scholarly journals Essay on Saving and Consumption

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 123-136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikola Fabris ◽  
Jelena Galić
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Crisis Management ◽  
Management Policy ◽  
Global Crisis ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
Consumption And Saving ◽  
Saving Decisions

Abstract Consumption and saving decisions are at the heart of both short- and long-term macroeconomic analyses. Since the global crisis outbreak, one of the main issues for indebted countries has been whether to pursue a policy which promotes saving or to try to induce economic growth by increasing consumption. Consensus has not been reached on this issue, which is based on an old debate of whether a country should pursue a policy of Keynesianism or monetarism. Ergo, this essay discusses arguments supporting both approaches, primarily through theoretical arguments of Keynesianism and monetarism. The authors concluded that in a crisis environment, consumption policy should be given priority; however, a precondition for this is that a country was not overburdened prior to the crisis outbreak, i.e. a successful crisis management policy should, in fact, be pursued over the periods of expansion.

ISSUES OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE STATE BUDGET AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN UZBEKISTAN

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (7) ◽  
pp. 4-19
Author(s):  
Akmal Baltayevich Allakuliev ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
The State ◽  
Rate Of Return ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Macroeconomic Shocks ◽  
Dynamic Correlations ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

The article examines the interaction of the country's GDP with the state budget in the short and long term, the impact of the macro-fiscal mechanism on the country's economic growth on the example of Uzbekistan.The aim of the study is to identify dynamic correlations between the country's state budget expenditures and the economic growth of the macro-fiscal mechanism in the short and long term, as well as to analyze the approximation or rate of return of GDP and the state budget to equilibrium during various macroeconomic shocks. and hesitation.The scientific novelties of the research are:

scholarly journals PENGARUH LIBERALISASI ARUS MODAL TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI ASEAN-5

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 345-354
Author(s):  
Devilia Sitorus ◽  
Crisanty Sutristyaningtyas Titik
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Significant Influence ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Financial Openness ◽  
Partial Adjustment ◽  
Adjustment Model ◽  
Partial Adjustment Model ◽  
Short And Long Term

This study aims to examine the relationship between capital flow liberalization and economic growth in ASEAN-5. This research is a quantitative study that uses data: GDP, Gross Capital Formation, financial disclosure seen from the Chinn-Ito index for the period 2000-2017 in 5 ASEAN countries namely Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand. Data were processed using panel data regression analysis and specifically for Indonesia, Partial Adjustment Model (PAM) regression was performed. The results of this study indicate that financial openness seen from the Chinn-Ito index has a negative and significant influence on the economic growth of ASEAN-5 countries. Capital flows have a positive and significant impact on the economic growth of ASEAN-5 countries. Meanwhile, the PAM (Partial Adjustment Model) regression model shows that capital flows have a positive and significant influence on Indonesia's economic growth both in the short and long term, while financial openness has a negative and significant impact on Indonesia's economic growth both in the short and long term.

scholarly journals Role of trade in natural rubber and palm oil in the composition of GDP in Ivory Coast

2020 ◽  
pp. 48-63
Author(s):  
Paul-Alfred Kouakou Kouakou
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Natural Rubber ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Palm Oil ◽  
Ivory Coast ◽  
Ardl Model ◽  
Oil Exports ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Short And Long Term

Purpose. This paper discusses the effect of natural rubber and palm oil exports on economic growth in Ivory Coast from 1980 to 2016 using World Bank data. Methodology / approach. The analysis involved the use of Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) unit root tests and the ARDL model. Results. This paper discusses the effect of natural rubber and palm oil exports on economic growth in Ivory Coast from 1980 to 2016 using World Bank data. The analysis involved the use of Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) unit root tests and the ARDL model. The results of the study show that there is a positive and non-significant relationship between natural rubber exports and short-term economic growth. On the other hand, in the long term, they have a positive and significant influence on economic development. However, in the short and long term, palm oil exports have a positive and significant impact on gross domestic product. Finally, labour, investment and market opening have a positive and significant effect on economic growth in the short and long term respectively. Therefore, the Ivorian government needs to promote good agricultural practices and agricultural financing in order to increase the competitiveness of the Hevea –Oil palm sector. Originality / scientific novelty. Previous studies in natural rubber and palm oil focused mainly on its production, constraints to production and processing. However, very few studies on its effects on economic growth have been done so far. This study fills that gap. It expanded the existing literature and the subject of the causal relationship between natural rubber and palm oil exports and economic growth in Ivory Coast and shed light on required efforts to enhance the production and utilization of natural rubber and palm oil at larger scale to bring economic development in Ivory Coast. At last, the ARDL model is used to address this issue. Practical value / implications. The generated information will be useful to a number of organizations including: research and development, marketers, producers, policy makers, government and non-governmental organizations to assess their activities and improve their mode of operations, to help better guide the design and implementation of policies and strategies. Finally, knowing the existing relationship between natural rubber and palm oil exports and economic growth, together with impediments faced by natural rubber and palm oil exports, the study provides the various ways to improve these exports by increasing exports capacity of local producers. Research on this issue is too important to inform policymakers regarding resource allocation in the natural rubber and palm oil sector to achieve economic growth.

scholarly journals The relationship between renewable energy and sustainable development in Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 922 (1) ◽  
pp. 012034
Author(s):  
G Syamni ◽  
Wardhiah ◽  
Zulkifli ◽  
M J A Siregar ◽  
Y A Sitepu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Renewable Energy Sources ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Positive Effect

