Comparison of incidence rates and risk factors of heart failure between two male cohorts born 30 years apart

Heart ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 106 (21) ◽  
pp. 1672-1678
Author(s):  
Constantinos Ergatoudes ◽  
Per-Olof Hansson ◽  
Kurt Svärdsudd ◽  
Annika Rosengren ◽  
Erik Östgärd Thunström ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo compare two cohorts of middle-aged men from the general population born 30 years apart for incidence and predictors of heart failure (HF).MethodsTwo population samples of men, born in 1913 (n=855) and in 1943 (n=797), were examined at 50 years of age and followed up for 21 years (1963–1994 and 1993–2014). Cox regression analysis was used to examine the impact of different factors on the risk of developing HF.ResultsEighty men born in 1913 (9.4%) and 42 men born in 1943 (5.3%) developed HF during follow-up; adjusted HRs comparing the two cohorts (born 1943 vs 1913) were: 0.46 (95% CI 0.28 to 0.74, p=0.002). In both cohorts, higher body mass index, higher diastolic blood pressure, treatment for hypertension, onset of either atrial fibrillation (AF), ischaemic heart disease and diabetes mellitus were associated with higher risk of HF. Higher heart rate was associated with an increased risk only in men born in 1913, whereas higher systolic blood pressure (SBP), smoking, higher glucose, higher cholesterol and physical inactivity were associated with an increased risk in men born in 1943. AF contributed higher risk of incident HF, whereas SBP and physical inactivity contributed lower risk in men born in 1943 compared with men born in 1913.ConclusionsMen born in 1943 had half the risk of HF after their 50s than those born 30 years earlier. AF, obesity, ischaemic heart disease, diabetes and hypertension remain important precursors of HF.

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (17) ◽  
pp. 1673-1683 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Böhm ◽  
João Pedro Ferreira ◽  
Felix Mahfoud ◽  
Kevin Duarte ◽  
Bertram Pitt ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims The described association of low diastolic blood pressure (DBP) with increased cardiovascular outcomes could be due to reduced coronary perfusion or is simply due to reverse causation. If DBP is physiologically relevant, coronary reperfusion after myocardial infarction (MI) might influence DBP–risk association. Methods and results The relation of achieved DBP with cardiovascular death or cardiovascular hospitalization, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death was explored in 5929 patients after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) with impaired left ventricular function, signs and symptoms of heart failure, or diabetes in the EPHESUS trial according to their reperfusion status. Cox regression models were used to assess the impact of reperfusion status on the association of DBP and systolic blood pressure (SBP) with outcomes in an adjusted fashion. In patients without reperfusion, lower DBP <70 mmHg was associated with increased risk for all-cause death [adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) 1.80, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.41–2.30; P < 0.001], cardiovascular death (HR 1.70, 95% CI 1.3–3.22; P < 0.001), cardiovascular death or cardiovascular hospitalization (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.26–1.87; P < 0.001). In patients with reperfusion, the risk increase at low DBP was not observed. At low SBP, risk increased independently of reperfusion. A sensitivity analysis in the subgroup of patients with optimal SBP of 120–130 mmHg showed again risk reduction of reperfusion at low DBP. Adding the treatment allocation to eplerenone or placebo into the models had no effects on the results. Conclusion Patients after AMIs with a low DBP had an increased risk, which was sensitive to reperfusion therapy. Low blood pressure after MI identifies in patients with particular higher risk. These data support the hypothesis that low DBP in patients with stenotic coronary lesions is associated with risk, potentially involving coronary perfusion pressure and the recommendations provided by guidelines suggesting lower DBP boundaries for these high-risk patients.


