Abstract MP78: Progression of Valvular Calcification and Risk of Incident Stroke: The Multi-ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 141 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Oluwaseun Fashanu ◽  
Anas Bizanti ◽  
Ahmad Al-Abdouh ◽  
Di Zhao ◽  
Matthew J Budoff ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
The United States ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Valvular Calcification ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Annular Calcification

Introduction: Stroke is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the United States. Identification of individuals at risk for stroke is important for implementation of preventive therapies. Prevalent valvular calcification (VC) has been shown to be associated with stroke but less is known about associations of VC progression with stroke. Methods: Progression (interval increase >0 Agatston units/year) of aortic valvular calcification (AVC) and mitral annular calcification (MAC) was assessed by two cardiac CTs over a median of 2.4 years. We determined the risk of adjudicated total and ischemic stroke using Cox regression adjusted for cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors. Results: We studied 5,606 multiethnic participants (39.6% White, 26.9% Black, 21.4% Hispanic, 12.2% Chinese) free of baseline CVD enrolled in MESA. Baseline mean ± SD age was 62 ± 10 years; 53% were women; 12% had prevalent AVC and 9% prevalent MAC at the baseline visit; 83% had no progression of VC, 14%, progression at one site (AVC or MAC), and 3% progression at both sites (AVC and MAC) at follow-up. Over a median of 12 years, 214 total and 170 ischemic strokes occurred. The number of sites with VC progression (range 0-2) was not associated with total and ischemic stroke (all p>0.05). We found MAC progression to be associated with increased risk of total stroke [adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) 1.59 (1.11 - 2.27)] and ischemic stroke [1.64 (1.10 - 2.43)] in the whole cohort (model 3) and after further adjustment for baseline coronary artery calcification (model 4) ( Table ). Results remained significant for total stroke risk after excluding participants with interim atrial fibrillation or coronary heart disease [1.60 (1.01 - 2.54)]. In women, AVC progression was associated with ischemic stroke [1.87 (1.04 - 3.36)] (p-for-interaction=0.03). Conclusion: Progression of MAC over 2.4 years is associated with increased risk of total and ischemic stroke, and in women, AVC progression with higher ischemic stroke risk.

scholarly journals Association between blood pressure categories and cardiovascular disease mortality in China

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (7) ◽  
pp. e0255373
Author(s):  
Jie Guo ◽  
Jun Lv ◽  
Yu Guo ◽  
Zheng Bian ◽  
Bang Zheng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Disease Mortality ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Diastolic Hypertension ◽  
High Prevalence ◽  
Cvd Mortality

Background Blood pressure (BP) categories are useful to simplify preventions in public health, and diagnostic and treatment approaches in clinical practice. Updated evidence about the associations of BP categories with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and its subtypes is warranted. Methods and findings About 0.5 million adults aged 30 to 79 years were recruited from 10 areas in China during 2004–2008. The present study included 430 977 participants without antihypertension treatment, cancer, or CVD at baseline. BP was measured at least twice in a single visit at baseline and CVD deaths during follow-up were collected via registries and the national health insurance databases. Multivariable Cox regression was used to estimate the associations between BP categories and CVD mortality. Overall, 16.3% had prehypertension-low, 25.1% had prehypertension-high, 14.1% had isolated systolic hypertension (ISH), 1.9% had isolated diastolic hypertension (IDH), and 9.1% had systolic-diastolic hypertension (SDH). During a median 10-year follow-up, 9660 CVD deaths were documented. Compared with normal, the hazard ratios (95% CI) of prehypertension-low, prehypertension-high, ISH, IDH, SDH for CVD were 1.10 (1.01–1.19), 1.32 (1.23–1.42), 2.04 (1.91–2.19), 2.20 (1.85–2.61), and 3.81 (3.54–4.09), respectively. All hypertension subtypes were related to the increased risk of CVD subtypes, with a stronger association for hemorrhagic stroke than for ischemic heart disease. The associations were stronger in younger than older adults. Conclusions Prehypertension-high should be considered in CVD primary prevention given its high prevalence and increased CVD risk. All hypertension subtypes were independently associated with CVD and its subtypes mortality, though the strength of associations varied substantially.

scholarly journals Pregnancy, pregnancy loss and the risk of diabetes in Chinese women: findings from the China Kadoorie Biobank

