomes. Cluster analysis of predicted values found three clusters with consistently high, intermediate or low values. The high-risk cluster (32.4% of cases) accounted for 56.6–72.9% of high persistence, high chronicity, hospitalization and disability. This high-risk cluster had both higher sensitivity and likelihood ratio positive (LR+; relative proportions of cases in the high-risk cluster versus other clusters having the adverse outcomes) than in a parallel analysis that excluded measures of co-morbidity as predictors.Conclusions.Although the results using the retrospective data reported here suggest that useful MDD subtyping distinctions can be made with machine learning and clustering across multiple indicators of illness persistence/severity, replication with prospective data is needed to confirm this preliminary conclusion.

Using Machine Learning Methods To Identify Coal Pay Zones from Drilling and Logging-While-Drilling (LWD) Data

SPE Journal ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (03) ◽  
pp. 1241-1258 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruizhi Zhong ◽  
Raymond L. Johnson ◽  
Zhongwei Chen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Well Completion ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Logging While Drilling

Summary Accurate coal identification is critical in coal seam gas (CSG) (also known as coalbed methane or CBM) developments because it determines well completion design and directly affects gas production. Density logging using radioactive source tools is the primary tool for coal identification, adding well trips to condition the hole and additional well costs for logging runs. In this paper, machine learning methods are applied to identify coals from drilling and logging-while-drilling (LWD) data to reduce overall well costs. Machine learning algorithms include logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). The precision, recall, and F1 score are used as evaluation metrics. Because coal identification is an imbalanced data problem, the performance on the minority class (i.e., coals) is limited. To enhance the performance on coal prediction, two data manipulation techniques [naive random oversampling (NROS) technique and synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE)] are separately coupled with machine learning algorithms. Case studies are performed with data from six wells in the Surat Basin, Australia. For the first set of experiments (single-well experiments), both the training data and test data are in the same well. The machine learning methods can identify coal pay zones for sections with poor or missing logs. It is found that rate of penetration (ROP) is the most important feature. The second set of experiments (multiple-well experiments) uses the training data from multiple nearby wells, which can predict coal pay zones in a new well. The most important feature is gamma ray. After placing slotted casings, all wells have coal identification rates greater than 90%, and three wells have coal identification rates greater than 99%. This indicates that machine learning methods (either XGBoost or ANN/RF with NROS/SMOTE) can be an effective way to identify coal pay zones and reduce coring or logging costs in CSG developments.

scholarly journals Daily streamflow forecasting for Paraíba do Sul river using machine learning methods with hydrologic inputs

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yulia Gorodetskaya ◽  
Leonardo Goliatt Da Fonseca ◽  
Gisele Goulart Tavares ◽  
Celso Bandeira de Melo Ribeiro
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Lead Times ◽  
Streamflow Forecasting ◽  
Learning Methods ◽  
Daily Streamflow ◽  
Machine Learning Methods ◽  
Strategic Value ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Hydrologic Inputs ◽  
Paraíba Do Sul River

The Paraíba do Sul river flows through the most important industrial region of Brazil and its basin is characterized by conflicts of multiple uses of its water resources. The prediction of its natural flow has strategic value for water management in this basin. This research investigates the applicability of the two machine learning methods (Random Forest and Artificial Neural Networks) for daily streamflow forecasting of the Paraíba do Sul River at lead times of 1-7 days. The impact of fluviometric and pluviometric data from other basin sites on the quality of the forecast is also evaluated.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document