Long-term survival benefits of docetaxel plus cyclophosphamide compared to doxorubicin plus cyclophosphamide in the adjuvant treatment of operable breast cancer

2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 563-563
Author(s):  
M. Thompson ◽  
B. Seal ◽  
M. Tangirala ◽  
L. Asmar ◽  
S. Jones

563 Background: The U.S. Oncology Adjuvant Trial 9735 recently demonstrated disease-free survival and overall survival (OS) benefits over 7 years for docetaxel plus cyclophosphamide (TC) compared with doxorubicin plus cyclophosphamide (AC) as adjuvant treatment for women with operable stage I-III invasive breast cancer (BC). The life-time benefits of TC vs. AC, however, are unknown. This analysis aimed to project potential life-time survival benefits of TC vs. AC as adjuvant therapy for operable BC. Methods: The 7-year follow-up results of the 9735 study combined with US average life expectancy were used to project the life-time survival benefits of TC vs. AC. In the base case (scenario 1), it was assumed the survival advantage of TC did not persist beyond the 7-year clinical trial period. Rather, all patients alive and disease-free at 7 years (from the starting age of 51 to the age of 58), regardless of treatment, were assumed to be cured and received the average remaining life expectancy of a 58-year old woman in the US general population. As survival benefits from chemotherapy may persist beyond the clinical trial period, two sensitivity analyses were conducted: 1) greater life expectancy in the TC arm of 1.8 months equivalent to the mean difference in OS between TC and AC within the clinical trial period (scenario 2) and 2) greater life expectancy in the TC arm of 22 months equivalent to the difference in survival at the end of 7 years (scenario 3). The total life years gained (LYs) and quality-adjusted life years gained (QALYs) were then calculated. Results: Per patient LYs gained in scenarios 1, 2, and 3 were 0.850, 0.930, and 1.755, respectively; while QALYs gained were slightly lower at 0.674, 0.736 and 1.383, respectively. Applying this benefit to a cohort of 167,133 women in the US with newly diagnosed stage I-III invasive BC in 2008, the gains were 142,063 LYs and 112,648 QALYS in scenario 1. Conclusions: In addition to survival benefit observed within the clinical trial period, the use of TC is associated with long-term survival benefits compared to AC in patients with stage I-III invasive BC. The results provide additional support of the value of TC in the management of early stage BC. [Table: see text]

Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 362-362 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jessica A. Reese ◽  
Zayd L. Al-Nouri ◽  
Cassandra C. Deford ◽  
Lauren M. Stewart ◽  
Deirdra R. Terrell ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 362 Introduction Since recovery from an acute episode of TTP is typically assumed to be complete, subsequent survival has been commonly assumed to be normal except for the risk of death with relapse. However we have observed unexpectedly high mortality among patients in the Oklahoma TTP-HUS Registry who had recovered from their initial episode of TTP. Therefore we documented long-term survival and compared the mortality of our patients to the US population data. To investigate possible risk factors for increased mortality, we documented the frequency of common risk factors for poor health outcomes: abnormal renal function, increased body mass index (BMI), hypertension (HTN) and diabetes (DM). Methods We included all 68 Oklahoma TTP-HUS Registry patients whose initial episode was associated with severe ADAMTS13 deficiency (<10%), 1995–2010. Health outcome measures for renal function were glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and urine albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR). BMI and HTN and DM preceding TTP were documented at the time of the initial episode. HTN, DM, GFR, and ACR were documented on patients who survived their initial episode at the time of their last follow-up. HTN and DM were documented by the use of regularly prescribed medication. GFR was estimated by the Chronic Kidney Disease-Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation. ACR was quantified on a random urine sample. Population data were obtained from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES); we calculated expected proportions based on the age, race, and gender composition of our patient group. We used survival data analysis to compare the mortality of the patients to the U.S. population; we used one way chi-square to compare the relative frequency of BMI, GFR, ACR, HTN and DM of the patients to the expected proportions from the US population. Results Fifty-five of the 68 consecutive patients survived their initial episode of TTP. At the time of their initial episode, the median age of the 55 patients was 39 years (range 9–71); 44 (80%) were women; 20 (36%) were black. Median follow-up to August 1, 2012 was 9.5 years (range, 2.3–16.7 years). At the time of their initial episode, BMI was significantly greater than the US population (p<0.001); in 15 (27%) of the 55 patients, BMI was >40 kg/m2, indicating morbid obesity. Although the relative frequency of hypertension (16%) and diabetes (9%) was not different from the US population preceding the initial episode of TTP, the relative frequencies were significantly greater than the US population at the time of their last follow-up (hypertension, 47%, p<0.001; diabetes, 22%, p=0.003). The GFR (measured in all 55 patients) and ACR (measured in 37 patients) were not different from the US population (p=0.374 and p=0.053). Nineteen (35%) patients have had 1–4 subsequent episodes of TTP. Eleven (20%) of the 55 patients have died (median age at death, 51 years; range, 41–82), a mortality proportion significantly greater than the age/race/gender matched U.S. population (Table). Two of the 11 patients died during their first relapse. Although relapsed TTP was not an apparent cause of death in the remaining 9 patients, 2 deaths were sudden and unexpected; 7 followed prolonged illnesses: congestive heart failure/myocardial infarction (3), sepsis (2), respiratory failure, ovarian cancer. Conclusion Long-term survival after recovery from an acute episode of TTP is significantly less than the age/race/gender-matched US population. Although relapse contributes to increased mortality, the significantly increased relative frequency of hypertension and diabetes are important and previously unrecognized risk factors for poor health outcomes in TTP survivors. Disclosures: Terrell: Baxter, Inc.: Consultancy; Amgen, Inc.: Consultancy. Kremer Hovinga:Baxter Healthcare: Consultancy, Research Funding. George:Alexion, Inc.: Consultancy; Baxter, Inc.: Consultancy; Amgen, Inc.: Consultancy, PI for clinical trial involving romiplostim, PI for clinical trial involving romiplostim Other, Research Funding.


