scholarly journals The replacement of diminutive suffixes in the New High German period

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 273-316 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alfred Lameli
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
19Th Century ◽  
Computational Linguistics ◽  
Initial Phase ◽  
Word Formation ◽  
Language Variation And Change ◽  
Replacement Process ◽  
The 19Th Century ◽  
Over Time

Abstract This article addresses the replacement of the diminutive form ‑lein by ‑chen as the leading suffix in written German during the New High German period. A large sample of diminutives from 1600–1900, retrieved from the DTA corpus, forms the basis of this investigation. The study aims to provide a detailed periodization of the replacement process with regard to both types and tokens. By using methods from computational linguistics and time series analysis, clear patterns of language variation and change are demonstrated; these patterns are to some extent interrelated and staggered throughout time. The study additionally shows that there are transfers between genres that coincide with the transition from ‑lein to ‑chen. This indicates that the replacement is due to a strengthening of the semantic effort of the diminutive suffix. Finally, information regarding the writers’ origins is used to map the areal distribution of diminutive forms over time. The maps illustrate the importance of geography as a factor, particularly in the initial phase of the replacement; however, it seems to be without any impact by the end of the 19th century. In doing so, the study offers a particular framework for the analysis of word formation based on historical corpora.

scholarly journals DYNAMICS OF THE CONFESSIONAL COMPOSITION OF THE POPULATION OF THE PSKOV REGION IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE 19TH CENTURY

2018 ◽  
pp. 92-102
Author(s):  
Andrey G. Manakov ◽  
◽  
Vitaliy S. Dementiev ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
19Th Century ◽  
Historical Geography ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Northern European ◽  
Unique Object ◽  
Pskov Region ◽  
Two Stages ◽  
The 19Th Century

The article presents the results of a historical and geographical study of the confessional composition of the population of the Pskov region using the time series analysis. This method has been widely used in the historical geography of the population. The study covers almost 50 years since the middle of the 19th century to the census of the population in 1897. This period is divided into two stages, and the turn of the 1870-80s is chosen as the intermediate date. The study reveals differences in the confessional structure of the population of the Pskov region. The Pskov region is a unique object for studying various historical and geographical processes; in particular, participating in the formation of the modern ethno-cultural space of the Northwest of Russia. This is explained by the position of the region in the contact zone of three cultural worlds, the specifics of which are determined by the prevailing religions. This is the Russian Orthodox world (the territory of the Pskov region), the Central European Catholic world (the eastern part of Latvia - Latgale), and the Northern European Lutheran world (Estonia). In order to study all of the processes, one can suggest using methods developed in historical geography, in particular, time series analysis.

scholarly journals The impact of alcohol consumption on homicide: A time-series analysis of three Nordic countries

2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 352-369
Author(s):  
Martti Lehti ◽  
Reino Sirén
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Alcohol Consumption ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
19Th Century ◽  
Statistical Association ◽  
Political Factors ◽  
Homicide Rates ◽  
Early 19Th Century ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Over Time

The article explores the statistical association between annual alcohol consumption and homicide mortality in Finland, Sweden and Norway from the early 19th century to 2013. The results show statistically significant impacts on overall and male homicide mortality in Finland and on male homicide mortality in Sweden. In Norway, we found no significant impacts. The results suggest that changes in the level of alcohol consumption have had a stronger impact on homicide rates in Finland, characterized by a heavier drinking culture, than in Norway or Sweden. The strength of the association between alcohol consumption and homicide levels seems also to vary over time and to be conditioned by economic and socio-political factors.

The Effect of Modernization on Suicide in Finland: 1800–1984

1993 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 137-148 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven Stack
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
20Th Century ◽  
19Th Century ◽  
Control Variables ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Historical Processes ◽  
Percent Increase ◽  
The 19Th Century

Durkheim's theory of suicide stressed the historical processes of modernization in explaining the rise in suicide. Tests of Durkheim's theory have, however, been largely ahistorical. The present study fills this void with a time-series analysis of Finnish historical suicide data. A Cochrane-Orcutt analysis finds that a one percent increase in urbanization is associated with a.19 percent increase in suicide. The results are independent of control variables from alternate perspectives on suicide. Some evidence is found to support Halbwach's “Law of Convergence.” Whereas a one percent increase in modernization increases suicide by .22 percent in the 19th century, this figure drops to .12 percent in the 20th century.

scholarly journals Historical sunspot records

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rainer Arlt ◽  
José M. Vaquero
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
19Th Century ◽  
Sunspot Number ◽  
Final Part ◽  
Group Sunspot ◽  
Naked Eye ◽  
Sunspot Numbers ◽  
The 19Th Century ◽  
Physical Quantities

AbstractSunspot observations are available in fairly good numbers since 1610, after the invention of the telescope. This review is concerned with those sunspot observations of which longer records and drawings in particular are available. Those records bear information beyond the classical sunspot numbers or group sunspot numbers. We begin with a brief summary on naked-eye sunspot observations, in particular those with drawings. They are followed by the records of drawings from 1610 to about 1900. The review is not a compilation of all known historical sunspot information. Some records contributing substantially to the sunspot number time series may therefore be absent. We also glance at the evolution of the understanding of what sunspots actually are, from 1610 to the 19th century. The final part of the review illuminates the physical quantities that can be derived from historical drawings.

scholarly journals Association of flavoured cigar regulations with wholesale tobacco volumes in Canada: an interrupted time series analysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 457-461 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael O Chaiton ◽  
Robert Schwartz ◽  
Gabrielle Tremblay ◽  
Robert Nugent
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Interrupted Time Series Analysis ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Tobacco Sales ◽  
Health Canada ◽  
Over Time

