scholarly journals Estimating prevalence of human traits among populations from polygenic risk scores

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Britney E. Graham ◽  
Brian Plotkin ◽  
Louis Muglia ◽  
Jason H. Moore ◽  
Scott M. Williams
Keyword(s):  
Phenotypic Variation ◽  
Significant Proportion ◽  
Population Level ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Diverse Populations ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Risk Variants ◽  
Complex Architecture ◽  
Variance Explained

AbstractThe genetic basis of phenotypic variation across populations has not been well explained for most traits. Several factors may cause disparities, from variation in environments to divergent population genetic structure. We hypothesized that a population-level polygenic risk score (PRS) can explain phenotypic variation among geographic populations based solely on risk allele frequencies. We applied a population-specific PRS (psPRS) to 26 populations from the 1000 Genomes to four phenotypes: lactase persistence (LP), melanoma, multiple sclerosis (MS) and height. Our models assumed additive genetic architecture among the polymorphisms in the psPRSs, as is convention. Linear psPRSs explained a significant proportion of trait variance ranging from 0.32 for height in men to 0.88 for melanoma. The best models for LP and height were linear, while those for melanoma and MS were nonlinear. As not all variants in a PRS may confer similar, or even any, risk among diverse populations, we also filtered out SNPs to assess whether variance explained was improved using psPRSs with fewer SNPs. Variance explained usually improved with fewer SNPs in the psPRS and was as high as 0.99 for height in men using only 548 of the initial 4208 SNPs. That reducing SNPs improves psPRSs performance may indicate that missing heritability is partially due to complex architecture that does not mandate additivity, undiscovered variants or spurious associations in the databases. We demonstrated that PRS-based analyses can be used across diverse populations and phenotypes for population prediction and that these comparisons can identify the universal risk variants.

scholarly journals Estimating Prevalence of Human Traits Among Populations From Polygenic Risk Scores

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Britney Graham ◽  
Brian Plotkin ◽  
Louis Muglia ◽  
Jason Moore ◽  
Scott Williams
Keyword(s):  
Phenotypic Variation ◽  
Significant Proportion ◽  
Population Level ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Diverse Populations ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Risk Variants ◽  
Complex Architecture ◽  
Variance Explained

Abstract The genetic basis of phenotypic variation across populations has not been well explained for most traits. Several factors may cause disparities, from variation in environments to divergent population genetic structure. We hypothesized that a population level polygenic risk score (PRS) can explain phenotypic variation among geographic populations based solely on risk allele frequencies. We applied a population specific PRS (psPRS) to 26 populations from the 1000 Genomes to four phenotypes: lactase persistence (LP), melanoma, multiple sclerosis (MS) and height. Our models assumed additive genetic architecture among the polymorphisms in the psPRS, as is convention. Linear psPRSs explained a significant proportion of trait variance ranging from 0.32 for height in men to 0.88 for melanoma. The best models for LP and height were linear, while those for melanoma and MS were nonlinear. As not all variants in a PRS may confer similar, or even any, risk among diverse populations, we also filtered out SNPs to assess whether variance explained was improved using psPRSs with fewer SNPs. Variance explained usually improved with fewer SNPs in the psPRS and were as high as 0.99 for height in men using only 548 of the initial 4208 SNPs. That reducing SNPs improves psPRS performance may indicate that missing heritability is partially due to complex architecture that does not mandate additivity, undiscovered variants, or spurious associations in the databases. We demonstrated that PRS based-analyses can be used across diverse populations and phenotypes for population prediction and that these comparisons can identify the universal risk variants.

scholarly journals Multiplex melanoma families are enriched for polygenic risk

2020 ◽  
Vol 29 (17) ◽  
pp. 2976-2985
Author(s):  
Matthew H Law ◽  
Lauren G Aoude ◽  
David L Duffy ◽  
Georgina V Long ◽  
Peter A Johansson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cutaneous Melanoma ◽  
Cumulative Effect ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Single Family ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Complex Disorders ◽  
Risk Variants ◽  
High Penetrance ◽  
Genetic Risks

