scholarly journals Epidemiological Risk Factors Associated with Death and Severe Disease in Patients Suffering From COVID-19: A Comprehensive Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Author(s):  
Kunchok Dorjee ◽  
Hyunju Kim

AbstractIntroductionProgression of COVID-19 to severe disease and death is insufficiently understood.ObjectiveSummarize the prevalence adverse outcomes, risk factors, and association of risk factors with adverse outcomes in COVID-19 patients.MethodsWe searched Medline, Embase and Web of Science for case-series and observational studies of hospitalized COVID-19 patients through May 22, 2020. Data were analyzed by fixed-effects meta-analysis, using Shore’s adjusted confidence intervals to address heterogeneity.ResultsForty-four studies comprising 20594 hospitalized patients met inclusion criteria; 12591 from the US-Europe and 7885 from China. Pooled prevalence of death [%(95% CI)] was 18% (15-22%). Of those that died, 76% were aged≥ 60 years, 68% were males, and 63%, 38%, and 29% had hypertension, diabetes and heart disease, respectively. The case fatality risk [%(95% CI)] were 62% (48-78) for heart disease, 51% (36-71) for COPD, and 42% (34-50) for age≥ 60 years and 49% (33-71) for chronic kidney disease (CKD). Summary relative risk (sRR) of death were higher for age≥ 60 years [sRR=3.8; 95% CI: 2.9-4.8; n=12 studies], males [1.3; 1.2-1.5; 17], smoking history [1.9; 1.1-3.3; n=6], COPD [2.0; 1.6-2.4; n=9], hypertension [1.8; 1.7-2.0; n=14], diabetes [1.5; 1.4-1.7; n=16], heart disease [2.0; 1.7-2.4; 16] and CKD [2.0; 1.3-3.1; 8]. The overall prevalence of hypertension (55%), diabetes (31%) and heart disease (16%) among COVODI-19 patients in the US were substantially higher than the general US population.ConclusionsPublic health screening for COVID-19 can be prioritized based on risk-groups. A higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors in COVID-19 patients can suggest increased risk of SARS-CoV-2 acquisition in the population.

PLoS ONE ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (12) ◽  
pp. e0243191
Author(s):  
Kunchok Dorjee ◽  
Hyunju Kim ◽  
Elizabeth Bonomo ◽  
Rinchen Dolma

Introduction Progression of COVID-19 to severe disease and death is insufficiently understood. Objective Summarize the prevalence of risk factors and adverse outcomes and determine their associations in COVID-19 patients who were hospitalized. Methods We searched Medline, Embase and Web of Science for case-series and observational studies of hospitalized COVID-19 patients through August 31, 2020. Data were analyzed by fixed-effects meta-analysis using Shore’s adjusted confidence intervals to address heterogeneity. Results Seventy-seven studies comprising 38906 hospitalized patients met inclusion criteria; 21468 from the US-Europe and 9740 from China. Overall prevalence of death [% (95% CI)] from COVID-19 was 20% (18–23%); 23% (19–27%) in the US and Europe and 11% (7–16%) for China. Of those that died, 85% were aged≥60 years, 66% were males, and 66%, 44%, 39%, 37%, and 27% had hypertension, smoking history, diabetes, heart disease, and chronic kidney disease (CKD), respectively. The case fatality risk [%(95% CI)] were 52% (46–60) for heart disease, 51% (43–59) for COPD, 48% (37–63) for chronic kidney disease (CKD), 39% for chronic liver disease (CLD), 28% (23–36%) for hypertension, and 24% (17–33%) for diabetes. Summary relative risk (sRR) of death were higher for age≥60 years [sRR = 3.6; 95% CI: 3.0–4.4], males [1.3; 1.2–1.4], smoking history [1.3; 1.1–1.6], COPD [1.7; 1.4–2.0], hypertension [1.8; 1.6–2.0], diabetes [1.5; 1.4–1.7], heart disease [2.1; 1.8–2.4], CKD [2.5; 2.1–3.0]. The prevalence of hypertension (55%), diabetes (33%), smoking history (23%) and heart disease (17%) among the COVID-19 hospitalized patients in the US were substantially higher than that of the general US population, suggesting increased susceptibility to infection or disease progression for the individuals with comorbidities. Conclusions Public health screening for COVID-19 can be prioritized based on risk-groups. Appropriately addressing the modifiable risk factors such as smoking, hypertension, and diabetes could reduce morbidity and mortality due to COVID-19; public messaging can be accordingly adapted.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. e0247461 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam Booth ◽  
Angus Bruno Reed ◽  
Sonia Ponzo ◽  
Arrash Yassaee ◽  
Mert Aral ◽  
...  

