Mendelian randomization provides no evidence for a causal role in the bidirectional relationship between depression and multiple sclerosis

2021 ◽  
pp. 135245852199307
Author(s):  
Adil Harroud ◽  
Ruth Ann Marrie ◽  
Kathryn C Fitzgerald ◽  
Amber Salter ◽  
Yi Lu ◽  
...  

Background: Major depressive disorder (MDD) is common in multiple sclerosis (MS) and its incidence rises before MS diagnosis. However, the causality and direction of this association remain unclear. Objective: The objective is to investigate the bidirectional relationship between MS and MDD using Mendelian randomization (MR). Methods: We selected genetic instruments associated with risk of MDD ( n = 660,937 cases; 1,453,489 controls) and MS ( n = 47,429 cases; 68,374 controls). Using two-sample MR, we examined putative causal effects in either direction, with sensitivity analyses to assess pleiotropy. Also, we adjusted for body mass index (BMI) in multivariable MR. Results: We found no effect of genetic liability to MDD on the odds of MS (OR = 1.07/doubling in odds, 95% CI = 0.90–1.28). Similarly, our findings did not support a causal effect of genetic liability to MS on MDD (OR = 1.00/doubling in odds, 95% CI = 0.99–1.01). Despite heterogeneity, sensitivity analyses indicated that bias from pleiotropy was unlikely. Conversely, genetic predisposition toward higher BMI increased the odds of MS (OR = 1.34/SD increase, 95% CI = 1.09–1.65) and MDD (OR = 1.08, 95% CI = 1.01–1.15). Conclusion: This study does not support a causal association between MDD genetic liability and MS susceptibility, and vice versa. Genetic evidence suggesting commonality of obesity to both conditions may partly explain the increased incidence of depression pre-MS diagnosis.

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yangchang Zhang ◽  
Jun Fan ◽  
Li Chen ◽  
Yang Xiong ◽  
Tingting Wu ◽  
...  

BackgroundThe causal association between coffee consumption and the risk of OA is limited. This study was conducted to identify the potential causal effects of coffee consumption on total, knee, hip, and self-reported OA.MethodsGenome-wide association studies (GWAS) of OA were derived from the UK Biobank, comprising 50,508 participants of European ancestry (10,083 with cases and 40,425 controls), and genetic data for specific diagnosed knee OA (4462 cases and 17,885 controls), hip OA (12,625 cases and 50,898 controls), and self-reported OA (12,658 cases and 50,898 controls). Primary and secondary genetic instruments (11 SNPs and 8 SNPs) were selected as instrumental variants from GWAS among 375,833 and 91,462 participants. Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses were performed to test the effects of the selected single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and the OA risk. The causal effects were primarily estimated using weighted median and inverse-variance weighted method with several sensitivity analyses.ResultsThe MR analyses suggested that genetically predicted 1% increase of coffee consumption was associated with an increased risk of overall OA (OR:1.009, 95% CI:1.003-1.016), knee OA (OR:1.023, 95% CI:1.009-1.038), self-reported OA (OR:1.007, 95% CI:1.003-1.011), but not hip OA (OR: 1.012, 95%CI:0.999-1.024) using primary genetic instruments. Similar results were found when using secondary genetic instruments that genetically predicted coffee consumption (cups/day). Additionally, the sensitivity analyses for leave-one-out methods supported a robust association between exposure traits and OA.ConclusionOur findings indicate that genetically predicted coffee consumption exerts a causal effect on total, knee, and self-reported OA risk, but not at the hip. Further research is required to unravel the role of coffee consumption in OA prevention.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emma L Anderson ◽  
Laura D Howe ◽  
Kaitlin H Wade ◽  
Yoav Ben-Shlomo ◽  
W. David Hill ◽  
...  

