Prospects for the global economy in 2017

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
World Bank ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Average Growth ◽  
New Normal ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
Factors Influencing ◽  
The World ◽  
Downward Spiral

Subject Prospects for the global economy in 2017. Significance The IMF, the OECD and the World Bank see the world economy growing by about 3.0% next year, little changed from its 2012-16 average growth but down from the 5.1% average achieved during 2003-07. Factors influencing the outlook include weak trade and poor productivity along with high debt levels and policy limitations: these feed into each other, creating a downward spiral of growth expectations. Nonetheless, many economies are well placed to cope with this 'new normal'.

scholarly journals RESHAPING THE REGIONAL ECONOMIC INTEGRATION: THE CASE OF NAFTA-USMCA TRANSFORMATION

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nadiia Fedorova ◽  
Hlib Ziubanov ◽  
Olena Ladushyna
Keyword(s):  
World Bank ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
World Economy ◽  
State Of The Art ◽  
Recent Change ◽  
Global Trends ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
Short Period ◽  
The World ◽  
Constant Growth

Global trends indicate that the activation of integration processes characterize the state-of-the-art situation of the world economy. The WTO statistics show the constant growth in the number of regional trade agreements (RTA). These RTAs are not the static entities of the global economy but dynamic actors which are reshaping all the time (Brexit, NAFTA-USMCA transformation, Ukraine’s exit from the CIS can prove this). The objective of this study is the recent change in the NAFTA agreement as one of the most influential RTA in the world. According to The World Bank data in 2019 global GDP consisted of NAFTA’s GDP on 28 %, global export consisted of NAFTA’s export on 12 %, meanwhile, NAFTA’s import was 19 % of the global one. The investigation shows that all of the NAFTA countries took the advantage of the deal and had their benefits. Separately they would never have achieved such astounding results in quite a short period of time.

scholarly journals World economic development within domination of regional states

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Regional Integration ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
World Economy ◽  
The United States ◽  
Change World ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
The World ◽  
World Economic

The article deals with the world economic development within the domination of regional states that continue to play an important role, despite the regional integration processes affect and change world ecocnomy. Today, according to the World Bank data, such states are the United States of America, China, Japan, Germany, Great Britain, France, India, Italy, Brazil, Canada. Today these regional states have the largest economies in the world. The article analyzes the main indicators of the states that characterize their position in the world economy in 2016. The study determines the share of the macrogeographic regions, which includes the largest regional states in the world economy. The forecast is made on the basis of current trends in the global economy, 2016-2017 and the World Bank data on the world economy development by 2030. The regional states are identified as the largest economies in the world by that time.

The IMF, its mandate and influence in prevention of financial sector abuse

2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 987-1011
Author(s):  
Norman Mugarura
Keyword(s):  
World Bank ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Data Sources ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
The World ◽  
Secondary Data Sources ◽  
Work Done ◽  
The Imf

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to articulate the mandate of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) not least in promoting a sound legal regulatory environment for markets to operate globally and its inherent challenges. While acknowledging the plausible work done by the IMF in supporting countries to achieve their macro-economic stability, the paper articulates some of its shortcomings as a global institution. It is evident that the post-war climate in which the World Bank and IMF were created has drastically changed – which presupposes that these institutions now need to reposition themselves to reflect on contemporary global challenges accordingly. The author has argued in the past that a robust regulatory system should be devised taking into account the dynamic challenges in the market environment but also to prevent them from happening again. Design/methodology/approach The paper has utilized empirical evidence to evaluate the mandate of the IMF in addressing its dynamic challenges such as the global financial and debt crises in Europe and the USA and prevention of financial sector abuse globally. The IMF is one of the Bretton Woods Institutions charged with the oversight responsibility to enforce policies and enable countries to manage their macro-economic challenges efficiently. Findings The findings demonstrate that the IMF is as relevant and important as it was when it was created in 1945. However, there is a need for intrinsic and structural changes within this institution to continue discharging its mandate in a changed global regulatory landscape. The IMF is still crucial in fostering a fundamental stabilization function to fragile global economies in areas of financial and technical assistance, and developing requisite legal and supervisory infrastructure within fledging member countries. Research limitations/implications The paper was written by analysis of both theoretical and empirical data largely based on secondary data sources. It would have been better to first present the findings in an international conference to solicit wide views and internalize them accordingly. Practical implications While acknowledging the plausible work done by the IMF and its counterpart the World Bank in facilitating global financial markets regulation and prevention of financial sector abuse, as oversight institutions, they need to constantly review their mandate to respond robustly to their dynamic challenges such as the global and debt crises and financial sector abuse. Oversight institutions need to constantly review and adapt their mandate accordingly, if they are to discharge their varied responsibilities efficiently. They cannot stand still in the face of challenges because they will be superseded and kept at a back foot. Social implications Markets and states are embedded in each other, and the way they are regulated is of a significant importance to varied stakeholders and people. Originality/value This paper is one of its kind, is unique in its character and evaluates embedded issues using empirical evidence in a way not done in its context before. Secondary data sources have been evaluated to achieve a thoughtful analysis of the objectives of the paper.

