Temporal Profile of Pneumonia After Stroke

Background and Purpose: The occurrence of pneumonia after stroke is associated with a higher risk of poor outcome or death. We assessed the temporal profile of pneumonia after stroke and its association with poor outcome at several time points to identify the most optimal period for testing pneumonia prevention strategies. Methods: We analyzed individual patient data stored in the VISTA (Virtual International Stroke Trials Archive) from randomized acute stroke trials with an inclusion window up to 24 hours after stroke onset and assessed the occurrence of pneumonia in the first 90 days after stroke. Adjusted odds ratios and hazard ratios were calculated for the association between pneumonia and poor outcome and death by means of logistic and Cox proportional hazard regression, respectively, at different times of follow-up. Results: Of 10 821 patients, 1017 (9.4%) had a total of 1076 pneumonias. Six hundred eighty-nine (64.0%) pneumonias occurred in the first week after stroke. The peak incidence was on the third day and the median time of onset was 4.0 days after stroke (interquartile range, 2–12). The presence of a pneumonia was associated with an increased risk of poor outcome (adjusted odds ratio, 4.8 [95% CI, 3.8–6.1]) or death (adjusted hazard ratio, 4.1 [95% CI, 3.7–4.6]). These associations were present throughout the 90 days of follow-up. Conclusions: Two out of 3 pneumonias in the first 3 months after stroke occur in the first week, with a peak incidence on the third day. The most optimal period to assess pneumonia prevention strategies is the first 4 days after stroke. However, pneumonia occurring later was also associated with poor functional outcome or death.

Download Full-text

Association of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) trajectories with risk for metastasis and mortality in non-metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (nmCRPC).

Journal of Clinical Oncology ◽

10.1200/jco.2018.36.6_suppl.27 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 36 (6_suppl) ◽

pp. 27-27

Author(s):

Sophia Li ◽

Zhijie Ding ◽

Jennifer H Lin ◽

Ajay S. Behl ◽

Chris Pericone ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Mortality Risk ◽

Specific Antigen ◽

Castration Resistant Prostate Cancer ◽

Castration Resistant ◽

Hazard Ratios ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Risk Patients ◽

Cox Proportional Hazard Regression ◽

Group 1

27 Background: Currently there is insufficient guidance for the management of nmCRPC. This study assessed patient risk of developing metastases and death based on their PSA levels over time. Methods: This was a retrospective study using the Optum electronic health record database (1/1/2007 – 4/30/2016) in men ≥18 years. nmCRPC was defined as a PC diagnosis, 2 rising PSA levels ≥1 week apart, testosterone < 50 ng/dL (post-PC diagnosis), and no ICD-9/10 code or therapy indicating metastasis. Patients were required to have ≥1 PSA record per 3-month period for 9 months following nmCRPC diagnosis. Group Based Trajectory Modeling (GBTM) was used to group patients based on similar PSA trends over 9 months. The association of these PSA groups with metastasis/mortality risk was measured using multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models. An overall trend for metastasis and mortality across the groups was also tested. Results: From a total of 729 patients included, 4 distinct groups were identified: Group 1 (49% of patients), 2 (32%), 3 (14%) and 4 (5%). Group 1 had the lowest PSA (7 ng/mL) at nmCRPC diagnosis and steady PSA during the 9-month follow-up. In contrast, Groups 2, 3 and 4 had higher PSA at nmCRPC diagnosis (17, 61, 513 ng/mL respectively) and rising PSA during follow-up. There was a trend of increasing metastasis and mortality risk (p < 0.001 for both trends) with the higher PSA groups. For metastasis, Hazard Ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were 1.7 (1.3-2.2), 3.5 (2.5-5.0), 1.8 (0.7-4.7) in Groups 2, 3 and 4, respectively, vs. Group 1. For mortality, HRs (95% CIs) were 1.9 (1.4-2.5), 2.6 (1.8-3.7), 4.5 (2.4-8.4) in Groups 2, 3 and 4, respectively, vs. Group 1. Metastasis-free survival (MFS) independently predicted mortality risk. Patients developing metastasis within 1 year had 4.4-fold greater risk for mortality (95% CI = 2.2-8.8) than those who remained MFS at year 3. Conclusions: A large proportion of nmCRPC patients with PSA increases during the follow-up period had significantly increased risk for metastasis and mortality, with MFS predicting mortality risk. Periodic measurement of PSA may better inform management of nmCRPC.

