Ambiguity effect: decision-making influenced by lack of information

Author(s):  
Radim Jirousek ◽  
Vaclav Kratochvil
2021 ◽  
pp. 106907272110025
Author(s):  
Consuelo Arbona ◽  
Weihua Fan ◽  
Ayoung Phang ◽  
Norma Olvera ◽  
Marcel Dios

Intolerance of uncertainty (IU) refers to the tendency to fear the unknown and to worry excessively about potential future negative outcomes. In the career decision-making process, college students experience uncertainty regarding the future of occupational opportunities and the evolution of their interests and capabilities. Anxiety is a well-established predictor of career indecision. Therefore, this study examined the role of anxiety as a mediator in the relation of IU and rumination to three dimensions of career decision making difficulties among college students ( N = 678). Results of path analyses indicated that as hypothesized, after controlling for age, intolerance of uncertainty was directly and indirectly (though anxiety) related to the three dimensions of career decision making difficulties: lack of readiness, lack of information, and inconsistent information. Results suggested that career choice interventions may be enhanced with a targeted emphasis on coping with the uncertainty involved in career decision making among college students.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ann Single ◽  
Ariana Cabrera ◽  
Simon Fifer ◽  
Jane Tsai ◽  
Jin-Young Paik ◽  
...  

Abstract Background In some jurisdictions, patients and patient groups may be invited to provide input when Health Technology Assessment (HTA) is used to inform decisions about which medicines should be subsidised or funded. This input can help frame the evidence from a patient perspective, address uncertainties in the evidence and interpret it for the local setting. However, there is currently no evidence linking patient involvement with positive reimbursement decisions. Aim We aimed to understand the expectations of patient involvement in the reimbursement process, especially among cancer patient advocacy groups (PAGs) in New Zealand (Aotearoa), South Korea and Taiwan. Methods We developed an online survey to help understand the role that cancer PAGs play in reimbursement processes and identify knowledge gaps about the processes that might impact the efforts of PAGs. The survey elicited the views of staff and patients affiliated with PAGs (n = 43) on current practices and how the assessment and reimbursement of new cancer drugs might be improved. Results There was variability in knowledge of the HTA assessment processes and in experience of being involved in them. Those with HTA experience were more likely to have confidence in the process. Those who had not been involved tended to have little awareness of, or frustration with, decision-making processes. Most identified cost, finances and economic assessments as key considerations in current processes. Some respondents had clear ideas about how their knowledge and involvement could improve processes to determine the value of new medicines. However, for many, a lack of information about the basis for decision making and opportunities to be involved was a barrier to identifying process improvement. Conclusions HTA is implemented primarily in countries seeking to have fair and equitable processes for funding medicines. PAGs often recognise the financial challenges of funding new medicines and share the desire for procedural fairness. The connection PAGs make between patient involvement and improved access to new medicines may be based on the belief they can add information to the evidence base, help solve problems, ensure fairness through transparency and/or influence the culture towards increased access to medicines they value.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 18
Author(s):  
Andrea Gabaldón Moreno ◽  
Beril Alpagut ◽  
Cecilia Sanz Montalvillo

Positive energy districts (PEDs) consist of more than three interconnected buildings that annually produce more renewable energy than what is consumed within the district boundaries. To achieve the annual surplus of energy, implementation of renewable-driven and innovative technologies is needed. However, most cities struggle in deciding what technologies are more suitable for their environment due to the lack of information and experience in a holistic approach. A decision-making tool has been developed within MAKING-CITY, with the collaboration of ATELIER project, to assist in the PED technology selection process, empowering cities with information and recommendations, in line with their district context and city objectives.


2020 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 608-635
Author(s):  
Shagini Udayar ◽  
Nimrod Levin ◽  
Yuliya Lipshits-Braziler ◽  
Shékina Rochat ◽  
Annamaria Di Fabio ◽  
...  

This meta-analysis examined the association between two types of difficulties in career decision making—indecision and indecisiveness—and four types of self-evaluations: generalized self-efficacy, process-related self-efficacy, content-related self-efficacy, and self-esteem. Analyses were conducted on data from 86 studies ( N = 54,160): Process-related self-efficacy showed stronger negative associations with career indecision than did generalized self-efficacy, content-related self-efficacy, or self-esteem. In contrast, self-esteem showed stronger negative associations with indecisiveness than with career indecision. The second part of this meta-analysis focused on differential associations between two types of self-evaluations (process-related self-efficacy and self-esteem) and the three major clusters of difficulties in career decision making (lack of readiness, lack of information, and inconsistent information). Based on 19 studies ( N = 7,953), the findings showed that process-related self-efficacy was strongly and negatively associated with lack of information and inconsistent information. In contrast, self-esteem was only weakly related to the three major clusters of difficulties in career decision making. In showing that each type of self-evaluation was more strongly associated with certain types and causes of difficulties in career decision making, the present article highlighted the importance of self-evaluations in the career decision-making process.


2016 ◽  
Vol 40 (6) ◽  
pp. 625 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lara A. Kimmel ◽  
Anne E. Holland ◽  
Melissa J. Hart ◽  
Elton R. Edwards ◽  
Richard S. Page ◽  
...  