2019 ◽  
Vol 35 (3) ◽  
pp. 295-303
Author(s):  
Sanne A. E. Peters ◽  
◽  
Ling Yang ◽  
Yu Guo ◽  
Yiping Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pregnancy Loss ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Chinese Women ◽  
Later Life ◽  
Induced Abortion ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
History Of ◽  
Incident Cases

AbstractPregnancy and pregnancy loss may be associated with increased risk of diabetes in later life. However, the evidence is inconsistent and sparse, especially among East Asians where reproductive patterns differ importantly from those in the West. We examined the associations of pregnancy and pregnancy loss (miscarriage, induced abortion, and still birth) with the risk of incident diabetes in later life among Chinese women. In 2004–2008, the nationwide China Kadoorie Biobank recruited 302 669 women aged 30–79 years from 10 (5 urban, 5 rural) diverse localities. During 9.2 years of follow-up, 7780 incident cases of diabetes were recorded among 273,383 women without prior diabetes and cardiovascular disease at baseline. Cox regression yielded multiple-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for the risk of diabetes associated with pregnancy and pregnancy loss. Overall, 99% of women had been pregnant, of whom 10%, 53%, and 6% reported having a history of miscarriage, induced abortion, and stillbirth, respectively. Among ever pregnant women, each additional pregnancy was associated with an adjusted HR of 1.04 (95% CI 1.03; 1.06) for diabetes. Compared with those without pregnancy loss, women with a history of pregnancy loss had an adjusted HR of 1.07 (1.02; 1.13) and the HRs increased with increasing number of pregnancy losses, irrespective of the number of livebirths; the adjusted HR was 1.03 (1.00; 1.05) for each additional pregnancy loss. The strength of the relationships differed marginally by type of pregnancy loss. Among Chinese women, a higher number of pregnancies and pregnancy losses were associated with a greater risk of diabetes.

Impact of Male Origin Microchimerism on Cardiovascular Disease in Women: A Prospective Cohort Study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara Hallum ◽  
Thomas Alexander Gerds ◽  
Thomas Steen Gyldenstierne Sehested ◽  
Marianne Antonius Jakobsen ◽  
Anne Tjønneland ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Cardiovascular Health ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Biological Responses ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease In Women ◽  
Underlying Mechanisms ◽  
Reduced Rate ◽  
Unknown Male

Abstract Increasing parity is associated with an increased risk of ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke in women. This is likely attributed to biological responses of pregnancy. Male cells of presumed fetal origin are commonly present in women years after pregnancy—a phenomenon termed male origin microchimerism. Here, we investigated whether male origin microchimerism was associated with risk of IHD and ischemic stroke in women. We evaluated the association between male origin microchimerism and ischemic events in a cohort of 766 Danish women enrolled in the Diet, Cancer and Health cohort during 1993–1997 when aged 50–64 years. Of these, 545 (71.2%) tested positive for male origin microchimerism by targeting the Y-chromosome (DYS14) in women’s blood. Multiple Cox regression models were used to report hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals. We found male origin microchimerism was associated with a significantly reduced rate of IHD (HR=0.44, 95% CI: 0.23, 0.83), but not ischemic stroke (HR=0.80, 95% CI: 0.46, 1.41). Our findings show that microchimerism-positivity is associated with a lower rate of later IHD development in women. Although the underlying mechanisms are presently unknown, male origin microchimerism may be relevant in women’s cardiovascular health. More studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Headache as a risk factor for dementia: A prospective population-based study

Cephalalgia ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 34 (5) ◽  
pp. 327-335 ◽  
Author(s):  
Knut Hagen ◽  
Eystein Stordal ◽  
Mattias Linde ◽  
Timothy J Steiner ◽  
John-Anker Zwart ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factor ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Subsequent Development ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Health Study ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Increased Risk

