scholarly journals The emergence of COVID-19 in Indonesia: analysis of predictors of infection and mortality using independent and clustered data approaches

Author(s):  
Erlina Burhan ◽  
Ari Fahrial Syam ◽  
Ahmad Jabir Rahyussalim ◽  
Prasenohadi ◽  
Navy G Lolong Wulung ◽  
...  

AbstractBackgroundAnalyses of correlates of SARS-CoV-2 infection or mortality have usually assessed individual predictors. This study aimed to determine if patterns of combined predictors may better identify risk of infection and mortalityMethodsFor the period of March 2nd to 10th 2020, the first 9 days of the COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia, we selected all 18 confirmed cases, of which 6 died, and all 60 suspected cases, of which 1 died; and 28 putatively negative patients with pneumonia and no travel history. We recorded data for travel, contact history, symptoms, haematology, comorbidities, and chest x-ray. Hierarchical cluster analyses (HCA) and principal component analyses (PCA) identified cluster and covariance patterns for symptoms or haematology which were analysed with other predictors of infection or mortality using logistic regression.ResultsFor univariate analyses, no significant association with infection was seen for fever, cough, dyspnoea, headache, runny nose, sore throat, gastrointestinal complaints (GIC), or haematology. A PCA symptom component for fever, cough, and GIC tended to increase risk of infection (OR 3.41; 95% CI 1.06-14; p=0.06), and a haematology component with elevated monocytes decreased risk (OR 0.26; 0.07-0.79; 0.027). Multivariate analysis revealed that an HCA cluster of 3-5 symptoms, typically fever, cough, headache, runny nose, sore throat but little dyspnoea and no GIC tended to reduce risk (aOR 0.048; <0.001–0.52; 0.056). In univariate analyses for death, an HCA cluster of cough, fever and dyspnoea had increased risk (OR 5.75; 1.06 − 31.3, 0.043), but no other individual predictor, cluster or component was associated. Other significant predictors of infection were age ≥ 45, international travel, contact with COVID-19 patient, and pneumonia. Diabetes and history of contact were associated with higher mortality.ConclusionsCluster groups and co-variance patterns may be stronger correlates of SARS-CoV-2 infection than individual predictors. Comorbidities may warrant careful attention as would COVID-19 exposure levels.

Stroke ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 47 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin R Kummer ◽  
Rebecca Hazan ◽  
Hooman Kamel ◽  
Alexander E Merkler ◽  
Joshua Z Willey ◽  
...  

Introduction: Infection has been described as a trigger for acute ischemic stroke, but the relationship between postoperative infection and the risk of postoperative stroke is unclear. We investigated the association between postoperative infection and stroke using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Initiative Program (NSQIP) database. Hypothesis: Postoperative infection is associated with an increased risk of postoperative stroke. Methods: We used the NSQIP database to identify all patients who underwent surgery between the years of 2000 and 2010 and developed a postoperative stroke within 30 days of surgery. The group was further stratified according to the presence of infection preceding stroke. Using a logistic regression model adjusted for age, race, sex, medical comorbidities, surgical type, and dichotomized functional status, we compared the risk of stroke in patients with and without preceding infections, and investigated the risk of infection following stroke. Results: 729,886 surgical patients were identified, of whom 2,703 (0.3%) developed postoperative stroke. 848 (0.12%) patients developed both postoperative stroke and infection. Among patients who had postoperative stroke, 100 (3.7%) had developed an infection prior to developing a stroke. Patients with infection prior to stroke had a lower risk of stroke than patients who did not develop infection prior to stroke (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.25, 95%CI 0.20-0.32). 748 patients (0.1%) developed an infection after having a postoperative stroke. These patients had a higher risk of infection (incidence rate ratio 2.76, 95%CI 2.57-2.97) and a higher odds of infection (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 3.47, 95%CI 3.18-3.78) than patients who did not have a stroke. Conclusions: We found that the presence of a preceding infection was associated with a low risk of postoperative stroke in a large surgical inpatient sample. Although the total number of strokes may have been under-reported, these results conflict with other studies that report that infection is a trigger for ischemic stroke. Further analyses using more granular data are needed to investigate the relationship between postoperative infection and the risk of postoperative stroke.


