scholarly journals The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on World Trade

2015 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-32
Author(s):  
Slobodan Č Čerović ◽  
Marina Pepić ◽  
Pero Petrović ◽  
Stanislav Č Čerović

Abstract Modern economic and financial crisis has caused a significant reduction in trade flows, for the first time since the Second World War, so it is often referred to as the trade crisis. Despite many benefits and disadvantages of liberalization as key features of modern age, the current crisis has led to a reassessment of these positions affecting the introduction of protectionist measures and the strengthening of regional ties and alliances. The question that arises is how the future trade flows will look like and whether regional integration will prevail over multilateral and liberalized trading system. The financial crisis quickly became the economic crisis that hit all sectors. The first visible effects of the crisis were reflected in a sharp fall in trade flows, and conditioned drop in demand, which led to a fall in production and employment. The first reactions of numerous countries were protectionist measures in order to protect national interests. This again aroused debate between proponents of liberalism and protectionism, where the effects and the origins of the crisis favored the latter. Economic decision makers, faced with the pressing economic problems, tried to mitigate them (at least in the short-term) turning more to regional partners, and less to the world market.

2014 ◽  
Vol 66 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 7-34
Author(s):  
Pero Petrovic ◽  
Dobrica Vesic

The modern economic and financial crisis has caused a significant reduction in trade flows for the first time since the Second World War, so it is often referred to as the trade crisis. Despite many benefits and disadvantages of liberalization as key contemporary features, the current crisis has led to re-examination of these attitudes affecting the introduction of protectionist measures and to strengthening of regional ties and numerous alliances. The question that arises is how trade flows will look like in the future and whether regional integration will prevail over multilateralism and the liberalized multilateral trading system. The financial crisis quickly became an economic crisis that hit all sectors. The first visible effects of the crisis were reflected in a sharp fall in trade flows that were conditioned by drop in demand, what led to fall in production and employment. The first reaction of many countries was to take protectionist measures in order to protect their national interests. This is again aroused a debate among proponents of liberalism and protectionism, where the effects of the emergence of the crisis favoured the latter. Economic decision makers are faced with the pressing economic problems and they tried to mitigate them (at least in a short term) turning to regional partners and less to the world market.


2009 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
pp. 165-181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Margot Schüller ◽  
Yun Schüler-Zhou

This contribution analyses the impact of the global financial crisis on the Chinese economy and the policies implemented by the Chinese government to cope with it. We argue, first, that China has not been able to decouple its economic performance from that of the U.S. and other developed countries. Second, although economic growth in the second quarter of 2009 showed that the stimulus package is working, the current development does not seem to be sustainable. In order to avoid another round of overheating, the government needs to adjust its stimulus policy. Third, the current crisis offers opportunities to conduct necessary structural adjustments in favour of more market-based and innovative industries, more investment by private companies and a stronger role of private consumption in economic growth. Fourth, with the external demand from the OECD countries declining, Chinese export companies need to further diversify their international markets and reorient their production and sales strategies to some extent towards the domestic market.


2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 339-362 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suraj Kumar ◽  
Krishna Prasanna

This study investigates the dynamic impact of global and regional liquidity along with volatility on the liquidity of emerging Asian equity markets. Further, we empirically disentangle the effects of volatility and liquidity. We find that the external liquidity factors have a higher impact on domestic liquidity as compared to volatility. The impact of global volatility shocks was witnessed only during the Global Financial Crisis. Global factors have a higher influence on developed markets such as Japan and Singapore, while regional factors have a higher influence on emerging markets. These results indicate that liquidity serves as the channel of regional integration in Asia. The findings of this study provide useful insights to cross-sections of stakeholders in the investment industry. JEL Classification: G15, F21, F36


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 118-126
Author(s):  
Eddison T. Walters

