Anaemia: A risk factor for death and adverse outcomes following surgery for acute lower limb ischaemia

Vascular ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 170853812110261
Author(s):  
Daniel Perren ◽  
Lauren Shelmerdine ◽  
Luke Boylan ◽  
Craig Nesbitt ◽  
James Prentis ◽  
...  

Introduction Acute limb ischaemia (ALI) forms a significant part of the vascular surgery workload and carries with it high rates of morbidity and mortality. Anaemia is also common amongst vascular surgical patients and has been linked with poor outcomes in some subgroups. We aimed to assess the frequency of anaemia in patients with ALI and its impact on survival and complications following revascularisation to help direct future efforts to optimise outcomes in this patient group. Methods A retrospective analysis of prospectively collected departmental data on patients undergoing surgical intervention for ALI between 2014 and 2018 was performed. Anaemia was defined as a pre-operative haemoglobin (Hb) of <120 g/L for women and <130 g/L for men. The primary outcome was overall survival, assessed with the Kaplan–Meier estimator, with application of Cox proportional hazard modelling to adjust for confounding covariates. Results There were 158 patients who underwent treatment for ALI: 89 (56.3%) of these were non-anaemic with a mean Hb of 146 (SD = 18.4), and 69 (43.7%) were anaemic with a mean Hb of 106 (SD = 13.4). Anaemic patients had a significantly higher risk of death than their non-anaemic counterparts on univariate analysis (HR = 2.11, 95% CIs, 1.28–3.5, p = 0.0036). There was ongoing divergence in survival up to around 6 months between anaemic and non-anaemic groups. Under the Cox model, anaemia was similarly significant as a predictor of death (HR = 2.15, 95% CIs, 1.17–3.95, p = 0.013), accounting for recorded comorbidities, medication use and blood transfusion. Conclusions Anaemia is a significant and independent risk factor for death following revascularisation for ALI and can be potentially be modified. Vascular surgical centres should ensure they have robust pathways in place to identify and consider treating anaemia. There is scope for further work to assess how to best optimise a patient’s levels of circulating haemoglobin.

2014 ◽  
Vol 32 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 448-448
Author(s):  
Roberto Iacovelli ◽  
Francesco Massari ◽  
Laurence Albiges ◽  
Bernard Escudier

448 Background: SU and PA are VEGFR inhibitors, approved for the treatment of mRCC. Cessation of treatment has been reported to induce flare-up, with increased tumor growth rate (TGR). We aimed to investigate this phenomenon and its prognostic role in mRCC. Methods: Patients who discontinued first line SU or PA with available data about CT scans performed before (t-1), at the time of discontinuation (t0) and after (t+1), were included in this analysis. TGR was evaluated as the difference between the sum of longest diameters (SLD) of the target lesions during the interval time between the CTs (TGR1=SLD0–SLD-1/t0-t-1 and TGR2=SLD+1-SLD0/t+1-t0) and expressed in cm/month. Flare-up was evaluated as the difference between the TGRs. Median overall survival was evaluated from t0 (OS0) to death by the Kaplan-Meier method and correlation with variables was evaluated with Cox model. Results: Sixty-three patients treated from Oct 2006 to Nov 2012 at the Institut Gustave Roussy were eligible. Median age was 57.1 y, 81% were males, 89% had SU and 11% PA. Heng prognostic groups were good in 33% and intermediate in 67% of the pts. Median OS0 was 24.1 months (95%CI, 8.3 – 40.0). Major reasons for discontinuation were durable partial/complete response (16%), severe toxicity (22%) and progression of disease (62%). The median TGR1 and TGR2 were 0.2 and 0.7 cm/month, respectively (p=0.001), no correlation was found (p=0.33) and no differences were found between SU and PA in TGR1 (p=0.95) and TGR2 (p=0.53). Median flare-up was 0.5 cm/month (IQR: 0.1 – 1.2); in pts who discontinued for response, toxicity, or PD it was 0.1 (IQR: -0.2 – 0.6), 0.5 (IQR; 0.2 – 2.0) and 0.8 (0.1 – 1.7), respectively. At the univariate analysis flare-up was a prognostic factor for OS0 (HR: 1.13, 95%CI: 1.02 – 1.24; p=0.018). When compared to Heng criteria in the multivariate analysis, it was confirmed to be an independent prognostic factor: each increase of 1 cm in flare-up increases the risk of death by 11% (HR: 1.11, 95%CI: 1.00 – 1.23; p=0.048). Conclusions: Flare-up is an independent prognostic factor present in patients affected by mRCC who discontinued SU or PA. This is independent by the reason for discontinuation and the type of therapy.


