Pharmacogenetic analysis in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients (pts) treated with second-line irinotecan (IR)+/− cetuximab (CB): The EPIC experience

2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4022-4022
Author(s):  
D. Yang ◽  
A. Pohl ◽  
W. Zhang ◽  
G. Lurje ◽  
Y. Ning ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Second Line ◽  
Ca Repeat ◽  
Ras Mutation ◽  
Mutation Status ◽  
Log Rank Test

4022 Background: EPIC, a multinational phase III clinical trial with IR + CB vs IR alone in mCRC pts in the second-line setting after failure of FOLFOX demonstrated a benefit for IR+CB in progression-free survival (PFS) and response rate (RR). We evaluated functional germline polymorphisms involved in the EGFR- (EGF, EGFR), angiogenesis- (VEGF, IL-8, CXCR-2) - and drug- metabolism related genes (UGT1A1, MTHFR) for their potential role as molecular predictors for clinical outcome in pts treated with CB/IR vs. IR alone. Methods: DNA was extracted from all available formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumor samples from the phase III EPIC trial (US sites only). Genotyping was performed using PCR-RFLP assays and 5’ -end [g-33P] ATP’ labeled PCR-protocols. Results: 186 pts were treated either with IR/CB (arm A, 84 pts) or IR (arm B, 102 pts) only. In arm A, 11/84 pts (13%) showed CR or PR, whereas 73/84 (87%) pts had SD or PD. For arm B, 6/102 pts (6%) showed CR or PR, whereas 96/102 pts (94%) had SD or PD. Median PFS in arm A was 3.0 months (95%CI: 2.4- 4.1 months) vs 2.7 months (95%CI: 2.2–2.9 months) in arm B; median overall survival (OS) was 9.3 months (95%CI: 7.1–12.1 months) in arm A vs. 12.3 months (95%CI: 10.4- 17.9 months) in arm B. K-ras mutation status was not significantly associated with PFS or response to CB/IR in the subgroup of 186 patients. We found an EGFR-CA- repeat in intron 1 in arm A to be associated with PFS (p=0.031, log-rank test). In arm B, we found a significant association with RR (p=0.0103, Fisher's exact test) for MTHFR1298. Furthermore, MTHFR 677 (p =0.0048, log-rank test) and MTHFR 1298 (p=0.038, log-rank test) were also found to be associated with OS in arm B. In multivariate analysis, EGFR-CA-repeat was significantly associated with PFS (adjusted p= 0.023). Furthermore, MTHFR 677 and MTHFR 1298 was associated with OS (adjusted p=0.028 and 0.026, respectively, Cox-proportional hazards models), independent from K-ras mutation status, race and number of disease sites. Conclusions: Our study demonstrates the potential predictive value of polymorphisms in the EGFR- and MTHFR- gene in mCRC pts treated with IR+ CB. Further validation in additional clinical trials is necessary. [Table: see text]

scholarly journals Progression-Free Survival Prediction in Patients with Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma after Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy: Machine Learning versus Traditional Statistics

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 787
Author(s):  
Ronald Wihal Oei ◽  
Yingchen Lyu ◽  
Lulu Ye ◽  
Fangfang Kong ◽  
Chengrun Du ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Brier Score ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Survival Prediction ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Log Rank Test

Background: The Cox proportional hazards (CPH) model is the most commonly used statistical method for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) prognostication. Recently, machine learning (ML) models are increasingly adopted for this purpose. However, only a few studies have compared the performances between CPH and ML models. This study aimed at comparing CPH with two state-of-the-art ML algorithms, namely, conditional survival forest (CSF) and DeepSurv for disease progression prediction in NPC. Methods: From January 2010 to March 2013, 412 eligible NPC patients were reviewed. The entire dataset was split into training cohort and testing cohort in a ratio of 90%:10%. Ten features from patient-related, disease-related, and treatment-related data were used to train the models for progression-free survival (PFS) prediction. The model performance was compared using the concordance index (c-index), Brier score, and log-rank test based on the risk stratification results. Results: DeepSurv (c-index = 0.68, Brier score = 0.13, log-rank test p = 0.02) achieved the best performance compared to CSF (c-index = 0.63, Brier score = 0.14, log-rank test p = 0.38) and CPH (c-index = 0.57, Brier score = 0.15, log-rank test p = 0.81). Conclusions: Both CSF and DeepSurv outperformed CPH in our relatively small dataset. ML-based survival prediction may guide physicians in choosing the most suitable treatment strategy for NPC patients.