AbstractObjectivesTo examine whether educational attainment and intelligence have causal effects on risk of Alzheimer’s disease (AD), independently of each other.DesignTwo-sample univariable and multivariable Mendelian Randomization (MR) to estimate the causal effects of education on intelligence and vice versa, and the total and independent causal effects of both education and intelligence on risk of AD.Participants17,008 AD cases and 37,154 controls from the International Genomics of Alzheimer’s Project (IGAP) consortiumMain outcome measureOdds ratio of AD per standardised deviation increase in years of schooling and intelligenceResultsThere was strong evidence of a causal, bidirectional relationship between intelligence and educational attainment, with the magnitude of effect being similar in both directions. Similar overall effects were observed for both educational attainment and intelligence on AD risk in the univariable MR analysis; with each SD increase in years of schooling and intelligence, odds of AD were, on average, 37% (95% CI: 23% to 49%) and 35% (95% CI: 25% to 43%) lower, respectively. There was little evidence from the multivariable MR analysis that educational attainment affected AD risk once intelligence was taken into account, but intelligence affected AD risk independently of educational attainment to a similar magnitude observed in the univariate analysis.ConclusionsThere is robust evidence for an independent, causal effect of intelligence in lowering AD risk, potentially supporting a role for cognitive training interventions to improve aspects of intelligence. However, given the observed causal effect of educational attainment on intelligence, there may also be support for policies aimed at increasing length of schooling to lower incidence of AD.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Panagiota Pagoni ◽  
Christina Dardani ◽  
Beate Leppert ◽  
Roxanna Korologou-Linden ◽  
George Davey Smith ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTBackgroundThere are very few studies investigating possible links between Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD), Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) and Alzheimer’s disease and these have been limited by small sample sizes, diagnostic and recall bias. However, neurocognitive deficits affecting educational attainment in individuals with ADHD could be risk factors for Alzheimer’s later in life while hyper plasticity of the brain in ASD and strong positive genetic correlations of ASD with IQ and educational attainment could be protective against Alzheimer’s.MethodsWe estimated the bidirectional total causal effects of genetic liability to ADHD and ASD on Alzheimer’s disease through two-sample Mendelian randomization. We investigated their direct effects, independent of educational attainment and IQ, through Multivariable Mendelian randomization.ResultsThere was limited evidence to suggest that genetic liability to ADHD (OR=1.00, 95% CI: 0.98 to 1.02, p=0.39) or ASD (OR=0.99, 95% CI: 0.97 to 1.01, p=0.70) was associated with risk of Alzheimer’s disease. Similar causal effect estimates were identified when the direct effects, independent of educational attainment (ADHD: OR=1.00, 95% CI: 0.99 to 1.01, p=0.07; ASD: OR=0.99, 95% CI: 0.98 to 1.00, p=0.28) and IQ (ADHD: OR=1.00, 95% CI: 0.99 to 1.02. p=0.29; ASD: OR=0.99, 95% CI: 0.98 to 1.01, p=0.99), were assessed. Finally, genetic liability to Alzheimer’s disease was not found to have a causal effect on risk of ADHD or ASD (ADHD: OR=1.12, 95% CI: 0.86 to 1.44, p=0.37; ASD: OR=1.19, 95% CI: 0.94 to 1.51, p=0.14).ConclusionsIn the first study to date investigating the causal associations between genetic liability to ADHD, ASD and Alzheimer’s, within an MR framework, we found limited evidence to suggest a causal effect. It is important to encourage future research using ADHD and ASD specific subtype data, as well as longitudinal data in order to further elucidate any associations between these conditions.


2020 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 1163-1172 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emma L Anderson ◽  
Laura D Howe ◽  
Kaitlin H Wade ◽  
Yoav Ben-Shlomo ◽  
W David Hill ◽  
...  