Background Headache has not been established as a risk factor for dementia. The aim of this study was to determine whether any headache was associated with subsequent development of vascular dementia (VaD), Alzheimer’s disease (AD) or other types of dementia. Methods This prospective population-based cohort study used baseline data from the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT 2) performed during 1995–1997 and, from the same Norwegian county, a register of cases diagnosed with dementia during 1997–2010. Participants aged ≥20 years who responded to headache questions in HUNT 2 were categorized (headache free; with any headache; with migraine; with nonmigrainous headache). Hazard ratios (HRs) for later inclusion in the dementia register were estimated using Cox regression analysis. Results Of 51,383 participants providing headache data in HUNT 2, 378 appeared in the dementia register during the follow-up period. Compared to those who were headache free, participants with any headache had increased risk of VaD ( n = 63) (multivariate-adjusted HR = 2.3, 95% CI 1.4–3.8, p = 0.002) and of mixed dementia (VaD and AD ( n = 52)) (adjusted HR = 2.0, 95% CI 1.1–3.5, p = 0.018). There was no association between any headache and later development of AD ( n = 180). Conclusion In this prospective population-based cohort study, any headache was a risk factor for development of VaD.

scholarly journals Relationship of lycopene intake and consumption of tomato products to incident CVD

2013 ◽  
Vol 110 (3) ◽  
pp. 545-551 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul F. Jacques ◽  
Asya Lyass ◽  
Joseph M. Massaro ◽  
Ramachandran S. Vasan ◽  
Ralph B. D'Agostino Sr
Keyword(s):  
Repeated Measures ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Supporting Evidence ◽  
Inverse Association ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Stroke Incidence ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Increased Risk

Evidence for cardioprotective effects of lycopene is inconsistent. Studies of circulating lycopene generally report inverse associations with CVD risk, but studies based on lycopene intake do not. The failure of dietary studies to support the findings based on biomarkers may be due in part to misclassification of lycopene intakes. To address this potential misclassification, we used repeated measures of intake obtained over 10 years to characterise the relationship between lycopene intake and the incidence of CVD (n314), CHD (n171) and stroke (n99) in the Framingham Offspring Study. Hazard ratios (HR) for incident outcomes were derived from Cox proportional hazards regression models using logarithmically transformed lycopene intake adjusted for CVD risk factors and correlates of lycopene intake. HR were interpreted as the increased risk for a 2·7-fold difference in lycopene intake, a difference approximately equal to its interquartile range. Using an average of three intake measures with a 9-year follow-up, lycopene intake was inversely associated with CVD incidence (HR 0·83, 95 % CI 0·70, 0·98). Using an average of two intake measures and 11 years of follow-up, lycopene intake was inversely associated with CHD incidence (HR 0·74, 95 % CI 0·58, 0·94). Lycopene intake was unrelated to stroke incidence. The present study of lycopene intake and CVD provides supporting evidence for an inverse association between lycopene and CVD risk; however, additional research is needed to determine whether lycopene or other components of tomatoes, the major dietary source of lycopene, are responsible for the observed association.

scholarly journals Premature Atrial Contractions on the Screening Electrocardiogram and Risk of Ischemic Stroke: The Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke Study

2016 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
pp. 53-58 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wesley T. O'Neal ◽  
Hooman Kamel ◽  
Dawn Kleindorfer ◽  
Suzanne E. Judd ◽  
George Howard ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Racial Differences ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Stroke Risk Factors ◽  
Stroke Study ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Study Participants ◽  
The Relationship

Background: It is currently unknown if premature atrial contractions (PACs) detected on the routine screening electrocardiogram are associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke. Methods: We examined the association between PACs and ischemic stroke in 22,975 (mean age 64 ± 9.2; 56% women; 40% black) participants from the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke study. Participants who were free of stroke at baseline were included. PACs were detected from centrally read electrocardiograms at baseline. Cox regression was used to examine the association between PACs and ischemic stroke events through March 31, 2014. Results: PACs were present in 1,687 (7.3%) participants at baseline. In a Cox regression model adjusted for stroke risk factors and potential confounders, PACs were associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke (hazards ratio (HR) 1.34, 95% CI 1.04-1.74). The relationship was limited to non-lacunar infarcts (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.08-1.87), and not lacunar strokes (HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.51-2.03). An interaction by sex was detected, with the association between PACs and ischemic stroke being stronger among women (HR 1.82, 95% CI 1.29-2.56) than men (HR 1.03, 95% CI 0.69-1.52; p-interaction = 0.0095). Conclusion: PACs detected on the routine electrocardiogram are associated with an increased risk for non-lacunar ischemic strokes, especially in women.

