scholarly journals The Effect of Storm Life Cycle on Satellite Rainfall Estimation Error

2009 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 769-777 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alemu Tadesse ◽  
Emmanouil N. Anagnostou
Keyword(s):  
Life Cycle ◽  
Estimation Error ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Life Cycles ◽  
Error Statistics ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Satellite Retrieval ◽  
Maturity Stages ◽  
Precipitation Estimation

Abstract The study uses storm tracking information to evaluate error statistics of satellite rain estimation at different maturity stages of storm life cycles. Two satellite rain retrieval products are used for this purpose: (i) NASA’s Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis–Real Time product available at 25-km/hourly resolution (3B41-RT) and (ii) the University of California (Irvine) Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks (PERSIANN) product available at 4-km–hourly resolution. Both algorithms use geostationary satellite infrared (IR) observations calibrated to an array of passive microwave (PM) earth-orbiting satellite sensor rain retrievals. The techniques differ in terms of algorithmic structure and in the way they use the PM rainfall to calibrate the IR rain algorithms. The satellite retrievals are evaluated against rain gauge–calibrated radar rainfall estimates over the continental United States. Error statistics of hourly rain volumes are determined separately for thunderstorm and shower-type convective systems and for different storm life durations and stages of maturity. The authors show distinct differences between the two satellite retrieval error characteristics. The most notable difference is the strong storm life cycle dependence of 3B41-RT relative to the nearly independent PERSIANN behavior. Another is in the algorithm performance between thunderstorms and showers; 3B41-RT exhibits significant bias increase at longer storm life durations. PERSIANN exhibits consistently improved correlations relative to the 3B41-RT for all storm life durations and maturity stages. The findings of this study support the hypothesis that incorporating cloud type information into the retrieval (done by the PERSIANN algorithm) can help improve the satellite retrieval accuracy.

scholarly journals Advancing Precipitation Estimation and Streamflow Simulations in Complex Terrain with X-Band Dual-Polarization Radar Observations

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 1258 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marios Anagnostou ◽  
Efthymios Nikolopoulos ◽  
John Kalogiros ◽  
Emmanouil Anagnostou ◽  
Francesco Marra ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Complex Terrain ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Storm Events ◽  
Error Statistics ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Radar Observations ◽  
X Band ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Rainfall Estimates

In mountain basins, the use of long-range operational weather radars is often associated with poor quantitative precipitation estimation due to a number of challenges posed by the complexity of terrain. As a result, the applicability of radar-based precipitation estimates for hydrological studies is often limited over areas that are in close proximity to the radar. This study evaluates the advantages of using X-band polarimetric (XPOL) radar as a means to fill the coverage gaps and improve complex terrain precipitation estimation and associated hydrological applications based on a field experiment conducted in an area of Northeast Italian Alps characterized by large elevation differences. The corresponding rainfall estimates from two operational C-band weather radar observations are compared to the XPOL rainfall estimates for a near-range (10–35 km) mountainous basin (64 km2). In situ rainfall observations from a dense rain gauge network and two disdrometers (a 2D-video and a Parsivel) are used for ground validation of the radar-rainfall estimates. Ten storm events over a period of two years are used to explore the differences between the locally deployed XPOL vs. longer-range operational radar-rainfall error statistics. Hourly aggregate rainfall estimates by XPOL, corrected for rain-path attenuation and vertical reflectivity profile, exhibited correlations between 0.70 and 0.99 against reference rainfall data and 21% mean relative error for rainfall rates above 0.2 mm h−1. The corresponding metrics from the operational radar-network rainfall products gave a strong underestimation (50–70%) and lower correlations (0.48–0.81). For the two highest flow-peak events, a hydrological model (Kinematic Local Excess Model) was forced with the different radar-rainfall estimations and in situ rain gauge precipitation data at hourly resolution, exhibiting close agreement between the XPOL and gauge-based driven runoff simulations, while the simulations obtained by the operational radar rainfall products resulted in a greatly underestimated runoff response.