Early carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) dynamics to predict fruquintinib efficacy in FRESCO, a 3+ line metastatic colorectal carcinoma (mCRC) phase III trial.

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16001-e16001
Author(s):  
Yuxian Bai ◽  
Shukui Qin ◽  
Jin Li ◽  
Yanhong Deng ◽  
Lei Yang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Placebo Group ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
P Value ◽  
Radiological Evaluation

e16001 Background: The FRESCO phase 3 trial demonstrated a significant survival benefit with fruquintinib vs. placebo in the third-line or later therapy of mCRC patients. CEA levels are widely used in conjunction with imaging to monitor response to systemic therapy in patients with mCRC. Herein, we undertook post-hoc analyses of FRESCO patient data to investigate the early changes in CEA during treatment, as well as potential relationships with efficacy parameters. Methods: Patients were included if baseline CEA was abnormal according to local lab reference range. Serum CEA levels were measured at baseline and Day 1 of each cycle (except for Cycle 1). Early CEA change was analyzed at first radiological evaluation (C3D1, Week 8), CEA response was defined as ≥ 50% decrease from baseline, and CEA progression was defined as ≥ 100% increase from baseline. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier method; hazard ratio (HR) was estimated through Cox proportional hazards model; p-value was generated from log rank test. Results: 88.4% (245/277) and 94.9% (130/137) of patients had an abnormal baseline CEA in the fruquintinib group and placebo group, respectively. Median baseline CEA values were similar between treatment groups. After 2 cycles of treatment, the proportion of patients had CEA response was significantly higher in the fruquintinib group than placebo group (30.0% vs. 1.3%, p < 0.001). In the fruquintinib group, patients with early CEA response (n = 63) had longer median OS (12.8 vs. 7.8 months, HR = 0.45, p < 0.001) and median PFS (5.6 vs. 3.7 months, HR = 0.49, p < 0.001) than patients without (n = 147). 66.7% (140/210) of patients in fruquintinib group had stable disease (SD), and fruquintinib in those patients with concomitant CEA response exhibited a significantly greater OS benefit than with CEA progression (14.4 vs. 8.7 months, HR = 0.38, p = 0.004). Conclusions: Fruquintinib increased early CEA response. CEA response at first radiological evaluation after cycle 2 could be considered as a predictor for better OS and PFS. Among patients with SD at first evaluation, those with CEA response seems benefit more from fruquintinib. Clinical trial information: NCT02314819 .

scholarly journals Clinical outcomes in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma receiving everolimus or temsirolimus after sunitinib.

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 121 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Iacovelli ◽  
Giacomo Cartenì ◽  
Michele Milella ◽  
Rossana Berardi ◽  
Giuseppe Di Lorenzo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Kinase Inhibitor ◽  
Multivariable Analysis ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Clinical Activity ◽  
Second Line ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽  
Line Setting