Objective The involvement of orthopaedic trauma patients in the decision-making regarding discharge destination from the acute hospital and their perceptions of the care following discharge are poorly understood. The aim of the present study was to investigate orthopaedic trauma patient experiences of discharge from the acute hospital and transition back into the community. Methods The present qualitative study performed in-depth interviews, between October 2012 and November 2013, with patients aged 18–64 years with lower limb trauma. Thematic analysis was used to derive important themes. Results Ninety-four patients were interviewed, including 35 discharged to in-patient rehabilitation. Key themes that emerged include variable involvement in decision-making regarding discharge, lack of information and follow-up care on discharge and varying opinions regarding in-patient rehabilitation. Readiness for discharge from in-patient rehabilitation also differed widely among patients, with patients often reporting being ready for discharge before the planned discharge date and feeling frustration at the need to stay in in-patient care. There was also a difference in patients’ perception of the factors leading to recovery, with patients discharged to rehabilitation more commonly reporting external factors, such as rehabilitation providers and physiotherapy. Conclusion The insights provided by the participants in the present study will help us improve our discharge practice, especially the need to address the concerns of inadequate information provision regarding discharge and the role of in-patient rehabilitation. What is known about the topic? There is no current literature describing trauma patient involvement in decision-making regarding discharge from the acute hospital and the perception of how this decision (and destination choice; e.g. home or in-patient rehabilitation) affects their outcome. What does this paper add? The present large qualitative study provides information on patients’ opinion of discharge from the acute hospital following trauma and how this could be improved from their perception. Patients are especially concerned with the lack of information provided to them on discharge, their lack of involvement and understanding of the choices made with regard to their discharge and describe concerns regarding their follow-up care. There is also a feeling from the patients that they are ready to leave rehabilitation before their actual planned discharge date, a concept that needs further investigation. What are the implications for practitioners? The patient insights gained by the present study will lead to a change in discharge practice, including increased involvement of the patient in the decision-making in terms of discharge from both the acute and rehabilitation hospitals and a raised awareness of the need to provide written information and follow-up telephone calls to patients following discharge. Further research into many aspects of patient discharge from the acute hospital should be considered, including the use of rehabilitation prediction tools to ensure patient involvement in decision-making and a discharge and/or follow-up coordinator to ensure patients are aware of how to access information after discharge.


Author(s):  
Marcos Esdras Leite ◽  
Hérick Lyncon Antunes Rodrigues ◽  
Mariley Gonçalves Borges

REGISTRATION UPDATE HOUSING FOR REMOTE SENSING AND TAX IMPACTSACTUALIZACIÓN DEL REGISTRO INMOBILIARIO POR SENSORIAMIENTO REMOTO Y LOS IMPACTOS FISCALESO cadastro imobiliário é fundamental para a gestão municipal eficiente, devido ao fato de os diversos setores da gestão pública usarem as informações territoriais para a tomada de decisão. Além disso, a importância notória do cadastro imobiliário é a composição da receita do município, notadamente, por meio do IPTU. Por isso, este artigo analisou a atualização do cadastro imobiliário de Montes Claros, a partir do loteamento Morada da Serra e dos respectivos impactos no IPTU. A metodologia para atualização dos dados imobiliários foi baseada em imagens de satélites de alta resolução espacial dos anos de 2005 e de 2014. Os dados extraídos das imagens e simulados para o cálculo do IPTU mostram que a desatualização traz perdas significativas de receita para o município, além de comprometer a definição de políticas públicas, uma vez que faltam informações sobre a infraestrutura e a ocupação da cidade.Palavras-chave: Cadastro Imobiliário; Montes Claros; Sensoriamento Remoto.ABSTRACTThe real estate cadastre is fundamental for efficient municipal management, due to the fact that the various sectors of public management use the territorial information for decision making. In addition, the notorious importance of the real estate cadastre is the composition of the revenue of the municipality, through the territorial tax and urban property. Therefore, this article analyzed the updating of the real estate registry of Montes Claros, from the Morada da Serra subdivision and the respective impacts on the territorial tax and urban property. The methodology for updating the real estate data was based on high resolution spatial satellite images of the years 2005 and 2014. The data extracted from the images and simulated for the territorial tax and urban property calculation show that the devaluation brings significant revenue losses to the municipality, as well as compromising the definition of public policies, since there is a lack of information about the city's infrastructure and occupation.Keywords: Real Estate Registration; Montes Claros; Remote Sensing.RESUMENEl registro inmobiliario es fundamental para la gestión municipal eficiente, debido al hecho de que los diversos sectores de la gestión pública utilizan las informaciones territoriales para toma de decisión. Además, la importancia notoria del registro inmobiliario es la composición de los ingresos del municipio, notadamente, por medio del IPTU. Por eso, este artículo analizó la actualización del registro inmobiliario de Montes Claros, a partir del loteamiento Morada da Serra y los respectivos impactos en el IPTU. La metodología para la actualización de los datos inmobiliarios se basó en imágenes de satélites de alta resolución espacial de los años 2005 y 2014. Los datos extraídos de las imágenes y simulados para el cálculo del IPTU muestran que la desactualización trae pérdidas significativas de ingresos para el municipio, además de comprometer la definición de políticas públicas, ya que falta informaciones sobre la infraestructura y ocupación de la ciudad.Palabras clave: Registro Inmobiliario; Montes Claros; Detección Remota.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Kun Sila Ananda

