scholarly journals Longitudinal changes in age and race of patients with SARS-CoV-2 in a multi-hospital health system

Author(s):  
Ian J. Barbash ◽  
Lee H. Harrison ◽  
Jana L. Jacobs ◽  
Faraaz Ali Shah ◽  
Tomeka L. Suber ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTBackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic continues to affect the United States and the world. Media reports have suggested that the wave of the alpha variant in the Spring of 2021 in the US caused more cases among younger patients and racial and ethnic subgroups.ApproachWe analyzed electronic health record data from a multihospital health system to test whether younger patients accounted for more cases and more severe disease, and whether racial disparities are widening. We compared demographics, patient characteristics, and hospitalization variables for patients admitted from November 2020 through January 2021 to those admitted in March and April 2021.ResultsWe analyzed data for 37, 502 unique inpatients and outpatients at 21 hospitals from November 1, 2020 to April 30, 2021. Compared to patients from November through January, those with positive tests in March and April were younger and less likely to die. Among patients under age 50, those with positive tests in March and April were three times as likely to be hospitalized and twice as likely to require ICU admission or mechanical ventilation. Individuals identified as Black represented a greater proportion of cases and hospitalizations in March and April as compared to November through January.ConclusionsWe found that relative COVID-19 hospitalization rates for younger individuals and individuals identified as Black were rising over time. These findings have important implications for ongoing public health measures to mitigate the impact of the pandemic.

Author(s):  
Nicholas Davies ◽  
Sedona Sweeney ◽  
Sergio Torres-Rueda ◽  
Fiammetta Bozzani ◽  
Nichola Kitson ◽  
...  

AbstractBackgroundCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemics strain health systems and households. Health systems in Africa and South Asia may be particularly at risk due to potential high prevalence of risk factors for severe disease, large household sizes and limited healthcare capacity.MethodsWe investigated the impact of an unmitigated COVID-19 epidemic on health system resources and costs, and household costs, in Karachi, Delhi, Nairobi, Addis Ababa and Johannesburg. We adapted a dynamic model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and disease to capture country-specific demography and contact patterns. The epidemiological model was then integrated into an economic framework that captured city-specific health systems and household resource use.FindingsThe cities severely lack intensive care beds, healthcare workers and financial resources to meet demand during an unmitigated COVID-19 epidemic. A highly mitigated COVID-19 epidemic, under optimistic assumptions, may avoid overwhelming hospital bed capacity in some cities, but not critical care capacity.InterpretationViable mitigation strategies encompassing a mix of responses need to be established to expand healthcare capacity, reduce peak demand for healthcare resources, minimise progression to critical care and shield those at greatest risk of severe disease.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation, European Commission, National Institute for Health Research, Department for International Development, Wellcome Trust, Royal Society, Research Councils UK.Research in contextEvidence before this studyWe conducted a PubMed search on May 5, 2020, with no language restrictions, for studies published since inception, combining the terms (“cost” OR “economic”) AND “covid”. Our search yielded 331 articles, only two of which reported estimates of health system costs of COVID-19. The first study estimated resource use and medical costs for COVID-19 in the United States using a static model of COVID 19. The second study estimated the costs of polymerase chain reaction tests in the United States. We found no studies examining the economic implications of COVID-19 in low- or middle-income settings.Added value of this studyThis is the first study to use locally collected data in five cities (Karachi, Delhi, Nairobi, Addis Ababa and Johannesburg) to project the healthcare resource and health economic implications of an unmitigated COVID-19 epidemic. Besides the use of local data, our study moves beyond existing work to (i) consider the capacity of health systems in key cities to cope with this demand, (ii) consider healthcare staff resources needed, since these fall short of demand by greater margins than hospital beds, and (iii) consider economic costs to health services and households.Implications of all the evidenceDemand for ICU beds and healthcare workers will exceed current capacity by orders of magnitude, but the capacity gap for general hospital beds is narrower. With optimistic assumptions about disease severity, the gap between demand and capacity for general hospital beds can be closed in some, but not all the cities. Efforts to bridge the economic burden of disease to households are needed.