Abstract Cancers, including cutaneous melanoma, can cluster in families. In addition to environmental etiological factors such as ultraviolet radiation, cutaneous melanoma has a strong genetic component. Genetic risks for cutaneous melanoma range from rare, high-penetrance mutations to common, low-penetrance variants. Known high-penetrance mutations account for only about half of all densely affected cutaneous melanoma families, and the causes of familial clustering in the remainder are unknown. We hypothesize that some clustering is due to the cumulative effect of a large number of variants of individually small effect. Common, low-penetrance genetic risk variants can be combined into polygenic risk scores. We used a polygenic risk score for cutaneous melanoma to compare families without known high-penetrance mutations with unrelated melanoma cases and melanoma-free controls. Family members had significantly higher mean polygenic load for cutaneous melanoma than unrelated cases or melanoma-free healthy controls (Bonferroni-corrected t-test P = 1.5 × 10−5 and 6.3 × 10−45, respectively). Whole genome sequencing of germline DNA from 51 members of 21 families with low polygenic risk for melanoma identified a CDKN2A p.G101W mutation in a single family but no other candidate high-penetrance melanoma susceptibility genes. This work provides further evidence that melanoma, like many other common complex disorders, can arise from the joint action of multiple predisposing factors, including rare high-penetrance mutations, as well as via a combination of large numbers of alleles of small effect.

scholarly journals Polygenic risk scores in psychiatry: Will they be useful for clinicians?

F1000Research ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. 1293 ◽  
Author(s):  
Janice M. Fullerton ◽  
John I. Nurnberger
Keyword(s):  
Single Gene ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Predictive Capacity ◽  
Gene Markers ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
General Terms ◽  
Risk Variants ◽  
The Future ◽  
Psychiatric Conditions

Major psychiatric disorders are heritable but they are genetically complex. This means that, with certain exceptions, single gene markers will not be helpful for diagnosis. However, we are learning more about the large number of gene variants that, in combination, are associated with risk for disorders such as schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, and other psychiatric conditions. The presence of those risk variants may now be combined into a polygenic risk score (PRS). Such a score provides a quantitative index of the genomic burden of risk variants in an individual, which relates to the likelihood that a person has a particular disorder. Currently, such scores are quite useful in research, and they are telling us much about the relationships between different disorders and other indices of brain function. In the future, as the datasets supporting the development of such scores become larger and more diverse and as methodological developments improve predictive capacity, we expect that PRS will have substantial clinical utility in the assessment of risk for disease, subtypes of disease, and even treatment response. Here, we provide an overview of PRS in general terms (including a glossary suitable for informed non-geneticists) and discuss the use of PRS in psychiatry, including their limitations and cautions for interpretation, as well as their applications now and in the future.

scholarly journals Polygenic Risk Score of Sporadic late Onset Alzheimer Disease Reveals a Shared Architecture with the Familial and Early Onset Forms

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jorge L Del-Aguila ◽  
Benjamin Saef ◽  
Kathleen Black ◽  
Maria Victoria Fernandez ◽  
John Budde ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Early Onset ◽  
Genetic Architecture ◽  
Late Onset ◽  
Age At Onset ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Risk Variants ◽  
Genome Wide ◽  
Load Risk

AbstractObjective:To determine whether the genetic architecture of sporadic late-onset Alzheimer’s Disease (sLOAD) has an effect on familial late-onset AD (fLOAD), sporadic early-onset (sEOAD) and autosomal dominant early-onset (eADAD).Methods:Polygenic risk scores (PRS) were constructed using previously identified 21 genome-wide significant loci for LOAD risk.Results:We found that there is an overlap in the genetic architecture among sEOAD, fLOAD, and sLOAD. sEOAD showed the highest odds for the PRS (OR=2.27; p=1.29×10-7), followed by fLOAD (OR=1.75; p=1.12×10-7) and sLOAD (OR=1.40; p=1.21×10-3). PRS is associated with cerebrospinal fluid ptau181-Aβ42on eADAD.Conclusion:Our analysis confirms that the genetic factors identified for sLOAD also modulate risk in fLOAD and sEOAD cohorts. Furthermore, our results suggest that the burden of these risk variants is associated with familial clustering and earlier-onset of AD. Although these variants are not associated with risk in the eADAD, they may be modulating age at onset.

scholarly journals Relative contributions of family history and a polygenic risk score on COPD and related outcomes: COPDGene and ECLIPSE studies

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. e000755
Author(s):  
Matthew Moll ◽  
Sharon M. Lutz ◽  
Auyon J. Ghosh ◽  
Phuwanat Sakornsakolpat ◽  
Craig P. Hersh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Family History ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Significant Proportion ◽  
Chronic Obstructive ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Positive Interaction ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Mediation Analyses ◽  
The Impact