Introduction: There are little data on the clinical activity of temsirolimus (TM) and everolimus (EV) when used as second-line therapy after sunitinib (SU) in patients with metastatic renal cellcarcinoma (mRCC).Methods: Patients with mRCC treated with EV or TM after SU were included in this retrospective analysis. Progression-free survival (PFS), time to sequence failure (TTSF) from the start of SU to disease progression with EV/TM and overall survival (OS) were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method and compared across groups using the log-rank test. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to investigate predictors of TTSF and OS.Results: In total, 89 patients (median age 60.0 years) were included. At baseline 43% were classified as MSKCC good-risk, 43% as intermediate-risk and 14% as poor-risk. Median OS was 36.3 months and median TTSF was 17.2 months. Sixty-five patients received SU-EV and 24 patients SU-TM. Median PFS after the second-line treatment was 4.3 months in the EV group and 3.5 months in the TM group (p = 0.63). Median TTSF was 17.0 and 18.9 months (p = 0.32) and the OS was 35.8 and 38.3 months (p = 0.73) with SU-EV and SU-TM, respectively. The prognostic role of initial MSKCC was confirmed by multivariable analysis (hazard ratio 1.76, 95% confidence interval 1.08-2.85. p = 0.023).Conclusions: This study did not show significant differences in terms of disease control and OS between EV and TM in the second-line setting. EV remains the preferred mTOR inhibitor for the treatment of mRCC patients resistant to prior tyrosine kinase inhibitor treatment.

Are BRAF mutated metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) tumors more responsive to VEGFR-2 blockage? Analysis of patient outcomes by RAS/RAF mutation status in the RAISE study—A global, randomized, double-blind, phase III study.

2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 622-622 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takayuki Yoshino ◽  
Radka Obermannova ◽  
Gyorgy Bodoky ◽  
Jana Prausová ◽  
Rocio Garcia-Carbonero ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Patient Outcomes ◽  
Poor Prognosis ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Wild Type ◽  
Braf Mutations ◽  
Double Blind ◽  
Mutation Status

622 Background: The RAISE trial (NCT01183780) demonstrated that ramucirumab (RAM) plus leucovorin, fluorouracil, and irinotecan (FOLFIRI) significantly improved overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) compared with placebo (PBO) plus FOLFIRI as second-line mCRC treatment. RAS/RAF mutations are associated with resistance to anti-EGFR therapies and poor prognosis, particularly BRAF mutations. The extensive RAISE biomarker program assessed the association of multiple candidate markers with efficacy outcomes. Here we present the results for RAS/ RAF mutations. Methods: Plasma and tumor tissue collection were mandatory. KRAS mutation status was determined locally before randomization. Further RAS and RAF mutations were assessed centrally by multiplex qPCR using the Modaplex system (Qiagen) only in samples that were initially reported as KRAS wild type. Thus, patients were classified into one of the 3 categories in the table. OS and PFS by RAS and RAF subgroups were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards analyses. Results: As with previously reported KRAS analyses, the favorable RAM treatment effect was similar between patients with expanded RAS mutations compared with patients with RAS/ RAF wild-type tumors. However, in the 41 patients with BRAF mutated tumors, the RAM benefit was even more notable for both OS (hazard ratio [HR] 0.54; 95% CI 0.25–1.13) and PFS (HR 0.55; 95% CI 0.28–1.08). Conclusions: RAISE demonstrated that the addition of RAM to FOLFIRI improved patient outcomes regardless of RAS mutation status. The noteworthy signal for patients with BRAF mutant tumors is encouraging due to their poor prognosis but requires further validation in other clinical trials. Clinical trial information: NCT01183780. [Table: see text]

Expression of Epstein-Barr Virus in Cell of Classical Hodgkin's Lymphoma Tumor

Blood ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 128 (22) ◽  
pp. 5358-5358
Author(s):  
Abrahão Elias Hallack Neto ◽  
Graziela Toledo Costa Mayrink ◽  
Luciano J. Costa ◽  
Kelli Borges dos Santos
Keyword(s):  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Chi Square ◽  
Histologic Subtype ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Barr Virus ◽  
Log Rank Test ◽  
Epstein Barr