2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (2_suppl) ◽  
pp. 81-81
Author(s):  
Tracy Li ◽  
Neal D. Shore ◽  
Maneesha Mehra ◽  
Mary Beth Todd ◽  
Ryan Saadi ◽  
...  

81 Background: The objective of this study was to estimate the direct medical costs of secondary metastases in prostate cancer (PC) patients initially diagnosed with locoregional disease. Methods: We used data from the United States Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) cancer registry linked to Medicare claims to identify a cohort of PC patients initially diagnosed with locoregional disease between 2000 and 2011, who were age ≥ 66 at diagnosis, and who first had a diagnosis of metastasis (index date) ≥ 4 months after PC diagnosis (cases). We matched each case to up to four controls (patients without metastasis) on baseline patient characteristics to assess the incremental impact of developing metastasis. A “match date” corresponding to the index date of the case was constructed for each control. Cases and controls were followed from up to 12 months before and up to 12 months after metastasis. Medicare claims were used to calculate the average total cost per month in the cases and controls. Monthly costs also were stratified according to place and type of service, e.g. inpatient, outpatient, and by whether costs pertained to cancer services, i.e. chemotherapy or androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), other services with an ICD-9 code for cancer, or other care. Results: The cohort consisted of 10,370 cases and 39,200 controls, with a mean age at baseline of 79 years in both groups. The median time to subsequent metastasis (cases) was 37 months and 85% had bone metastasis. In the control group, total costs remained stable throughout the observation period, averaging $1,354/month before and $1,173 12/month after matched index date. In the cases, costs were similar to the controls from -12 to -6 months before the index date. Thereafter, medical costs rose sharply to $11,982 in the month of diagnosis of metastasis (index date), and then declined but stayed > $2,000/month higher than the control for the remainder of the observation period. Expenses from inpatient, physician services, outpatient, and skilled nursing facility accounted for the largest proportions of total costs. Conclusions: Developing metastasis in Medicare PC patients results in substantial additional costs to the healthcare system.


2020 ◽  
pp. 2000414
Author(s):  
Marissa Borgese ◽  
David Badesch ◽  
Todd Bull ◽  
Murali Chakinala ◽  
Teresa DeMarco ◽  
...  

IntroductionWhile the performance of the emPHasis-10 (e10) score has been evaluated against limited patient characteristics within the United Kingdom, there is an unmet need for exploring the performance of the e10 score among PAH patients in the United States.MethodsUsing the Pulmonary Hypertension Association Registry, we evaluated relationships between the e10 score and demographic, functional, hemodynamics, and additional clinical characteristics at baseline and over time. Furthermore, we derived a minimally important difference (MID) estimate for the e10 score.ResultsWe analysed data from 565 PAH (75% female) adults 55.6±16.0 years of age. At baseline, the e10 score had notable correlation with factors expected to impact quality of life in the general population, including age, education level, income, smoking status, and body mass index. Clinically important parameters including six-minute walk distance and B-type natriuretic peptide/N-terminal-pro BNP were also significantly associated with e10 score at baseline and over time. We generated a MID estimate for the e10 score of −6.0 points (range −5.0 to −7.6 points).ConclusionsThe e10 score was associated with demographic and clinical patient characteristics suggesting that HRQoL in PAH is influenced by both social factors and indicators of disease severity. Future studies are needed to demonstrate the impact of the e10 score on clinical decision-making and its potential utility for assessing clinically important interventions.


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (10) ◽  
pp. 1466-1474 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric W. Young ◽  
Alissa Kapke ◽  
Zhechen Ding ◽  
Regina Baker ◽  
Jeffrey Pearson ◽  
...  