Recently, the Ministry of Education and Culture has established a policy for implementing face-to-face schools. Regarding this policy, students’ parents become a key point in order to make decisions to allow children to attend face-to-face schooling. Before decision making, parents must first reduce uncertainties and lack of information related to the policy. This study discusses the information-seeking behavior of parents related to face-to-face school policies and the decision-making. The method used is descriptive survey. Data collected through online surveys and interviews. The results showed that parents did the active and passive behavior on information seeking. The school (teachers, homeroom teachers, principals, etc.) is the most frequently referred source of information by parents and is considered the most trusted source of information. The most important information needed by parents is regarding the readiness of the school in the implementation of face-to-face learning during the pandemic. In decision-making process, parents often use information sources through online media and discussions with other parents. The majority of parents will delay decision making if the information obtained is deemed insufficient, while on the other hand parents can also experience decision-making failure due to information overload. Belakangan ini Kemdikbud telah menetapkan kebijakan pelaksanaan sekolah tatap muka. Selain akademisi, orang tua menjadi pihak krusial dalam hal ini terutama berkaitan dengan pengambilan keputusan untuk mengizinkan anak mengikuti pelaksanaan sekolah tatap muka. Sebelum mengambil keputusan terlebih dahulu orang tua harus mereduksi berbagai ketidakpastian dan kurangnya informasi terkait kebijakan tersebut. Penelitian ini membahas mengenai perilaku pencarian informasi yang dilakukan orang tua terkait kebijakan sekolah tatap muka hingga proses pengambilan keputusan. Metode yang digunakan adalah survei deskriptif dengan teknik pengumpulan data melalui survei dan wawancara. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa orang tua melakukan pencarian informasi secara aktif dan pasif. Pihak sekolah (guru, wali kelas, kepala sekolah, dsb) menjadi sumber informasi yang paling sering dirujuk oleh orang tua siswa sekaligus dianggap sebagai sumber informasi yang paling terpercaya. Informasi yang dianggap paling penting oleh orang tua siswa adalah mengenai kesiapan sekolah dalam pelaksanaan pembelajaran tatap muka di masa pandemi. Adapun dalam pengambilan keputusan orang tua seringkali memanfaatkan sumber informasi melalui media daring dan diskusi bersama orang tua siswa lainnya. Mayoritas orang tua akan menunda pengambilan keputusan jika informasi yang didapatkan dirasa belum cukup, sementara di sisi lain orang tua juga dapat mengalami kegagalan pengambilan keputusan karena paparan informasi yang terlalu berlebihan.


2017 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 28-38
Author(s):  
Harold Andrew Salmon ◽  
Daniel Chalk ◽  
Ken Stein

2012 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 5-17
Author(s):  
David Pascual Ezama ◽  
Beatriz Gil-Gómez De Liaño ◽  
Barbara Scandroglio

The ININBE questionnaire has been recently validated in order to measure the variables that affect individual investor behavior in stock exchange. The lack of information about the methodology, items selection and psychometric properties of the instruments used in other researches has shown the necessary to elaborate and validate a questionnaire. In the present work we have applied the ININBE questionnaire to 257 individual investors. We have found interesting results about the relationship between the “psychological” and “economical” variables with individual investor’s characteristics.


2015 ◽  
Vol 22 (11) ◽  
pp. 1471-1479
Author(s):  
Ammara Waqar ◽  
Athar Khan ◽  
Khalid Ismail ◽  
Ummara Hanif ◽  
Iqra Saleem

In Pakistan the total fertility rate is 4.5 which is too high and the main reason forthis is the low contraceptive prevalence rate of only 28%. A woman’s ability to space and limither pregnancies has a direct impact on her health and as well as on the outcome of eachpregnancy”. The population of Pakistan represents 2.56% of the world’s total population whichmean that every 39th person of the world is resident of Pakistan. Objectives: To highlight thefactors affecting male’s decision making regarding family planning in district Buner KPK. StudyDesign: A cross sectional study. Setting: District Buner, KPK. Period: March, 2015 and July,2015. Methods: Stratified simple random sampling was performed for collecting data. Samplesize of 210 was collected from two Union Councils of Buner. Outcome variable was husband’sdecision making regarding family planning. Researcher administered questionnaire was usedfor data collection. Results: Husband’s decision making regarding family planning was mainlyeffected desire for more children, 68.5% of the respondents were male decision maker whohad desire for more children. Family structure also influence the decision maker’s decision asin nuclear families 90.7% were decision maker were from nuclear family. Religious perceptionand side effects was contributing to family planning decision making. Conclusion: The studyshowed that 71.9% of male and 6.9% female take the decision of family planning. The studyresults showed that desire for more children, lack of information, family structure, and fear ofside effects and perception of people that family planning is against Islam played an importantrole in decision making regarding family planning.


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