Comparison of Single- and Dual-Polarization–Based Rainfall Estimates Using NEXRAD Data for the NASA Iowa Flood Studies Project

2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 1658-1675 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bong-Chul Seo ◽  
Brenda Dolan ◽  
Witold F. Krajewski ◽  
Steven A. Rutledge ◽  
Walter Petersen
Keyword(s):  
Rain Rate ◽  
Heavy Rain ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Superior Performance ◽  
Dual Polarization ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Colorado State University ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Improved Performance ◽  
Rainfall Estimates

Abstract This study compares and evaluates single-polarization (SP)- and dual-polarization (DP)-based radar-rainfall (RR) estimates using NEXRAD data acquired during Iowa Flood Studies (IFloodS), a NASA GPM ground validation field campaign carried out in May–June 2013. The objective of this study is to understand the potential benefit of the DP quantitative precipitation estimation, which selects different rain-rate estimators according to radar-identified precipitation types, and to evaluate RR estimates generated by the recent research SP and DP algorithms. The Iowa Flood Center SP (IFC-SP) and Colorado State University DP (CSU-DP) products are analyzed and assessed using two high-density, high-quality rain gauge networks as ground reference. The CSU-DP algorithm shows superior performance to the IFC-SP algorithm, especially for heavy convective rains. We verify that dynamic changes in the proportion of heavy rain during the convective period are associated with the improved performance of CSU-DP rainfall estimates. For a lighter rain case, the IFC-SP and CSU-DP products are not significantly different in statistical metrics and visual agreement with the rain gauge data. This is because both algorithms use the identical NEXRAD reflectivity–rain rate (Z–R) relation that might lead to substantial underestimation for the presented case.

scholarly journals Product-Error-Driven Uncertainty Model for Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Estimation with NEXRAD Data

2007 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 1325-1347 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grzegorz J. Ciach ◽  
Witold F. Krajewski ◽  
Gabriele Villarini
Keyword(s):  
Agricultural Research ◽  
Central Element ◽  
Processing System ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Random Errors ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Quantitative Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Uncertainty Model ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
The U.S

Abstract Although it is broadly acknowledged that the radar-rainfall (RR) estimates based on the U.S. national network of Weather Surveillance Radar-1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) stations contain a high degree of uncertainty, no methods currently exist to inform users about its quantitative characteristics. The most comprehensive characterization of this uncertainty can be achieved by delivering the products in a probabilistic rather than the traditional deterministic form. The authors are developing a methodology for probabilistic quantitative precipitation estimation (PQPE) based on weather radar data. In this study, they present the central element of this methodology: an empirically based error structure model for the RR products. The authors apply a product-error-driven (PED) approach to obtain a realistic uncertainty model. It is based on the analyses of six years of data from the Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, WSR-88D radar (KTLX) processed with the Precipitation Processing System algorithm of the NEXRAD system. The modeled functional-statistical relationship between RR estimates and corresponding true rainfall consists of two components: a systematic distortion function and a stochastic factor quantifying remaining random errors. The two components are identified using a nonparametric functional estimation apparatus. The true rainfall is approximated with rain gauge data from the Oklahoma Mesonet and the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Agricultural Research Service Micronet networks. The RR uncertainty model presented here accounts for different time scales, synoptic regimes, and distances from the radar. In addition, this study marks the first time in which results on RR error correlation in space and time are presented.

scholarly journals Assessment of High-Resolution Satellite-Based Rainfall Estimates over the Mediterranean during Heavy Precipitation Events

2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 1500-1514 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dimitrios Stampoulis ◽  
Emmanouil N. Anagnostou ◽  
Efthymios I. Nikolopoulos
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Geographical Area ◽  
Heavy Precipitation ◽  
Type Systems ◽  
Economic Losses ◽  
Error Statistics ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Rainfall Estimates ◽  
Precipitation Events