Aim COVID-19 clinical presentation is heterogeneous, ranging from asymptomatic to severe cases. While there are a number of early publications relating to risk factors for COVID-19 infection, low sample size and heterogeneity in study design impacted consolidation of early findings. There is a pressing need to identify the factors which predispose patients to severe cases of COVID-19. For rapid and widespread risk stratification, these factors should be easily obtainable, inexpensive, and avoid invasive clinical procedures. The aim of our study is to fill this knowledge gap by systematically mapping all the available evidence on the association of various clinical, demographic, and lifestyle variables with the risk of specific adverse outcomes in patients with COVID-19. Methods The systematic review was conducted using standardized methodology, searching two electronic databases (PubMed and SCOPUS) for relevant literature published between 1st January 2020 and 9th July 2020. Included studies reported characteristics of patients with COVID-19 while reporting outcomes relating to disease severity. In the case of sufficient comparable data, meta-analyses were conducted to estimate risk of each variable. Results Seventy-six studies were identified, with a total of 17,860,001 patients across 14 countries. The studies were highly heterogeneous in terms of the sample under study, outcomes, and risk measures reported. A large number of risk factors were presented for COVID-19. Commonly reported variables for adverse outcome from COVID-19 comprised patient characteristics, including age >75 (OR: 2.65, 95% CI: 1.81–3.90), male sex (OR: 2.05, 95% CI: 1.39–3.04) and severe obesity (OR: 2.57, 95% CI: 1.31–5.05). Active cancer (OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.04–2.04) was associated with increased risk of severe outcome. A number of common symptoms and vital measures (respiratory rate and SpO2) also suggested elevated risk profiles. Conclusions Based on the findings of this study, a range of easily assessed parameters are valuable to predict elevated risk of severe illness and mortality as a result of COVID-19, including patient characteristics and detailed comorbidities, alongside the novel inclusion of real-time symptoms and vital measurements.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam Booth ◽  
Angus Bruno Reed ◽  
Sonia Ponzo ◽  
Arrash Yassaee ◽  
Mert Aral ◽  
...  

AbstractAimCOVID-19 clinical presentation is heterogeneous, ranging from asymptomatic to severe cases. While there are a number of early publications relating to risk factors for COVID-19 infection, low sample size and heterogeneity in study design impacted consolidation of early findings. There is a pressing need to identify the factors which predispose patients to severe cases of COVID-19. For rapid and widespread risk stratification, these factors should be easily obtainable, inexpensive, and avoid invasive clinical procedures. The aim of our study is to fill this knowledge gap by systematically mapping all the available evidence on the association of various clinical, demographic, and lifestyle variables with the risk of specific adverse outcomes in patients with COVID-19.MethodsThe systematic review was conducted using standardized methodology, searching three electronic databases (PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science) for relevant literature published between 1st January 2020 and 9th July 2020. Included studies reported characteristics of patients with COVID-19 while reporting outcomes relating to disease severity. In the case of sufficient comparable data, meta-analyses were conducted to estimate risk of each variable.ResultsSeventy-six studies were identified, with a total of 17,860,001 patients across 14 countries. The studies were highly heterogeneous in terms of the sample under study, outcomes, and risk measures reported. A large number of risk factors were presented for COVID-19. Commonly reported variables for adverse outcome from COVID-19 comprised patient characteristics, including age >75 (OR = 2.65 (1.81–3.90)), male sex (OR = 2.05(1.39–3.04)) and severe obesity (OR = 2.57 (1.31–5.05)). Active cancer (OR = 1.46 (1.04–2.04)) was associated with increased risk of severe outcome. A number of common symptoms and vital measures (respiratory rate and SpO2) also suggested elevated risk profiles.ConclusionsBased on the findings of this study, a range of easily assessed parameters are valuable to predict elevated risk of severe illness and mortality as a result of COVID-19, including patient characteristics and detailed comorbidities, alongside the novel inclusion of real-time symptoms and vital measurements.