Stroke ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 52 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jens Witsch ◽  
Cenai Zhang ◽  
Santosh B Murthy ◽  
Stephanie Buchman Rutrick ◽  
Parag Goyal ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose: Cardiac amyloidosis is increasingly recognized as an important cause of heart failure. Given the paucity of data on cerebrovascular complications of cardiac amyloidosis, we evaluated whether cardiac amyloidosis is associated with ischemic stroke. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of Medicare beneficiaries using a 5% sample of inpatient and outpatient claims from January 1, 2008 through October 1, 2015. We identified patients with cardiac amyloidosis using International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification ( ICD-9-CM ) code 277.3x in combination with a diagnosis code for heart failure or cardiomyopathy. The primary outcome was ischemic stroke, identified by a previously validated ICD-9-CM code algorithm. We used survival statistics to determine incidence rates. Cox proportional hazard analysis, adjusted for demographics, vascular risk factors, and the Elixhauser comorbidity index, was used to study the risk of ischemic stroke. Results: Among 1.8 million beneficiaries with mean follow-up of 4.6 years (standard deviation ±2.2), 454 (0.03%) had a diagnosis of cardiac amyloidosis. Patients with cardiac amyloidosis were older (78.1±7.4 versus 73.4±7.7 years) and had a greater comorbidity burden than those without the diagnosis. A total of 63,627 (3.6%) developed an ischemic stroke in the entire cohort. The incidence of ischemic stroke was 47 per 1,000 patients per year in those with cardiac amyloidosis compared to 7.8 per 1,000 patients per year in those without cardiac amyloidosis. In the adjusted Cox regression analysis, cardiac amyloidosis was associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (HR, 2.4; 95% confidence interval, 1.6-3.6). Conclusions: In a large heterogenous cohort of elderly patients, cardiac amyloidosis was associated with a 2.5-fold heightened risk of ischemic stroke.


Author(s):  
Hui‐Lin Hu ◽  
Hao Chen ◽  
Chun‐Yan Zhu ◽  
Xin Yue ◽  
Hua‐Wei Wang ◽  
...  

Background Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is considered to be the most common cause of sudden death in young people and is associated with an elevated risk of mood disorders. Depression has emerged as a critical risk factor for development and progression of coronary artery disease; however, the association between depression and HCM outcomes is less clear. We sought to examine the impact of depression on clinical outcomes in patients with HCM. Methods and Results Between January 2014 and December 2017, 820 patients with HCM were recruited and followed for an average of 4.2 years. End points were defined as sudden cardiac death (SCD) events and HCM‐related heart failure events. A Chinese version of the Structured Clinical Interview followed the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition and was used to diagnose depression. During the follow‐up period, SCD events occurred in 75 individuals (21.8 per 1000 person‐years), and HCM‐related heart failure events developed in 149 individuals (43.3 per 1000 person‐years). Kaplan–Meier cumulative incidence curves showed a significant association of depression disorders with SCD events (log‐rank P =0.001) and HCM‐related heart failure events (log‐rank P =0.005). A multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that depression was an independent predictor of SCD events and HCM‐related heart failure events (41.9 versus 21.7 per 1000 person‐years; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.9; 95% CI, 1.6–2.3; P <0.001; and 69.9 versus 38.6 per 1000 person‐years; HR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.6–2.1; P <0.001, respectively). Conclusions Depression is common among patients with HCM. The diagnosis of depression is significantly and independently associated with an increased risk of SCD events and heart failure events in patients with HCM.


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Amy Groenewegen ◽  
Victor W. Zwartkruis ◽  
Betül Cekic ◽  
Rudolf. A. de Boer ◽  
Michiel Rienstra ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Diabetes has strongly been linked to atrial fibrillation, ischaemic heart disease and heart failure. The epidemiology of these cardiovascular diseases is changing, however, due to changes in prevalence of obesity-related conditions and preventive measures. Recent population studies on incidence of atrial fibrillation, ischaemic heart disease and heart failure in patients with diabetes are needed. Methods A dynamic longitudinal cohort study was performed using primary care databases of the Julius General Practitioners’ Network. Diabetes status was determined at baseline (1 January 2014 or upon entering the cohort) and participants were followed-up for atrial fibrillation, ischaemic heart disease and heart failure until 1 February 2019. Age and sex-specific incidence and incidence rate ratios were calculated. Results Mean follow-up was 4.2 years, 12,168 patients were included in the diabetes group, and 130,143 individuals in the background group. Incidence rate ratios, adjusted for age and sex, were 1.17 (95% confidence interval 1.06–1.30) for atrial fibrillation, 1.66 (1.55–1.83) for ischaemic heart disease, and 2.36 (2.10–2.64) for heart failure. Overall, incidence rate ratios were highest in the younger age categories, converging thereafter. Conclusion There is a clear association between diabetes and incidence of the major chronic progressive heart diseases, notably with heart failure with a more than twice increased risk.