Download Full-text

High risk groups for severe COVID-19 in a whole of population cohort in Australia

BMC Infectious Diseases ◽

10.1186/s12879-021-06378-z ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Bette Liu ◽

Paula Spokes ◽

Wenqiang He ◽

John Kaldor

Keyword(s):

Socioeconomic Status ◽

New South ◽

Severe Disease ◽

Risk Groups ◽

Prevention Strategies ◽

Complete Case ◽

Relative Risks ◽

South Wales ◽

Hazard Ratios

Abstract Background Increasing age is the strongest known risk factor for severe COVID-19 disease but information on other factors is more limited. Methods All cases of COVID-19 diagnosed from January–October 2020 in New South Wales Australia were followed for COVID-19-related hospitalisations, intensive care unit (ICU) admissions and deaths through record linkage. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) for severe COVID-19 disease, measured by hospitalisation or death, or very severe COVID-19, measured by ICU admission or death according to age, sex, socioeconomic status and co-morbidities were estimated. Results Of 4054 confirmed cases, 468 (11.5%) were classified as having severe COVID-19 and 190 (4.7%) as having very severe disease. After adjusting for sex, socioeconomic status and comorbidities, increasing age led to the greatest risk of very severe disease. Compared to those 30–39 years, the aHR for ICU or death from COVID-19 was 4.45 in those 70–79 years; 8.43 in those 80–89 years; 16.19 in those 90+ years. After age, relative risks for very severe disease associated with other factors were more moderate: males vs females aHR 1.40 (95%CI 1.04–1.88); immunosuppressive conditions vs none aHR 2.20 (1.35–3.57); diabetes vs none aHR 1.88 (1.33–2.67); chronic lung disease vs none aHR 1.68 (1.18–2.38); obesity vs not obese aHR 1.52 (1.05–2.21). More comorbidities was associated with significantly greater risk; comparing those with 3+ comorbidities to those with none, aHR 5.34 (3.15–9.04). Conclusions In a setting with high COVID-19 case ascertainment and almost complete case follow-up, we found the risk of very severe disease varies by age, sex and presence of comorbidities. This variation should be considered in targeting prevention strategies.

Download Full-text

Sex-Specific Associations between Blood Pressure and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation Subtypes in the Tromsø Study

Journal of Clinical Medicine ◽

10.3390/jcm10071514 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 10 (7) ◽

pp. 1514

Author(s):

Hilde Espnes ◽

Jocasta Ball ◽

Maja-Lisa Løchen ◽

Tom Wilsgaard ◽

Inger Njølstad ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Atrial Fibrillation ◽

Blood Pressure ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Pressure Management ◽

Reference Models ◽

Proportional Hazards Regression ◽

Hazard Ratios ◽

Increased Risk

The aim of this study was to explore sex-specific associations between systolic blood pressure (SBP), hypertension, and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) subtypes, including paroxysmal, persistent, and permanent AF, in a general population. A total of 13,137 women and 11,667 men who participated in the fourth survey of the Tromsø Study (1994–1995) were followed up for incident AF until the end of 2016. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was conducted using fractional polynomials for SBP to provide sex- and AF-subtype-specific hazard ratios (HRs) for SBP. An SBP of 120 mmHg was used as the reference. Models were adjusted for other cardiovascular risk factors. Over a mean follow-up of 17.6 ± 6.6 years, incident AF occurred in 914 (7.0%) women (501 with paroxysmal/persistent AF and 413 with permanent AF) and 1104 (9.5%) men (606 with paroxysmal/persistent AF and 498 with permanent AF). In women, an SBP of 180 mmHg was associated with an HR of 2.10 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.60–2.76) for paroxysmal/persistent AF and an HR of 1.80 (95% CI 1.33–2.44) for permanent AF. In men, an SBP of 180 mmHg was associated with an HR of 1.90 (95% CI 1.46–2.46) for paroxysmal/persistent AF, while there was no association with the risk of permanent AF. In conclusion, increasing SBP was associated with an increased risk of both paroxysmal/persistent AF and permanent AF in women, but only paroxysmal/persistent AF in men. Our findings highlight the importance of sex-specific risk stratification and optimizing blood pressure management for the prevention of AF subtypes in clinical practice.