2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S501-S501
Author(s):  
O Lior ◽  
I Sergeev ◽  
N Ruhimovich ◽  
M Openheim ◽  
F Benjaminov ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Current inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) therapies are highly effective. However, compliance with treatment is influenced by patients’ perception of benefits versus risks. Understanding these perceptions and their influence on patients’ treatment decision-making is crucial for achieving compliance, especially during Covid-19 pandemic. Aim: to assess patients’ perception of risks of IBD exacerbation and SARS-CoV-2 infection, and their influence on patients’ decisions regarding biologic and immunosuppressive treatments during Covid-19 pandemic in Israel. Methods A prospective internet-based survey among Meir Medical Center, IBD clinic patients. Results 116 patients have responded. Mean age 42 (18–84), 44 (38%) males, 75 (64%) Crohn’s disease, 38 (32%) ulcerative colitis, 34 (29%) with history of abdominal surgery, 47 (40%) were in remission and 9(7.5%) with severe disease. 18 (15%) patients were on Immunosuppressive and 76 (66%) on biologic treatments. Concerns of contracting SARS-CoV-2 infection: 56 (48%) patients considered their risk as equal to that of the general population whereas 53 (46%) considered it to be increased. 55% of the patients related the increase risk of COVID-19 infection to their IBD treatment, whereas 47% related it to having IBD. Patients treated with biologics were more concerned of becoming infected with SARS-CoV-2 then those who were not. There was also a significant association between depression and anxiety levels and the fear of becoming infected (r= 0.3 for depression and 0.4 for anxiety). Adherence to IBD treatment: Only 8 (7.5%) patients considered stopping their IBD treatment, and only 4 (3.7%) patients actually stopped their treatment. Patients with more severe disease were more inclined to stop their treatment compared to those with mild disease. Reasons for not stopping treatment were fear of disease exacerbation in 37 (32%) patients, and reassuring information received from medical providers, in 25 (21.5%) patients. When faced with a theoretical question of trading long-term remission versus risk of SARS-CoV-2infection, 34 (29%) patients were willing to accept a 10% infection risk for a 10-year remission Conclusion Significant portion of the patients with IBD believe that they are at increased risk of contracting SARS-CoV-2 infection, and more than half of them related the increase risk to their IBD treatment. However, despite their fear most patients felt safe enough to continue their treatment. Patients with more severe disease and treated with biologics experienced higher levels of anxiety, depression and fear of COVID-19 infection. Identifying and addressing these fears early might increase patient’s adherence to treatment and prevent the hazardous effects of discontinuation of treatment.


2015 ◽  
Vol 53 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-88
Author(s):  
Theodore J. Witek ◽  
David L. Ramsey ◽  
Andrew N. Carr ◽  
Donald K. Riker

Background: The common cold is the most frequently experienced infection among humans, but limited data exist to characterize the onset, duration, severity and intersection of symptoms in community-acquired colds. A more complete understanding of the symptom frequency and burden in naturally occurring colds is needed. Methodology: We characterized common cold symptoms from 226 cold episodes experienced by 104 male or female subjects. Subjects were enrolled in the work environment in an attempt to start symptom evaluation (frequency and severity) at the earliest sign of their cold. We also assessed the symptom that had the greatest impact on the subject by asking them to identify their single most bothersome symptom. Results: Symptom reporting started within 24 hours of cold onset for most subjects. Sore throat was a harbinger of the illness but was accompanied by multiple symptoms, including nasal congestion, runny nose and headache. Cough was not usually the most frequent symptom, but was present throughout the cold, becoming most bothersome later in the cold. Nasal congestion, pain (eg, sore throat, headache, muscle pains) or feverishness and secretory symptoms (eg, runny nose, sneezing), and even cough, were simultaneously experienced with high incidence over the first 4 days of illness. The single most bothersome symptom was sore throat on day 1, followed by nasal congestion on days 2-5 and cough on days 6 and 7. Conclusion: There is substantial overlap in the appearance of common cold symptoms over the first several days of the common cold. Nasal congestion, secretory and pain symptoms frequently occur together, with cough being somewhat less prominent, but quite bothersome when present. These data establish the typical symptomatology of a common cold and provide a foundation for the rational treatment of cold symptoms typically experienced by cold sufferers.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher B. Crawford ◽  
James A. Clay ◽  
Anna S. Seydel ◽  
Jessica A. Wernberg