Abstract Introduction: The association between classical Hodgkin's Lymphoma (cHL) and tumor Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) status is well established. However, the presence of EBV within Hodgkin/Reed-Sternberg (HRS) cells and its prognosis remains controversial, with conflicting findings from studies of various regions of the world. It is considered essential to deepen the understanding of the pathogenic role of EBV in cHL and its impact in prognosis. Methods: We assessed the correlation between EBV presence in HRS and outcomes in a cohort of Brazilian patients with cHL. EBV positivity was determined by in situ hybridization (ISH) for EBV-encoded RNA (EBER) and immunohistochemistry (IMH) for viral latent membrane protein (LMP-1). All cases were histologically confirmed by an expert hematopathologist who also performed the assays for EBV identification. We examined the prognostic impact of EBV status in 29 patients with cHL. The prognostic factors by IPS (International Prognostic Score) for patients with advanced stage and the risk factors by GHSG (German Hodgkin Study Group) for patients with limited stage were correlated with EBV status tumor cells. For associations between the presence of EBV and other categorical variables, we applied Chi-square or Fisher's exact tests. For describe the effect size (ES) measures for chi-square, we used Cramér's V (V) and odds ratios (OR) with the respective 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs). To evaluate the correlation between all methods of identification of EBV status and among evaluators in histological classification, we applied the Kappa test (K), which measures the degree of agreement these assessments. Differences in OS (overall survival) and EFS (event-free survival) Kaplan-Meier survival curves between EBV-positive and EBV-negative patients were compared statistically using the log-rank test. To evaluate the impact of EBV status on event-free survival controlling for prognostic factors and unfavorable risks, we applied Cox proportional hazards regression to determine hazards ratios (HR) and associated the respective 95% CIs. Multivariate analyses included variables significant at p ≤ 0.15 in univariate models. Results: The mean age at diagnosis was 33 years. Sixty-five percent of the patients had the Nodular Sclerosis histologic subtype and 62,1% had Ann Arbor stage I or II disease at diagnosis. According to GHSG, 88,3% of early-stage patients were classified with unfavorable risk (at least one risk factor) at diagnosis. Compared to advanced-stage patients, 81,9% were considered with favorable IPS (< 4 prognostic factors) at diagnosis. HRS cells were EBV-positive in 37.9% of cases. EBV-positive cHL cases were more frequent in patients ≥ 45 years (71,4% vs. 27,3%, p =0,07). Mixed cellularity (MC) histology subtype was more common in EBV-related tumor cells (p= 0,02) and its effect-size index was medium. The correlation between all methods of identification of EBV status was 96,5% (p< 0,001; K=0.93). The correlation among evaluators in histological classification was 89,6% (p< 0,001; K=0.79). In univariate analysis, age, stage, histologic subtype, nodal involvement, extranodal disease, sex, bulky disease, laboratory data were not associated with adverse EFS (p>0,05). EBV-positive HL seemed to have better EFS than EBV-negative HL (log-rank test, p = 0,07). Cox proportional hazards model confirmed that EBV-positive tumor status and prognosis factors did not impact HL outcome. Conclusions: Despite EBV status in HRS cells not being associated with adverse prognostic factors and not influencing the overall and event-free survivals, the presence of EBV was linked to MC subtype, showing possible implication in histological subtype and worse prognosis. Disclosures Costa: Sanofi: Honoraria, Research Funding.

Tumor IGF-1 expression as a predictive biomarker for IGF1R-directed therapy in advanced pancreatic cancer (APC).

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4054-4054 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milind M. Javle ◽  
Rachna T. Shroff ◽  
Gauri R. Varadhachary ◽  
Robert A. Wolff ◽  
David R. Fogelman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Predictive Biomarker ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Primary Study ◽  
Study Objective ◽  
Log Rank Test ◽  
Hazards Model

