Abstract P033: Alcohol and Incident Heart Failure among the Cohort of Swedish Men

Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 129 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kirsten S Dorans ◽  
Elizabeth Mostofsky ◽  
Emily B Levitan ◽  
Niclas Håkansson ◽  
Alicja Wolk ◽  
...  

Background: The relationship between alcohol intake and incident heart failure (HF) is complex. Compared with no alcohol consumption, heavy alcohol intake is associated with higher HF risk whereas light or moderate consumption may be associated with lower risk. Methods: We analyzed 34,581 men 45-79 years old with no history of HF, diabetes mellitus or myocardial infarction (MI) who were participants in the population-based Cohort of Swedish Men study. We excluded former drinkers. At baseline, participants reported how frequently they consumed specific alcoholic beverages in the past year and other characteristics. HF was defined as hospitalization for or death from HF (primary diagnosis), ascertained by Swedish inpatient and cause-of-death records from January 1, 1998 to December 31, 2011. Due to missing values for two covariates, we used Markov chain Monte Carlo multiple imputation to simulate 5 complete datasets. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate rate ratios and 95% confidence intervals, adjusting for age, total energy intake, education, body mass index, physical activity, a dietary component score, cigarette smoking, marital status, family history of MI before age 60, history of hypertension and history of high cholesterol. Results: At baseline, mean age was 58.6 years. There were 1592 incident cases of HF over the follow-up period. Compared with never drinkers, the multivariable-adjusted rate of HF was 19% lower among men who drank <1 drink per week (rate ratio: 0.81, 95% confidence interval: 0.64, 1.04%). The multivariable-adjusted HF rate was similar among men who drank <1 drink per week and men who drank ≥1 drink per week. Conclusions: Light-to-moderate drinking is associated with lower rate of HF compared with never drinking, but the association was not statistically significant.

2018 ◽  
Vol 09 (04) ◽  
pp. 551-555
Author(s):  
Oscar H. Del Brutto ◽  
Robertino M. Mera ◽  
Victor J. Del Brutto

ABSTRACT Background: Stroke is a leading cause of disability in developing countries. However, there are no studies assessing the impact of nonfatal strokes on mortality in rural areas of Latin America. Using a population-based, prospective cohort study, we aimed to assess the influence of nonfatal strokes on all-cause mortality in older adults living in an underserved rural setting. Methods: Deaths occurring during a 5-year period in Atahualpa residents aged ≥60 years were identified from overlapping sources. Tests for equality of survivor functions were used to estimate differences between observed and expected deaths for each covariate investigated. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate Kaplan–Meier survival curves of variables reaching significance in univariate analyses. Results: Of 437 individuals enrolled over 5 years, follow-up was achieved in 417 (95%), contributing 1776 years of follow-up (average 4.3 ± 1.3 years). Fifty-one deaths were detected, for an overall cumulative 5-year mortality rate of 12.2% (8.9%–15.6%). Being older than 70 years of age, having poor physical activity, edentulism, and history of a nonfatal stroke were related to mortality in univariate analyses. A fully adjusted Cox proportional hazards model showed that having history of a nonfatal stroke (P = 0.024) and being older than 70 years of age (P = 0.031) independently predicted mortality. In contrast, obesity was inversely correlated with mortality (P = 0.047). Conclusions: A nonfatal stroke and increasing age increase the risk of all-cause mortality in inhabitants of a remote rural village. The body mass index is inversely related to death (obesity paradox).


2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 7559-7559
Author(s):  
J. A. Zell ◽  
S. Ou ◽  
A. Ziogas ◽  
H. Anton-Culver

7559 Background: Concordant with surgical series, our prior analysis of US SEER data demonstrates improved survival for BAC patients with stage IIIB disease due to multiple lesions in the same lobe compared to other stage IIIB patients, and also for patients with ipsilateral multicentric BAC compared to those with distant metastasis. In order for the BAC staging system to accurately reflect survival for these distinct patient subsets, we propose a revised staging system for advanced BAC and validate this system using California Cancer Registry (CCR) data. Methods: A case-only analysis of incident BAC cases in CCR during 1999–2003 was conducted. Based on modeling from our prior SEER analysis, the T4 descriptor for multiple tumors in the same lobe was downstaged to T3, and the M1 descriptor for ipsilateral multicentric BAC was downstaged to T4. The primary outcome measured was overall survival (OS). OS univariate analyses were conducted using the Kaplan-Meier method; multivariate survival analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards ratios. Results: 1909 incident cases of histologically-confirmed BAC were analyzed. Using the proposed criteria, 162 (25%) of the 654 advanced BAC cases were reclassified: 73 cases with multiple lesions in the same lobe as T3 (stage II T3N0M0 [n=53] or T3NXM0 [n=1], stage IIIA T3N1–2M0 [n=18], stage IIIB T3N3M0 [n=1]); 89 cases with ipsilateral intrapulmonary metastasis were reclassified as T4 (stage IIIB, T4N1- 3M0). Univariate OS analysis of this validation set reveals an improved fit for the proposed staging system compared to the existing staging system ( Table 1 ). Analysis by stage reveals improvement in this proposed prognostic model over the existing staging system on multivariate survival analysis after adjustment for relevant clinicopathologic variables ( Table ). Conclusions: Our proposed BAC staging system modifications more accurately reflect survival characteristics for this unique type of non-small-cell lung cancer. [Table: see text]