Circulation ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 127 (suppl_12) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shakia T Hardy ◽  
Laura R Loehr ◽  
Kenneth R Butler ◽  
Patricia P Chang ◽  
Aaron R Folsom ◽  
...  

Introduction: Rates of cerebrovascular disease, heart failure (HF), and coronary heart disease (CHD), increase progressively as blood pressure rises. Several authors have estimated the theoretical effects of shifting the population distribution of blood pressure; however few studies have examined the degree to which modest decrements in blood pressure affect HF incidence, or included a racially diverse population. Methods: Incident HF was identified by a first hospitalization with discharge diagnosis code of 428.X. Incident hospitalized (definite or probable) CHD and stroke were classified according to protocol. We used multivariable regression to estimate incidence rate differences (IRD) for HF, CHD, and stroke that could be associated with a two mm Hg reduction in systolic blood pressure (SBP) in 15,744 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Results: Over a mean of 18.3 years of follow up, age-adjusted incidence rates for HF, CHD, and stroke were higher among African American than Caucasians (Table 1). After adjusting for antihypertensive use, gender, and age, a two mm Hg decrement in SBP across the total population was associated with an estimated 24/100,000 person-years (PY) and 39/100,000 PY fewer incident HF events in Caucasians and African Americans, respectively. The projected disease reductions were of smaller absolute magnitude for incident CHD and incident stroke. Extrapolation to the African American and Caucasian U.S. populations age greater than 45 years suggests that a two mmHg decrement in SBP could result in approximately 22,000 fewer incident HF events, 15,000 fewer incident CHD events, and 5,000 fewer incident stroke events annually. Conclusion: Our results suggest that modest shifts in SBP, consistent with what could theoretically be achieved through population level lifestyle interventions, could substantially decrease the incidence of HF, stroke, and CHD in the United States, especially among African American populations.


Circulation ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 135 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth J Bell ◽  
Jennifer L St. Sauver ◽  
Veronique L Roger ◽  
Nicholas B Larson ◽  
Hongfang Liu ◽  
...  

Introduction: Proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) are used by an estimated 29 million Americans. PPIs increase the levels of asymmetrical dimethylarginine, a known risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Data from a select population of patients with CVD suggest that PPI use is associated with an increased risk of stroke, heart failure, and coronary heart disease. The impact of PPI use on incident CVD is largely unknown in the general population. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that PPI users have a higher risk of incident total CVD, coronary heart disease, stroke, and heart failure compared to nonusers. To demonstrate specificity of association, we additionally hypothesized that there is not an association between use of H 2 -blockers - another commonly used class of medications with similar indications as PPIs - and CVD. Methods: We used the Rochester Epidemiology Project’s medical records-linkage system to identify all residents of Olmsted County, MN on our baseline date of January 1, 2004 (N=140217). We excluded persons who did not grant permission for their records to be used for research, were <18 years old, had a history of CVD, had missing data for any variable included in our model, or had evidence of PPI use within the previous year.We followed our final cohort (N=58175) for up to 12 years. The administrative censoring date for CVD was 1/20/2014, for coronary heart disease was 8/3/2016, for stroke was 9/9/2016, and for heart failure was 1/20/2014. Time-varying PPI ever-use was ascertained using 1) natural language processing to capture unstructured text from the electronic health record, and 2) outpatient prescriptions. An incident CVD event was defined as the first occurrence of 1) validated heart failure, 2) validated coronary heart disease, or 3) stroke, defined using diagnostic codes only. As a secondary analysis, we calculated the association between time-varying H 2 -blocker ever-use and CVD among persons not using H 2 -blockers at baseline. Results: After adjustment for age, sex, race, education, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, and body-mass-index, PPI use was associated with an approximately 50% higher risk of CVD (hazard ratio [95% CI]: 1.51 [1.37-1.67]; 2187 CVD events), stroke (hazard ratio [95% CI]: 1.49 [1.35-1.65]; 1928 stroke events), and heart failure (hazard ratio [95% CI]: 1.56 [1.23-1.97]; 353 heart failure events) compared to nonusers. Users of PPIs had a 35% greater risk of coronary heart disease than nonusers (95% CI: 1.13-1.61; 626 coronary heart disease events). Use of H 2 -blockers was also associated with a higher risk of CVD (adjusted hazard ratio [95% CI]: 1.23 [1.08-1.41]; 2331 CVD events). Conclusions: PPI use is associated with a higher risk of CVD, coronary heart disease, stroke and heart failure. Use of a drug with no known cardiac toxicity - H 2 -blockers - was also associated with a greater risk of CVD, warranting further study.