Author(s):  
Alvin J. X. Lee ◽  
Karin Purshouse

AbstractThe SARS-Cov-2 pandemic in 2020 has caused oncology teams around the world to adapt their practice in the aim of protecting patients. Early evidence from China indicated that patients with cancer, and particularly those who had recently received chemotherapy or surgery, were at increased risk of adverse outcomes following SARS-Cov-2 infection. Many registries of cancer patients infected with SARS-Cov-2 emerged during the first wave. We collate the evidence from these national and international studies and focus on the risk factors for patients with solid cancers and the contribution of systemic anti-cancer treatments (SACT—chemotherapy, immunotherapy, targeted and hormone therapy) to outcomes following SARS-Cov-2 infection. Patients with cancer infected with SARS-Cov-2 have a higher probability of death compared with patients without cancer. Common risk factors for mortality following COVID-19 include age, male sex, smoking history, number of comorbidities and poor performance status. Oncological features that may predict for worse outcomes include tumour stage, disease trajectory and lung cancer. Most studies did not identify an association between SACT and adverse outcomes. Recent data suggest that the timing of receipt of SACT may be associated with risk of mortality. Ongoing recruitment to these registries will enable us to provide evidence-based care.


Author(s):  
Michael P. Hagerty ◽  
Rafael Walker-Santiago ◽  
Jason D. Tegethoff ◽  
Benjamin M. Stronach ◽  
James A. Keeney

AbstractThe association of morbid obesity with increased revision total knee arthroplasty (rTKA) complications is potentially confounded by concurrent risk factors. This study was performed to evaluate whether morbid obesity was more strongly associated with adverse aseptic rTKA outcomes than diabetes or tobacco use history—when present as a solitary major risk factor. Demographic characteristics, surgical indications, and adverse outcomes (reoperation, revision, infection, and amputation) were compared between 270 index aseptic rTKA performed for patients with morbid obesity (n = 73), diabetes (n = 72), or tobacco use (n = 125) and 239 “healthy” controls without these risk factors at a mean 75.7 (range: 24–111) months. There was no difference in 2-year reoperation rate (17.8 vs. 17.6%, p = 1.0) or component revision rate (8.2 vs. 8.4%) between morbidly obese and healthy patients. However, higher reoperation rates were noted in patients with diabetes (p = 0.02) and tobacco use history (p < 0.01), including higher infection (p < 0.05) and above knee amputation (p < 0.01) rates in patients with tobacco use history. Multivariate analysis retained an independent association between smoking history and amputation risk (odds ratio: 7.4, 95% confidence interval: 1.7–55.2, p < 0.01). Morbid obesity was not associated with an increased risk of reoperation or component revision compared with healthy patients undergoing aseptic revision. Tobacco use was associated with increased reoperation and above knee amputation. Additional study will be beneficial to determine whether risk reduction efforts are effective in mitigating postoperative complication risks.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zixin Cai ◽  
Yan Yang ◽  
Jingjing Zhang

