Probabilistische Zustandsanalyse von tragendem Mauerwerk / A Probabilistic Evaluation Method for Structural Masonry

1997 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 553-568
Author(s):  
L. Schueremans ◽  
D. Van Gemert ◽  
J. Van Dyck

Abstract A probabilistic method to evaluate the reliability of structural masonry elements is presented. Local probability of failure, different failure modes and corresponding limit state functions, probability distributions of basic variables and model uncertainty are discussed. A graphical probability mapping is presented as an easilyaccessible, visual evaluation instrument in the restoration decision process. The proposed methodology is illustrated on tested shear panels, reported in literature.

Author(s):  
Hideo Machida ◽  
Hiromasa Chitose ◽  
Tatsuhiro Yamazaki

This paper reports the results of the study on the failure modes and limit loads of piping in nuclear power plants subjected to cyclic seismic loading. By investigating the past fracture tests and earthquake resistance tests, it became clear that dominant failure mode of piping was fatigue, and the effect of ratchet strain was negligible. Until now, the stress generated with the acceleration of an earthquake was classified into the primary stress. However, the relationship between the input acceleration and the seismic response displacement of the pipe observed from earthquake resistance tests is non-linear, and increasing rate of displacement is lower than that of input acceleration in elastic-plastic stress condition. Therefore, the seismic loading can be treated as displacement controlled loading. To evaluate the reliability-based critical acceleration, a limit state function was defined taking the variations in the fatigue strength or some parameters into consideration. By using the limit state function, the reliability was evaluated for the typical piping of boiling water reactor (BWR) plants subjected to cyclic seismic loading, and a partial safety factors were calculated. Based on these results, a fatigue curve corresponding to the target reliability was proposed.


Author(s):  
Xiaobin Le

Abstract Since the main design parameters in a mechanical component design have some uncertainties and should be treated as random variables, the reliability of a component is a better measurement of the safe status of a component. A component will not be reliable unless it is designed with specified reliability. Therefore, the mechanical component design should be a dimension design with the required reliability. The fundamental concept of the Monte Carlo method is to plug-in randomly generated numerical values into the governing equation of a design problem to get a trial result. The Monte Carlo method has become so powerful numerical simulation approach in almost every field such as optimization, numerical integration, and reliability calculation. But for reliability engineering, most of the literature shows how to use the Monte Carlo method to calculate the reliability of a component. This paper will propose the modified Monte Carlo method to determine a component dimension with required reliability. This paper first discusses and establishes typical limit state functions of a component under static loads. These limit state functions cover two failure modes including the failure mode due to strength and the failure mode due to excessive deformation. Then, the procedure and the flowchart of the modified Monte Carlo method will be explained in detail. The provided procedure and the flowchart are easy to be followed for compiling a MATLAB program to conduct a dimension design with required reliability. Two examples will show how to implement the proposed new method for conducting a dimension design with required reliability.


Author(s):  
Nicholas Haritos ◽  
Anil Hira ◽  
Priyan Mendis ◽  
Rob Heywood ◽  
Armando Giufre

VicRoads, the road authority for the state of Victoria, Australia, has been undertaking extensive research into the load capacity and performance of cast-in-place reinforced concrete flat slab bridges. One of the key objectives of this research is the development of analytical tools that can be used to better determine the performance of these bridges under loadings to the elastic limit and subsequently to failure. The 59-year-old Barr Creek Bridge, a flat slab bridge of four short continuous spans over column piers, was made available to VicRoads in aid of this research. The static testing program executed on this bridge was therefore aimed at providing a comprehensive set of measurements of its response to serviceability level loadings and beyond. This test program was preceded by the performance of a dynamic test (a simplified experimental modal analysis using vehicular excitation) to establish basic structural properties of the bridge (effective flexural rigidity, EI) and the influence of the abutment supports from identification of its dynamic modal characteristics. The dynamic test results enabled a reliably tuned finite element model of the bridge in its in-service condition to be produced for use in conjunction with the static testing program. The results of the static testing program compared well with finite element modeling predictions in both the elastic range (serviceability loadings) and the nonlinear range (load levels taken to incipient collapse). Observed collapse failure modes and corresponding collapse load levels were also found to be predicted well using yield line theory.