Abstract This paper is conducted to examine the relationship between the use of renewable energy and FDI in Indonesia. The data used in this study is secondary data that has been published by the World Bank and accessed in www.Data.worldbank.org. periode 2004-2019. The data analysis method used is the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) method. The results of the study found that the use of renewable energy in the short and long term has a positive effect on Indonesia’s economic growth. Meanwhile, the same thing is also shown from the FDI variable in the short term and long term which has a significant positive effect on economic growth and has a positive effect on economic growth. Finally, with this finding, it is concluded that both the short and long term the Indonesian government needs to make a breakthrough to explore renewable energy sources for economic growth.

scholarly journals Revisiting the Nexus between Digital Economy and Economic Prosperity: Evidence from a Comparative Analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 69-90
Author(s):  
Nidhal Mgadmi ◽  
Wajdi Moussa ◽  
Azza Béjaoui ◽  
Tarek Sadraoui ◽  
Afef Guachaoui
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Information And Communication Technologies ◽  
Digital Technologies ◽  
Communication Technologies ◽  
Digital Economy ◽  
Economic Prosperity ◽  
Information And Communication ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
New Institutions

In this paper, we try to investigate the contribution of digitalization on economic growth in both developed and developing countries over the period 1990-2020. For this end, different econometric tools are applied on a panel dataset. Overall, we show that the digital technologies seem to significantly and positively affect economic growth in both groups of countries. The digitalization impact level tends to differ across countries. Our empirical results also display that the short- and long-term relationship between information and communication technologies and economic growth is well documented. Such results can be useful for policymakers to enhance the digital economy and provide novel channels to develop adequate policies and promote new institutions. So, benefits from digitalization can lead to realize substantial economic growth.

scholarly journals Strengthening Indonesia's Economic Growth with Islamic and non-Islamic Macroeconomic Variable

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 107-128
Author(s):  
Eba Ismi Alifah ◽  
Anton Bawono
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Error Correction Model ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Islamic Bank ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
The Government ◽  
Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity

Abstract: This research was conducted to determine the effect of taxes, Sukuk, grants, inflation, foreign debt, total financing, and the network of Islamic bank offices on Indonesia's economic growth. Research data for each variable is monthly from 2009-2018. Data analysis variables use Error Correction Model (ECM) Test and Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) Test with Eviews ver.10. The results showed that in the short and long term, variables taxes, Sukuk, inflation, foreign debt, total financing, and office networks of Islamic banks) affected the Indonesian economic growth. At the same time, grants have no significant effect on economic growth. For variable predictions in the next year (2019), only economic growth, grants, inflation, foreign debt, and network of Islamic bank offices can be predicted. Meanwhile, taxes, Sukuk, and total financing cannot be identified in 2019 because the variables are not significant in the ARCH analysis, so it cannot be diagnosed about future values. This result implies that the government and the community must continue to work together to manage state revenues used to fund productive projects to stimulate economic growth.Abstrak: Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk mengetahui pengaruh pajak, sukuk negara, hibah, inflasi, utang luar negeri, jumlah pembiayaan dan jaringan kantor bank syariah terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Data penelitian setiap variabel berupa bulanan dari tahun 2009-2018. Uji variabel penelitian menggunakan Uji Error Correction Model (ECM) dan Uji ARCH menggunakan Eviews ver.10. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang, variabel pajak, sukuk negara, inflasi, utang luar negeri, jumlah pembiayaan dan jaringan kantor bank syariah berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia. Sedangkan variabel hibah tidak berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Untuk prediksi variabel di tahun berikutnya (tahun 2019), hanya variabel pertumbuhan ekonomi, hibah, inflasi, utang luar negeri dan jumlah jaringan kantor bank syariah yang dapat diprediksi, sedangkan pajak, sukuk negara, dan jumlah pembiayaan tidak dapat diketahui nilai perkembangannya di tahun 2019 karena variabel tersebut tidak signifikan pada analisis ARCH. Sehingga tidak dapat di diagnosa dalam bentuk ARCH untuk dilakukan forecast data agar diketahui tentang nilai di masa yang akan datang. Implikasi dari temuan ini adalah diperlukan upaya yang berkesinambungan dari pemerintah dan masyarakat dalam mengelola penerimaan negara yang dimanfaatkan untuk mendanai proyek yang produktif sehingga dapat mempercepat pertumbuhan ekonomi. 

scholarly journals ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC ON ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION IN INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
pp. 251
Author(s):  
Rahardyan Haris Yuswinarto ◽  
Edy Yusuf Agung Gunanto
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Environmental Degradation ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Gas Emissions ◽  
Co2 Gas ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
Dynamic Time

Environmental degradation occurs is influenced by economic growth and the means of transportation that support it, besides that, the population size also affects the occurrence of environmental degradation. This study aims to determine the effect of economic growth, population growth and total of transportation on environmental degradation in short and long term. This research uses dynamic time series autoregressive distribution lag method. The results showed that the gross domestic product (GDP) variable had a significant positive effect in increasing CO2 gas emissions both in the short and long term. The variable amount of transportation has a positive and insignificant effect on the increase in CO2 gas emissions in the short term and has a negative effect in the long term. Meanwhile, population growth variable has a positive and significant effect in the short term and negative and significant in the long term.

scholarly journals The relationship between remittances and economic growth in Vietnam in the period of international integration

2015 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 104-112
Author(s):  
Tung Thanh Le
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Lag Model ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
The Relationship

Over nearly three decades, remittances are one of the most important sources of foreign currency in ensuring balance of payments, foreign currency reserves increase, stabilize exchange market and financial market in Vietnam. This paper uses the AutoregressiveDistributed Lag model (ARDL) to study the relationship between remittances and economic growth in Vietnam in 1990-2014. Results of Perasan’ test confirmed the existence of long-term relationship between remittances and economic growth in Vietnam. The results also provide evidence of the positive impact of remittances to economic growth both in the short and long term.

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