The results of several recent studies called the analysis of economic data from the United States real estate industry preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 into question. Advancement of technology is a disruptive force throughout the economy today. The speed at which technology continues to evolve has resulted in significant changes throughout the entire economy around the world. As technology continue to evolve, there is no question technology disruption will continue to occur. Economist can no longer rely solely on backward looking historical data when conducting economic analysis. The evolution of the global economy require an understanding of the impact of advancement in technology occurring throughout the economy as researcher conduct analysis of data to draw conclusions. The result of recent studies led to the development of “Eddison Walters Modern Economic Analysis Theory”. Data analysis suggesting the false conclusion of the existence of a real estate bubble in the United States real estate market preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 was presented in Walters and Djokic (2019). Nonlinear regression analysis for correlation of variables in Walters (2019) resulted in 194.041 Mean Dependent Variable, 0.989 Adjusted R-square, 5.908 Square Error of Regression, and 488.726 Sum-of-Square Residual for the independent variable of “advancement in technology”, and the dependent variable of “home purchase price” preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Walters (2019) concluded advancement in technology was the most significant factor causing home prices to increase preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Overwhelming evidence led the researcher to conclude, the failure to consider the impact of advancement in technology in data analysis was the most significant error responsible for causing data analysis distortion leading to the false conclusion of the existence of a real estate bubble preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 (Walters, 2020). The researcher proposed “Eddison Walters Modern Economic Analysis Theory” in the current study. The goal of the new theory is to prevent potential error in data analysis resulting in data distortion due to the failure to consider the impact of advancement in technology on the data when conducting economic research in the future.


2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 91
Author(s):  
Sinem Sefil-Tansever

The aim of this study is to examine mechanism responsible for the behavior of the income and earning inequality in Turkey during the global financial crisis based on data from the 2006 to 2014 Income and Living Conditions Survey. Gini decomposition by income source is employed in order to provide an analysis of the contribution of the various income sources to the evolution of income inequality and to assess the impact of a marginal percentage change in the income from a particular source on income inequality. For examining the contributions of specific variables (education, position in occupation, economic sector) to the interpretation of labor earnings inequality in terms of their gross and marginal contribution, we use static decomposition of Theil T index.


Asian Survey ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 49 (1) ◽  
pp. 135-145 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles E. Ziegler

Russia's seamless presidential succession produced no major changes in domestic politics or foreign policy. Ties with Asia remained strong, though several key relationships——with China, Japan, and the Central Asian states——frayed under the impact of Russia's military action in Georgia. Impressive economic performance in the first half of the year boosted Russian confidence as a great power, but its vulnerability to the global financial crisis together with the heavy-handed operation in the Caucasus undermined Moscow's standing with both Asia and Europe by the end of the year.


2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 19-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
Janice Lay Hui Nga

This paper investigates the issue of the global financial crisis and its impacts on philanthropy and civil society organisations (CSOs) in Malaysia. CSOs are popularly known as non-governmental organisations (NGOs) in Malaysia. Financial crisis has caused NGOs in many countries to receive less funding. This situation may threaten and discourage voluntary works. Undoubtedly, these beneficial contributions from the NGOs are needful services to the society. This paper examines the impact of financial crisis through the lens of NGOs and philanthropy activities in Malaysia. It utilises primary and secondary data, employs a mixed method approach, and uses quantitative and qualitative data. While there are many influencing factors in this development, this paper presents several significant aspects in the Malaysian context, including the style and nature of giving, culture, religion, and political pressure. This study attempts to seek potential solutions, pathways and possible approaches beneficial to NGOs and philanthropy activities for their sustainability in facing the financial crisis and its consequences. Experiences and lessons learnt in Malaysia may well be useful and applicable to some extent in other countries.


