Ambiguity, Equivocation, and Economics

Author(s):  
Kaushik Basu

This brief chapter, written in the backdrop of the global financial crisis and the start of the Great Recession, lays out a broad philosophical approach to dealing with policy failures and the need for economists as a profession to introspect. It emphasizes the need for scepticism, in all our contemplation about the world, a philosophical approach that underlies a lot of what follow in this book.

ECONOMICS ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-105
Author(s):  
Mythili Kolluru ◽  
Denis Hyams-Ssekasi ◽  
K.V.Ch.Madhu Sudhana Rao

Abstract The Global financial crisis of 2008-2009 severely impacted the developed economies of the world. It occurred at a time when most countries had started gaining economic growth, stability, and vibrance. Each country experienced a jolt to its economy, causing financial fragility, shocks, tragedy, and struggle. Attempts have been made to understand the root causes, economic instability, and the lessons learned from the great recession. Given the current situation of the COVID-19 pandemic, this research paper seeks to examine the global recession, its effect on the economy and finances. Our research is based on the qualitative analysis of comparing the impact of the global financial crisis and strategic recovery recession plans of the top five GDP countries in the European Union-particularly Germany, the UK, France, Spain, and Italy to draw some similarities between a recession and COVID-19 pandemic in terms of the economy. The findings indicate that the great recession had a devastating impact on the entire economy, and the world can learn valuable lessons. It notes that out of the selected five EU countries, Germany was the first to recover and bounce back by 2011, but Italy and Spain were severely hit and took longer to recover only partially. The recession recovery strategies demonstrate some similarities in economic and employment measures and differences concerning tax reforms and financial support packages initiated by all five countries. There needs to be a mechanism in which each country must prepare for untimely recessions. Thus, a developmental model has been created to enable countries to be more prepared when faced with recessions in the future years.


2020 ◽  
pp. 136754942091986
Author(s):  
Elena Oliete-Aldea

The cinematic depiction of the financial crisis has centred on the explanation of the causes and consequences of the global recessionary scenario in which gender acquires special relevance. My aim in this article is to carry out a hitherto unaddressed transnational analysis of corporate dramas. More specifically, I elicit the commonalities as well as local specificities that different Western cinematographies show when tackling gendered recessionary discourses on ‘mancession’ and ‘austerity’. Films such as The Last Days of Lehman Brothers (Samuels, 2009, BBC), Money Never Sleeps (Stone, 2010), The Company Men (J. Wells, 2010) and The Big Short (McKay, 2015) have, on the one hand, aligned with nostalgic and retro-sexist discourses by focusing on male suffering to confront the recession while relegating female characters as emotional companions of the male hero. On the other hand, the representation of female characters in these films has also put to the test the inconsistencies of neoliberal discourses when analysed from the perspective of genre. To illustrate the transnational dimension of the ‘narrated’ impact of the ‘Global Financial Crisis’ in different scenarios, I compare a US Wall Street film and a Spanish corporate drama of the Great Recession: Margin Call (J Chandor, 2011, USA) and The Tip of the Iceberg (La punta del iceberg, D Cánovas, 2016, Spain).


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 36-45
Author(s):  
Robert W. Dimand

The supposed death of Keynesian economics has long been debated. This paper revisits the four central Keynesian propositions identified by Tobin's 1977 paper, ‘How dead is Keynes?’, to argue, in the light of the global financial crisis and the Great Recession, that Keynesian economics remains alive and relevant as useful economics for understanding the economy in a world of fundamental uncertainty, with particular reference to chapter 19 of Keynes's General Theory concerning economic instability and wage and price flexibility.


2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 218-227
Author(s):  
Luiz Fernando De Paula ◽  
Fernando Ferrari

In this short article, we aim at presenting a critical analysis of the macroeconomic policies implemented by the Lula da Silva and Dilma Rousseff governments in Brazil. The main hypothesis is that the economic framework of the ‘leftist’ governments has been managed pragmatically, mainly due to the global financial crisis (GFC) and the Great Recession (GR), and is still conservative, and cannot be considered as genuine Keynesian policies.


ALQALAM ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 187
Author(s):  
Budi Harsanto

The fall of Enron, Lehman Brothers and other major financial institution in the world make researchers conduct various studies about crisis. The research question in this study is, from Islamic economics and business standpoint, why the global financial crisis can happen repeatedly. The purpose is to contribute ideas regarding Islamic viewpoint linked with the global financial crisis. The methodology used is a theoretical-reflective to various article published in academic journals and other intellectual resources with relevant themes. There are lots of analyses on the causes of the crisis. For discussion purposes, the causes divide into two big parts namely ethics and systemic. Ethics contributed to the crisis by greed and moral hazard as a theme that almost always arises in the study of the global financial crisis. Systemic means that the crisis can only be overcome with a major restructuring of the system. Islamic perspective on these two aspect is diametrically different. At ethics side, there is exist direction to obtain blessing in economics and business activities. At systemic side, there is rule of halal and haram and a set of mechanism of economics system such as the concept of ownership that will early prevent the seeds of crisis. Keywords: Islamic economics and business, business ethics, financial crisis 


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 122
Author(s):  
Eddison T. Walters