Background. Antibiotic prophylaxis for surgical site infections (SSIs) for breast surgery is widespread, but the benefit in clean surgical cases is not well defined.Methods. A retrospective analysis of 855 patients undergoing elective, nonreconstructive breast operations was performed, with 401 patients receiving no antibiotics and 454 patients receiving a single dose of preoperative antibiotic.Results. Administration of a preoperative antibiotic did not decrease the SSI rate. In this community-based study, antibiotic use practices varied considerably by surgeon. In univariate analyses, SSI rates appeared to increase with prophylactic antibiotic use (12% SSI with antibiotics versus 4% without,p<0.0001), likely because the use of underdosed antibiotics was associated with higher rates of SSI (13.2% SSI with cefazolin 1 gram,p<0.0001, and 15.4% SSI with clindamycin 300 mg or less,p=0.0269). Methicillin-resistantStaphylococcus aureuswas the most common isolate from SSI cultures, 31.8% (7 of 22). In multivariable analyses, increased risk of SSI was associated with BMI > 25 kg/m2(OR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.04–1.11,p<0.0001).Conclusion. The administration of a single dose of preoperative antibiotic did not decrease the rate of SSI in this large series of patients undergoing clean breast operations. BMI >25 kg/m2and the use of an inadequate dose of antibiotics for prophylaxis may increase risk of SSI.


2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (32) ◽  
pp. 5356-5362 ◽  
Author(s):  
Konstantinos Vahtsevanos ◽  
Athanassios Kyrgidis ◽  
Evgenia Verrou ◽  
Eirini Katodritou ◽  
Stefanos Triaridis ◽  
...  

Purpose The reported incidence of osteonecrosis of the jaw (ONJ) ranges from 0.94% to 18.6%. This cohort study aimed to calculate the incidence of and identify the risk factors for ONJ in patients with cancer treated with intravenous zoledronate, ibandronate, and pamidronate. Patients and Methods Data analyzed included age, sex, smoking status, underlying disease, medical and dental history, bisphosphonates (BP) type, and doses administered. Relative risks, crude and adjusted odds ratios (aORs), and cumulative hazard ratios for ONJ development were calculated. Results We included 1,621 patients who received 29,006 intravenous doses of BP, given monthly. Crude ONJ incidence was 8.5%, 3.1%, and 4.9% in patients with multiple myeloma, breast cancer, and prostate cancer, respectively. Patients with breast cancer demonstrated a reduced risk for ONJ development, which turned out to be nonsignificant after adjustment for other variables. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that use of dentures (aOR = 2.02; 95% CI, 1.03 to 3.96), history of dental extraction (aOR = 32.97; 95% CI, 18.02 to 60.31), having ever received zoledronate (aOR = 28.09; 95% CI, 5.74 to 137.43), and each zoledronate dose (aOR = 2.02; 95% CI, 1.15 to 3.56) were associated with increased risk for ONJ development. Smoking, periodontitis, and root canal treatment did not increase risk for ONJ in patients receiving BP. Conclusion The conclusions of this study validated dental extractions and use of dentures as risk factors for ONJ development. Ibandronate and pamidronate at the dosages and frequency used in this study seem to exhibit a safer drug profile concerning ONJ complication; however, randomized controlled trials are needed to validate these results. Before initiation of a bisphosphonate, patients should have a comprehensive dental examination. Patients with a challenging dental situation should have dental care attended to before initiation of these drugs.


Blood ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 134 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 4449-4449 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lekha Mikkilineni ◽  
Shilpa Shahani ◽  
Bonnie Yates ◽  
Seth M. Steinberg ◽  
Tara Palmore ◽  
...  