Abstract Heavy precipitation events (HPE) can incur significant economic losses as well as losses of lives through catastrophic floods. Evidence of increasing heavy precipitation at continental and global scales clearly emphasizes the need to accurately quantify these phenomena. The current study focuses on the error analysis of two of the main quasi-global, high-resolution satellite products [Climate Prediction Center (CPC) morphing technique (CMORPH) and Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Imagery Using Artificial Neural Networks (PERSIANN)], using rainfall data derived from high-quality weather radar rainfall estimates as a reference. This analysis is based on seven major flood-inducing HPEs that developed over complex terrain areas in northern Italy (Fella and Sessia regions) and southern France (Cevennes–Vivarais region). The storm cases were categorized as convective or stratiform based on their characteristics, including rainfall intensity, duration, and area coverage. The results indicate that precipitation type has an effect on the algorithm's ability to capture rainfall effectively. Convective storm cases exhibited greater rain rate retrieval errors, while low rain rates in stratiform-type systems are not well captured by the satellite algorithms investigated in this study, thus leading to greater missed rainfall volumes. Overall, CMORPH exhibited better error statistics than PERSIANN for the HPEs of this study. Similarities are also shown in the two satellite products' error characteristics for the HPEs that occurred in the same geographical area.

scholarly journals The New French Operational Radar Rainfall Product. Part II: Validation

2007 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 409-427 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Tabary ◽  
J. Desplats ◽  
K. Do Khac ◽  
F. Eideliman ◽  
C. Gueguen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Radar Data ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Radiosonde Data ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Freezing Level ◽  
Ground Clutter ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
Quality Indexes ◽  
Precipitation Events

Abstract A new operational radar-based rainfall product has been developed at Météo-France and is currently being deployed within the French operational network. The new quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) product is based entirely on radar data and includes a series of modules aimed at correcting for ground clutter, partial beam blocking, and vertical profile of reflectivity (VPR) effects, as well as the nonsimultaneity of radar measurements. The surface rainfall estimation is computed as a weighted mean of the corrected tilts. In addition to the final QPE, a map of quality indexes is systematically generated. This paper is devoted to the validation of the new radar QPE. The VPR identification module has been specifically validated by analyzing 489 precipitation events observed over 1 yr by a representative eight-radar subset of the network. The conceptual model of VPR used in the QPE processing chain is shown to be relevant. A climatology of the three shape parameters of the conceptual VPR (brightband peak, brightband thickness, and upper-level decreasing rate) is established and the radar-derived freezing-level heights are shown to be in good agreement with radiosonde data. A total of 27 precipitation events observed by three S-band radars of the network during the winter of 2005 and the autumns of 2002 and 2003 are used to compare the new radar QPE to the old one. Results are stratified according to the distance to the radar and according to the height of the freezing level. The Nash criterion is increased from 0.23 to 0.62 at close range (below 50 km) and from 0.35 to 0.42 at long range (between 100 and 150 km). The relevance of the proposed quality indexes is assessed by examining their statistical relationship with long-term radar–rain gauge statistics. Mosaics of QPE and quality indexes are also illustrated.

scholarly journals On precipitation measurements collected by a weather radar and a rain gauge network

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 605-623 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Sebastianelli ◽  
F. Russo ◽  
F. Napolitano ◽  
L. Baldini
Keyword(s):  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Rainfall Amount ◽  
Rainfall Time Series ◽  
Adjustment Factor ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Rain Gauges ◽  
R Ratio ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Layer Effect ◽  
One Year

