scholarly journals LOGISTIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT FOR PREDICTION OF COVID-19 INFECTED INDIVIDUALS: CASE STUDY IN CENTRAL JAVA PROVINCE, INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 96-103
Author(s):  
Okky Widya Arditya ◽  
Widowati Widowati ◽  
Sutimin Sutimin ◽  
R. Heru Tjahjana ◽  
Priyo Sidik Sasongko
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Model ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Dynamical Behaviour ◽  
Central Java ◽  
Contact Patterns ◽  
High Death ◽  
The Mathematical Model ◽  
Central Java Province ◽  
Model Approach

In early 2020, covid-19 spread fast in the worldwide and cause the high death. The disease started from the Asian region which resulted in a viral pandemic in 2020. In order to anticipate the increasing of the cases, a strategy is needed to inhibit its transmission.  The mathematical model approach is important tool for predicting of covid-19 spread in populations. In this paper we propose and analyze the dynamical behaviour of a developed logistic model by considering the effect of the contact patterns in reducing the covid-19 spread process.  To verify the developed logistic model, numerical simulation was given with case study of covid-19 spread for patients under supervision in Central Java Province, Indonesia.  Based on simulation results, it was found that physical distancing can reduce the growth of the covid-19 spread for patient under supervision. It can be seen from the number of covid-19 spread for patients under supervision with physical distancing intervention smaller compared to without physical distancing intervention.

scholarly journals The importance of socialization in achieving universal health coverage: case study of Jaminan Kesehatan Nasional (JKN) implementation in two different region in Central Java province

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 110-120
Author(s):  
Ema Nur Fitriana ◽  
Ari Natalia Probandari ◽  
Eti Poncorini Pamungkasari ◽  
Tonang Dwi Ardyanto ◽  
Rizky Amalia Puspitaningrum
Keyword(s):  
Universal Health Coverage ◽  
Health Coverage ◽  
Central Java ◽  
Universal Health ◽  
Central Java Province

scholarly journals THE APPLICATION OF PROFESSIONAL SKEPTICISM IN FRAUD DETECTION (A Case Study at BPKP Representative of Central Java Province)

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 175
Author(s):  
Sarina Gabryela Aprilyanti Butar Butar
Keyword(s):  
Sampling Method ◽  
Supervisory Board ◽  
Fraud Detection ◽  
Professional Skepticism ◽  
Internal Auditors ◽  
Self Confidence ◽  
Central Java ◽  
Functional Position ◽  
Central Java Province

The purpose of this research is to describe the application of professional skepticism on government internal auditors of the Financial and Development Supervisory Board (BPKP) Representative of Central Java Province in detecting fraud. The application of professional skepticism will be understood based on the characters of attitude, as stated by Hurtt (2010), consisting of questioning mind, suspension on judgment, search for knowledge, interpersonal understanding, self-confidence, and selfdetermination.This research is conducted using qualitative approach and refers to theoretical proposition. The data was collected by interviewing forensic auditors at each of functional position. The interviewees were determined by using purposive sampling method. They were forensic auditors who had ever been sued for audit report. The result shows that the forensic auditors of BPKP Representative of Central Java have already had proper comprehension about professional skepticism in fraud detection. The forensic auditors of BPKP Representative of Central Java have also applied professional skepticism in detecting fraud.

scholarly journals The Effectiveness of Rice for the Prosperous Population Program and Non-Cash Food Assistance (Case Study in Sikayu Village, Buayan Sub-district, Kebumen District)

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (2) ◽  
pp. 140
Author(s):  
Rezqyana Ayu Pertiwi ◽  
Raden Rara Aulia Qonita ◽  
Joko Sutrisno
Keyword(s):  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Food Assistance ◽  
Food Aid ◽  
Central Java ◽  
Program Policy ◽  
Effectiveness Measurement ◽  
Descriptive Method ◽  
Population Program ◽  
Central Java Province