Major obstacles facing business enterprises in an emerging economy: the case of Ghana using the World Bank Enterprise Survey

2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 475-487
Author(s):  
Ibrahim Mohammed ◽  
Alhassan Bunyaminu
Keyword(s):  
World Bank ◽  
Emerging Economy ◽  
Probit Regression ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
The World ◽  
Business Enterprises ◽  
World Bank Enterprise Survey ◽  
Enterprise Survey

PurposeThis paper aims at identifying the major obstacles to business enterprise in an emerging economy and how these obstacles are associated with different characteristics of the enterprises.Design/methodology/approachThe study relied on the World Bank Enterprise Survey data on Ghana and applied binary and ordinal probit regression techniques to estimate the associations between the characteristics of the enterprises and the identified obstacles. Significance testing of the associations is also conducted.FindingsThe five main obstacles perceived by most of the enterprises in the study are access to finance, electricity, access to land, customs and trade regulations and tax rates. These obstacles are associated in different ways to growth rate (high vs low growth), scale (small and medium vs large), age, size of employees, the experience of the top manager and ownership (wholly domestic vs foreign ownership).Research limitations/implicationsAs a cross-sectional study focusing on Ghana, the findings are informative about the major obstacles facing business enterprises in an emerging economy; however, the ecological validity of these findings may be limited to factors specific to Ghana.Originality/valueGiven the representativeness of the Enterprise Survey, policymakers can rely on these findings to formulate useful policies to promote the operations of business enterprises.

East and West will divide over new Bosnian viceroy

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
World Bank ◽  
Common Interest ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
The World ◽  
East And West ◽  
Dayton Agreement ◽  
Negative Behaviour ◽  
Roll Out ◽  
The Eu

Significance The summit’s avowed aim was to renew the EU-US ‘Transatlantic partnership’, including committing to upholding the international rules-based order built around the UN. It called for cooperation with Russia in areas of common interest despite its repeated “negative behaviour”. Such strains include Russia’s opposition to appointing a new high representative for Bosnia. Impacts Vucic’s call for regular reports from the high representative recognises his legitimacy while asserting Serbian interest in BiH. Croatian President Zoran Milanovic’s support for the 1995 Dayton agreement weakens outside backing for Bosnian Croat separatism. The World Bank has left its growth forecast for BiH unchanged from January, provided vaccine roll-out accelerates.

Cognitive abilities and income: preliminary evidence from a developing country

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Raufhon Salahodjaev ◽  
Ziyodakhon Malikova
Keyword(s):  
Human Capital ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Cognitive Abilities ◽  
Cognitive Skills ◽  
Preliminary Evidence ◽  
Standard Deviation Increase ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
Unconditional Model ◽  
The World