Abstract. Many phenomena (such as attenuation and range degradation) can influence the accuracy of rainfall radar estimates. They introduce errors that increase as the distance from radar increases, thereby decreasing the reliability of radar estimates for applications that require quantitative precipitation estimation. The present paper evaluates radar error as a function of the range, in order to correct the rainfall radar estimates. The radar is calibrated utilizing data from the rain gauges. Then, the G/R ratio between the yearly rainfall amount measured in each rain gauge position during 2008 and the corresponding radar rainfall amount is calculated against the slant range. The trend of the G/R ratio shows two behaviours: a concave part due to the melting layer effect close to the radar location and an almost linear, increasing trend at greater distances. A best fitting line is used to find an adjustment factor, which estimates the radar error at a given range. The effectiveness of the methodology is verified by comparing pairs of rainfall time series that are observed simultaneously by collocated rain gauges and radar. Furthermore, the variability of the adjustment factor is investigated at the scale of event, both for convective and stratiform events. The main result is that there is not a univocal range error pattern, as it also depends on the characteristics of the considered event. On the other hand, the adjustment factor tends to stabilize itself for time aggregations of the order of one year or greater.

scholarly journals Quantification of Precipitation Using Polarimetric Radar Measurements during Several Typhoon Events in Southern China

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 2058
Author(s):  
Qiulei Xia ◽  
Wenjuan Zhang ◽  
Haonan Chen ◽  
Wen-Chau Lee ◽  
Lei Han ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern China ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Polarimetric Radar ◽  
Dual Polarization ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Flood Warning ◽  
Microphysical Properties ◽  
Raindrop Size Distribution ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Radar Measurements

Accurate quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) during typhoon events is critical for flood warning and emergency management. Dual-polarization radar has proven to have better performance for QPE, compared to traditional single-polarization radar. However, polarimetric radar applications have not been extensively investigated in China, especially during extreme events such as typhoons, since the operational dual-polarization system upgrade only happened recently. This paper extends a polarimetric radar rainfall system for local applications during typhoons in southern China and conducts comprehensive studies about QPE and precipitation microphysics. Observations from S-band dual-polarization radar in Guangdong Province during three typhoon events in 2017 are examined to demonstrate the enhanced radar rainfall performance. The microphysical properties of hydrometeors during typhoon events are analyzed through raindrop size distribution (DSD) data and polarimetric radar measurements. The stratiform precipitation in typhoons presents lower mean raindrop diameter and lower raindrop concentration than that of the convection precipitation. The rainfall estimates from the adapted radar rainfall algorithm agree well with rainfall measurements from rain gauges. Using the rain gauge data as references, the maximum normalized mean bias ( N M B ) of the adapted radar rainfall algorithm is 20.27%; the normalized standard error ( N S E ) is less than 40%; and the Pearson’s correlation coefficient ( C C ) is higher than 0.92. For the three typhoon events combined, the N S E and N M B are 36.66% and -15.78%, respectively. Compared with several conventional radar rainfall algorithms, the adapted algorithm based on local rainfall microphysics has the best performance in southern China.

scholarly journals Optimization of X-Band Radar Rainfall Retrieval in the Southern Andes of Ecuador Using a Random Forest Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (14) ◽  
pp. 1632 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johanna Orellana-Alvear ◽  
Rolando Célleri ◽  
Rütger Rollenbeck ◽  
Jörg Bendix
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Correlation Coefficient ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
High Mountain ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Site Specific ◽  
High Attenuation ◽  
X Band ◽  
Precipitation Estimation

Despite many efforts of the radar community, quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) from weather radar data remains a challenging topic. The high resolution of X-band radar imagery in space and time comes with an intricate correction process of reflectivity. The steep and high mountain topography of the Andes enhances its complexity. This study aims to optimize the rainfall derivation of the highest X-band radar in the world (4450 m a.s.l.) by using a random forest (RF) model and single Plan Position Indicator (PPI) scans. The performance of the RF model was evaluated in comparison with the traditional step-wise approach by using both, the Marshall-Palmer and a site-specific Z–R relationship. Since rain gauge networks are frequently unevenly distributed and hardly available at real time in mountain regions, bias adjustment was neglected. Results showed an improvement in the step-wise approach by using the site-specific (instead of the Marshall-Palmer) Z–R relationship. However, both models highly underestimate the rainfall rate (correlation coefficient < 0.69; slope up to 12). Contrary, the RF model greatly outperformed the step-wise approach in all testing locations and on different rainfall events (correlation coefficient up to 0.83; slope = 1.04). The results are promising and unveil a different approach to overcome the high attenuation issues inherent to X-band radars.