Abstract Background The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has led to global research to predict those who are at greatest risk of developing severe disease and mortality. The aim of this meta-analysis was to determine the associations between obesity and the severity of and mortality due to COVID-19. Methods We searched the PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library and Web of Science databases for studies evaluating the associations of obesity with COVID-19. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using random- or fixed-effects models. Meta-regression analyses were conducted to estimate regression coefficients. Results Forty-six studies involving 625,153 patients were included. Compared with nonobese patients, obese patients had a significantly increased risk of infection. (OR 2.73, 95% CI 1.53–4.87; I2 = 96.8%), hospitalization (OR 1.72, 95% CI 1.55–1.92; I2 = 47.4%), clinically severe disease (OR 3.81, 95% CI 1.97–7.35; I2 = 57.4%), mechanical ventilation (OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.42–1.94; I2 = 41.3%), intensive care unit (ICU) admission (OR 2.25, 95% CI 1.55–3.27; I2 = 71.5%), and mortality (OR 1.61, 95% CI 1.29–2.01; I2 = 83.1%). Conclusion Patients with obesity may have a greater risk of infection, hospitalization, clinically severe disease, mechanical ventilation, ICU admission, and mortality due to COVID-19. Therefore, it is important to increase awareness of these associations with obesity in COVID-19 patients.


2022 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Qin ◽  
Fang Li ◽  
Qiang Luo ◽  
Lifang Chen ◽  
Xiaoqian Yang ◽  
...  

Objectives:It is well-established that the association between atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVD) and connective tissue diseases (CTDs), but the relationship between coronary heart disease (CHD) and idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIMs) remains controversial yet. The aim of this meta-analysis is to systematically evaluate the risk of CHD in IIMs patients. In addition, we explore differences in traditional cardiovascular risk factors between IIMs patients and controls.Methods:We searched Pubmed, EMBASE and Cochrane databases to identify relevant observational studies published in English up to August 2021. Pooled relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated using the generic inverse variance method for the risk of CHD. A meta-proportion analysis was conducted to assess differences in cardiovascular risk factors between two groups.Results:A total of 15 studies met inclusion criteria: seven studies focused on CHD and nine studies focused on traditional cardiovascular risk factors. The results demonstrated that IIMs patients had a higher risk of CHD (RR = 2.19, 95% CI: 1.40–3.42). Hypertension (OR = 1.44, 95% CI: 1.28–1.61), diabetes mellitus (OR = 1.67, 95% CI: 1.55–1.81) and dyslipidemia (OR = 1.48, 95% CI: 1.19–1.84) were more prevalent in IIMs patients compared with controls. However, there was a significant heterogeneity among studies assessing the risk of CHD and hypertension. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that definition of CHD, country and sample size may be potential sources of heterogeneity.Conclusions:IIMs patients were at increased risk of CHD, and traditional cardiovascular risk factors appeared more prevalent in IIMs patients. This systemic review offers the proof that early appropriate interventions could reduce cardiovascular-associated morbidity and mortality in IIMs patients.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Can Chen ◽  
Danying Yan ◽  
Yuqing Zhou ◽  
Guo Tian ◽  
Jie Wu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The COVID-19 infection has caused 111652 deaths worldwide as of 13 April 2020. Risk factors for fatal outcomes of COVID-19 have varied across studies due to limited samples and have lacked effective qualitative and quantitative measurements. We performed a meta-analysis to evaluate risk factors for fatal outcomes of COVID-19.Methods: Data on demographic, clinic, laboratory findings and complications were extracted. Quantitative and qualitative synthesis was conducted for weighted-mean-difference (WMD) and odds-ratio (OR).Results: A total of 30 studies involving 5741 survivors and 1670 deaths were included. The death cases were significantly older than survivors (WMD=15.36, 95% CI: 12.90-17.82), male and smoking history showed higher risk to develop fatal outcome (OR=3.37, 95% CI: 2.27-5.01; OR=1.37, 95% CI: 1.02-1.83, respectively). The clinical symptoms including dyspnea (OR=4.63, 95% CI: 2.85-7.54), hemoptysis (OR=3.11, 95% CI: 1.26-7.56), malaise (OR=2.44, 95% CI: 1.49-3.97). comorbidities with coronary heart disease (OR=4.36, 95% CI: 1.91-9.97), COPD (OR=3.70, 95% CI: 2.03-6.73) and cardiovascular disease (OR=3.45, 95% CI: 2.54-4.70). Compared to survivors, many laboratory indexes increased in deaths group, including serum ferritin (WMD=741.47, 95% CI: 566.77-916.16), lactate dehydrogenase (WMD=226.86, 95% CI: 177.08-276.64) and myoglobin (WMD=102.58, 95% CI: 65.12-140.04), and the decreased indexes included PaO2/FiO2 (WMD=-71.61, 95% CI: -134.11 to -9.11), platelets (WMD=-41.09, 95% CI: -47.33 to -34.85) and PaO2 (WMD=-26.09, 95% CI: -38.9 to -13.29). Main complications contributed to the fatal outcome included sepsis (OR=184.61, 95% CI: 33.43-1019.42), shock (OR=133.76, 95% CI: 36.86-485.34) and respiratory failure (OR=47.37, 95% CI: 20.65-108.66). Conclusion: The main risk factors associated with fatal outcome of COVID-19 involved male, older age, smoking history, chronic medical conditions including coronary heart disease, COPD and cardiovascular disease, clinical symptoms including dyspnea, hemoptysis and malaise, the increased laboratory indexes including serum ferritin, lactate dehydrogenase and myoglobin, the decreased indexes including PaO2/FiO2, platelets and PaO2, main complications including sepsis, shock and respiratory failure. These factors could be considered in triaging patients and allocating medical resources when such medical resources are scarce, devising improved protocols for patient diagnosis and management, and developing new drugs and other therapies to treat COVID-19 patients.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cunye Yan ◽  
Yue Chen ◽  
Chenyu Sun ◽  
Mubashir Ayaz Ahmed ◽  
Chandur Bhan ◽  
...  