Download Full-text

The Association of Sensory Impairment With Incident Disability-Related Cessation of Employment in Older Adults

Innovation in Aging ◽

10.1093/geroni/igaa057.697 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽

pp. 216-216

Author(s):

Ahmed Shakarchi ◽

Emmanuel Garcia Morales ◽

Nicholas Reed ◽

Bonnielin Swenor

Keyword(s):

Older Adults ◽

Hearing Aids ◽

Population Based ◽

Sensory Impairment ◽

Loss To Follow Up ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Cox Proportional Hazard Regression ◽

Study Participants ◽

Adjusted Model

Abstract Sensory impairment (SI) is common among older adults, and it is an increasingly important public health challenge as the population ages. We evaluated the association between SI and incident disability-related cessation of employment in older adults using the population-based Health and Retirement Study. Participants employed in 2006 completed biennial interviews until self-reported incident disability-related cessation of employment. Participants were censored at loss to follow-up, retirement, or 2018. Participants rated their vision and hearing, using eyeglasses or hearing aids if applicable, on a Likert scale (poor, fair, good, very good, excellent). SI was defined as poor or fair ability, and SI was categorized as neither SI (NSI), vision impairment alone (VI), hearing impairment alone (HI), and dual SI (DSI). Cox proportional hazard regression assessed the association between SI and incident disability-related cessation of employment, adjusting for demographic and health covariates. Overall, 4726 participants were included: 421 (8.9%) were with VI, 487 (10.3) with HI, and 203 (4.3%) with DSI. Mean age was 61.0 ± 6.8 years, 2488 (52.6%) were women, and 918 (19.4) were non-White. In the fully adjusted model, incident disability-related cessation of employment over the 12-year follow-up period was higher in VI (Hazard Ratio (HR)=1.30, 95% confidence interval (CI)=0.92, 1.85), HI (HR=1.60, CI=1.16, 2.22), and DSI (HR=2.02, CI=1.38, 2.96). These findings indicate that employed older adults with SI are at increased risk of incident disability-related cessation of employment, and that older adults with DSI are particularly vulnerable. Addressing SI in older adults may lengthen their contribution to the workforce.

Download Full-text

Abstract 13315: Long-term Risk of Cardiovascular Events Following Hospitalization for Sepsis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Circulation ◽

10.1161/circ.142.suppl_3.13315 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽

Author(s):

Leah B Kosyakovsky ◽

Federico Angriman ◽

Emma Katz ◽

Neill Adhikari ◽

Lucas C Godoy ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Systematic Review ◽

Cumulative Incidence ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Hazard Ratios ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Significant Difference ◽

Sepsis Survivors ◽

Risk Ratios

Introduction: Sepsis results in dysregulated inflammation, coagulation, and metabolism, which may contribute to increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the association between sepsis and subsequent long-term CVD events. Methods: MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Controlled Trials Register and Database of Systematic Reviews were searched from inception to May 2020 to identify observational studies of adult sepsis survivors (defined by diagnostic codes or consensus definitions) measuring long-term CV outcomes. The primary outcome was a composite of myocardial infarction, CV death, and stroke. Random-effects models estimated the pooled cumulative incidence and adjusted hazard ratios of CV events relative to hospital or population controls. Odds ratios were included as risk ratios assuming <10% incidence in non-septic controls, and risk ratios were taken as hazard ratios (HR) assuming no censoring. Outcomes were analyzed at maximum follow-up (primary analysis) and stratified by time (<1 year, 1-2 years, and >2 years) since sepsis. Results: Of 11,235 abstracts screened, 25 studies (22 cohort studies, 2 case-crossover studies, and 1 case-control) involving 1,949,793 sepsis survivors were included. The pooled cumulative incidence of CVD events was 9% (95% CI; 5-14%). Sepsis was associated with an increased risk (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.37-1.86) of CVD events at maximum follow-up ( Figure ); between-study heterogeneity was substantial (I 2 =97.3%). There was no significant difference when comparing studies using population and hospital controls. Significantly elevated risk was observed up to 5 years following sepsis. Conclusions: Sepsis survivors experience an approximately 50% increased risk of CVD events, which may persist for years following the index episode. These results highlight a potential unmet need for early cardiac risk stratification and optimization in sepsis survivors.

Download Full-text

Clinical Outcomes of Patients With Primary Membranous Nephropathy and Subnephrotic Proteinuria

Frontiers in Medicine ◽

10.3389/fmed.2021.737700 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 8 ◽

Author(s):

Peng He ◽

Yang Zha ◽

Jing Liu ◽

Hanmin Wang ◽

Lijie He

Keyword(s):

Kidney Function ◽

Membranous Nephropathy ◽

Independent Predictor ◽

Effective Management ◽

Nephrotic Proteinuria ◽

Hazard Ratios ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Course Outcomes ◽