Abstract Objectives To examine whether educational attainment and intelligence have causal effects on risk of Alzheimer’s disease (AD), independently of each other. Design Two-sample univariable and multivariable Mendelian randomization (MR) to estimate the causal effects of education on intelligence and vice versa, and the total and independent causal effects of both education and intelligence on AD risk. Participants 17 008 AD cases and 37 154 controls from the International Genomics of Alzheimer’s Project (IGAP) consortium. Main outcome measure Odds ratio (OR) of AD per standardized deviation increase in years of schooling (SD = 3.6 years) and intelligence (SD = 15 points on intelligence test). Results There was strong evidence of a causal, bidirectional relationship between intelligence and educational attainment, with the magnitude of effect being similar in both directions [OR for intelligence on education = 0.51 SD units, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.49, 0.54; OR for education on intelligence = 0.57 SD units, 95% CI: 0.48, 0.66]. Similar overall effects were observed for both educational attainment and intelligence on AD risk in the univariable MR analysis; with each SD increase in years of schooling and intelligence, odds of AD were, on average, 37% (95% CI: 23–49%) and 35% (95% CI: 25–43%) lower, respectively. There was little evidence from the multivariable MR analysis that educational attainment affected AD risk once intelligence was taken into account (OR = 1.15, 95% CI: 0.68–1.93), but intelligence affected AD risk independently of educational attainment to a similar magnitude observed in the univariate analysis (OR = 0.69, 95% CI: 0.44–0.88). Conclusions There is robust evidence for an independent, causal effect of intelligence in lowering AD risk. The causal effect of educational attainment on AD risk is likely to be mediated by intelligence.


Author(s):  
Yuexin Gan ◽  
Donghao Lu ◽  
Chonghuai Yan ◽  
Jun Zhang ◽  
Jian Zhao

Abstract Background Observational associations between maternal polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) and offspring birth weight (BW) have been inconsistent and the causal relationship is still uncertain. Objective We conducted a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study to estimate the causal effect of maternal PCOS on offspring BW. Methods We constructed genetic instruments for PCOS with 14 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) which were identified in the genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis including 10,074 PCOS cases and 103,164 controls of European ancestry from seven cohorts. The genetic associations of these SNPs with the offspring BW were extracted from summary statistics estimated by the Early Growth Genetics (EGG) consortium (n = 406,063 European-ancestry individuals) using the weighted linear model (WLM), an approximation method of structural equation model (SEM), which separated maternal genetic effects from fetal genetic effects. We used a two-sample MR design to examine the causal relationship between maternal PCOS and offspring BW. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the MR results. Results We found little evidence for a causal effect of maternal PCOS on offspring BW (-6.1 g, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -16.8 g, 4.6 g). Broadly consistent results were found in the sensitivity analyses. Conclusion Despite the large scale of this study, our results suggested little causal effect of maternal PCOS on offspring BW. MR studies with a larger sample size of women with PCOS or more genetic instruments that would increase the variation of PCOS explained are needed in the future.


2022 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Amanda Ly ◽  
Beate Leppert ◽  
Dheeraj Rai ◽  
Hannah Jones ◽  
Christina Dardani ◽  
...  

AbstractHigher prevalence of autism in offspring born to mothers with rheumatoid arthritis has been reported in observational studies. We investigated (a) the associations between maternal and offspring’s own genetic liability for rheumatoid arthritis and autism-related outcomes in the offspring using polygenic risk scores (PRS) and (b) whether the effects were causal using Mendelian randomization (MR). Using the latest genome-wide association (GWAS) summary data on rheumatoid arthritis and individual-level data from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children, United Kingdom, we constructed PRSs for maternal and offspring genetic liability for rheumatoid arthritis (single-nucleotide polymorphism [SNP] p-value threshold 0.05). We investigated associations with autism, and autistic traits: social and communication difficulties, coherence, repetitive behaviours and sociability. We used modified Poisson regression with robust standard errors. In two-sample MR analyses, we used 40 genome-wide significant SNPs for rheumatoid arthritis and investigated the causal effects on risk for autism, in 18,381 cases and 27,969 controls of the Psychiatric Genetics Consortium and iPSYCH. Sample size ranged from 4992 to 7849 in PRS analyses. We found little evidence of associations between rheumatoid arthritis PRSs and autism-related phenotypes in the offspring (maternal PRS on autism: RR 0.89, 95%CI 0.73–1.07, p = 0.21; offspring’s own PRS on autism: RR 1.11, 95%CI 0.88–1.39, p = 0.39). MR results provided little evidence for a causal effect (IVW OR 1.01, 95%CI 0.98–1.04, p = 0.56). There was little evidence for associations between genetic liability for rheumatoid arthritis on autism-related outcomes in offspring. Lifetime risk for rheumatoid arthritis has no causal effects on autism.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Songzan Chen ◽  
Fangkun Yan ◽  
Tian Xu ◽  
Yao Wang ◽  
Kaijie Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Although several observational studies have shown an association between birth weight (BW) and atrial fibrillation (AF), controversy remains. In this study, we aimed to explore the role of elevated BW on the etiology of AF. Methods A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study was designed to infer the causality. The genetic data on the associations of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with BW and AF were separately obtained from two large-scale genome-wide association study with up to 321,223 and 1,030,836 individuals respectively. SNPs were identified at a genome-wide significant level (p-value < 5 × 10− 8). The inverse variance-weighted (IVW) with fixed effects method was performed to obtain causal estimates as our primary analysis. MR-Egger regression was conducted to assess the pleiotropy and sensitivity analyses with various statistical methods were applied to evaluate the robustness of the results. Results In total, 122 SNPs were identified as the genetic instrumental variables. MR analysis revealed a causal effect of elevated BW on AF (OR = 1.21, 95% CI = 1.13–1.29, p-value = 2.39 × 10− 8). The MR-Egger regression suggested no evidence of directional pleiotropy (intercept = 0.00, p-value = 0.62). All the results in sensitivity analyses were consistent with the primary result, which confirmed the causal association between BW and AF. Conclusions The findings from the two-sample MR study indicate a causal effect of elevated BW on AF. This suggests a convenient and effective method to ease the burden of AF by reducing the number of newborns with elevated BW.