Food aid program policy is made to overcome poverty problem in Indonesia. This policy always changes year by year to improve the effectiveness of the program. This research aims to determine the effectiveness of Rice for the Prosperous Population Program <em>(Bansos Rastra) </em>and Non-Cash Food Assistance <em>(BPNT) </em>in Sikayu Village, Buayan Sub-district, Kebumen District, Central Java Province with 6T indicators or 6 indicators of accuracy, including accurate on target, accurate on price, accurate on amount, accurate on time, accurate on quality and accurate on administration. The basic method of this research is descriptive method. The location of this research is determined intentionally. Sampling is done by purposive sampling technique. The analysis was carried out using the results criteria approach. The effectiveness of <em>Bansos Rastra</em> program is based on <em>Bansos Rastra </em>General Guidelines 2018, while the effectiveness measurement of <em>BPNT </em>program is based on <em>BPNT</em> General Guidelines 2018. The effectiveness of <em>Bansos Rastra</em> program, which is based on the achievement of the objectives according to <em>Bansos Rastra</em> General Guidelines 2018, is said to be ineffective as there is one out of the four points of purpose which is not achieved, namely the point of aid distribution conducted every month. The effectiveness of <em>BPNT </em>program in Sikayu Village based on the 6T indicator reaches 100% since all indicators have been fulfilled. The effectiveness of <em>BPNT</em> program based on the goals achivement is in accordance with <em>BPNT</em> General Guidelines 2018 which is said to be effective as all objectives have been achieved.

scholarly journals DEVELOPING MUSHROOM GYMNASTIC INSTRUMENT PROTOTYPE FOR MEN’S ARTISTIC GYMNASTIC SPORT IN CENTRAL JAVA PROVINCE

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 39
Author(s):  
Tommy Soenyoto
Keyword(s):  
Product Development ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Initial Step ◽  
Qualitative Approach ◽  
Initial Product ◽  
Movement Skills ◽  
Central Java ◽  
Senior Athletes ◽  
Central Java Province ◽  
Expert Validation

This study aims to develop mushroom gymnastic instrument for men’s artistic gymnastic athletes of junior and senior levels. The instrument is aimed at improving movement skills on horse saddle. Aside from its use as an exercise instrument for beginner, junior and senior levels of men’s artistic gymnastic athletes, this instrument can also be used for beginners’ level competition. This study used qualitative approach in which the data are collected from the initial step to the trial. The main procedure involved five steps: (1) the analysis of product development; (2) the development of initial product; (3) the expert validation; (4) the trial; and (5) the product revision. This study found that the mushroom gymnastic instrument can be used for men’s artistic gymnastic sport, particularly (1) for improving movement skill development on horse saddle for junior and senior athletes; (2) as an exercise instrument for beginner, junior and senior level of men’s artistic gymnastic athletes; (3) as an instrument used in competition for men’s artistic gymnastic for beginners’ level.   Keywords: model development, prototype, mushroom gymnastics, men’s artistic gymnastics  sport.

scholarly journals The Basic Social Values which underlies Social Institutions of Farmers In The Rural Agro-Tourism Area of Central Java

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 01 ◽  
Author(s):  
Imam Santosa ◽  
Agus Suyanto
Keyword(s):  
Social Values ◽  
Social Institutions ◽  
Social Institution ◽  
Case Study Method ◽  
Qualitative And Quantitative ◽  
Central Java ◽  
Institutional Strengthening ◽  
The Social ◽  
Central Java Province

<p>This research aims to explore the basic value of social institution of farmers and find the technique of re-functionalization of social institutions of farmers. The design of this research is using a case study method based on qualitative and quantitative approach. This research is intentionally conducted in Karangreja Sub-district, Purbalingga Regency of Central Java Province.  Based on the research results, The prominent basic social values in the social institutions of farmers in the Agro-tourism area tend to be still around the proximity to the production process. Three prominent basic values: (1) the basic value of perseverance in the process of production, (2) the basic value of togetherness for making decision on production, (3) the value of carefulness in sorting and grading product. Indeed the basic value of togetherness to fight for the price is high but it has not bring such a tangible results for farmers’. The authors predicted that if the socio-economic institutions are strong, they will be able to empower farmers and vice versa if the social institution is weak then the empowerment of farmers is also weak. However, it is necessary to concern that the institution which in charge of product quality, post harvest technology and marketing has not been much strengthened, so that the welfare of farmers has not changed much. Institutional strengthening in sectors that are still weak need to get more attention from various parties so that farmers become more dynamic and more empowered.</p>

scholarly journals Clustering of District or City in Central Java Based COVID-19 Case Using K-Means Clustering