2013 ◽  
Vol 141 (12) ◽  
pp. 2663-2670 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. D. CHUNG ◽  
Y. K. LIN ◽  
C. C. HUANG ◽  
H. C. LIN

SUMMARYThe relationship between sexually transmitted infections (STIs) and prostate cancer (PC) remains inconclusive. Moreover, all such studies to date have been conducted in Western populations. This study aimed to investigate the risk of PC following STI using a population-based matched-cohort design in Taiwan. The study cohort comprised 1055 patients with STIs, and 10 550 randomly selected subjects were used as a comparison cohort. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that the hazard ratio for PC during the 5-year follow-up period for patients with a STI was 1·95 (95% confidence interval 1·18–3·23), that of comparison subjects after adjusting for urbanization level, geographical region, monthly income, hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidaemia, obesity, chronic prostatitis, history of vasectomy, tobacco use disorder, and alcohol abuse. We concluded that the risk of PC was higher for men who were diagnosed with a STI in an Asian population.


Circulation ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 143 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rebecca L Molinsky ◽  
Faye L Norby ◽  
Bing Yu ◽  
Amil M Shah ◽  
Pamela L Lutsey ◽  
...  

Introduction: Periodontal disease, resulting from inflammatory host-response to dysbiotic subgingival microbiota, has been associated with incident hypertension, heart attack, stroke and diabetes. Limited data exist investigating the prospective relationship between periodontal disease and incident heart failure (HF) and HF subtypes. We hypothesize that periodontal disease is associated with increased risk for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Methods: We studied 6,707 participants enrolled in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study who received a full-mouth clinical periodontal examination at visit 4 (1996-1998) and had longitudinal follow-up starting in 2005. Participants were classified as being periodontally healthy, having periodontal disease (based on the Periodontal Profile Classification (PPC)), or being edentulous. Hospitalization records were reviewed, and HF events were adjudicated and classified as HFpEF, HFrEF or HF of unknown ejection fraction (HFunknownEF) from 2005-2018. We used multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models to assess the association between periodontal disease or edentulism and incident HF. Results: Among participants 58% had periodontitis and 19% were edentulous. During a median follow-up time of 13 years, 1,178 cases of incident HF occurred (350 HFpEF, 319 HFrEF and 509 HFunknownEF). Periodontal disease and being edentulous were both associated with increased risk for both HFpEF and HFrEF (Table). Conclusion: Periodontal disease measured in mid-life was associated with both incident HFpEF and HFrEF. Adverse microbial exposures underlying periodontal disease might represent a modifiable risk factor for inflammation-induced heart failure pathophysiology.


Author(s):  
Yukai Lu ◽  
Yumi Sugawara ◽  
Sanae Matsuyama ◽  
Akira Fukao ◽  
Ichiro Tsuji

Abstract Purpose The association between dairy intake and mortality remains uncertain, and evidence for the Japanese population is scarce. We aimed to investigate the association between dairy intake and all-cause, cancer, and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in Japanese adults. Methods A total of 34,161 participants (16,565 men and 17,596 women) aged 40–64 years without a history of cancer, myocardial infarction, or stroke at baseline were included in the analysis, using data from the Miyagi Cohort Study initiated in 1990. Milk, yogurt, and cheese intake were obtained using a validated food frequency questionnaire. Total dairy intake was calculated as the sum of milk, yogurt, and cheese intake and then categorized by quartile. The outcomes were all-cause, cancer, and CVD mortality. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for mortality risks. Results During 750,016 person-years of follow-up, the total number of deaths was 6498, including 2552 deaths due to cancer and 1693 deaths due to CVD. There was no association between total dairy intake and all-cause, cancer, and CVD mortality for both men and women. We also examined the associations between subgroup dairy products and mortality. For milk and yogurt intake, our results suggest null associations. However, cheese intake was modestly associated with lower all-cause mortality in women; compared with non-consumers, the multivariable HRs (95%CIs) were 0.89 (0.81–0.98) for 1–2 times/month, 0.88 (0.78–1.00) for 1–2 times/week, and 0.89 (0.74–1.07) for 3 times/week or almost daily (p trend = 0.016). Conclusion Dairy intake was not associated with mortality in Japanese adults, except for limited evidence showing a modest association between cheese intake and a lower all-cause mortality risk in women.