2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaerim Kim ◽  
Jeongsoo Yoon ◽  
Jin Hyuk Paek ◽  
Woo Yeong Park ◽  
Kyubok Jin ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and Aims Glomerular hyperfiltration is associated with all-cause mortality. Herein, we evaluated the association between glomerular hyperfiltration and the development of malignant disease, the most common cause of death, in an Asian population. Method We retrospectively reviewed the National Health Insurance Service database of Korea for people who received national health screenings from 2012 to 2013. Glomerular hyperfiltration was defined as the 95th percentile and greater after adjusting for age and sex. We performed a multivariate Cox regression analysis using glomerular hyperfiltration at the first health screening as the exposure variable and cancer development as the outcome variable to evaluate the impact of glomerular hyperfiltration on the development of malignant disease. Results A total of 1,953,123 examinations who followed-up for 4.9 years were included in this study. Among the 8 different site-specific malignant disease categories, digestive organs and female genital organs showed a significant associations between glomerular hyperfiltration and malignancy. The population with glomerular hyperfiltration showed an increased risk for stomach cancer (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.27), colorectal cancer (aHR, 1.23), and liver or intrahepatic malignancy (aHR, 1.40). In addition, the risk for uterine and ovarian cancer was significantly increased in the population with glomerular hyperfiltration (aHR, 1.36). Conclusion Glomerular hyperfiltration was associated with an increased risk for the development of malignant diseases in specific organs, such as the stomach, colorectum, uterus, and ovary. Glomerular hyperfiltration needs to be considered a significant sign of the need to evaluate the possibility of hidden adverse health conditions, including malignancies.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (35) ◽  
pp. 4409-4415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Engel ◽  
Markus Loeffler ◽  
Verena Steinke ◽  
Nils Rahner ◽  
Elke Holinski-Feder ◽  
...  