IntroductionThis study examines the association of Federal Canadian regulations passed in 2009 addressing flavours (excluding menthol) in small cigars with changes in cigar sales.MethodsQuarterly wholesale unit data as reported to Health Canada from 2001 through 2016 were analysed using interrupted time series analysis. Changes in sales of cigars with and without flavour descriptors were estimated. Analyses were seasonally adjusted. Changes in the flavour types were assessed over time.ResultsThe Federal flavour regulations were associated with a reduction in the sales of flavoured cigars by 59 million units (95% CI −86.0 to −32.4). Increases in sales of cigars with descriptors other than flavours (eg, colour or other ambiguous terms) were observed (9.6 million increase (95% CI −1.3 to 20.5), but the overall level (decline of 49.6 million units (95% CI −73.5 to −25.8) and trend of sales of cigars (6.9 million units per quarter (95% CI −8.1 to −5.7)) declined following the ban. Sensitivity analysis showed that there was no substantial difference in effect over time comparing Ontario and British Columbia, suggesting that other provincial tobacco control legislation was not associated with the changes in levels. Analyses suggested that the level change was sensitive to the specification of the date.ConclusionThis study demonstrates that flavour regulations have the potential to substantially impact tobacco sales. However, exemptions for certain flavours and product types may have reduced the effectiveness of the ban, indicating the need for comprehensive, well-designed regulations.

scholarly journals Supraglacial debris-transport variability over time: examples from Switzerland and Iceland

1996 ◽  
Vol 22 ◽  
pp. 181-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
W.B. Whalley ◽  
C.F. Palmer ◽  
S.J. Hamilton ◽  
D. Kitchen
Keyword(s):  
19Th Century ◽  
Little Ice Age ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Debris Transport ◽  
Actual Volume ◽  
Glacier Ice ◽  
Rock Glaciers ◽  
Slow Moving ◽  
The 19Th Century ◽  
Over Time

The volume of debris in the left-lateral, Little Ice Age (LIA:AD1550–1850) moraine of the Feegletscher, Valais, Switzerland was compared with the actual volume being transported currently by the glacier. The latter is smaller by a factor of about two. In Tröllaskagi, north Iceland, a surface cover of debris on top of a very slow moving glacier ice mass (glacier noir, rock glacier) has been dated by lichenometry. The age of the oldest part is commensurate with LIA moraines in the area. Knowing the volume of debris of a given age allows an estimate of the debris supply to the glacier in a given time. Again, there appears to have been a significant reduction in debris to the glacier since the turn of the 19th century. Debris input in the early LIA seems to have been particularly copious and this may be important in the formation of some glacier depositional forms such as rock glaciers.

Time Series

2021 ◽  
pp. 288-291
Author(s):  
Jean-Frédéric Morin ◽  
Christian Olsson ◽  
Ece Özlem Atikcan
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Social Change ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Longitudinal Analysis ◽  
Analysis Time ◽  
Social Phenomena ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Level Of Analysis ◽  
Patterns Of Recurrence ◽  
Over Time

This chapter focuses on time series analysis, a statistical method of longitudinal analysis which is suitable if researchers are interested in the temporality of social phenomena and want to analyse social change and patterns of recurrence over time. In contrast to other statistical methods of longitudinal analysis, time series analysis can be applied even if researchers have only a few cases (maybe even only one) and only a few (maybe even only one) variables. Time series can be built for any level of analysis, as cases can be persons, but are usually organizations or countries. In order to build a time series, the variables need to have been measured several times over a given period, and for each measurement one needs to know the measurement date. There are different goals when doing time series analysis, which can be used in descriptive, explanatory, and interpretive approaches.

Time-Series Analysis of Suicidal and Undetermined Deaths

1997 ◽  
Vol 85 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1242-1242 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Lester
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Suicide Rate ◽  
Death Rate ◽  
Death Rates ◽  
Negatively Associated ◽  
Fair Proportion ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Over Time

The suicide rate and the death rate for undetermined causes were negatively associated over time from 1968 to 1990 in the USA, suggesting that these undetermined deaths may include a fair proportion of suicides. In contrast, there was no association between suicide and undetermined death rates over the states in 1980.

scholarly journals The effects of population density and malnutrition on the dynamics of whooping cough

1998 ◽  
Vol 121 (2) ◽  
pp. 325-334 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. J. DUNCAN ◽  
S. R. DUNCAN ◽  
S. SCOTT
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Population Density ◽  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Mathematical Modelling ◽  
19Th Century ◽  
Whooping Cough ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Demographic Characteristics ◽  
The 19Th Century ◽  
Seasonal Weather

Liverpool, a seaport in NW England, suffered severely from lethal infectious diseases in the second half of the 19th century: the population was densely crowded and malnourished and life expectancy was low. Time-series analysis shows that the epidemics of whooping cough (i) had an interepidemic interval of 2·9 years, 1863–85, which lengthened to 3·4 years, 1885–1900 (ii) were strongly coherent with wheat prices (P<0·001) and (iii) also correlated with cycles of seasonal weather conditions. It is suggested from mathematical modelling that the epidemics in this compromised population were maintained (i.e. the system was driven) by an oscillation of malnutrition and by seasonal weather conditions. A model that incorporates both the dynamics of whooping cough and the demographic characteristics of the population is presented. It has been shown to replicate the dynamics of the epidemics and has been used to predict the changes with time of (i) the force of the infection and (ii) the proportion of those infected with whooping cough who died.

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