Background and objectivesPeritoneal dialysis (PD) use increased in the United States with the introduction of a new Medicare prospective payment system in January 2011 that likely reduced financial disincentives for facility use of this home therapy. The expansion of PD to a broader population and facilities having less PD experience may have implications for patient outcomes. We assessed the impact of PD expansion on PD discontinuation and patient mortality.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsA prospective cohort study was conducted of patients treated with PD at 90 days of ESKD. Patients were grouped by study start date relative to the Medicare payment reform: prereform (July 1, 2008 to December 31, 2009; n=10,585), interim (January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2010; n=7832), and reform period (January 1, 2011 to December 31, 2012; n=18,742). Patient characteristics and facility PD experience were compared at baseline (day 91 of ESKD). Patients were followed for 3 years for the major outcomes of PD discontinuation and mortality using Cox proportional hazards models.ResultsPatient characteristics, including age, sex, race, ethnicity, rurality, cause of ESKD, and comorbidity, were similar or showed small changes across the three study periods. There was an increasing tendency for patients on PD to be treated in facilities with less PD experience (from 34% during the prereform period being treated in facilities averaging <14 patients on PD per year to 44% in the reform period). Patients treated in facilities with less PD experience had a higher rate of PD discontinuation than patients treated in facilities with the most experience (hazard ratio [HR], 1.16; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.10 to 1.23 for the first versus fifth quintile of PD experience). Nevertheless, the risk of PD discontinuation fell during the late interim period (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.82 to 0.95) and most of the reform period (from HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.79 to 0.91 to HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.87 to 1.01). Mortality risk was stable across the three study periods.ConclusionsIn the context of expanding PD use and declining facility PD experience, the risk of PD discontinuation fell, and there was no adverse effect on mortality.PodcastThis article contains a podcast at https://www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/CJASN/2019_09_12_CJN01610219.mp3


2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 119-127
Author(s):  
Christopher M. Horvat, MD, MHA ◽  
Brian Martin, DMD ◽  
Liwen Wu, MS ◽  
Anthony Fabio, PhD ◽  
Phil E. Empey, PharmD, PhD ◽  
...  

Objective: Legitimate opioid prescriptions have been identified as a risk factor for opioid misuse in pediatric patients. In 2014, Pennsylvania legislation expanded a prescription drug monitoring program (PDMP) to curb inappropriate controlled substance prescriptions. The authors’ objective was to describe recent opioid prescribing trends at a large, pediatric health system situated in a region with one of the highest opioid-related death rates in the United States and examine the impact of the PDMP on prescribing trends.Design: Quasi-experimental assessment of trends of opioid e-prescriptions, from 2012 to 2017. Multivariable Poisson segmented regression examined the effect of the PDMP. Period prevalence comparison of opioid e-prescriptions across the care continuum in 2016.Results: There were 62,661 opioid e-prescriptions identified during the study period. Combination opioid/non-opioid prescriptions decreased, while oxycodone prescriptions increased. Seasonal variation was evident. Of 110,884 inpatient encounters, multivariable regression demonstrated lower odds of an opioid being prescribed at discharge per month of the study period (p 0.001) and a significant interaction between passage of the PDMP legislation and time (p = 0.03). Black patients had lower odds of receiving an opioid at discharge compared to white patients. Inpatients had significantly greater odds of receiving an opioid compared to emergency department (Prevalence Odds Ratio 7.1 [95% confidence interval: 6.9-7.3]; p 0.001) and outpatient (398.9 [355.5-447.5]; p 0.001) encounters.Conclusion: In a large pediatric health system, oxycodone has emerged as the most commonly prescribed opioid in recent years. Early evidence indicates that a state-run drug monitoring program is associated with reduced opioid prescribing. Additional study is necessary to examine the relationship between opioid prescriptions and race.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Li ◽  
Yan Li ◽  
Zhuoru Zou ◽  
Yiming Liu ◽  
Xinghui Li ◽  
...  