2011 ◽  
Vol 106 (10) ◽  
pp. 1562-1569 ◽  
Author(s):  
Linda M. Oude Griep ◽  
W. M. Monique Verschuren ◽  
Daan Kromhout ◽  
Marga C. Ocké ◽  
Johanna M. Geleijnse

The colours of the edible part of fruit and vegetables indicate the presence of specific micronutrients and phytochemicals. The extent to which fruit and vegetable colour groups contribute to CHD protection is unknown. We therefore examined the associations between fruit and vegetables of different colours and their subgroups and 10-year CHD incidence. We used data from a prospective population-based cohort including 20 069 men and women aged 20–65 years who were enrolled between 1993 and 1997. Participants were free of CVD at baseline and completed a validated 178-item FFQ. Hazard ratios (HR) for the association between green, orange/yellow, red/purple, white fruit and vegetables and their subgroups with CHD were calculated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. During 10 years of follow-up, 245 incident cases of CHD were documented. For each 25 g/d increase in the intake of the sum of all four colours of fruit and vegetables, a borderline significant association with incident CHD was found (HR 0·98; 95 % CI 0·97, 1·01). No clear associations were found for the colour groups separately. However, each 25 g/d increase in the intake of deep orange fruit and vegetables was inversely associated with CHD (HR 0·74; 95 % CI 0·55, 1·00). Carrots, their largest contributor (60 %), were associated with a 32 % lower risk of CHD (HR 0·68; 95 % CI 0·48, 0·98). In conclusion, though no clear associations were found for the four colour groups with CHD, a higher intake of deep orange fruit and vegetables and especially carrots may protect against CHD.


Heart ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 106 (10) ◽  
pp. 732-737 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomohiko Ukai ◽  
Hiroyasu Iso ◽  
Kazumasa Yamagishi ◽  
Isao Saito ◽  
Yoshihiro Kokubo ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTub bathing is considered to have a preventive effect against cardiovascular disease (CVD) by improving haemodynamic function. However, no prospective studies have investigated the long-term effects of tub bathing with regard to CVD risk.MethodsA total of 30 076 participants aged 40–59 years with no history of CVD or cancer were followed up from 1990 to 2009. Participants were classified by bathing frequency: zero to two times/week, three to four times/week and almost every day. The HRs of incident CVD were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models after adjusting for traditional CVD risk factors and selected dietary factors.ResultsDuring 538 373 person-years of follow-up, we documented a total of 2097 incident cases of CVD, comprising 328 coronary heart diseases (CHDs) (275 myocardial infarctions and 53 sudden cardiac deaths) and 1769 strokes (991 cerebral infarctions, 510 intracerebral haemorrhages, 255 subarachnoid haemorrhages and 13 unclassified strokes). The multivariable HRs (95% CIs) for almost daily or every day versus zero to two times/week were 0.72 (0.62 to 0.84, trend p<0.001) for total CVD; 0.65 (0.45 to 0.94, trend p=0.065) for CHD; 0.74 (0.62 to 0.87, trend p=0.005) for total stroke; 0.77 (0.62 to 0.97, trend p=0.467) for cerebral infarction; and 0.54 (0.40 to 0.73, trend p<0.001) for intracerebral haemorrhage. No associations were observed between tub bathing frequency and risk of sudden cardiac death or subarachnoid haemorrhage.ConclusionThe frequency of tub bathing was inversely associated with the risk of CVD among middle-aged Japanese.


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Rehm ◽  
D Rothenbacher ◽  
L Iacoviello ◽  
S Costanzo ◽  
H Tunstall-Pedoe ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Chronic kidney disease (CKD) has a complicated relationship with the heart, leading to many adverse outcomes. Purpose The aim of the study was to evaluate the relationship between CKD and the incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) along with mortality as a competing risk in general population cohorts. Methods This study was conducted as part of the BiomarCaRE project using harmonised data from 12 population-based cohorts (n=40,212) from Europe. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine hazard ratios (HRs) for the incidence of AF and HF in CKD and with competing mortality risk after adjusting for covariates. Results Mean age at baseline was 51.1 (standard deviation 11.9) years, and 49.3% were men. Overall, 3.5% had CKD at baseline. The rate for incident AF was 3.9 per 1000 person-years during follow-up. The HR for AF for those with CKD compared with those without was 1.23 (95% CI 1.00–1.52, p=0.0465) after adjustment for covariates. The rate for incident HF was 3.9 per 1000 person-years and the associated risk in the presence of CKD was HR 1.67 (95% CI 1.39–2.01). In subjects with CKD, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) showed an association with AF, while NT-proBNP and C-reactive protein (CRP) showed an association with HF. Conclusion CKD is an independent risk factor for subsequent AF and even more so for HF. In patients with CKD, NT-proBNP was clearly associated with subsequent risk of AF. In addition to this marker, hs-CRP was also associated with risk of subsequent HF. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – EU funding. Main funding source(s): 7th framework programme collaborative project, grant agreement no. HEALTH-F2-2011_278913. Atrial Fibrillation and HF in CKD


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 129 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pamela L Lutsey ◽  
Erin D Michos ◽  
James S Pankow ◽  
Elizabeth Selvin ◽  
Laura R Loehr ◽  
...  