4054 Background: IGF-1 up-regulates PC proliferation and invasiveness through activation of PI3K/Akt signaling pathway and down-regulates PTEN. We investigated IGF-1 expression in tissue and blood as potential predictive markers in phase II study of IGF1R-directed monoclonal antibody, MK-0646 in APC. Prior phase I established the MTD of MK0646 at 5 mg/kg with gemcitabine (G) and erlotinib (E) and 10 mg/kg with G alone. Methods: Patients (pts) with stage IV, previously untreated APC, ECOG PS 0-1, adequate hematologic and organ function were enrolled. Arm A: G 1,000 mg/m2 over 100 min, weekly x 3, MK-0646 weekly x 4; Arm B: G 1000 mg/m2 and MK-0646 + E 100 mg daily. Arm C (control) was G 1,000 mg/m2 + E 100 mg. Cycles were repeated every 4 weeks. Pts were equally randomized in the 3 arms. Primary study objective was progression-free survival (PFS). Pre-treatment peripheral blood samples were measured for IGF-1 level by ELISA; archival core biopsies were analyzed for IGF-1 mRNA expression. RNA extraction from FFPE samples used Roche Transcriptor First Strand cDNA Synthesis Kit. TaqMan PreAmp technique was used to amplify target cDNA prior to TaqMan RT-PCR analysis. Cox proportional hazards model for PFS analyzed the interaction between tissue IGF-1 expression and treatment. Results: 50 pts were enrolled (A=15, B=16,C=16 pts, 3 ineligible). Median PFS of arms A, B and C were 5.5 months (95% CI: 3.9 – NA), 3.0 months (95% CI:1.8 – 5.6) and 2.0 months (95% CI: 1.8 – NA), respectively (log-rank test; p = 0.17). Median OS of A was 11.3 months (95% CI: 8.9 – NA), B 8.9 months (95% CI: 5.3 – NA) and C 5.7 months (95% CI: 2.0 – NA) (log-rank test; p = 0.44). 35 archival core biopsies were analyzed, 21 had adequate tissue for analysis. Using a Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model for PFS, where IGF-1 was dichotomized at the median, there was a 76% reduction in the risk of disease progression or death in arm A as compared with the control (arm C) at high IGF-1 level (p = 0.16). When IGF-1 was fitted as a continuous variable, this reduction was 96% (p = 0.08). There was no correlation between tissue and serum IGF-1. Conclusions: Tissue expression of IGF-1 level may represent a promising predictive biomarker for IGF1R-directed therapy in APC.

Alectinib exposure-response (ER) in ALK-inhibitor naïve ALK-positive NSCLC patients: Pooled analysis across phase III studies.

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e20575-e20575
Author(s):  
Kevin Smart ◽  
Joy C Hsu ◽  
Felix Jaminion ◽  
Elena Guerini ◽  
Alice Tsang Shaw ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Pooled Analysis ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Alk Inhibitor ◽  
Exposure Response ◽  
Alk Positive ◽  
Nsclc Patients ◽  
Phase Iii Studies

e20575 Background: Alectinib superiority to crizotinib has been demonstrated in ALK-inhibitor naïve ALK-positive NSCLC patients (pts) in Phase III studies conducted in Japanese (J-ALEX; JapicCTI-132316) pts receiving alectinib 300 mg BID and global (ALEX; NCT02075840) and Asian (ALESIA; NCT02838420) pts receiving alectinib 600mg BID. ER analyses are undertaken to confirm the appropriate alectinib dosing regimen for the global population. Methods: A previous population PK analysis (Hsu et al, ASCO 2016) assessed PK of alectinib and major metabolite, M4, to identify factors influencing PK variability. ER analyses across the 3 Phase III studies investigated the relationship between alectinib and progression-free survival (PFS) by a Cox proportional hazards (CPH) analysis. PK simulations for alectinib 300 mg and 600 mg BID doses were conducted to determine the proportion of pts falling above and below an identified optimal PK threshold for PFS. ER for key safety events were investigated for alectinib 600 mg BID using logistic regression. Results: Alectinib PK is influenced only by body weight and not by race/ethnicity. CPH analysis demonstrated a statistically significant relationship between alectinib exposure and PFS across the 3 Phase III studies, with an improved PFS above an identified optimal PK threshold (Table). PK simulations indicate 49% and 7% of global alectinib treated patients would fall below the optimal PK threshold for 300 and 600mg BID, respectively. Alectinib 600mg BID ensures a distribution of exposures that maximize the PFS benefit while lower alectinib doses/exposures could result in reduced efficacy. Baseline tumor size (BSIZ) was shown to negatively impact PFS with larger BSIZ seen in global pts. No significant exposure-safety relationships were identified for alectinib 600mg BID. Conclusions: Alectinib 600mg BID is the most appropriate dose in the global ALK-inhibitor naïve population. Clinical trial information: NCT02075840; JapicCTI-132316; NCT02838420. [Table: see text]