2015 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 52-59 ◽  
Author(s):  
Céline Vertriest ◽  
Giammauro Berardi ◽  
Federico Tomassini ◽  
Rudy Vanden Broucke ◽  
Herman Depypere ◽  
...  

Purpose: Improved survival after liver resection for breast cancer liver metastases (BCLM) has been proven; however, there is still controversy on predictive factors influencing outcomes. The analysis of factors related to primary and metastatic cancer eventually influencing long-term outcomes and a review of the literature are presented in this report. Methods: Twenty-seven patients diagnosed with metachronous BCLM between 1996 and 2013 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients who had a minimum disease-free interval between primary tumor and liver metastasis of 12 months, no more than 3 liver lesions, no macroscopic extra-hepatic disease and in which systemic therapy showed a good response were included. Results: Twenty-two patients (82%) were initially diagnosed with a stage I-II disease. Twelve patients presented with multiple liver metastases. The 5 years overall survival (OS) rate was 78%, while the 5 years disease-free survival (DFS) rate was 36%. Initial tumor stage III-IV at first diagnosis and number of metastases >1 was significantly associated with a shorter DFS at multivariate analysis (p = 0.03 and p = 0.04 respectively). Patients with multiple lesions had a median DFS of 15 months compared to 47 months in patients with a single lesion (p = 0.03). Conclusions: Resection of single BCLM from primary stage I-II cancer offers very good long-term survival rates and a low morbidity.


Blood ◽  
2006 ◽  
Vol 108 (11) ◽  
pp. 5517-5517
Author(s):  
Donna Reece ◽  
Daniel Grima ◽  
Cheryl Attard ◽  
Kim Yoong ◽  
Farah Jivraj