Background: Suboptimal 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] is a potential cardiovascular risk factor, likely influencing cardiovascular events via established risk factors, namely hypertension, diabetes, and inflammation. Emerging evidence also suggests that the association between 25(OH)D and cardiovascular risk is stronger in whites than blacks, but these preliminary findings need further confirmation. Hypotheses: Serum 25(OH)D is inversely associated with incident heart failure, and (a) partly mediated by traditional cardiovascular risk factors and (b) stronger among whites than blacks. Methods: A total of 12,215 ARIC Study participants free of heart failure at baseline in 1990-92 (median age 56, 24% black) were followed through 2010. Total serum 25(OH)D was measured in stored samples at baseline using LCMS. Month of blood draw was accounted for. Incident heart failure events were identified via active surveillance and defined by a hospital discharge code of ICD9-428 and parallel ICD codes for deaths. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were employed. Results: During a median of 17 years of follow-up, there were 1,799 incident heart failure events. Median 25(OH)D was 26.2 and 19.0 ng/mL in whites and blacks, respectively. The association between 25(OH)D and heart failure varied by race (p-interaction = 0.01). Among whites, those in the lowest quintile of 25(OH)D were at 2-fold greater risk of heart failure relative to those in the highest quintile ( Table ). The HR was attenuated, but remained statistically significant after multivariable adjustment. In blacks there was no association between 25(OH)D and heart failure. Results were similar when race-specific quintiles were used. Conclusions: Low serum 25(OH)D was independently associated with risk of incident heart failure among whites, but not among blacks in this community-based population. Further work is needed to determine what mechanisms underlie racial variation in the association between vitamin D status and risk of heart failure.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Lindholm ◽  
Eri Fukaya ◽  
Nicholas J. Leeper ◽  
Erik Ingelsson

AbstractImportanceHeart failure constitutes a high burden on patients and society, but although lifetime risk is high, it is difficult to predict without costly or invasive testing. Knowledge about novel risk factors could enable early diagnosis and possibly preemptive treatment.ObjectiveTo establish new risk factors for heart failure.DesignWe applied supervised machine learning in UK Biobank in an agnostic search of risk factors for heart failure. Novel predictors were then subjected to several in-depth analyses, including multivariable Cox models of incident heart failure, and assessment of discrimination and calibration.SettingPopulation-based cohort study.Participants500,451 individuals who volunteered to participate in the UK Biobank cohort study, excluding those with prevalent heart failure.Exposure3646 variables reflecting different aspects of lifestyle, health and disease-related factors.Main OutcomeIncident heart failure hospitalization.ResultsMachine learning confirmed many known and putative risk factors for heart failure, and identified several novel candidates. Mean reticulocyte volume appeared as one novel factor, and leg bioimpedance another; the latter appearing as the most important new factor. Leg bioimpedance was significantly lower in those who developed heart failure (p=1.1x10-72) during up to 9.8-year follow-up. When adjusting for known heart failure risk factors, leg bioimpedance was inversely related to heart failure (hazard ratio [95%CI], 0.60 [0.48–0.73]) and 0.75 [0.59–0.94], in age- and sex-adjusted and fully adjusted models, respectively, comparing the upper vs. lower quartile). A model including leg bioimpedance, age, sex, and self-reported history of myocardial infarction showed good predictive capacity of future heart failure hospitalization (C-index=0.82) and good calibration.Conclusions and RelevanceLeg bioimpedance is inversely associated with heart failure incidence in the general population. A simple model of exclusively non-invasive measures, combining leg bioimpedance with history of myocardial infarction, age, and sex provides accurate predictive capacity.Key pointsQuestionWhich are the most important risk factors for incident heart failure?FindingsIn this population-based cohort study of ~500,000 individuals, machine learning identified well-established risk factors, but also several novel factors. Among the most important were leg bioimpedance and mean reticulocyte volume. There was a strong inverse relationship between leg bioimpedance and incident heart failure, also in adjusted analyses. A model entailing leg bioimpedance, age, sex, and self-reported history of myocardial infarction showed good predictive capacity of heart failure hospitalization and good calibration.MeaningLeg bioimpedance appears to be an important new factor associated with incident heart failure.


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