Author(s):  
Christina Dardani ◽  
Beate Leppert ◽  
Lucy Riglin ◽  
Dheeraj Rai ◽  
Laura D Howe ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTBackgroundIndividuals with Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) or Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) are at risk of poor educational outcomes. Parental educational attainment has also been associated with risk of ADHD/ASD in the offspring. Despite evidence that ADHD and ASD show genetic links to educational attainment, less is known on the causal nature of the associations and the possible role of IQ.MethodsWe assessed the total causal effects of genetic liability to ADHD/ASD on educational attainment using two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR). We assessed the possible contribution of IQ to the identified causal effects by estimating the “direct” effects of ADHD/ASD on educational attainment, independent of IQ, using Multivariable MR (MVMR). Reverse direction analyses were performed. The latest GWAS meta-analyses of ADHD, ASD, educational attainment and IQ were used. Causal effect estimates were generated using inverse variance weighted models (IVW). Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of the estimates and the presence of pleiotropy.ResultsGenetic liability to ADHD had a total (MRIVW:-3.3 months per doubling of liability to ADHD; 95%CI: -4.8 to -1.9; pval= 5*10−6) and direct negative causal effect on educational attainment (MVMRIVW:-1.6 months per doubling of liability to ADHD; 95%CI: -2.5 to -0.6; pval= 4*10−4). There was little evidence of a total causal effect of genetic liability to ASD on educational attainment (MRIVW: 4 days, per doubling of liability to ASD; 95%CI: -4.9 months to 5.6 months; pval= 0.9) but some evidence of a direct effect not via IQ (MVMRIVW:29 days per doubling the genetic liability to ASD; 95%CI: 2 to 48; pval= 0.03). Reverse direction analyses suggested that genetic liability to higher educational attainment was associated with lower risk of ADHD (MRIVWOR: 0.3 per standard deviation (SD) increase; 95%CI: 0.26 to 0.36; pval= 6*10−51), even after IQ was entered in the models (MVMRIVWOR: 0.33 per SD increase; 95%CI: 0.26 to 0.43; pval= 6*10−17). On the contrary, there was evidence consistent with a positive causal effect of genetic liability to higher educational attainment on risk of ASD (MRIVWOR: 1.51 per SD increase; 95%CI: 1.29 to 1.77; pval= 4*10−7), which was found to be largely explained by IQ (MVMRIVWOR per SD increase: 1.24; 95%CI: 0.96 to 1.60; pval= 0.09).ConclusionsOur findings suggest that despite the genetic and phenotypic overlap between ADHD and ASD, they present highly differentiated causal associations with educational attainment. This highlights the necessity for specialized educational interventions for children with ADHD and ASD. Further research is needed in order to decipher whether the identified causal effects reflect parentally transmitted effects, diagnostic masking, or selection bias.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Min Chen ◽  
Wen-Yan Peng ◽  
Tai-Chun Tang ◽  
Hui Zheng