AbstractBackgroundPrevious researches on the association between proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) use and the treatment and prevention of COVID-19 have generated inconsistent findings. Therefore, this Meta-analysis was conducted to clarify the outcome in patients who take PPIs.MethodsWe carried out a systematic search to identify potential studies until November 2020. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I-squared statistic. Odds ratios (ORs) with its 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated by fixed-effects or random-effects models according to the heterogeneity. Sensitivity analyses and tests for publication bias were also performed.ResultsEight articles with more than 268,683 subjects were included. PPI use was not associated with increased or decreased risk of COVID-19 infection (OR:3.16, 95%CI = 0.74-13.43, P=0.12) or mortality risk of COVID-19 patients (OR=1.91, 95% CI=0.86-4.24, P=0.11). While it can add risk of severe disease (OR=1.54, 95% CI=1.20-1.99, P<0.001;) and secondary infection (OR=4.33, 95% CI=2.57-7.29). No publication bias was detected.ConclusionsPPI use is not associated with increased risk infection and may not change the mortality risk of COVID-19, but appeared to be associated with increased risk of progression to severe disease and secondary infection. However, more original studies to further clarify the relationship between PPI and COVID-19 are still urgently needed.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zixin Cai ◽  
Yan Yang ◽  
Jingjing Zhang

Abstract Background: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has led to global research with the aim of predicting which people are at greatest risk of developing severe disease and dying. The aim of this meta-analysis was to determine the associations between obesity and the severity of and mortality due to COVID-19. Methods: We searched the PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library and Web of Science databases for studies evaluating the associations of obesity with COVID-19 . Odd risks (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using random- or fixed-effects models. Results: Thirty-eight studies involving 621502 patients were included. Compared with nonobese patients, obese patients had a significantly increased risk of infection (OR 3.19, 95% CI 1.45-7.03; I2 = 98.3%), hospitalization (OR 1.77, 95% CI 1.61-1.95; I2 = 43.8%), clinically severe disease (OR 2.88, 95% CI 1.99-4.16; I2 = 49.9%), mechanical ventilation (OR 1.66, 95% CI1.42-1.94; I2 = 41.3%), intensive care unit (ICU) (OR 2.06, 95% CI1.49-2.85; I2 = 71.4%), and mortality (OR 1.48, 95% CI 1.18-1.85; I2 = 80.8%). Conclusion: Patients with obesity may have a greater risk of developing severe COVID-19 and dying. Therefore, it is important to increase awareness of these associations with obesity in COVID-19 patients.


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