Abstract Multiple myeloma (MM) is an incurable disease with poor survival outcomes. Recent trials have suggested improved overall survival with newer agents like bortezomib (VELCADE). In the process of developing a life-time cost-effectiveness analysis of therapies for relapsed or refractory MM, we noted the lack of long-term survival data. Objective: We sought to extrapolate 1 to 3 year overall survival data to 10 years (most patients die by then) in order to estimate the number of life years expected with several MM therapies. The therapies included were bortezomib, high dose dex (HDD), thalidomide regimens and standard care. Standard care was a basket of treatments weighted by frequency of use reported in a Canadian survey of physicians treating MM patients. It included HDD, thalidomide regimens, MP, VAD, cyclophosphamide, bortezomib, and repeat stem cell transplant. Method: The APEX trial results were used to inform the 3 year clinical benefits of bortezomib and HDD for relapsed MM (Richardson, 2005). Three-year survival for bortezomib was available from the APEX study. However due to positive interim results HDD patients were allowed to switch to bortezomib, thus limiting the HDD data available to one year. One to three year survival with HDD, thalidomide and standard care therapies were estimated from published trials and observational studies. The natural history of relapsed MM patients from Kumar (2004) was used to extrapolate survival to 10 years. Kumar studied the clinical course of 578 relapsed MM patients at the Mayo clinic from 1985 to 1998. From this study, the conditional survival, S(t|t-1) was calculated as the ratio of survival at the end of year (S(t)) to the survival at the end of the year before (S(t-1)). We assumed the rate of death in years 4 to 5, 5 to 6, etc. was the same for all therapies. Results: Figure 1 illustrates the estimated 10 year overall survival by therapy. From these survival curves a method of estimating the area-under-the curve is used to obtain the average life-years for patients on each therapy. Using bortezomib as an example, at year one 80 of 100 patients would be alive - resulting in 80 life years. At year two, 57 of the patients would be alive. Thus after two years, we accumulate 138 (80+58) years of life. Continuing to 10 years, we accumulate a total of 284 life years, or 2.84 years per patient on bortezomib. Using the same method for the other treatments, patients would live on average 1.81 years with HDD, 2.39 years with thalidomide regimens and 2.25 years with standard care. Bortezomib provides the largest mean overall survival over a 10-year time horizon. In fact, bortezomib can provide up to 1.03 years of added life compared to HDD. Conclusion: This is a conservative estimate of the overall survival advantage of bortezomib. It was assumed the mortality rate in years 4 to 5, 5 to 6, etc. was the same for all therapies, thus not giving bortezomib any clinical advantage from years 4 to 10. Long-term extrapolated analyses are needed in order to capture the full benefit of therapies for which only short-term trial data is available. 10-Year Survival By Therapy 10-Year Survival By Therapy


Heart ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 107 (5) ◽  
pp. 389-395
Author(s):  
Jianhua Wu ◽  
Alistair S Hall ◽  
Chris P Gale

AimsACE inhibition reduces mortality and morbidity in patients with heart failure after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, there are limited randomised data about the long-term survival benefits of ACE inhibition in this population.MethodsIn 1993, the Acute Infarction Ramipril Efficacy (AIRE) study randomly allocated patients with AMI and clinical heart failure to ramipril or placebo. The duration of masked trial therapy in the UK cohort (603 patients, mean age=64.7 years, 455 male patients) was 12.4 and 13.4 months for ramipril (n=302) and placebo (n=301), respectively. We estimated life expectancy and extensions of life (difference in median survival times) according to duration of follow-up (range 0–29.6 years).ResultsBy 9 April 2019, death from all causes occurred in 266 (88.4%) patients in placebo arm and 275 (91.1%) patients in ramipril arm. The extension of life between ramipril and placebo groups was 14.5 months (95% CI 13.2 to 15.8). Ramipril increased life expectancy more for patients with than without diabetes (life expectancy difference 32.1 vs 5.0 months), previous AMI (20.1 vs 4.9 months), previous heart failure (19.5 vs 4.9 months), hypertension (16.6 vs 8.3 months), angina (16.2 vs 5.0 months) and age >65 years (11.3 vs 5.7 months). Given potential treatment switching, the true absolute treatment effect could be underestimated by 28%.ConclusionFor patients with clinically defined heart failure following AMI, ramipril results in a sustained survival benefit, and is associated with an extension of life of up to 14.5 months for, on average, 13 months treatment duration.


2011 ◽  
Vol 2011 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chang-Ming Huang ◽  
Jian-Xian Lin ◽  
Chao-Hui Zheng ◽  
Ping Li ◽  
Jian-Wei Xie ◽  
...  

Objectives. To investigate the prognostic impact of the number of dissected lymph nodes (LNs) in gastric cancer after curative distal gastrectomy.Methods. The survival of 634 patients who underwent curative distal gastrectomy from 1995 to 2004 was retrieved. Long-term surgical outcomes and associations between the number of dissected LNs and the 5-year survival rate were investigated.Results. The number of dissected LNs was one of the most important prognostic indicators. Among patients with comparable T category, the larger the number of dissected LNs was, the better the survival would be (). The linear regression showed that a significant survival improvement based on increasing retrieved LNs for stage II, III and IV (). A cut-point analysis yields the greatest variance of survival rate difference at the levels of 15 LNs (stage I), 25 LNs (stage II) and 30 LNs (stage III).Conclusion. The number of dissected LNs is an independent prognostic factor for gastric cancer. To improve the long-term survival of patients with gastric cancer, removing at least 15 LNs for stage I, 25 LNs for stage II, and 30 LNs for stage III patients during curative distal gastrectomy is recommended.