2021 ◽  
pp. postgradmedj-2021-139981
Author(s):  
Shimin Tang ◽  
Hao Jiang ◽  
Zhijun Cao ◽  
Qiang Zhou

IntroductionProstate cancer is a common malignancy in men that is difficult to treat and carries a high risk of death. miR-219-5p is expressed in reduced amounts in many malignancies. However, the prognostic value of miR-219-5p for patients with prostate cancer remains unclear.MethodsWe retrospectively analysed data from 213 prostate cancer patients from 10 June 2012 to 9 May 2015. Overall survival was assessed by Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression models. Besides, a prediction model was constructed, and calibration curves evaluated the model’s accuracy.ResultsOf the 213 patients, a total of 72 (33.8%) died and the median survival time was 60.0 months. We found by multifactorial analysis that miR-219-5p deficiency increased the risk of death by nearly fourfold (HR: 3.86, 95% CI): 2.01 to 7.44, p<0.001) and the risk of progression by twofold (HR: 2.79, 95% CI: 1.68 to 4.64, p<0.001). To quantify each covariate’s weight on prognosis, we screened variables by cox model to construct a predictive model. The Nomogram showed excellent accuracy in estimating death’s risk, with a corrected C-index of 0.778.ConclusionsmiR-219-5p can be used as a biomarker to predict death risk in prostate cancer patients. The mortality risk prediction model constructed based on miR-219-5p has good consistency and validity in assessing patient prognosis.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 9097-9097
Author(s):  
Gelcio L. Q. Mendes ◽  
Sergio Koifman

9097 Background: Localized cutaneous melanomas (CM) have their clinical course predicted by microscopic findings in the tumor specimen, mostly Breslow’s thickness (BTL), ulceration and mitoses. It is not certain whether BTL has a linear relationship with overall survival (OS) or relapse-free survival (RFS). The aim of this study was to evaluate BTL´s linear (LC) and its non-linear component (NLC) with relation to survival. Methods: All consecutive cases of CM treated from 1997 to 2006 at a single institution were identified, individuals with stage I or II tumors, minimum follow up of one month and known BTL were selected, socio-demographic data, clinical and pathological findings, treatment and outcomes were abstracted. Information about ulceration was missing in more that 30% of cases and it was not evaluated, there was no information about mitotic rate. Survival was estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariate analyses were performed by the Cox model. BTL was evaluated as a continuous variable, and the LC and NLC by the technique of smoothing, using p-splines. Results: There were 1465 cases of CM, 51 with no follow up, 137 had no information about BTL and 202 had advanced stages. This analysis is based on 1075 cases. In the Cox model, the variables associated OS were age [hazard ratio (HR) 1.02, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.03], sex (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.2 to 2.04) and BTL (HR=1.079, 95% CI 1.065 to 1.094). The variables associated with RFS were age (HR 1.017, 95% CI 1.009 to 1.024), sex (HR 1.372, 95% CI 1.104 to 1.704) and BTL (1.068, 95% CI 1.057 to 1.080). In the analysis of LC and NLC of BTL, it was found that both LC and NLC were statistically significant for OS and RFS. There was an increase in the HR as BTL increased in those lesions thinner than 4mm, then such increase was not as evident and lesions with more than 10mm had a similar OS and RFS (plateau). Conclusions: BTL is one of the most powerful prognostic criteria of patients with stage I and II CM. The risk of death increases linearly for thin lesions up to 4mm, lesions thicker than 10mm behave as a uniform group with no further decrease in OS or RFS as the lesion becomes larger. In conclusion, BTL may not behave as a linear function, it has a LC for thinner lesions, but for thicker lesions, above 10mm, further increase in BTL may add no more risk.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. LBA107-LBA107 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kamal Chamoun ◽  
Marcos J.G. De Lima ◽  
Paolo Fabrizio Caimi ◽  
Pingfu Fu ◽  
Shufen Cao ◽  
...  