2021 ◽  
pp. 109821402092778
Author(s):  
Deinera Exner-Cortens ◽  
Kathleen C. Sitter ◽  
Marisa Van Bavel ◽  
Alysia Wright

Actively engaging adolescents in meaningful program evaluation is a topic of growing interest. One possibility for such engagement is the use of photographs as part of visual evaluation, so that youth can directly engage with the research process. In this Method Note, we describe the development and implementation of a participatory, photo-based evaluation method for youth health promotion/prevention programs. Youth in this study were participants in a gender-transformative healthy relationships program for boys. We present literature supporting the use of photographs as a visual research method and for involving youth as active participants in evaluation, and explore the feasibility, utility, and acceptability of this innovative application of existing methods based on researcher experience and youth feedback. We conclude with implications for photo-based evaluation of health promotion/prevention programs, highlighting the promise of this method for promoting critical youth engagement in evaluation and the creation of meaningful knowledge translation tools.


2011 ◽  
Vol 274 ◽  
pp. 101-111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Norelislam Elhami ◽  
Rachid Ellaia ◽  
Mhamed Itmi

This paper presents a new methodology for the Reliability Based Particle Swarm Optimization with Simulated Annealing. The reliability analysis procedure couple traditional and modified first and second order reliability methods, in rectangular plates modelled by an Assumed Modes approach. Both reliability methods are applicable to the implicit limit state functions through numerical models, like those based on the Assumed Mode Method. For traditional reliability approaches, the algorithms FORM and SORM use a Newton-Raphson procedure for estimate design point. In modified approaches, the algorithms are based on heuristic optimization methods such as Particle Swarm Optimization and Simulated Annealing Optimization. Numerical applications in static, dynamic and stability problems are used to illustrate the applicability and effectiveness of proposed methodology. These examples consist in a rectangular plates subjected to in-plane external loads, material and geometrical parameters which are considered as random variables. The results show that the predicted reliability levels are accurate to evaluate simultaneously various implicit limit state functions with respect to static, dynamic and stability criterions.


Author(s):  
Eric Brehm ◽  
Robert Hertle ◽  
Markus Wetzel

In common structural design, random variables, such as material strength or loads, are represented by fixed numbers defined in design codes. This is also referred to as deterministic design. Addressing the random character of these variables directly, the probabilistic design procedure allows the determination of the probability of exceeding a defined limit state. This probability is referred to as failure probability. From there, the structural reliability, representing the survival probability, can be determined. Structural reliability thus is a property of a structure or structural member, depending on the relevant limit states, failure modes and basic variables. This is the basis for the determination of partial safety factors which are, for sake of a simpler design, applied within deterministic design procedures. In addition to the basic variables in terms of material and loads, further basic variables representing the structural model have to be considered. These depend strongly on the experience of the design engineer and the level of detailing of the model. However, in the clear majority of cases [1] failure does not occur due to unexpectedly high or low values of loads or material strength. The most common reasons for failure are human errors in design and execution. This paper will provide practical examples of original designs affected by human error and will assess the impact on structural reliability.


Author(s):  
Gianluca Mannucci ◽  
Giuliano Malatesta ◽  
Giuseppe Demofonti ◽  
Marco Tivelli ◽  
Hector Quintanilla ◽  
...  

Nowadays specifications require strict Yield to Tensile ratio limitation, nevertheless a fully accepted engineering assessment of its influence on pipeline integrity is still lacking. Probabilistic analysis based on structural reliability approach (Limit State Design, LSD) aimed at quantifying the yield to tensile strength ratio (Y/T) influence on failure probabilities of offshore pipelines was made. In particular, Tenaris seamless pipe data were used as input for the probabilistic failure analysis. The LSD approach has been applied to two actual deepwater design cases that have been on purpose selected, and the most relevant failure modes have been considered. Main result of the work is that the quantitative effect of the Y/T ratio on failure probabilities of a deepwater pipeline resulted not so big as expected; it has a minor effect, especially when Y only governs failure modes.


2012 ◽  
Vol 459 ◽  
pp. 432-436
Author(s):  
Jun Liu ◽  
Ye Nan Wang ◽  
Jian Hua Li ◽  
Rui Shen Chen

In this study, a new system performance evaluation method is introduced to the two-machine line. After that, the extended system aggregation model is developed and corresponding aggregation formulations are deduced.Different from traditional production models, the production line features unreliable buffers and multiple stochastic failure modes of the machines. The method is applicable to analyzing the cases arising from two or more stochastic events or more complex production lines


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