Background: Early data from anti-CD19 chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell trials suggest that concurrent infection can lead to poor outcomes. 1,2 The relationship between CAR T-cell mediated inflammatory responses and infections is not well-established. With CAR T-cell therapies more readily available, practitioners must identify which patient, disease and CAR T-cell specific parameters are associated with an increased risk of infection to optimize outcomes. We provide a comprehensive analysis of infection risk within the first 30 days after CAR T-cell infusion across multiple types of CAR T-cell trials targeting distinct antigens. Methods: This was a single-center, retrospective study conducted at the National Cancer Institute analyzing infectious complications in subjects who underwent CAR T-cell therapy on one of four phase I clinical trials, targeting CD19, CD22, B-cell maturation antigen (BCMA) or disialoganglioside (GD2) from 2012 though 2018. Baseline characteristics are in Table 1. The primary objective was to establish the incidence of infections between initiation of lymphodepleting (LD) chemotherapy through day 30 after CAR T-cell infusion. The secondary objective was to identify risk factors for infection. Patients were censored at relapse and/or initiation of alternative therapy, including treatment for relapse or consolidative hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). Univariate screening methods were used to identify parameters associated with increased risk of infection Results: Amongst 144 subjects, 52 (36.1%) received anti-CD19 CAR T-cells (CAR-T); 53 (36.8%) received anti-CD22 CAR-T, 26 (18.1%) received anti-BCMA CAR-T; and 13 (9%) received anti-GD2 CAR-T. The median age was 18 years (range: 4 to 66). Sixty-one (42.4%) had undergone at least one prior allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) and 24 (16.7%) had at least one prior autologous HSCT. Sixty-eight (47.2%) had a history of a recent infection within 100 days of initiation of LD chemotherapy, of which 17 were a major chronic infection and 9 were considered severe. Fifty-eight (40.3%) subjects experienced a total of 103 infections from initiation of LD chemotherapy through day 30 post CAR T-cell infusion, with the median time to first infection being 6 days post-CAR infusion. Twenty-eight (19.4%) subjects had more than 1 infection; 20 (13.9%) subjects had C. difficile infection. The 103 infections consisted of 47 (45.6%) distinct episodes of focal bacterial infections (e.g., sinusitis, pneumonia, urinary tract infection), 25 (24.2%) episodes of bacteremia, 22 (21.4%) viral infections, and 9 (8.7%) invasive fungal infections. Fourteen infections (13.6%) occurred between initiation of LD chemotherapy and day 0 (prior to CAR T-cell infusion). Fever and neutropenia, without a source, was documented as a distinct entity in 85 patients (59.0%). Using univariate statistical screening methods, we identified 4 parameters that were individually associated with an increased risk of infection: increasing number of prior therapies (p=0.0034), prior history of recent infection within the past 100 days (p=0.0064), age > 18 (p =0.028), or enrollment on the CD22 CAR trial (p=0.0028). Eliminating the trial, since that is not generalizable, and combining these into a multivariable logistic regression model identified age > 18, prior history of infection and prior lines of therapies jointly associated with an increased risk of infection. Using these parameters, a predictive model was developed, which, when applied to the data set used to develop the model, can correctly predict 69 of 86 patients without an infection (80.3%; CI: 70.3-88.0%) as well as 32 of 58 patients with an infection (55.2%; 95% CI: 41.5- 68.3%). Conclusion: In this retrospective analysis, we provide the largest experience to date analyzing infection in the setting of CAR T-cell therapy across multiple CAR constructs. Our study demonstrates that adult age, prior history of infection, increased number of prior therapies and enrollment on a particular CAR T-cell trial, in this case the CD22 CAR-T trial, may lead to a higher risk of infection than in those without these risk factors. Further investigations are underway to evaluate clinical outcomes with infection which occur in the peri CAR T-cell setting and potential strategies to minimize infection risk. Generalizability of this model will be tested in an independent data set. Disclosures Lee: Kite, a Gilead Company: Research Funding; Harpoon Therapeutics: Consultancy; Juno Therapeutics: Other: External Advisory Board; ACI Clinical on behalf of Celgene:: Other: Independent Central Quality Review Committee. Mackall:Obsidian: Research Funding; Lyell: Consultancy, Equity Ownership, Other: Founder, Research Funding; Nektar: Other: Scientific Advisory Board; PACT: Other: Scientific Advisory Board; Bryologyx: Other: Scientific Advisory Board; Vor: Other: Scientific Advisory Board; Roche: Other: Scientific Advisory Board; Adaptimmune LLC: Other: Scientific Advisory Board; Glaxo-Smith-Kline: Other: Scientific Advisory Board; Allogene: Equity Ownership, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Apricity Health: Equity Ownership, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Unum Therapeutics: Equity Ownership, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Kochenderfer:Kite and Celgene: Research Funding; Bluebird and CRISPR Therapeutics: Other: received royalties on licensing of his inventions. OffLabel Disclosure: Conditioning chemotherapy for CAR T-cell therapy; this is a retrospective study that used different lymphodepletion regimens.


2006 ◽  
Vol 24 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 14547-14547
Author(s):  
L. A. Korde ◽  
A. Premkumar ◽  
J. L. Kramer ◽  
W. Linehan ◽  
S. Pfeiffer ◽  
...  