IntroductionFamily history is a risk factor for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). We previously developed a COPD risk score from genome-wide genetic markers (Polygenic Risk Score, PRS). Whether the PRS and family history provide complementary or redundant information for predicting COPD and related outcomes is unknown.MethodsWe assessed the predictive capacity of family history and PRS on COPD and COPD-related outcomes in non-Hispanic white (NHW) and African American (AA) subjects from COPDGene and ECLIPSE studies. We also performed interaction and mediation analyses.ResultsIn COPDGene, family history and PRS were significantly associated with COPD in a single model (PFamHx <0.0001; PPRS<0.0001). Similar trends were seen in ECLIPSE. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve for a model containing family history and PRS was significantly higher than a model with PRS (p=0.00035) in NHWs and a model with family history (p<0.0001) alone in NHWs and AAs. Both family history and PRS were significantly associated with measures of quantitative emphysema and airway thickness. There was a weakly positive interaction between family history and the PRS under the additive, but not multiplicative scale in NHWs (relative excess risk due to interaction=0.48, p=0.04). Mediation analyses found that a significant proportion of the effect of family history on COPD was mediated through PRS in NHWs (16.5%, 95% CI 9.4% to 24.3%), but not AAs.ConclusionFamily history and the PRS provide complementary information for predicting COPD and related outcomes. Future studies can address the impact of obtaining both measures in clinical practice.

Symptom dimensions of major depression in a large community-based cohort

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Michael Wainberg ◽  
Peter Zhukovsky ◽  
Sean L. Hill ◽  
Daniel Felsky ◽  
Aristotle Voineskos ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Primary Care ◽  
Major Depression ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Psychiatric Diagnoses ◽  
Uk Biobank ◽  
Community Based ◽  
Symptom Dimensions ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Large Community

Abstract Background Our understanding of major depression is complicated by substantial heterogeneity in disease presentation, which can be disentangled by data-driven analyses of depressive symptom dimensions. We aimed to determine the clinical portrait of such symptom dimensions among individuals in the community. Methods This cross-sectional study consisted of 25 261 self-reported White UK Biobank participants with major depression. Nine questions from the UK Biobank Mental Health Questionnaire encompassing depressive symptoms were decomposed into underlying factors or ‘symptom dimensions’ via factor analysis, which were then tested for association with psychiatric diagnoses and polygenic risk scores for major depressive disorder (MDD), bipolar disorder and schizophrenia. Replication was performed among 655 self-reported non-White participants, across sexes, and among 7190 individuals with an ICD-10 code for MDD from linked inpatient or primary care records. Results Four broad symptom dimensions were identified, encompassing negative cognition, functional impairment, insomnia and atypical symptoms. These dimensions replicated across ancestries, sexes and individuals with inpatient or primary care MDD diagnoses, and were also consistent among 43 090 self-reported White participants with undiagnosed self-reported depression. Every dimension was associated with increased risk of nearly every psychiatric diagnosis and polygenic risk score. However, while certain psychiatric diagnoses were disproportionately associated with specific symptom dimensions, the three polygenic risk scores did not show the same specificity of associations. Conclusions An analysis of questionnaire data from a large community-based cohort reveals four replicable symptom dimensions of depression with distinct clinical, but not genetic, correlates.

scholarly journals Polygenic Risk Score of Longevity Predicts Longer Survival Across an Age Continuum

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Niccolo’ Tesi ◽  
Sven J van der Lee ◽  
Marc Hulsman ◽  
Iris E Jansen ◽  
Najada Stringa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Cellular Response ◽  
Molecular Mechanisms ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Human Longevity ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Genome Wide Association Studies ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Age Related

Abstract Studying the genome of centenarians may give insights into the molecular mechanisms underlying extreme human longevity and the escape of age-related diseases. Here, we set out to construct polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for longevity and to investigate the functions of longevity-associated variants. Using a cohort of centenarians with maintained cognitive health (N = 343), a population-matched cohort of older adults from 5 cohorts (N = 2905), and summary statistics data from genome-wide association studies on parental longevity, we constructed a PRS including 330 variants that significantly discriminated between centenarians and older adults. This PRS was also associated with longer survival in an independent sample of younger individuals (p = .02), leading up to a 4-year difference in survival based on common genetic factors only. We show that this PRS was, in part, able to compensate for the deleterious effect of the APOE-ε4 allele. Using an integrative framework, we annotated the 330 variants included in this PRS by the genes they associate with. We find that they are enriched with genes associated with cellular differentiation, developmental processes, and cellular response to stress. Together, our results indicate that an extended human life span is, in part, the result of a constellation of variants each exerting small advantageous effects on aging-related biological mechanisms that maintain overall health and decrease the risk of age-related diseases.