LBA107 Background: MM is often treated with oral antineoplastic medications (OAM). OAM prices have been rapidly escalating and there are well-described issues with affordability (Shih et al. JCO 2017). We therefore hypothesized that insurance status influences MM patients (pts) survival and interrogated the National Cancer Database (NCDB) to test this hypothesis. Methods: NCDB houses data on 70% of cancer pts in the USA. Data from 117,926 MM pts diagnosed between year 2005 and 2014 was analyzed. Primary outcome was overall survival (OS) which was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier method and Cox model. Results: Median age at diagnosis was 67 years (19-90); 55% were males. 57% of pts lived in areas where the median income was < $46k/year (individual income data was not available); Primary insurance was Medicare (52%), private insurance (35%) or Medicaid (5%), and 3% were uninsured. 40% were treated in academic institutions. Median follow up was 30 months (0-145). By univariate analysis, better OS was observed in pts with primary MM, lower Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), treatment in academic institutions, higher median regional income, or private insurance ( p<0.0001 for all). Median age of pts on Medicare, private insurance, Medicaid, or those without insurance was 74, 57, 58, and 57 years, respectively. When restricting the analysis to pts ≥ 65 years old, pts with private insurance had longer OS compared to Medicare pts (p<0.0001). The table shows the results of MV analysis. Conclusions: Insurance type and regional income are associated with MM survival. This may be related to affordability of OAM and merits further investigation. [Table: see text]


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 40-47
Author(s):  
N. N. Petrova ◽  
V. E. Pashkovskiy ◽  
M. S. Sivashova ◽  
A. N. Gvozdetsky ◽  
G. A. Prokopovich

Objective: to analyze clinical and follow-up indicators in patients with mental disorders and COVID-19 and to identify on their basis predictors of poor outcomes associated with mental state.Patients and methods. We conducted a prospective study in a multidisciplinary hospital. The severity of coronavirus infection was determined according to the temporary guidelines. Data collection was carried out using a patient chart consisting of 109 variables. Predictors of poor outcomes were determined using predictive models (logit regression, Cox model). The study included 97 patients: 41 men (42.3%) and 56 (57.7%) women, mean age – 62.3±15.3 years. 26 patients died; 71 patients recovered.Results and discussion. The death occurred on 11.5 day. The mental state of these patients was severe, with a predominance of delirium cases. With increasing age, the probability of non-lethal outcome decreases [hazard ratio (HR) 1.03; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00–1.06; p=0.037]. The risk of death increased by 1.03 (p=0.037) for each year of life. An improvement in the mental state of patients during psychotropic therapy is associated with an 11.11-fold decrease in the risk of poor outcome of coronavirus infection (HR 0.09; 95% CI 0.01–0.76; p=0.027). Delirium is a predictor of low patient survival, especially in prolonged hospitalizations (HR 4.55; 95% CI 1.66–12.48; p=0.003). The severity of coronavirus infection makes the greatest contribution to the poor outcome: the risk of death increases by 33.17 times (CR 33.17; 95% CI 4.01–274.65; p<0.001). The severity of the mental disorder had a greater impact on the risk of death compared with age, increasing it by 4.55 times (p=0.003).Conclusion. We found significant differences between the groups of deceased and surviving patients with COVID-19 concerning the variables related to certain mental disorders, their severity and dynamics, and the severity of coronavirus infection. In addition, the age of the patients had a significant impact on the prognosis of COVID-19. The results reflect the special prognostic significance of delirium in the structure of mental disorders developing in patients with coronavirus infection.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 253-253
Author(s):  
Christine Cho-Shing Hsu ◽  
Abhishek Goyal ◽  
Rosa Hidalgo ◽  
Elizabeth Verna ◽  
Jean Emond ◽  
...  