Association of CD133 polymorphisms and clinical outcome in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients (pts) treated with either first-line 5-FU + bevacizumab (BV) or second-line irinotecan (IR)/cetuximab (CB) or IR alone

2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4062-4062
Author(s):  
A. Pohl ◽  
W. Zhang ◽  
D. Yang ◽  
G. Lurje ◽  
Y. Ning ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Trial ◽  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Clinical Outcome ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Line Treatment ◽  
Second Line ◽  
First Line ◽  
Log Rank Test ◽  
Line Setting

4062 Background: CD133 has been routinely used to identify colon cancer stem cells. A recent study indicated that elevated levels of CD133 plasma mRNA correlated with colon cancer recurrence. Furthermore plasma levels of CD133+ progenitor cells have been found to be decreased after treatment with BV. We tested whether potentially functional frequently occurring germline variations in the 3’UTR-region of the CD133 gene (rs2240688, rs3130 and rs2286455), might be associated with clinical outcome in first- and second-line treated mCRC pts. Methods: Genomic DNA was extracted either from peripheral blood (79 pts, who were enrolled in a phase-II clinical trial with FOLFOX/BV or XELOX/BV) or formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumor samples (186 pts, who were enrolled in the EPIC phase III clinical trial, US-sites only) of mCRC pts. Pts received either first-line treatment with FOLFOX/ BV (33 pts) or XELOX/BV (46 pts) or second-line treatment with CB/IR (84 pts, arm A) or IR (102 pts, arm B) alone. Genotyping was performed using PCR-RFLP assays. Results: 79 pts (47 men, 32 women) received FOLFOX/BV or XELOX/BV. Radiologic response: 43 pts (54%) CR/PR, 35 pts (45%) SD/PD. Median PFS was 10.8 months (95%CI: 8.1–14.9). The second cohort consisted of 186 pts (103 men, 83 women). Radiologic response: Arm A 11 pts (13%) CR/PR, 73 pts (87%) SD/PD. Arm B 6 pts (6%) CR/PR, 96 pts (94%) SD/PD. Median PFS (arm A) was 3.0 months (95%CI: 2.4–4.1) vs. 2.7 months (arm B,95%CI: 2.2–2.9). Combined analysis of rs2286455 and rs3130 showed a significant association with PFS (p= 0.010, log-rank test) in pts receiving FOLFOX/BV or XELOX/BV. In pts receiving IR alone rs2240688 was significantly associated with OS (p=0.0128, log-rank test). Multivariate analysis showed a significant association with PFS in first-line setting for rs2286455 and rs3130 (adjusted p=0.012) and a trend in second-line setting for rs2240688 (adjusted p=0.086). Conclusions: These are the first data to show that polymorphisms in CD133 predict outcome in mCRC pts in first- and second- line setting, suggesting that CD133 may be a potential predictive marker. These results need to be confirmed in larger prospective studies. [Table: see text]

Prognostic factors for overall survival with sunitinib as first-line therapy in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC)

2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5042-5042
Author(s):  
S. Patil ◽  
R. A. Figlin ◽  
T. E. Hutson ◽  
M. D. Michaelson ◽  
S. Négrier ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Progression Free Survival ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Type I ◽  
First Line