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Ali Mahmudan
Keyword(s):  
Kidney Failure ◽  
Central Java ◽  
The World ◽  
High Death ◽  
New Type ◽  
The Government ◽  
Death Cases ◽  
Cluster 2 ◽  
Central Java Province

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a new type of disease that has never been identified in humans. Severe cases of COVID-19 can cause acute respiratory syndrome, kidney failure, and even death. COVID-19 cases have spread all over the world, including in Indonesia. One province with a high number of COVID-19 cases is Central Java Province. Therefore, it is necessary to cluster districts or cities in Central Java based on the COVID-19 case to prevent the spread of COVID-19. Clustering the cases of COVID-19 is done using k-means clustering which is a method of clustering a number of data by means of partitions. The results show that cluster 2 and cluster 3 are areas that the government should pay more attention to because they are areas with a high number of active cases and the high death cases of COVID-19 in Central Java.  

scholarly journals Population prediction of purwanegara village, Indonesia using modified logistic model with migration factor

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 1962
Author(s):  
Diandra Chika Fransisca ◽  
Padosroha Marbun
Keyword(s):  
Population Growth ◽  
Equilibrium Point ◽  
Growth Model ◽  
Carrying Capacity ◽  
Logistic Model ◽  
Central Java ◽  
Migration Factor ◽  
Central Java Province ◽  
Population Prediction ◽  
Birth Death

Population growth model is a widely been used model to do an estimation and forecasting towards the population of peoples, animals, bac-teria and even in economics growth. Many studies have been carried out on population growth model concerning the factors of birth, death and carrying capacity in order to predict the number of population at certain area. From these studies there is only one study involved the constant value factor of migration as an input in the logistic model. Therefore contradicting with the above modified logistic model, in this study logistic model is modified by adding a migration factor as a function of population. This function takes into account the migration and the interaction between peoples that is limited to the carrying capacity of the environment. This model can be solved qualitatively using the analysis of equilibrium point and quantitatively using the separable variables method. This modified logistic model with migration factor has been applied in the population prediction of Purwanegara village in Central Java Province, Indonesia. Throughout the results, the modified logistic model with migration factor as a function of population gives a better result for population prediction of Purwanegara village in Central Java Province, Indonesia compared with logistic model.  

PENGEMBANGAN PARIWISATA JAWA TENGAH BERBASIS ECOLOGY MARINE TOURISM

2018 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 46-58
Author(s):  
Adenanthera L Dewa ◽  
Lely Ratwianingsih ◽  
Izza Mafruhah
Keyword(s):  
Stakeholder Participation ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Marine Ecology ◽  
Green Economy ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Internal Factors ◽  
Central Java ◽  
Regional Tourism ◽  
Statistical Analysis Tool ◽  
Central Java Province

THE DEVELOPMENT OF CENTRAL JAVA TOURISM BASED ON ECOLOGY MARINE TOURISMIndonesia is an archipelago with 17,504 large and small islands, so it is a huge potential to be developed into a tourist destination. Marine ecology protection is an important part, therefore Ecomarinetourism is one form of responsibility of all stakeholders in sustainable development which is a change from the brown economy to a green economy based on the principle of sustainability, mainly focusing on experience and learning about nature, managed ethically, non - Consumptive, oriented and contributing to conservation and preservation.The purpose of this study is 1) To explore the profile of tourists in Central Java Province; 2) To Analyze the priority of supporting factors for model development; 3) To identify tourism regulations in Central Java 4) To Arrange stakeholder participation in tourism development.This study uses mixed method with a descriptive statistical analysis tool combined with qualitative analysis, and AHP analysis combined with Focus Group Disscussion. The results show that the most sought-after tourism is tourism, especially marine and ecology. Supporting factors in the development of tourism models are the infrastructure, institutional and internal factors of business actors. Regulations that are owned by the Central Java Province are indicated by the preparation of the Regional Tourism Development Master Plan (Riparda).

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