253 Background: High alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is associated with worse survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. CA19-9 is a glycoprotein biomarker of biliary and pancreatic cancer. To our knowledge, no prospective study has examined CA19-9 as a prognostic biomarker in HCC. We hypothesized that it may add to our ability to risk stratify patients. Methods: We prospectively enrolled 122 patients with newly diagnosed HCC between 10/2008 and 7/2012 and followed until July 23, 2012. HCC was defined by AASLD criteria. CA 19-9 and AFP were measured on enrollment: 50% patients had CA19-9 >37 U/mL and 22% had CA 19-9>100. Pathology specimens were available for 50% of patients and none were consistent with mixed HCC-cholangiocarcinoma (HCC-CC) or pure CC. We evaluated the relationship between CA19-9 and overall survival using Kaplan Meier curves, univariate, and multivariate Cox Proportional Hazards Models. Results: The mean age of the cohort was 62.1 and 79% were male. 59% had underlying HCV and 16% had HBV. In univariate analysis, CA19-9>100 predicted worse survival (HR=3.44, 95% CI: 1.79-6.61, p=0.0002). Other cut-points for CA19-9 yielded similar results, although not all were significant. In a multivariate model including CP Score (B vs. A), Milan (outside vs. within), and AFP (>100 vs. ≤100), CA19-9 >100 remained an independent risk factor for increased mortality (HR 3.95, 95% CI: 1.95-7.97, p=0.0001). CP score and Milan status had HRs of 2.57 (95% CI: 1.31-5.02, p=0.006) and 5.27 (95% CI: 2.05-13.57 p=0.0006). AFP was not an independent risk factor for worse survival with a HR of 1.69 (95% CI: 0.85-3.37, p=0.14). We also looked at models using different cut-points for AFP; CA19-9 added additional risk stratification in all models. Among patients with AFP>100, median survival was 15.5 months vs. 3.8 months when comparing those with CA19-9 ≤100 with CA19-9>100 (p=0.01, log-rank). Conclusions: CA 19-9 is a readily available biomarker that may be a novel predictor of survival in HCC patients. In our multivariate model, CA 19-9>100 almost quadrupled mortality risk. It might be particularly useful to risk stratify patients with normal AFP and those with very high AFP being considered for transplant.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3-3
Author(s):  
Grace Lee ◽  
Daniel W. Kim ◽  
Vinayak Muralidhar ◽  
Devarati Mitra ◽  
Nora Horick ◽  
...  

3 Background: While treatment-related lymphopenia (TRL) is common and associated with poorer survival in multiple solid malignancies, little data exists for anal cancer. We evaluated TRL and its association with survival in anal cancer patients treated with chemoradiation (CRT). Methods: A retrospective analysis of 140 patients with non-metastatic anal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) treated with definitive CRT was performed. Total lymphocyte counts (TLC) at baseline and monthly intervals up to 12 months after initiating CRT were analyzed. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association between overall survival (OS) and TRL, dichotomized by G4 TRL ( < 0.2k/μl) two months after initiating CRT. Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests were used to compare OS between patients with versus without G4 TRL. Results: Median time of follow-up was 55 months. Prior to CRT, 95% of patients had a normal TLC ( > 1k/μl). Two months after initiating CRT, there was a median of 71% reduction in TLC from baseline and 84% of patients had TRL: 11% G1, 31% G2, 34% G3, and 8% G4. On multivariable Cox model, G4 TRL at two months was associated with a 3.7-fold increased risk of death (p = 0.013). On log-rank test, the 5-year OS rate was shorter in the cohort with versus without G4 TRL at two months (32% vs. 86%, p < 0.001). Conclusions: TRL is common and may be another prognostic marker of OS in anal cancer patients treated with CRT. The association between TRL and OS supports the hypothesis that host immunity plays an important role in survival among patients with anal cancer. These results support ongoing efforts of randomized trials underway to evaluate the potential role of immunotherapy in localized anal cancer.


Circulation ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 116 (suppl_16) ◽  
Author(s):  
Inder S Anand ◽  
Tibor Kempf ◽  
Heike Tapken ◽  
Tim Allhoff ◽  
Michael Kuskowski ◽  
...  