Abstract P256: Genetic Determinants Of Blood Pressure Associate With Apparent Treatment Resistant Hypertension

Hypertension ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 78 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph H Breeyear ◽  
Megan M Shuey ◽  
Todd L Edwards ◽  
Jacklyn Hellwege
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Uncontrolled Hypertension ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Determinants ◽  
Treatment Resistant ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Blood Pressures ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Hispanic White

Hypertension is estimated to affect more than 49.6% of US adults 20 years and older. Of those individuals with hypertension, more than ten million are classified as apparent treatment resistant hypertensive (aTRH). The attributable risk of uncontrolled hypertension was estimated to be 49% for cardiovascular disease and 62% for stroke. We developed a polygenic risk score (PRS) for systolic (SBP) and diastolic (DBP) blood pressure to examine the association between the genetic determinants of blood pressure and aTRH with the goal of identifying high risk individuals. The meta-analyzed transethnic results of Giri et al., Biobank Japan, and Liang et al. were used to generate a PRS with PRS-CS followed by p -value thresholding, and validation in the UK Biobank (n max =341,930). Associations were modeled with logistic regression adjusted for age, age-squared, BMI, sex, and ten principal components of ancestry in BioVU’s transethnic population (n max =37,978), as well as non-Hispanic Black (n max =5,026) and non-Hispanic White (n max =28,545) subsets. The SBP PRS was significantly associated with an increased aTRH risk in the non-Hispanic White subset (1.08 (1.04 - 1.12), p = 0.00037) and transethnic (1.08 (1.04 - 1.13), p = 0.00020) populations, but not the non-Hispanic Black subset. The DBP PRS was not associated with aTRH in any population. Our findings present evidence that individuals with a higher genetic predisposition towards hypertension are at higher risk of aTRH. By integrating polygenic risk scores and clinical covariates in prediction of aTRH, individuals’ therapeutic regimens may be tailored to help maintain stable blood pressures, therefore reducing their risk of comorbidities.

scholarly journals An atlas of polygenic risk score associations to highlight putative causal relationships across the human phenome

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tom G. Richardson ◽  
Sean Harrison ◽  
Gibran Hemani ◽  
George Davey Smith
Keyword(s):  
Web Application ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Complex Disease ◽  
Association Studies ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Genome Wide Association Studies ◽  
Genetic Liability ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
The Uk

AbstractThe age of large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) has provided us with an unprecedented opportunity to evaluate the genetic liability of complex disease using polygenic risk scores (PRS). In this study, we have analysed 162 PRS (P<5×l0 05) derived from GWAS and 551 heritable traits from the UK Biobank study (N=334,398). Findings can be investigated using a web application (http://mrcieu.mrsoftware.org/PRS_atlas/), which we envisage will help uncover both known and novel mechanisms which contribute towards disease susceptibility.To demonstrate this, we have investigated the results from a phenome-wide evaluation of schizophrenia genetic liability. Amongst findings were inverse associations with measures of cognitive function which extensive follow-up analyses using Mendelian randomization (MR) provided evidence of a causal relationship. We have also investigated the effect of multiple risk factors on disease using mediation and multivariable MR frameworks. Our atlas provides a resource for future endeavours seeking to unravel the causal determinants of complex disease.

scholarly journals Polygenic risk scores of several subtypes of epilepsies in a founder population

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. e416
Author(s):  
Claudia Moreau ◽  
Rose-Marie Rébillard ◽  
Stefan Wolking ◽  
Jacques Michaud ◽  
Frédérique Tremblay ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mixed Model ◽  
Focal Epilepsy ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Founder Population ◽  
Idiopathic Generalized Epilepsy ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
Generalized Epilepsy ◽  
Patients With Epilepsy ◽  
Variance Explained

ObjectivePolygenic risk scores (PRSs) are used to quantify the cumulative effects of a number of genetic variants, which may individually have a very small effect on susceptibility to a disease; we used PRSs to better understand the genetic contribution to common epilepsy and its subtypes.MethodsWe first replicated previous single associations using 373 unrelated patients. We then calculated PRSs in the same French Canadian patients with epilepsy divided into 7 epilepsy subtypes and population-based controls. We fitted a logistic mixed model to calculate the variance explained by the PRS using pseudo-R2 statistics.ResultsWe show that the PRS explains more of the variance in idiopathic generalized epilepsy than in patients with nonacquired focal epilepsy. We also demonstrate that the variance explained is different within each epilepsy subtype.ConclusionsGlobally, we support the notion that PRSs provide a reliable measure to rightfully estimate the contribution of genetic factors to the pathophysiologic mechanism of epilepsies, but further studies are needed on PRSs before they can be used clinically.

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