Purpose Related literature finds that human capital proxied by cognitive abilities is an important antecedent of numerous specific life outcomes. The purpose of this study is to extend existing evidence by investigating the link between cognitive skills and income in Tajikistan. Tajikistan is a landlocked low-income country situated in Central Asia. Its population is 9.1 million people and gross domestic product per capita of US$822. According to the World Bank, Tajikistan has made significant progress in decreasing poverty levels from 83% in 2000 to 29.5% in 2017. Design/methodology/approach The data for this study comes from the 2013 Jobs, Skills and Migration Survey conducted by the World Bank and the German Society for International Cooperation. The main explanatory variable of the study is the cognitive abilities index of the respondents. The survey used item response theory (IRT) approach to estimate the ability of respondents. IRT is a method or a set of statistical frameworks, used to explore assessment item data, such as cognitive abilities assessment data. The wage function was estimated using the ordinary least squares method because the results are easier to interpret (Jencks, 1979; Bowles et al., 2001; Groves, 2006). Findings The baseline results are reported in Table 2. The results in Column 1 demonstrated the link between cognitive abilities and income without control variables (unconditional model). As expected, cognitive abilities are positively and significantly related to income (a1 = 0.0715, p < 0.01). The results from the unconditional model suggest that one standard deviation increase in cognitive abilities is associated with a nearly 17% increase in income. Research limitations/implications However, the study has a number of limitations. First, the dependent variable measures the overall income of the respondent, which includes the profit from other businesses. The survey does not provide data on monthly wages of respondents. Second, the sample may not perfectly represent the overall population of Tajikistan. To partially resolve this issue, this paper re-estimated out results for various sub-samples. Another important limitation of this study is the lack of respondent’s family background, which is an important correlate of human capital and income. Practical implications The results in the study offer preliminary evidence on the link between cognitive abilities and income in Tajikistan. However, the results of the study also suggest that both measures of human capital are positively related to income. Therefore, policymakers in Tajikistan should invest greater resources to health care, education and training programs as cognitive skills can be built in particular in the early stages of the life cycle. Indeed, Tajikistan has a significant potential for economic growth model driven by human capital. According to the World Bank, the adult literacy rate in Tajikistan is 100%, which is significantly above of what is observed in other developing countries. This may imply that the human potential in this country is considerable, and further investment in soft and hard skills would have a positive impact on economic growth. Originality/value This paper offers new evidence on the link between cognitive abilities and income, using data from Tajikistan. First, this paper finds that cognitive abilities are positively and significantly correlated with income. Second, this paper finds that this link remains robust even when this paper control for a large set of personal and job-related characteristics. The results from the unconditional model suggest that one standard deviation increase in cognitive abilities is associated with nearly a 17% increase in income.

THE INTELLECTUALIZATION OF WORLD ECONOMY: ASSESSMENT OF KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY SYMPTOMS

2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-67
Author(s):  
Andriy Valyukh
Keyword(s):  
World Bank ◽  
Knowledge Economy ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Knowledge Assessment ◽  
Assessment Methodology ◽  
Special Program ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
The World ◽  
Program Knowledge ◽  
Comprehensive Indicator

The main indicators of the knowledge economy in Ukraine and abroad have been investigated. Studied a comprehensive indicator of overall knowledge economy index, which characterizes the level of development of an economy based on knowledge, in countries and regions of the world. He developed in 2004 by the World Bank as part of a special program "Knowledge for Development" in order to determine the ability of countries to create, receive and impart knowledge. The calculation of the Index is based on "Knowledge Assessment Methodology", which includes a set of 109-lei exponents combined into four main groups. Ways of improving the efficiency of the intellectualization of the world economy.

Global reduction in 'unbanked' numbers to gather pace

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
World Bank ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Significant Progress ◽  
Financial Access ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
Credit Creation ◽  
The World ◽  
Global Reduction

Subject Progress in the reduction of the number of unbanked people. Significance The World Bank has set an ambitious goal of universal financial access for everyone by 2020. The latest statistics show that many countries are making significant progress towards this goal. Some technological measures that increase access to financial services may increase transparency, stemming corruption and curtailing money laundering. However, by making it easier to spot corruption, these measures may boomerang, leading to the withdrawal of some institutions, particularly international ones, from problematic markets. Impacts Lack of access to financial services will remain a global problem that traps individuals in cycles of poverty. The World Bank encourages people to use bank accounts; having one in name only has little positive impact. Countries that mistake credit creation for improving financial access risk exacerbating financial and economic instability.

Economic gloom portends instability in Zimbabwe

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
South African ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Driving Force ◽  
Security Forces ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Regional Market ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
The World ◽  
The Government ◽  
South African Rand

Significance Mawarire is the founder of the 'This Flag' movement, which has been a driving force behind a wave of demonstrations and strikes earlier this month against graft, unemployment and economic mismanagement by President Robert Mugabe's government. Impacts Import bans will adversely affect South African exporters, for whom Zimbabwe is a key regional market. Use of the South African rand in Zimbabwe will remain unpopular, due to concerns about its weakness against the dollar. The government will prioritise cash for paying the salaries of the security forces, since these underpin the regime's survival. Loans from the African Export-Import Bank will help Harare to begin paying the World Bank some of its arrears.

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