2011 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rohana Othman ◽  
Nooraslinda Abdul Aris ◽  
Rafidah Mohd Azli ◽  
Roshayani Arshad

The global financial crisis that devastated many of the worlds financial systems in a manner never seen before exposed the glaring weakness in risk management and interest-driven policies. The crisis brought the collapse of several iconic financial institutions once perceived to be too strong to capitulate. The crisis engulfed one economy after another from corporations to eventually bring about the collapse of governments of countries reeling from the impact of the crisis. Asset values plummeted and the crisis clearly demonstrated the fragility of the western capitalist system and the free market economy. The Islamic economic and financial system is anchored on universal honorable values, ideals and morals - honesty, credibility, transparency, co-operation and solidarity. These fundamental values uphold stability, security and safety in any financial transactions. Of paramount consideration is that the Shariah prohibits any economic and financial transactions that involve usury, lying, gambling, cheating, unsubstantiated risk or uncertainty (gharar), monopoly, exploitation, greed, unfairness and taking other peoples money unjustly. Another key aspect to the philosophy behind the Islamic financial system is money issued must be fully asset backed. It is impermissible to allow money to be traded for money except at par. Islam is not just the prohibition of riba and zakah (alms); it is a comprehensive system to fulfill societys basic necessities (food, clothing and shelter). History has demonstrated that Islam has the capacity to deliver and has succeeded in providing a viable economic system.


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 122
Author(s):  
Eddison T. Walters

The researcher called for economic research to consider the potential effect of advancement in technology on analysis of economic data in Eddison Walters Modern Economic Analysis Theory in the future represented a paradigm shift in economic analysis that will significantly reduce the potential for error due to data distortion in the future. The foundation of the world's economy is based on the sharing of information, yet very little attention has been given to the effect of technology advancement in the analysis of data. The researcher of the current study highlighted the critical nature of sharing information to the development of the world’s economy in the past, as well as the critical nature of sharing information to the world’s economy today. Advancement in technology has drastically improved the sharing of information and has led to the globalized economy. The lack of evidence supporting the widely accepted theory of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 prompted the investigation by the current researcher aimed at gaining insight into economic factors that were responsible for conditions contributing to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Walters (2018) presented evidence suggesting no financial bubble existed before the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. The study resulted in the development of “Eddison Walters Risk Expectation Theory of The Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008”. The theory presented an alternative explanation for the financial crisis. The researcher called for additional investigation to gain insight into the nature of the cause of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Further investigation in Walters (2019) provided evidence supporting the idea, technological advancement led to the rapid growth in home prices before the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. The result from the analysis of data in Walters (2019) revealed the following, 0.989 Adjusted R-square, 194.041 Mean Dependent Variable, 5.908 Square Error of Regression, and 488.726 Sum-of-Square Residual, from nonlinear regression analysis. The dependent variable in the study was, “home purchase price” and the independent variable was, “advancement in technology”. The current study continued the investigation into factors that were described in the literature which set the conditions leading to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Gaining insight into the effect of technological advancement on the significant increase in consumer debt prior to the Global Financial Crisis will significantly contribute to the understanding of the economic environment before the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Insight into the effect of advancement in technology on the increase in consumer lending prior to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008, will significantly contribute to the understanding of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Matabane T. Mohohlo ◽  
Johan H. Hall

The financial leverage-operating leverage trade-off hypothesis states that as financial leverage increases, management of firms will seek to reduce the exposure to operating leverage in an attempt to balance the overall risk profile of a firm. It is the objective of this study to test this hypothesis and ascertain whether operating leverage can indeed be added to the list of factors that determine the capital structure of South African firms. Forty-six firms listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange between 1994 and 2015 are analysed and the impact of operating leverage is determined. The results are split into two periods, that is, the period before the global financial crisis (1994–2007) and after the global financial crisis (2008–2015). The impact of operating leverage during these two periods is then compared to determine whether a change in the impact of operating leverage on the capital structure can be observed especially following the crisis. The results show that the conservative nature of South African firms leading up to 2008 persisted even after the global financial crisis. At an industry level, the results reveal that operating leverage does not have a noticeable impact on capital structure with the exception of firms in the industrials sector of the South African economy.


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