Purpose Patients with Lynch syndrome are at high risk for colon and endometrial cancer, but also at an elevated risk for other less common cancers. The purpose of this retrospective cohort study was to provide risk estimates for these less common cancers in proven carriers of pathogenic mutations in the mismatch repair (MMR) genes MLH1, MSH2, and MSH6. Patients and Methods Data were pooled from the German and Dutch national Lynch syndrome registries. Seven different cancer types were analyzed: stomach, small bowel, urinary bladder, other urothelial, breast, ovarian, and prostate cancer. Age-, sex- and MMR gene–specific cumulative risks (CRs) were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Sex-specific incidence rates were compared with general population incidence rates by calculating standardized incidence ratios (SIRs). Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to estimate the impact of sex and mutated gene on cancer risk. Results The cohort comprised 2,118 MMR gene mutation carriers (MLH1, n = 806; MSH2, n = 1,004; MSH6, n = 308). All cancers were significantly more frequent than in the general population. The highest risks were found for male small bowel cancer (SIR, 251; 95% CI, 177 to 346; CR at 70 years, 12.0; 95% CI, 5.7 to 18.2). Breast cancer showed an SIR of 1.9 (95% CI, 1.4 to 2.4) and a CR of 14.4 (95% CI, 9.5 to 19.3). MSH2 mutation carriers had a considerably higher risk of developing urothelial cancer than MLH1 or MSH6 carriers. Conclusion The sex- and gene-specific differences of less common cancer risks should be taken into account in cancer surveillance and prevention programs for patients with Lynch syndrome.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
P Indraratna ◽  
D Tardo ◽  
J Yu ◽  
K Delbaere ◽  
M Brodie ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains the leading cause of death in the world. Mobile phones have become ubiquitous in most developed societies. Smartphone applications, telemonitoring and clinician-driven short message service (SMS) allow for novel methods in managing chronic cardiovascular conditions such as ischaemic heart disease, heart failure and hypertension. Purpose To evaluate the impact of mobile phone-based interventions (MPIs) on mortality, hospitalisations and blood pressure and body mass index (BMI) in patients diagnosed with either acute coronary syndrome, heart failure or hypertension. Methods A systematic review was conducted using seven electronic databases, identifying all randomised control trials (RCTs) featuring an MPI in the management of these conditions. Meta-analysis was performed by using standard analytical techniques. The odds ratio (OR) was used as a summary statistic. Results Twenty-six RCTs including 6,713 patients were identified. Of these 26 studies, 13 examined text messaging intereventions, 10 studied telemonitoring interventions and three described smartphone applications with other functions. Twelve studies were included for meta-analysis. In patients with heart failure (n=1683), MPIs were associated with a significantly lower rate of all-cause hospital admissions at six months (31% vs. 36%, OR 0.77, 95% CI 0.62–0.97, p=0.03, I2 = 0). A significant difference was also demonstrated for heart-failure admissions (14.0% vs. 18.5%, OR 0.69, 95% CI 0.48 to 0.98, p=0.04, I2 = 26%). There was no difference in mortality (10.4% vs. 11.6% p=0.45). In patients with hypertension, the difference in systolic BP was 4.3mmHg less in the intervention group (95% CI: −7.8 to −0.78 mmHg, p=0.02). Four studies examined medication compliance as an endpoint in patients with ischaemic heart disease, and all four demonstrated a significant difference favouring the MPI group (see table 1). However, due to variable quantification of compliance, meta-analysis was not possible. There was no significant difference in the change in BMI from four studies after six or more months (mean difference −0.46, 95% CI: −1.44 to 0.52, P=0.36). Conclusions The available data suggests MPIs may have a role as valuable adjuncts in the management of chronic CVD. Figure 1 Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC)


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yingyue Zhang ◽  
Yan Zhang ◽  
Yajun Shi ◽  
Wei Dong ◽  
Yang Mu ◽  
...  

Background: Heart failure (HF) is considered one of the most common complications of coronary heart disease (CHD), with a higher incidence of readmission and mortality. Thus, exploring the risk factors related to the prognosis is necessary. Moreover, the effect of the waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) on HF patients with revascularized CHD is still unclear. Thus, we aimed to assess the influence of WHR on the prognosis of HF patients with revascularized CHD.Methods: We collected data of HF patients with revascularized CHD who were referred to the Cardiac Rehabilitation Clinic of PLA Hospital from June 30, 2015, to June 30, 2019. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to determine the relationship between WHR and prognosis of HF patients with revascularized CHD. Patients were divided into higher and lower WHR groups based on the cutoff WHR value calculated by the X-tile software. Cox regression analysis was used to analysis the two groups. We drew the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) of WHR and analyzed the differences between the two groups. Endpoints were defined as major adverse cardiac events (MACE) (including all-cause mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction, unscheduled revascularization, and stroke).Results: During the median follow-up of 39 months and maximum follow-up of 54 months, 109 patients were enrolled, of which 91.7% were males, and the mean age was 56.0 ± 10.4 years. WHR was associated with the incidence of MACE in the Cox regression analysis (p = 0.001); an increase in WHR of 0.01 unit had a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.134 (95%CI: 1.057–1.216). The WHR cutoff value was 0.93. Patients in the higher WHR group had a significantly higher risk of MACE than those in the lower WHR group (HR = 7.037, 95%CI: 1.758–28.168). The ROC area under the curve was 0.733 at 4 years. Patients in the higher WHR group had a higher body mass index (BMI; 26.7 ± 3.5 vs. 25.4 ± 2.4, P = 0.033) than patients in the lower WHR group.Conclusions: WHR is an independent risk factor of the long-term prognosis of Chinese HF patients with revascularized CHD. Patients with WHR ≥ 0.93 require intensified treatment. Higher WHR is related to higher BMI and ΔVO2/ΔWR.


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