HLM, a TNM-like classification for heart failure, compared with other nosologies at 12 months follow-up

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
P Severino ◽  
M Pucci ◽  
M.V Mariani ◽  
A D'Amato ◽  
F Infusino ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Heart failure (HF) is the pandemic of the third millennium with the highest mortality among general population, while lung cancer is the second most common cause of death. As cancer, HF can affect close organs, as lungs, or can reach peripheral organs (kidney, liver, brain), leading to multi-organ dysfunction, like cancer metastasis. Purpose We proposed a new staging system named HLM, analogous to TNM classification used in oncology, which refers to heart damage (H), lung involvement (L), and malfunction (M) of peripheral organs. The aim of this study is a comparison between HLM and NYHA, ACC/AHA and MAGGIC scores to assess the most accurate prognosis of HF patients in terms of rehospitalization for acute HF (AHF) or major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), and cardiac death. Methods We performed a single-center observational study of HF patients. All parameters for heart, lungs and peripheral organs function were examined. Each patient was classified according to HLM, NYHA, ACC/AHA and MAGGIC score at the entrance and at the discharge. Rehospitalization for MACCE or AHF and cardiac death were checked at 12 months follow up. Results We enrolled 2054 patients: 68.5% males, 31.3% females, mean age 70.18±7.48 years. Among them, overall survival curves regarding rehospitalization for MACCE, AHF and cardiac death at 12 months, show that HLM classification is as valid as the others (p<0.001). In particular, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) is greater for HLM than NYHA, ACC/AHA and MAGGIC score in terms rehospitalisation for MACCE (HLM=0.687; NYHA=0.642; ACC/AHA=0.604; MAGGIC=0.657) or AHF (HLM=0.662; NYHA=0.652; ACC/AHA=0.604; MAGGIC=0.662) and cardiac death (HLM=0.783; NYHA=0.712; ACC/AHA=0.623; MAGGIC=0.737). Conclusion(s) According to our results, HLM classification has greater prognostic power compared to other nosologies in terms of rehospitalization for MACCE, AHF and cardiac death for HF patients, thanks to a more accurate evaluation of the systemic impact of heart failure. Such a multivariable, holistic approach should be used in HF patients, rather than a “cardiocentric” approach, in order to address the pathophysiological mechanisms underlining heart abnormalities, improving clinical management and costs. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_G) ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo Severino ◽  
Andrea D’ Amato ◽  
Marco Valerio Mariani ◽  
Silvia Prosperi ◽  
Danilo Alunni Fegatelli ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Heart failure (HF) is the pandemic of the third millennium accounting for the highest mortality rate among general population, second only to lung cancer. Beside heart, HF can affect lungs and peripheral organs, such as kidney, liver, brain, erythropoiesis, leading to multiorgan dysfunction. This is similar to spread of cancer. We proposed a new staging system of HF, named HLM, analogous to TNM classification used in oncology, which refers to heart damage (H), instead of T for tumour, lung involvement (L), instead of N for lymphnodes, and malfunction (M) of peripheral organs, instead of M for metastasis. The aim of this study was a comparison of HLM score with NYHA classes, ACC/AHA stages and HF classification by left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), to assess the most accurate prognosis tool for HF patients, in terms of a composite endpoint of all-cause death and hospitalization. Methods and results We performed a multicentre observational, prospective study of consecutive patients admitted for HF, or at risk for HF. All parameters for heart, lungs, and peripheral organ function were collected and examined. Each patient was classified according to HLM, NYHA, ACC/AHA scores and LVEF, at hospital admission and at discharge. The composite endpoint was all-cause death and rehospitalization; the secondary endpoints were all-cause death, cardiac death, and rehospitalization. Patients were followed up at 12 months. We enrolled 2152 patients. Among those, 1720 patients completed the 12-months follow-up. Comparing HLM with other nosologies, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was greater for HLM score than NYHA, ACC/AHA and LVEF scores regarding the composite endpoint (HLM = 0.644; NYHA = 0.580; ACC/AHA = 0.572; EF = 0.572) and all-cause death (HLM = 0.713; NYHA = 0.596; ACC/AHA = 0.594; EF = 0.565). HLM score related AUC showed statistically significant differences compared to LVEF (P < 0.001), ACC-AHA (P < 0.001), and NYHA (P < 0.001) scores’ AUC, in terms of all-cause death and the composite of all-cause death and rehospitalization, at 12 months follow-up. Moreover, the AIC and BIC values to predict the composite of all-cause death and rehospitalization, all-cause death, cardiac death and rehospitalization rate at 12 months follow-up were always lower for HLM model compared with the others. Conclusions According to our results, HLM score has greater prognostic power compared to other nosologies, in terms of composite outcome, rehospitalization, and all-cause death, as well as all-cause death, cardiac death, and rehospitalization, at 12 months follow-up in HF patients. HLM score overcomes the cardiocentric view of HF and it addresses the pathophysiological mechanisms underlining heart abnormalities. Such a multivariable, holistic staging system may be used in HF patients, in order to improve clinical management and to reduce healthcare costs.