Background: The SARS-CoV-2 Alpha variant B.1.1.7 became prevalent in the United States (US). We aimed to evaluate the impact of vaccination scale-up and potential reduction in the vaccination effectiveness on the COVID-19 epidemic and social restoration in the US. Methods: We extended a published compartmental model and calibrated the model to the latest US COVID-19 data. We estimated the vaccine effectiveness against B.1.1.7 and evaluated the impact of a potential reduction in vaccine effectiveness on future epidemics. We projected the epidemic trends under different levels of social restoration. Results: We estimated the overall existing vaccine effectiveness against B.1.1.7 to be 88.5% (95%CI: 87.4-89.5%) and vaccination coverage would reach 70% by the end of August, 2021. With this vaccine effectiveness and coverage, we anticipated 498,972 (109,998-885,947) cumulative infections and 15,443 (3,828-27,057) deaths nationwide over the next 12 months, of which 95.0% infections and 93.3% deaths were caused by B.1.1.7. Complete social restoration at 70% vaccination coverage would only slightly increase cumulative infections and deaths to 511,159 (110,578-911,740) and 15,739 (3,841-27,638), respectively. However, if the vaccine effectiveness were reduced to 75%, 50% or 25% due to new SARS-CoV-2 variants, we predicted 667,075 (130,682-1,203,468), 1.7m (0.2-3.2m), 19.0m (5.3-32.7m) new infections and 19,249 (4,281-34,217), 42,265 (5,081-79,448), 426,860 (117,229-736,490) cumulative deaths to occur over the next 12 months. Further, social restoration at a lower vaccination coverage would lead to even greater future outbreaks. Conclusion: Current COVID-19 vaccines remain effective against the B.1.1.7 variant, and 70% vaccination coverage would be sufficient to restore social activities to a pre-pandemic level. Further reduction in vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 variants would result in a potential surge of the epidemic in the future.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arjun Puranik ◽  
Patrick J Lenehan ◽  
Eli Silvert ◽  
Michiel JM Niesen ◽  
Juan Corchado-Garcia ◽  
...  

Although clinical trials and real-world studies have affirmed the effectiveness and safety of the FDA-authorized COVID-19 vaccines, reports of breakthrough infections and persistent emergence of new variants highlight the need to vigilantly monitor the effectiveness of these vaccines. Here we compare the effectiveness of two full-length Spike protein-encoding mRNA vaccines from Moderna (mRNA-1273) and Pfizer/BioNTech (BNT162b2) in the Mayo Clinic Health System over time from January to July 2021, during which either the Alpha or Delta variant was highly prevalent. We defined cohorts of vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals from Minnesota (n = 25,589 each) matched on age, sex, race, history of prior SARS-CoV-2 PCR testing, and date of full vaccination. Both vaccines were highly effective during this study period against SARS-CoV-2 infection (mRNA-1273: 86%, 95%CI: 81-90.6%; BNT162b2: 76%, 95%CI: 69-81%) and COVID-19 associated hospitalization (mRNA-1273: 91.6%, 95% CI: 81-97%; BNT162b2: 85%, 95% CI: 73-93%). In July, vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization has remained high (mRNA-1273: 81%, 95% CI: 33-96.3%; BNT162b2: 75%, 95% CI: 24-93.9%), but effectiveness against infection was lower for both vaccines (mRNA-1273: 76%, 95% CI: 58-87%; BNT162b2: 42%, 95% CI: 13-62%), with a more pronounced reduction for BNT162b2. Notably, the Delta variant prevalence in Minnesota increased from 0.7% in May to over 70% in July whereas the Alpha variant prevalence decreased from 85% to 13% over the same time period. Comparing rates of infection between matched individuals fully vaccinated with mRNA-1273 versus BNT162b2 across Mayo Clinic Health System sites in multiple states (Minnesota, Wisconsin, Arizona, Florida, and Iowa), mRNA-1273 conferred a two-fold risk reduction against breakthrough infection compared to BNT162b2 (IRR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.39-0.64). In Florida, which is currently experiencing its largest COVID-19 surge to date, the risk of infection in July after full vaccination with mRNA-1273 was about 60% lower than after full vaccination with BNT162b2 (IRR: 0.39, 95% CI: 0.24-0.62). Our observational study highlights that while both mRNA COVID-19 vaccines strongly protect against infection and severe disease, further evaluation of mechanisms underlying differences in their effectiveness such as dosing regimens and vaccine composition are warranted.


2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (09) ◽  
pp. 848-855
Author(s):  
Hytham S. Salem ◽  
John M. Tarazi ◽  
Joseph O. Ehiorobo ◽  
Kevin B. Marchand ◽  
Kevin K. Mathew ◽  
...  