The researcher called for economic research to consider the potential effect of advancement in technology on analysis of economic data in Eddison Walters Modern Economic Analysis Theory in the future represented a paradigm shift in economic analysis that will significantly reduce the potential for error due to data distortion in the future. The foundation of the world's economy is based on the sharing of information, yet very little attention has been given to the effect of technology advancement in the analysis of data. The researcher of the current study highlighted the critical nature of sharing information to the development of the world’s economy in the past, as well as the critical nature of sharing information to the world’s economy today. Advancement in technology has drastically improved the sharing of information and has led to the globalized economy. The lack of evidence supporting the widely accepted theory of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 prompted the investigation by the current researcher aimed at gaining insight into economic factors that were responsible for conditions contributing to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Walters (2018) presented evidence suggesting no financial bubble existed before the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. The study resulted in the development of “Eddison Walters Risk Expectation Theory of The Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008”. The theory presented an alternative explanation for the financial crisis. The researcher called for additional investigation to gain insight into the nature of the cause of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Further investigation in Walters (2019) provided evidence supporting the idea, technological advancement led to the rapid growth in home prices before the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. The result from the analysis of data in Walters (2019) revealed the following, 0.989 Adjusted R-square, 194.041 Mean Dependent Variable, 5.908 Square Error of Regression, and 488.726 Sum-of-Square Residual, from nonlinear regression analysis. The dependent variable in the study was, “home purchase price” and the independent variable was, “advancement in technology”. The current study continued the investigation into factors that were described in the literature which set the conditions leading to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Gaining insight into the effect of technological advancement on the significant increase in consumer debt prior to the Global Financial Crisis will significantly contribute to the understanding of the economic environment before the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Insight into the effect of advancement in technology on the increase in consumer lending prior to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008, will significantly contribute to the understanding of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008.


2020 ◽  
pp. 32-62
Author(s):  
Timothy Hellwig ◽  
Yesola Kweon ◽  
Jack Vowles

This chapter reviews the political and economic context of the global financial crisis (GFC). We first examine the origins and immediate effects of the GFC and the ‘Great Recession’ that it spawned. Ranging beyond the European focus of the research so far, we examine the impact of the crisis across the member countries of the OECD and the ways in which that variation is shaping the contexts of individual-level behaviour. We then examine patterns of electoral volatility and the changing nature of party systems before turning to consider the reasons why some governments were defeated and why others survived. Across these outcomes, analyses show that the impact of economic factors on political outcomes varied depending on their timing: before, during, or after the GFC. The chapter concludes by introducing our main sources of data: cross-sectional individual-level survey data from twenty-five national elections in OECD democracies from 2011 to 2016 sourced from Module 4 of the Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (CSES); macro-data for thirty-five OECD democracies from 1990 to 2016; and a pooled set of 113 post-election surveys from twenty-four OECD countries between 1996 and 2017.


2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (5) ◽  
pp. 560-570
Author(s):  
Gerardo del Cerro Santamaría

This article discusses the consequences of the financial crisis that started in 2008 in the West, and particularly in the United States, as a manifestation of neoliberal capitalism’s multiple failures. In doing so, it focuses on the scholarly contributions of Manuel Castells and his colleagues in two important books: Aftermath: The Cultures of the Economic Crisis (2012) and Another Economy is Possible (2017). Both books are collective works led and edited by Castells. Also included in the review is a third book by Castells, Rupture: The Crisis of Liberal Democracy (2018), which can be read as a statement on some of the political consequences of the 2008 financial crisis and a report on the current crisis of liberal democracy. The contention is that Castells et al. make an important contribution to the socio-economic literature on the financial crisis, its consequences, and the interpretation of the societal changes that ensued and are key to understand our contemporary world. Such contribution, as observed in the three books under review, can be summarized as follows: (1) Castells and colleagues provide cases and examples from around the world in a broad comparative fashion, thus expanding our understanding of a crisis that was essentially a crisis of the West with ramifications in other countries but never a truly global crisis. (2) The approach of Castells and his colleagues is interdisciplinary and goes beyond purely economic arguments to include sociological, political and cultural ideas and insights that help us understand the complexity of the historical period under analysis; readers develop an awareness of the systemic character of the crisis, where all events were closely interrelated; in particular, both micro and macro processes leading to the crisis converged into a mutually dialectical and reinforcing relationship that warrants the contention by the authors that ‘economies’ are ‘cultures.’ (3) The authors in both Aftermath and Another Economy is Possible focus on the (long) aftermath of the crisis, which is still ongoing as of September 2019 around the world; in fact, one of Castells’ main points is that the financial crisis brought about irreversible societal change, ongoing and clearly visible today, as it triggered a significant restructuring of global informational capitalism. (4) The authors provide a focus on one of the reactive consequences of the crisis: alternative economic practices developing in the aftermath of the crisis, under the premise that we might be witnessing the rise of a new economic model based on new, alternative values. (5) Castells provides a discussion (in Rupture) of aspects of the contemporary political landscape a decade after the outset of the financial crisis and the Great Recession.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Linda Yueh

There are times in history when the consensus about our economic system breaks down. It happened after the Long Depression, also known as the Great Depression of the 19th century, and again in the 20th century around the Great Depression of 1929-1933, as well as after the Great Recession of 2008-2009 that followed the global financial crisis. The Covid-19 great crash, which carries the risk of a deep downturn, has led governments to take extraordinary measures in all areas of our lives. This has further fuelled the need to discuss how to rebuild the consensus about the most appropriate economic system for the 21st century as the great question of our time. This is a reflection piece invited for the Dahrendorf Symposium.


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