scholarly journals PHASES Score for Prediction of Intracranial Aneurysm Growth

Stroke ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 46 (5) ◽  
pp. 1221-1226 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daan Backes ◽  
Mervyn D.I. Vergouwen ◽  
Andreas T. Tiel Groenestege ◽  
A. Stijntje E. Bor ◽  
Birgitta K. Velthuis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Intracranial Aneurysm ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Continuous Variable ◽  
Aneurysm Rupture ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Risk Of Rupture ◽  
Aneurysm Growth

Background and Purpose— Growth of an intracranial aneurysm occurs in around 10% of patients at 2-year follow-up imaging and may be associated with aneurysm rupture. We investigated whether PHASES, a score providing absolute risks of aneurysm rupture based on 6 easily retrievable risk factors, also predicts aneurysm growth. Methods— In a multicenter cohort of patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms and follow-up imaging with computed tomography angiography or magnetic resonance angiography, we performed univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses for the predictors of the PHASES score at baseline, with aneurysm growth as outcome. We calculated hazard ratios and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI), with the PHASES score as continuous variable and after division into quartiles. Results— We included 557 patients with 734 unruptured aneurysms. Eighty-nine (12%) aneurysms in 87 patients showed growth during a median follow-up of 2.7 patient-years (range 0.5–10.8). Per point increase in PHASES score, hazard ratio for aneurysm growth was 1.32 (95% CI, 1.22–1.43). With the lowest quartile of the PHASES score (0–1) as reference, hazard ratios were for the second (PHASES 2–3) 1.07 (95% CI, 0.49–2.32), the third (PHASES 4) 2.29 (95% CI, 1.05–4.95), and the fourth quartile (PHASES 5–14) 2.85 (95% CI, 1.43–5.67). Conclusions— Higher PHASES scores were associated with an increased risk of aneurysm growth. Because higher PHASES scores also predict aneurysm rupture, our findings suggest that aneurysm growth can be used as surrogate outcome measure of aneurysm rupture in follow-up studies on risk prediction or interventions aimed to reduce the risk of rupture.

scholarly journals Electrocardiographic ST-T Abnormities Are Associated With Stroke Risk in the REGARDS Study

Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (4) ◽  
pp. 1100-1106
Author(s):  
Mitsuaki Sawano ◽  
Ya Yuan ◽  
Shun Kohsaka ◽  
Taku Inohara ◽  
Takeki Suzuki ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Racial Differences ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
The United States ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Common Finding ◽  
Increased Risk

Background and Purpose— In previous studies, isolated nonspecific ST-segment and T-wave abnormalities (NSSTTAs), a common finding on ECGs, were associated with greater risk for incident coronary artery disease. Their association with incident stroke remains unclear. Methods— The REGARDS (Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke) study is a population-based, longitudinal study of 30 239 white and black adults enrolled from 2003 to 2007 in the United States. NSSTTAs were defined from baseline ECG using the standards of Minnesota ECG Classification (Minnesota codes 4-3, 4-4, 5-3, or 5-4). Participants with prior stroke, coronary heart disease, and major and minor ECG abnormalities other than NSSTTAs were excluded from analysis. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine calculate hazard ratios of incident ischemic stroke by presence of baseline NSSTTAs. Results— Among 14 077 participants, 3111 (22.1%) had NSSTTAs at baseline. With a median of 9.6 years follow-up, 106 (3.4%) with NSSTTAs had ischemic stroke compared with 258 (2.4%) without NSSTTAs. The age-adjusted incidence rates (per 1000 person-years) of stroke were 2.93 in those with NSSTTAs and 2.19 in those without them. Adjusting for baseline age, sex, race, geographic location, and education level, isolated NSSTTAs were associated with a 32% higher risk of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio, 1.32 [95% CI, 1.05–1.67]). With additional adjustment for stroke risk factors, the risk of stroke was increased 27% (hazard ratio, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.00–1.62]) and did not differ by age, race, or sex. Conclusions— Presence of NSSTTAs in persons with an otherwise normal ECG was associated with a 27% increased risk of future ischemic stroke.

scholarly journals MRI predicts intracranial hemorrhage in patients who receive long-term oral anticoagulation