5042 Background: Sunitinib demonstrated superior progression-free survival (PFS; the primary endpoint) over interferon-alfa (IFN-α) as first-line mRCC therapy (NEJM 2007;356:115). Median overall survival (OS) with sunitinib compared to IFN-α was: 26.4 vs. 21.8 months (HR=0.821; P=0.051 by unstratified log-rank test; Proc ASCO 2008;26, May 20 suppl; abstr 5024). An analysis of prognostic factors for OS was performed on data from this trial. Methods: 750 treatment-naïve mRCC patients were randomized 1:1 to receive sunitinib or IFN-α. By Cox proportional hazards model, selected pretreatment variables were evaluated univariately and in a multivariate model for each treatment arm. Multivariate models for each treatment arm were based on a stepwise algorithm with a type I error of 0.25 for entry and 0.15 for elimination. Further elimination was applied to identify variables significant at P<0.05. Results: In multivariate analysis of sunitinib patients, factors associated with longer OS include: interval from diagnosis to treatment ≥1 yr, ECOG PS of 0, lower corrected calcium, absence of bone metastases, lower lactic dehydrogenase (LDH), and higher hemoglobin (Hgb) ( table ). For the IFN-α treatment arm, male gender, absence of bone or lymph node metastases, lower LDH, higher Hgb, lower corrected calcium, higher neutrophil count, and interval from diagnosis to treatment ≥1 yr were associated with longer OS. Conclusions: For patients in the sunitinib treatment arm, prognostic factors identified were similar to the factors previously identified in the MSKCC risk groups (J Clin Oncol 2002;20:289). Additional prognostic factors were identified for the IFN-α arm. Further studies are warranted to independently validate these findings as well as to identify tumor-specific prognostic factors. [Table: see text] [Table: see text]

CA19-9 decrease at 8 weeks as a predictor of overall survival (OS) in a randomized phase III trial (MPACT) of weekly nab-paclitaxel (nab-P) plus gemcitabine (G) versus G alone in patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer (MPC).

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 4058-4058 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Gabriela Chiorean ◽  
Daniel D. Von Hoff ◽  
Thomas J. Ervin ◽  
Francis P. Arena ◽  
Jeffrey R. Infante ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
To Receive ◽  
The Relationship

4058^ Background: nab-P + G showed promising efficacy in a phase I/II study in MPC, and decreases in CA19-9 correlated with OS. In MPACT, patients (pts) who received nab-P + G vs G had improved median OS (8.5 vs 6.7 mo; HR 0.72; p = 0.000015), PFS (5.5 vs 3.7 mo; HR 0.69; p = 0.000024) and ORR (23% vs 7%; p = 1.1 × 10−10). Here we present a prespecified exploratory analysis of CA19-9 from the MPACT trial. Methods: 861 previously untreated pts with MPC were randomized 1:1 to receive nab-P 125 mg/m2 + G 1000 mg/m2 days 1, 8, and 15 every 4 weeks or G alone 1000 mg/m2 weekly for 7 weeks followed by a week of rest (cycle 1) and then days 1, 8, and 15 every 4 weeks (cycle ≥ 2). CA19-9 was evaluated at baseline and then every 8 weeks. OS comparisons at different CA19-9 criteria were performed by stratified Cox proportional hazards model (P by stratified log-rank test using randomization criteria). Results: 750 pts had an evaluable CA19-9 at baseline. More pts in the nab-P + G arm vs the G arm demonstrated a best CA19-9 decrease from baseline of ≥ 20% and ≥ 90% (61% vs 44% and 31% vs 14%, respectively; Table). At the first postbaseline assessment (week 8), greater proportions of pts in the nab-P + G arm vs the G arm had CA19-9 decreases of ≥ 20% and ≥ 90% (Table). At that time point, for pts with a decrease of ≥ 20% in CA19-9, nab-P + G demonstrated a significantly longer OS vs G. The risk reduction for pts with a ≥ 90% decrease was greater than in pts with a ≥ 20% decrease. In pts with an 8-week CA19-9 decrease < 20%, median OS for nab-P + G vs G was 8.3 vs 8.0 mo (HR 0.92; p = 0.705). The relationship of CA19-9 kinetics with OS will also be examined. Conclusions: Higher proportions of pts in the nab-P + G arm had CA 19-9 responses of ≥ 20% and ≥ 90% vs the G arm. Pts who achieved a CA19-9 decrease at 8 weeks of ≥ 20% or ≥ 90% had significantly longer OS with nab-P + G than with G. Clinical trial information: NCT00844649. [Table: see text]

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