Background: Previous studies suggested an association of sleep disorders with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and indicated that using pharmacological treatments for the modulation of circadian rhythms might prevent IBD pathogenesis or aggravation, but whether the effect of sleep traits on IBD was causal is inconclusive and, therefore, prevents drug repurposing based on the previous studies. We aimed to examine the causal effect of different sleep traits on the pathogenesis of IBD.Methods: Genetic instruments for sleep traits were selected from the largest GWAS studies available in the UK Biobank (n = 449,734) and the 23andMe Research (n = 541,333). A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study was conducted to examine the association of the genetic instruments with IBD (12,882 cases and 21,770 controls), ulcerative colitis (6,968 cases, 20,464 controls), and Crohn’s disease (5,956 cases and 14,927 controls). We applied the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method to estimate causal effects, and we used the weighted median and MR-Egger method for sensitivity analyses.Results: We found that sleep duration (OR, 1.00, 95% CI 1.00–1.01), short sleep duration (OR, 1.07, 95% CI 0.41–2.83), morningness (OR, 1.05, 95% CI 0.87–1.27), daytime napping (OR, 1.64, 95% CI 0.62–4.4), frequent insomnia (OR, 1.17, 95% CI 0.8–1.72), any insomnia (OR, 1.17, 95% CI 0.69–1.97), and snoring (OR, 0.31, 95% CI 0.06–1.54) had no causal effect on IBD, and these sleep traits had no causal effect on ulcerative colitis and Crohn’s disease either. Most of the sensitivity analyses showed consistent results with those of the IVW method.Conclusion: Our MR study did not support the causal effect of sleep traits on IBD. Pharmacological modulation of circadian rhythms for the prevention of IBD pathogenesis was unwarranted.


2020 ◽  
Vol 112 (5) ◽  
pp. 1348-1357
Author(s):  
Hassan S Dashti ◽  
Angela Chen ◽  
Iyas Daghlas ◽  
Richa Saxena

ABSTRACT Background Poor dietary choices may underlie known associations between having an evening diurnal preference and cardiometabolic diseases. Assessing causal links between diurnal preference and food intake is now possible in Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses. Objectives We aimed to use a 2-sample MR to determine potential causal effects of genetic liability to a morning preference on food intake. We also examined potential causal effects of a morning preference on objectively captured response performances to email-administered 24-h diet recalls. Methods We used genetic variants associated with a morning preference from a published genome-wide association meta-analysis. Our outcomes included 61 food items with estimates from a food-frequency questionnaire in the UK Biobank (n = 361,194). For significant findings, we repeated the analysis using intake estimates from modified 24-h diet recalls in a subset of overlapping participants (n = 146,086). In addition, we examined 7 response performance outcomes, including the time and duration of responses to 24-h diet recalls (n = 123,035). MR effects were estimated using an inverse-variance weighted analysis. Results Genetic liability to a morning preference was associated with increased intake of 6 food items (fresh fruit, alcohol with meals, bran cereal, cereals, dried fruit, and water), decreased intake of 4 food items (beer plus cider, processed meat, other cereals [e.g., corn or frosted flakes], and full cream milk), increased temperature of hot drinks, and decreased variation in diet (PFalse Discovery Rate &lt; 0.05). There was no evidence for an effect on coffee or tea intake. Findings for fresh fruit, beer plus cider, bran cereal, and cereal were consistent when intakes were estimated by 24-h diet recalls (P &lt; 0.05). We also identified potential causal links between a morning preference with earlier timing and a shorter duration for completing email-administered 24-h diet recalls. Conclusions Our findings provide evidence for a potentially causal effect of a morning preference with the increased intake of foods known to constitute a healthy diet, suggesting possible health benefits of adopting a more morning diurnal preference.


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