End Stage

Objectives: To update the information about the prognosis of patients with primary membranous nephropathy (MN) and subnephrotic proteinuria and identify the relevant predictors.Methods: In total, 474 cases of biopsy-proven primary MN with at least 18 months of follow-up were reviewed to determine the outcomes of the subgroup of patients that presented with subnephrotic proteinuria. Clinical data included initial proteinuria and microhematuria, defined as the average proteinuria/microhematuria of the first 6 months during the course. Outcomes included partial remission (PR), complete remission (CR), nephrotic proteinuria progression, and kidney function progression, defined as ≥50% loss of kidney function or end-stage kidney disease.Results: In total, 205 patients with primary MN and subnephrotic proteinuria at biopsy were eligible. During a median follow-up of 43 months, 200 (97.56%), 167 (81.46%), and 53 (25.85%) patients attained PR, CR, and nephrotic proteinuria progression, respectively. Only one patient (0.49%) progressed to the kidney function progression. By multivariate Cox hazards regression analyses, the initial proteinuria was identified as the independent predictor for PR, CR, and nephrotic proteinuria progression with adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) of 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.56–0.80), 0.50 (95% CI, 0.40–0.63), and 2.97 (95% CI, 2.23–3.97), respectively. A higher level of initial microhematuria was also associated with an increased risk of nephrotic proteinuria progression. The corresponding aHR was 1.11 (95% CI, 1.05–1.17).Conclusion: Among patients with primary MN and subnephrotic proteinuria, although the overall prognosis is excellent, dynamic detection and effective management of proteinuria remain important. In addition, initial microhematuria may be another predictor of nephrotic proteinuria progression.

Download Full-text

Supper Timing and Cardiovascular Mortality: The Japan Collaborative Cohort Study

Nutrients ◽

10.3390/nu13103389 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 13 (10) ◽

pp. 3389

Author(s):

Jingyun Tang ◽

Jia-Yi Dong ◽

Ehab S. Eshak ◽

Renzhe Cui ◽

Kokoro Shirai ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Hemorrhagic Stroke ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Stroke Mortality ◽

Hazard Ratios ◽

Risk Of Mortality ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Study Participants

Evidence on the role of supper timing in the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is limited. In this study, we examined the associations between supper timing and risks of mortality from stroke, coronary heart disease (CHD), and total CVD. A total of 28,625 males and 43,213 females, aged 40 to 79 years, free from CVD and cancers at baseline were involved in this study. Participants were divided into three groups: the early supper group (before 8:00 p.m.), the irregular supper group (time irregular), and the late supper group (after 8:00 p.m.). Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for stroke, CHD, and total CVD according to the supper time groups. During the 19-year follow-up, we identified 4706 deaths from total CVD. Compared with the early supper group, the multivariable HR of hemorrhagic stroke mortality for the irregular supper group was 1.44 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05–1.97). There was no significant association between supper timing and the risk of mortality from other types of stroke, CHD, and CVD. We found that adopting an irregular supper timing compared with having dinner before 8:00 p.m. was associated with an increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke mortality.

Download Full-text

An evaluation of the SAFIRE grading scale as a predictor of long-term outcomes for patients in the Barrow Ruptured Aneurysm Trial

Journal of Neurosurgery ◽

10.3171/2020.7.jns193431 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 1-5

Author(s):

Joshua S. Catapano ◽

Mohamed A. Labib ◽

Fabio A. Frisoli ◽

Megan S. Cadigan ◽

Jacob F. Baranoski ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Univariate Analysis ◽

Ruptured Aneurysm ◽

Poor Outcome ◽

Increased Risk ◽

Grade Ii ◽

Grading Scale ◽

Poor Outcomes ◽

Grade Iii

OBJECTIVEThe SAFIRE grading scale is a novel, computable scale that predicts the outcome of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) patients in acute follow-up. However, this scale also may have prognostic significance in long-term follow-up and help guide further management.METHODSThe records of all patients enrolled in the Barrow Ruptured Aneurysm Trial (BRAT) were retrospectively reviewed, and the patients were assigned SAFIRE grades. Outcomes at 1 year and 6 years post-aSAH were analyzed for each SAFIRE grade level, with a poor outcome defined as a modified Rankin Scale score > 2. Univariate analysis was performed for patients with a high SAFIRE grade (IV or V) for odds of poor outcome at the 1- and 6-year follow-ups.RESULTSA total of 405 patients with confirmed aSAH enrolled in the BRAT were analyzed; 357 patients had 1-year follow-up, and 333 patients had 6-year follow-up data available. Generally, as the SAFIRE grade increased, so did the proportion of patients with poor outcomes. At the 1-year follow-up, 18% (17/93) of grade I patients, 22% (20/92) of grade II patients, 32% (26/80) of grade III patients, 43% (38/88) of grade IV patients, and 75% (3/4) of grade V patients were found to have poor outcomes. At the 6-year follow-up, 29% (23/79) of grade I patients, 24% (21/89) of grade II patients, 38% (29/77) of grade III patients, 60% (50/84) of grade IV patients, and 100% (4/4) of grade V patients were found to have poor outcomes. Univariate analysis showed that a SAFIRE grade of IV or V was associated with a significantly increased risk of a poor outcome at both the 1-year (OR 2.5, 95% CI 1.5–4.2; p < 0.001) and 6-year (OR 3.7, 95% CI 2.2–6.2; p < 0.001) follow-ups.CONCLUSIONSHigh SAFIRE grades are associated with an increased risk of a poor recovery at late follow-up.