Background: Growth-Differentiation Factor-15 (GDF-15) is a member of the TGF-β family that is induced in the heart after myocardial injury. In patients with non-ST segment elevation ACS, GDF-15 is increased and provides prognostic information. Its role in heart failure is unknown. Methods & Results: GDF-15 was measured in 1125 Val-HeFT patients at baseline. Baseline median GDF-15 was 2027 ng/L (IQ range 1447 to 2942) and was abnormal (>1200 ng/L) in 86% of patients. Patients with GDF-15 above the median had higher NYHA class, greater volume load, lower LVEF and eGFR, higher hsCRP, norepinephrine, BNP and aldosterone, lower use of beta-blockers and higher use of diuretics (all p<0.01). In a multivariate COX model including all baseline variables, GDF-15 was a significant independent predictor of death (HR, 1.5, 95% CI, 1.06–2.14), first morbid event (HR 1.56, 95% CI, 1.19–2.04), and hospitalizations for HF (HR, 1.93, 95% CI, 1.33–2.80), as was BNP for all the three endpoints (HR, 1.7, 95% CI, 1.27–2.3), (HR 1.84, 95% CI, 1.45–2.35), and (HR, 1.98, 95% CI, 1.43–2.7). Spearman correlation of BNP with GDF-15 was 0.33 p<0.001. To test whether GDF-15 adds prognostic information over that provided by BNP, patients were sub-grouped using the median BNP (96 pg/mL) and GDF-15 (2027 ng/L). Figure shows survival curves for the four subgroups. In a multivariate COX analysis when both GDF-15 and BNP were above the median, the risk of death was nearly three times as great (HR 2.75, 95% CI 1.75–4.30, p<0.001) compared to those with both below the median. Conclusion: GDF-15 is an important prognostic marker in HF, independent of other markers and adds prognostic information to that provided by BNP alone.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
YiNing Dai ◽  
XiaoLiang Wan ◽  
Can Liu ◽  
ChongYang Duan ◽  
Shuai Shao ◽  
...  

Background: Infections increase the risk of poor outcomes in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). However, predicting patients at a high risk of developing infection remains unclear. Moreover, the value of N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for predicting infection is still unknown. Thus, we aimed to assess the relationship between NT-proBNP and the following development of infection, and clinical adverse outcomes in patients with STEMI undergoing PCI.Methods: STEMI patients undergoing PCI were consecutively enrolled from January 2010 to July 2016 and divided into groups according to baseline NT-proBNP levels: tertiles T1 (&lt;988 pg/mL), T2 (988–3520 pg/mL), and T3 (≥3520 pg/mL). The primary endpoint was infection during hospitalization.Results: A total of 182 (27%) patients developed in-hospital infection. The incidence of infection increased from T1 to T3 (10.5, 17.7, and 54.5%, P &lt; 0.001). NT-proBNP was an independent risk factor (adjusted odds ratio = 1.39, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.12–1.73, P = 0.003) and presented accurately predicting infection (area under curve = 0.774). Multivariate cox analysis showed that NT-proBNP was a significant risk factor for major adverse clinical events (MACE) at follow-up (adjusted HR = 1.92, 95% CI = 1.61–2.29, P &lt; 0.001).Conclusion: The baseline NT-proBNP level has a good predictive value for infection and MACE in STEMI patients undergoing PCI.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 1452
Author(s):  
Aneta Maria Borkowska ◽  
Anna Szumera-Ciećkiewicz ◽  
Maria Chraszczewska ◽  
Kamil Sokół ◽  
Tomasz Goryń ◽  
...  

Background: The presence of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in many studies is associated with a better prognosis in melanoma patients. Programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression has a significant value in predicting several cancers, but its role in melanoma remains ambiguous. The study aims to report a comprehensive analysis of TILs characteristics and their impact on survival in primary acral melanoma (AM). Methods: Clinical and pathological features and survival outcomes were investigated in 70 patients with AM. Immunohistochemical quantitative analysis of TILs, including expression of CD4, CD8, FOXP3, PD-1, and PD-L1, on melanoma cells was performed. Results: Kaplan-Meier analysis showed significant differences in overall survival (OS) for CD4+ (p = 0.021), CD8+ (p = 0.037), FOXP3+ (p = 0.007), and TILs density (p = 0.043). In univariate analysis of immunohistochemical features, FOXP3, CD4, CD8, PD-1, and Melanoma Institute of Australia (MIA) grading TILs (grade, density, and distribution) were correlated with survival. The higher density of FOXP3-positive cells was an independent factor associated with better survival. Conclusions: High TILs content (classed as brisk Clark scale and marked/diffuse TILs MIA grade) regardless of its immunophenotype was associated with better survival outcomes in AM. PD-L1 expression on tumor cells did not influence OS and was independent of clinical and pathological characteristics. We demonstrated that TILs are significant biomarkers in sentinel lymph node status prediction.


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