AbstractThe number of total knee arthroplasties (TKAs) performed in the United States has increased considerably in recent years, with a major contribution from younger patients. Maximizing survivorship of these implants has always been a point of emphasis. Early TKA designs with cementless fixation were associated with high rates of complications and implant failures. However, recent advances in cementless designs have shown excellent results. The decision to use cemented or cementless fixation for patients undergoing TKA is typically based on the surgeon's experience and preference. However, several patient characteristics must also be taken into account. The purpose of this review was to describe the clinical outcomes of studies in which a cementless TKA system was utilized for patients who (1) were less than 60 years of age, (2) were greater than 75 years of age, (3) were obese, (4) had rheumatoid arthritis, and (5) had osteonecrosis of the knee. Based on the studies included in this review, it appears that cementless fixation is a viable option for patients who have all of the above demographics.


2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (9) ◽  
pp. 1147-1152 ◽  
Author(s):  
A Jay Holmgren ◽  
Eric W Ford

Abstract Objective Horizontal consolidation in the hospital industry has gained momentum in the United States despite concerns over rising costs and lower quality. Hospital systems frequently point to potential gains in interoperability and electronic exchange of patient information as consolidation benefits. We sought to assess whether hospitals in different health system structures varied in their interoperable data sharing. Materials and methods We created a cross-sectional national hospital sample from the 2014 AHA Annual Survey and 2015 IT Supplement. We combined the existing taxonomy of health system organizational forms and the ONC’s functionality-based, technology-agnostic definition of interoperability. We used logistic regression models to assess the relationship between health systems’ organizational forms and interoperability engagement, controlling for hospital characteristics. Results We found that interoperability engagement varied greatly across hospitals in different health system structures, with facilities in more centralized health systems more likely to be interoperable. Hospitals in one system type, featuring centralized insurance product development but diverse service offerings across member organizations, had significantly higher odds of being engaged in interoperable data sharing in our multivariate regression results. Discussion The heterogeneity in health system interoperability engagement indicates that incentives to share data vary greatly across organizational strategies and structures. Our results suggest that horizontal consolidation in the hospital industry may not bring significant gains in interoperability progress unless that consolidation takes a specific business alignment form. Conclusion Policymakers should be wary of claims that horizontal consolidation will lead to interoperability gains. Future research should explore the specific mechanisms that lead to greater interoperability in certain health system organizational structures.


Author(s):  
Stephanie A Richard ◽  
Simon D Pollett ◽  
Charlotte A Lanteri ◽  
Eugene V Millar ◽  
Anthony C Fries ◽  
...  

Abstract Background We evaluated the clinical outcomes, functional burden, and complications one month after COVID-19 infection in a prospective United States Military Health System (MHS) cohort of active duty, retiree, and dependent populations using serial patient-reported outcome surveys and electronic medical record (EMR) review. Methods MHS beneficiaries presenting at nine sites across the United States with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test, a COVID-19 like illness, or a high-risk SARS-CoV-2 exposure were eligible for enrollment. Medical history and clinical outcomes were collected through structured interviews and ICD-based EMR review. Risk factors associated with hospitalization were determined by multivariate logistic regression. Results A total of 1,202 participants were enrolled. There were 1,070 laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases and 132 SARS-CoV-2 negative participants. In the first month post-symptom onset among the SARS-CoV-2 positive cases, there were 214 hospitalizations, 79% requiring oxygen, 22 ICU admissions, and 9 deaths. Risk factors for COVID-19 associated hospitalization included race (increased for Asian, Black, and Hispanic compared to non-Hispanic White), age (age 45-64 and 65+ compared to &lt;45), and obesity (BMI&gt;=30 compared to BMI&lt;30). Over 2% of survey respondents reported the need for supplemental oxygen and 31% had not returned to normal daily activities at one-month post-symptom onset. Conclusions Older age, reporting Asian, Black or Hispanic race/ethnicity, and obesity are associated with SARS-CoV-2 hospitalization. A proportion of acute SARS-CoV-2 infections require long-term oxygen therapy; the impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection on short-term functional status was substantial. A significant number of MHS beneficiaries had not yet returned to normal activities by one month.


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