2008 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. S140-S141
Author(s):  
Kenji Ando ◽  
Yoshimitsu Soga ◽  
Masahiko Goya ◽  
Shinichi Shirai ◽  
Shinya Nagayama ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haiyun Yu ◽  
Juanhui Pei ◽  
Xiaoyan Liu ◽  
Jingzhou Chen ◽  
Xian Li ◽  
...  

The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether CC-AAbs levels could predict prognosis in CHF patients. A total of 2096 patients with CHF (841 DCM patients and 1255 ICM patients) and 834 control subjects were recruited. CC-AAbs were detected and the relationship between CC-AAbs and patient prognosis was analyzed. During a median follow-up time of 52 months, there were 578 deaths. Of these, sudden cardiac death (SCD) occurred in 102 cases of DCM and 121 cases of ICM. The presence of CC-AAbs in patients was significantly higher than that of controls (bothP<0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that positive CC-AAbs could predict SCD (HR 3.191, 95% CI 1.598–6.369 for DCM; HR 2.805, 95% CI 1.488–5.288 for ICM) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.733, 95% CI 1.042–2.883 for DCM; HR 2.219, 95% CI 1.461–3.371 for ICM) in CHF patients. A significant association between CC-AAbs and non-SCD (NSCD) was found in ICM patients (HR = 1.887, 95% CI 1.081–3.293). Our results demonstrated that the presence of CC-AAbs was higher in CHF patients versus controls and corresponds to a higher incidence of all-cause death and SCD. Positive CC-AAbs may serve as an independent predictor for SCD and all-cause death in these patients.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Kato ◽  
K Usuda ◽  
H Tada ◽  
T Tsuda ◽  
K Takeuchi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background High plasma B-Type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level is associated with cardiac events or stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, it is still unknown whether BNP predicts worse clinical outcomes after catheter ablation ofAF. Purpose We aimed to see if plasma BNP level is associated with major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) after catheter ablation of AF. Methods We retrospectively analyzed 1,853 participants (73.1% men, mean age 63.3±10.3 years, 60.7% paroxysmal AF) who received first catheter ablation of AF with pre-ablation plasma BNP level measurement and completed follow-up more than 3 months after the procedure from AF Frontier Ablation Registry, a multicenter cohort study in Japan. We evaluated an association between plasma BNP level before catheter ablation and first MACCE in cox-regression hazard models adjusted for known risk factors. MACCE were defined as stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA), cardiovascular events or all-cause death. Results The mean plasma BNP level was 120.2±3.7 pg/mL. During a mean follow-up period of 21.9 months, 57 patients (3.1%) suffered MACCE (ischemic stroke 8 [14.0%], hemorrhagic stroke 5 [8.8%], TIA 5 [8.8%], hospitalization for heart failure 11 [19.2%], acute coronary syndrome 9 [15.8%], hospitalization for other cardiovascular events 8 [14.0%] and all-cause death 11 [19.2%]). Plasma BNP level of patients with MACCE were significantly higher than those without MACCE (291.7±47.0 vs 114.7±3.42 pg/mL, P&lt;0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that plasma BNP level (hazard ratio [HR] per 10 pg/mL increase 1.014; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.005–1.023; P=0.001), baseline age (HR 1.052; 95% CI 1.022–1.084; P=0.001), heart failure (HR 2.698; 95% CI 1.512–4.815; P=0.001), old myocardial infarction (HR 3.593; 95% CI 1.675–7.708; P=0.001) and non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (HR 2.676; 95% CI 1.337 - 5.355; P=0.005) were independently associated with MACCE. At receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis, plasma BNP level before catheter ablation ≥162.7 pg/mL was the best threshold to predict MACCE (area under the curve: 0.71). Kaplan-Meier curve analysis (Figure) showed that the cumulative incidence of MACCE was significantly higher in patients with a BNP ≥162.7 pg/mL than in those with a BNP below 162.7 pg/mL (HR 4.85; 95% CI 2.86–8.21; P&lt;0.001). Conclusions Elevation of plasma BNP level was independently related to the increased risk of MACCE after catheter ablation ofAF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): Bristol-Meiers Squibb


Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nobutoyo Masunaga ◽  
Hisashi Ogawa ◽  
Yuya Aono ◽  
Syuhei Ikeda ◽  
KOSUKE DOI ◽  
...  

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) patients are likely to have concomitant coronary artery disease (CAD). A new strategy of antithrombotic therapy in AF patients with stable CAD was demonstrated in recent randomized clinical trials. Now that antithrombotic therapy for AF patients with CAD has reached a major turning point, it is important to know the prognostic factors in those patients. Purpose: In this study, we investigated clinical characteristics, cardiovascular events and prognostic factors in AF patients with CAD. Methods: The Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey, was designed to enroll all of the AF patients who visited the participating medical institutions in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. Follow up data including prescription status were available in 4,441 patients from March 2011 to November 2019. Of 4,441 patients, 645 patients had a history of CAD at enrollment. Results: The mean age was 76.4±8.6 and 65.9% were male. Averages of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score and HAS-BLED score were 4.41 and 2.35, respectively. Oral anticoagulant (OAC) was prescribed in 52.9% of those patients and antiplatelet drug (APD) was prescribed in 70.4%. The combination of OAC and APD was prescribed in 36.0%. During follow-up period (median 1,495 days), cardiac death occurred in 51 patients, composite of cardiac death, myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke in 136, and major bleeding in 77 (1.8, 5.1 and 2.9 per 100 person-years, respectively). In multivariate analysis, factors associated with composite of cardiac death, MI and stroke in AF patients with CAD were low body weight (<=50kg) (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]; 1.62 [1.07-2.47]), previous stroke (1.69 [1.13-2.52]), heart failure (1.47 [1.02-2.11]), hypertension (0.60 [0.41-0.87]) and diabetes mellitus (1.62 [1.13-2.32]). Furthermore, factors associated with major bleeding in AF patients with CAD were anemia (male: hemoglobin<12 g/dl, female: hemoglobin<11 g/dl) (1.82 [1.09-3.04]) and thrombocytopenia (<150,000 /μL) (3.02 [1.29-7.03]). Conclusion: In Japanese AF patients with CAD, low body weight, previous stroke, heart failure, hypertension and diabetes mellitus were associated with cardiovascular events, and anemia and thrombocytopenia were associated with major bleeding.


Heart Rhythm ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 1579 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gust Bardy ◽  
Kerry Lee ◽  
Daniel Mark ◽  
Jeanne Poole ◽  
Daniel Fishbein ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
pp. archdischild-2021-322455
Author(s):  
Gabrielle Norrish ◽  
Thomas Rance ◽  
Elena Montanes ◽  
Ella Field ◽  
Elspeth Brown ◽  
...  

ObjectiveHypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is an important predictor of long-term outcomes in Friedreich’s ataxia (FA), but the clinical spectrum and survival in childhood is poorly described. This study aimed to describe the clinical characteristics of children with FA-HCM.Design and settingRetrospective, longitudinal cohort study of children with FA-HCM from the UK.Patients78 children (<18 years) with FA-HCM diagnosed over four decades.InterventionAnonymised retrospective demographic and clinical data were collected from baseline evaluation and follow-up.Main outcome measuresThe primary study end-point was all-cause mortality (sudden cardiac death, atrial arrhythmia-related death, heart failure-related death, non-cardiac death) or cardiac transplantation.ResultsThe mean age at diagnosis of FA-HCM was 10.9 (±3.1) years. Diagnosis was within 1 year of cardiac referral in 34 (65.0%) patients, but preceded the diagnosis of FA in 4 (5.3%). At baseline, 65 (90.3%) had concentric left ventricular hypertrophy and 6 (12.5%) had systolic impairment. Over a median follow-up of 5.1 years (IQR 2.4–7.3), 8 (10.5%) had documented supraventricular arrhythmias and 8 (10.5%) died (atrial arrhythmia-related n=2; heart failure-related n=1; non-cardiac n=2; or unknown cause n=3), but there were no sudden cardiac deaths. Freedom from death or transplantation at 10 years was 80.8% (95% CI 62.5 to 90.8).ConclusionsThis is the largest cohort of childhood FA-HCM reported to date and describes a high prevalence of atrial arrhythmias and impaired systolic function in childhood, suggesting early progression to end-stage disease. Overall mortality is similar to that reported in non-syndromic childhood HCM, but no patients died suddenly.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S39-S40
Author(s):  
Brandon Muncan ◽  
Aikaterini Papamanoli ◽  
Hal A Skopicki ◽  
Andreas Kalogeropoulos

Abstract Background Drug use-related infective endocarditis (IE) has nearly doubled in the past two decades in the United States, largely due to the current opioid crisis. Although there are robust data on surgical outcomes for people who use drugs (PWUD) vs. non-PWUD patients after an initial encounter for IE, long-term comparative data on post-IE outcomes are relatively sparse. Methods Using data from the TriNetX electronic health records network, we identified (1) a cohort of patients 16 to 64 years old who had a first encounter for IE (captured with ICD-10 codes I33, I38, or I39) and history of drug use (captured with ICD-10 codes F11, F13-F16, F18, F19, O99.32, or T40) preceding the IE episode and (2) a propensity score-matched cohort of patients age 16-64 who had a first episode of IE and no documented drug use. We compared the post-IE incidence of (1) mortality; (2) ischemic stroke; (3) intracranial hemorrhage; (4) myocardial infarction; (5) heart failure; and (6) sudden cardiac death (cardiac arrest or ventricular fibrillation or tachycardia) between the 2 cohorts over a 5-year follow up period. We matched the cohorts for demographic data and clinically relevant medical history. We used Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox models to compare incidence. Results We identified 6,578 PWUD patients and 6,578 matched non-PWUD patients 16-64 years old with a first episode of IE. The baseline characteristics are summarized in Table 1. Standardized mean differences of characteristics were generally &lt; 0.1, indicating adequate matching. The 5-year Kaplan-Meier rates of outcomes of interest are summarized in Table 2. Mortality did not differ between cohorts. However, the incidence of ischemic stroke and intracranial hemorrhage was consistently higher among PWUD throughout the 5-year follow-up. Rates of myocardial infarction were also higher among PWUD; however, the difference was more pronounced later during follow-up. Rates of heart failure and sudden cardiac death did not differ. Conclusion Cardiovascular events after IE were common among both PWUD and non-PWUD patients over a 5-year follow-up period. However, rates of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke were consistently higher among PWUD. Further investigation is needed to elucidate the sources of elevated stroke risk among PWUD and identify targets for intervention. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures


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