1997 ◽  
Vol 25 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 239-242 ◽  
Author(s):  
N.H.J. Creugers ◽  
R.J.A.M. De Kanter ◽  
M.A. van't Hof

2016 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gordon W. Fuller ◽  
Jeanine Ransom ◽  
Jay Mandrekar ◽  
Allen W. Brown

Background: Long-term mortality may be increased following traumatic brain injury (TBI); however, the degree to which survival could be reduced is unknown. We aimed at modelling life expectancy following post-acute TBI to provide predictions of longevity and quantify differences in survivorship with the general population. Methods: A population-based retrospective cohort study using data from the Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP) was performed. A random sample of patients from Olmsted County, Minnesota with a confirmed TBI between 1987 and 2000 was identified and vital status determined in 2013. Parametric survival modelling was then used to develop a model to predict life expectancy following TBI conditional on age at injury. Survivorship following TBI was also compared with the general population and age- and gender-matched non-head injured REP controls. Results: Seven hundred and sixty nine patients were included in complete case analyses. The median follow-up time was 16.1 years (interquartile range 9.0-20.4) with 120 deaths occurring in the cohort during the study period. Survival after acute TBI was well represented by a Gompertz distribution. Victims of TBI surviving for at least 6 months post-injury demonstrated a much higher ongoing mortality rate compared to the US general population and non-TBI controls (hazard ratio 1.47, 95% CI 1.15-1.87). US general population cohort life table data was used to update the Gompertz model's shape and scale parameters to account for cohort effects and allow prediction of life expectancy in contemporary TBI. Conclusions: Survivors of TBI have decreased life expectancy compared to the general population. This may be secondary to the head injury itself or result from patient characteristics associated with both the propensity for TBI and increased early mortality. Post-TBI life expectancy estimates may be useful to guide prognosis, in public health planning, for actuarial applications and in the extrapolation of outcomes for TBI economic models.


2022 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiao Liu ◽  
Zhen Zhou ◽  
Xia Luo ◽  
Lidan Yi ◽  
Liubao Peng ◽  
...  

Objective To compare the cost-effectiveness of the combination of pembrolizumab and chemotherapy (Pembro+Chemo) versus pembrolizumab monotherapy (Pembro) as the first-line treatment for metastatic non-squamous and squamous non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with PD-L1expression ≥50%, respectively, from a US health care perspective.Material and Methods A comprehensive Makrov model were designed to compare the health costs and outcomes associated with first-line Pembro+Chemo and first-line Pembro over a 20-years time horizon. Health states consisted of three main states: progression-free survival (PFS), progressive disease (PD) and death, among which the PFS health state was divided into two substates: PFS while receiving first-line therapy and PFS with discontinued first-line therapy. Two scenario analyses were performed to explore satisfactory long-term survival modeling.Results In base case analysis, for non-squamous NSCLC patients, Pembro+Chemo was associated with a significantly longer life expectancy [3.24 vs 2.16 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs)] and a substantially greater healthcare cost ($341,237 vs $159,055) compared with Pembro, resulting in an ICER of $169,335/QALY; for squamous NSCLC patients, Pembro+Chemo was associated with a slightly extended life expectancy of 0.22 QALYs and a marginal incremental cost of $3,449 compared with Pembro, resulting in an ICER of $15,613/QALY. Our results were particularly sensitive to parameters that determine QALYs. The first scenario analysis yielded lower ICERs than our base case results. The second scenario analysis founded Pembro+Chemo was dominated by Pembro.Conclusion For metastatic non-squamous NSCLC patients with PD-L1 expression ≥50%, first-line Pembro+Chemo was not cost-effective when compared with first-line Pembro. In contrast, for the squamous NSCLC patient population, our results supported the first-line Pembro+Chemo as a cost-effective treatment. Although there are multiple approaches that are used for extrapolating long-term survival, the optimal method has yet to be determined.


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