14547 Background: A family history of testicular cancer (TC) is associated with a 2- to 10-fold increase in TC risk. Specific abnormalities of the urogenital tract (e.g., cryptorchidism, inguinal hernia) also increase risk. The association between testicular microlithiasis (TM) and testicular intraepithelial neoplasia (TIN) has suggested that the former may be a TC risk factor. The finding of inhomogenous echotexture on ultrasound has also been associated with an increased risk of TIN. In this study, we evaluate ultrasongraphic abnormalities in men with a history of TC and their kindreds. Methods: We analyzed testicular ultrasounds (TU) from 45 FTC cases and 35 unaffected male relatives, drawn from 31 multiple-case FTC families. TU were performed between January 2003 and November 2005 as part of an NCI multidisciplinary etiologic study of FTC. All studies were reviewed by a single radiologist. Results: We found no incident TC. Five focal lesions were seen. Three were thought to be cysts and 2 required further follow-up. The frequency of varicocele and epididymal cyst was similar in both groups. Hydrocele was seen in 7 (16%) cases and 3 (9%) unaffecteds (OR = 2.0; 95% CI = 0.5–8.3). Inhomogenous testicular parenchyma was noted in 12 (27%) cases and 3 (9%) unaffected family members (OR = 3.9; 95% CI = 1.0–15.0). TM was seen in 20 subjects [15 (34%) cases and 5 (14%) unaffecteds, OR = 3.1; 95% CI = 1.0–9.6]. An additional 10 subjects (7 cases, 3 unaffecteds) had calcifications that did not meet diagnostic criteria for TM. The finding of TM was confined to 13 of the 31 families. In 6 of these 13 families, 2 or more subjects had TM. Conclusion: A number of genitourinary conditions were more common in FTC cases than in unaffected blood relatives, providing support for the testicular dysgenesis hypothesis related to TC etiology. TM was found in a high proportion of cases and in a smaller proportion of unaffecteds. In this small series, TM appeared to cluster in families. If validated, these findings could have important implications for both screening and follow-up of FTC families. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2014 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 137-143 ◽  
Author(s):  
Torrance Stephens ◽  
Rhonda C. Holliday

Abstract The purpose of this study was to examine self-reported thoughts of suicide, HIV risk behaviors and history of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) in a sample of adolescent juvenile offenders in Georgia. Participants were 2260 juvenile offenders housed at selected youth development campuses (YDCs) in the state of Georgia. Self-reported measures of suicide ideation, HIV risk, and past occurrence of STIs were collected. Significance tests were conducted using univariate logistic regressions to examine the independent associations of lifetime self-reported thoughts of suicide and dichotomized HIV risk behaviour correlates prior to incarceration. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were presented. Significant differences were observed between juveniles in several factors for increased risk, including having been previously incarcerated (p<0.04), having had more than five alcoholic drinks in the same day (p<0.007), and having performed oral sex (p<0.028). We suggest that interventions for juvenile offenders that report thoughts of suicide, and that focus on HIV risk reduction should be developed based on the consideration of targeting factors that increase risk to specific STIs.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rowan Rezaie ◽  
Mustapha Modaffar ◽  
Paul Jung ◽  
Chandni Hindocha ◽  
James A Bisby ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTBackgroundDevelopmental psychological trauma can impact several key neurocognitive domains, including reward processing, and is associated with increased risk of psychosis in adulthood. Aberrant reinforcement learning (RL), an important component of reward processing, has been implicated in the pathophysiology of psychosis by altering information processing through changes in hierarchical predictive coding. We therefore sought to investigate RL in survivors of developmental trauma and its relationship to psychotic experiences.MethodsWe recruited two groups of adults, one with self-reported exposure to multiple forms of developmental trauma (n=115), and a control group without any known history of maltreatment (n=85). Participants completed measures of psychotic experiences (Community Assessment of Psychic Experiences) and undertook a probabilistic selection task designed to assess RL from positive versus negative outcomes. We analysed group differences for main effects and investigated relationships between developmental trauma, RL and psychotic experiences using regression modelling and mediation analysis.ResultsDevelopmental trauma was associated with psychotic experiences (adjusted R2=0.41, p=0.004) and impaired RL (Fdf=6.291,89, p=0.014). Impaired RL mediated the association between developmental trauma and psychotic experiences (indirect effect β = 0.60, 95% CI, 0.01–1.36).ConclusionsOur findings implicate aberrant RL as a possible mechanism through which developmental trauma may increase risk of psychosis. Further research is therefore warranted to understand the specific processes that characterise these putative trauma-induced vulnerability mechanisms and how they may contribute to the development of psychopathology.


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