Neurology ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 92 (21) ◽  
pp. e2432-e2443 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joan Martí-Fàbregas ◽  
Santiago Medrano-Martorell ◽  
Elisa Merino ◽  
Luis Prats-Sánchez ◽  
Rebeca Marín ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
White Matter ◽  
Intracranial Hemorrhage ◽  
White Matter Hyperintensities ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Superficial Siderosis ◽  
Increased Risk

ObjectiveWe tested the hypothesis that the risk of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) in patients with cardioembolic ischemic stroke who are treated with oral anticoagulants (OAs) can be predicted by evaluating surrogate markers of hemorrhagic-prone cerebral angiopathies using a baseline MRI.MethodsPatients were participants in a multicenter and prospective observational study. They were older than 64 years, had a recent cardioembolic ischemic stroke, and were new users of OAs. They underwent a baseline MRI analysis to evaluate microbleeds, white matter hyperintensities, and cortical superficial siderosis. We collected demographic variables, clinical characteristics, risk scores, and therapeutic data. The primary endpoint was ICH that occurred during follow-up. We performed bivariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses.ResultsWe recruited 937 patients (aged 77.6 ± 6.5 years; 47.9% were men). Microbleeds were detected in 207 patients (22.5%), moderate/severe white matter hyperintensities in 419 (45.1%), and superficial siderosis in 28 patients (3%). After a mean follow-up of 23.1 ± 6.8 months, 18 patients (1.9%) experienced an ICH. In multivariable analysis, microbleeds (hazard ratio 2.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.1–7, p = 0.034) and moderate/severe white matter hyperintensities (hazard ratio 5.7, 95% CI 1.6–20, p = 0.006) were associated with ICH (C index 0.76, 95% CI 0.66–0.85). Rate of ICH was highest in patients with both microbleed and moderate/severe WMH (3.76 per 100 patient-years, 95% CI 1.62–7.4).ConclusionPatients taking OAs who have advanced cerebral small vessel disease, evidenced by microbleeds and moderate to severe white matter hyperintensities, had an increased risk of ICH. Our results should help to determine the risk of prescribing OA for a patient with cardioembolic stroke.ClinicalTrials.gov identifierNCT02238470.

Atrial Fibrillation Detected by Single Timepoint Handheld ECG Screening and the Risk of Ischemic Stroke

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen Sun ◽  
Ben FREEDMAN ◽  
Carlos Martinez ◽  
Christopher Wallenhorst ◽  
Bryan Yan
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Multivariate Regression ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Oral Anticoagulants ◽  
Outpatient Clinics ◽  
Initial Screening ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Ischemic Stroke Risk

ABSTRACT Objective: We evaluated stroke risk in patients with single timepoint screen-detected atrial fibrillation (AF) and the effect of oral anticoagulants (OAC). Methods: Consecutive patients aged ≥65 years attending medical outpatient clinics were prospectively enrolled for AF-screening using handheld single-lead ECG (AliveCor) from 12/2014 to 12/2017 (NCT02409654). Repeated screening was performed in patients with >1 visit during this period. Three cohorts were formed, screen-detected AF, clinically-diagnosed AF and no AF. Ischemic stroke risk was estimated using adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratios (aSHR) from multivariate regression and no AF as reference, and stratified according to OAC use. Results: Of 11,972 subjects enrolled, 2,238 (18.7%) had clinically-diagnosed AF at study enrollment. The yield of screen-detected AF on initial screening was 2.3% (n=223/9,734). AF was clinically-diagnosed during follow-up in 2.3% (n=216/9,440) and during subsequent screening in 71 initially screen-negative patients. Compared to no AF, patients with screen-detected AF without OAC treatment had the highest stroke risk (aSHR 2.63; 95% confidence interval 1.46-4.72), while aSHR for clinically-diagnosed AF without OAC use was 2.01 (1.54-2.62). Among screen-detected AF the risk of stroke was significantly less with OAC (no strokes in 196 person-years) compared with those not given OAC (12 strokes in 429 person-years), p=0.01. Conclusion: The prognosis of single timepoint ECG screen-detected AF is not benign. The risk of stroke is high enough to warrant OAC use, and reduced by OAC. Keywords: atrial fibrillation, screening, ischemic stroke

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