scholarly journals Operational Hydrological Modelling of Small Watershed using QPE from Dual-Pol Radar in Brazil

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cesar Beneti ◽  
Roberto V. Calheiros ◽  
Mino Sorribas ◽  
Leonardo Calvetti ◽  
Camila Oliveira ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Rain Gauge ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Radar Rainfall ◽  
Flood Alert ◽  
Precipitation Estimation ◽  
Radar Satellite ◽  
Rainfall Runoff Model ◽  
Runoff Model

Among other applications, radar-rainfall (RR) and QPE (Quantitative Precipitation Estimation) based on radar reflectivity, dual polarization variables, and multi-sensor information, provide important information for land surface hydrology, such as flood forecasting. Therefore, we developed a flood alert system using rainfall-runoff model forced with RR and QPE, and tipping-bucket observations to forecast river water levels (using rating-curves). In this study, we used an hourly dataset from an S-Band dual-polarimetric radar with two tropical R(Z) relations based distrometer data, a polarimetric R(Z,ZDR) algorithm from the literature and a multi-sensor approach using radar, satellite and rain gauge. Two hydrological models were used and calibrated using observed discharge time-series. Although our previous studies indicated accurate RR-based simulations, in some cases floods were not detected when using catchment-lumped rainfall derived from multi-sensor QPE. In this study, we advance further in this subject using improved R(Z,ZDR) relations and QPE for the period of 2016-2017 and flood event-based rainfall-runoff calibration. Thus, we focused on the development (and timing) of floods in the Marrecas River can be complex and strongly related to storms spatiotemporal distribution. To explore this aspect, we also perform a first analysis in using RR in rainfall-runoff model with a nested catchment discretization.

scholarly journals Global Comparisons of Regional Life Cycle Properties and Motion of Multiday Convective Systems: Tropical and Midlatitude Land and Ocean

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (16) ◽  
pp. 5837-5858 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian Vant-Hull ◽  
William Rossow ◽  
Cindy Pearl
Keyword(s):  
Life Cycle ◽  
Satellite Images ◽  
Convective Cloud ◽  
Life Cycles ◽  
Longitudinal Motion ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Middle Latitudes ◽  
System Variables ◽  
The Tropics ◽  
Cloud Top Temperature

Abstract Tracking of convective cloud systems (cloud-top temperature &lt;245 K) in geosynchronous satellite images at 3-h intervals is used to determine life cycle statistics of convective systems in four regimes: tropical land and ocean and midlatitude land and ocean, including seasonal comparisons. The ISCCP tracking dataset covers the period 1984–2006. Only systems with lifetimes greater than or equal to 1 day that were moving predominantly eastward or westward are considered, with splits and merges combined into larger extended convective systems. The life cycle variables are lifetime (duration), maximum area, and minimum cloud-top temperature. These are compared to each other and to the speed of longitudinal motion. Distributions and relationships between the life cycle variables are similar to previous studies based on single-day lifetimes, but the current study is globally extensive (all longitudes at lower and middle latitudes) and multidecadal, which allows extension of such results to rarer, larger, and longer-lived convective systems than previous work. Velocity distributions were monomodal with tails skewed in the direction of the zonal mean wind, being almost purely eastward in the midlatitudes but nearly symmetric in both directions with a small westward bias in the tropics. Representative life cycles for each geographical region are formed by averaging together systems with similar lifetimes. These composite life cycles show that, except for the first and last days, the daily evolution of most system variables exhibits little variation during the average multiday convective life cycle, although the cloud area goes through one cycle of expansion and contraction in a lifetime.

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