Download Full-text

Pregnancy, pregnancy loss and the risk of diabetes in Chinese women: findings from the China Kadoorie Biobank

European Journal of Epidemiology ◽

10.1007/s10654-019-00582-7 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 35 (3) ◽

pp. 295-303

Author(s):

Sanne A. E. Peters ◽

◽

Ling Yang ◽

Yu Guo ◽

Yiping Chen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Pregnancy Loss ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Chinese Women ◽

Later Life ◽

Induced Abortion ◽

Hazard Ratios ◽

Increased Risk ◽

History Of ◽

Incident Cases

AbstractPregnancy and pregnancy loss may be associated with increased risk of diabetes in later life. However, the evidence is inconsistent and sparse, especially among East Asians where reproductive patterns differ importantly from those in the West. We examined the associations of pregnancy and pregnancy loss (miscarriage, induced abortion, and still birth) with the risk of incident diabetes in later life among Chinese women. In 2004–2008, the nationwide China Kadoorie Biobank recruited 302 669 women aged 30–79 years from 10 (5 urban, 5 rural) diverse localities. During 9.2 years of follow-up, 7780 incident cases of diabetes were recorded among 273,383 women without prior diabetes and cardiovascular disease at baseline. Cox regression yielded multiple-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for the risk of diabetes associated with pregnancy and pregnancy loss. Overall, 99% of women had been pregnant, of whom 10%, 53%, and 6% reported having a history of miscarriage, induced abortion, and stillbirth, respectively. Among ever pregnant women, each additional pregnancy was associated with an adjusted HR of 1.04 (95% CI 1.03; 1.06) for diabetes. Compared with those without pregnancy loss, women with a history of pregnancy loss had an adjusted HR of 1.07 (1.02; 1.13) and the HRs increased with increasing number of pregnancy losses, irrespective of the number of livebirths; the adjusted HR was 1.03 (1.00; 1.05) for each additional pregnancy loss. The strength of the relationships differed marginally by type of pregnancy loss. Among Chinese women, a higher number of pregnancies and pregnancy losses were associated with a greater risk of diabetes.

Download Full-text

Tea consumption and the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality: The China-PAR project

European Journal of Preventive Cardiology ◽

10.1177/2047487319894685 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 27 (18) ◽

pp. 1956-1963 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Xinyan Wang ◽

Fangchao Liu ◽

Jianxin Li ◽

Xueli Yang ◽

Jichun Chen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Disease Incidence ◽

Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease ◽

Tea Consumption ◽

Hazard Ratios ◽

Disease Mortality ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

Cox Proportional Hazard Regression ◽

Study Participants

Aims The role of tea consumption in the primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease remains unclear in cohort studies. This prospective cohort study aimed to investigate the associations of tea consumption with the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality. Methods We included 100,902 general Chinese adults from the project of Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China (China-PAR) in 15 provinces across China since 1998. Information on tea consumption was collected through standardized questionnaires. Outcomes were identified by interviewing study participants or their proxies, and checking hospital records and/or death certificates. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to calculate hazard ratios and their corresponding 95% confidence intervals related to tea consumption. Results During a median follow-up of 7.3 years, 3683 atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events, 1477 atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease deaths, and 5479 all-cause deaths were recorded. Compared with never or non-habitual tea drinkers, the hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval among habitual tea drinkers was 0.80 (0.75–0.87), 0.78 (0.69–0.88), and 0.85 (0.79–0.90) for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease incidence, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease mortality, and all-cause mortality, respectively. Habitual tea drinkers had 1.41 years longer of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease-free years and 1.26 years longer of life expectancy at the index age of 50 years. The observed inverse associations were strengthened among participants who kept the habit during the follow-up period. Conclusion Tea consumption was associated with reduced risks of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality, especially among those consistent habitual tea drinkers.

Download Full-text