scholarly journals Conducting pre-foresight research: organizational aspect

2021 ◽  
Vol 77 (2) ◽  
pp. 26-39
Author(s):  
L. V. Deineko ◽  
◽  
E. I. Sheludko ◽  

The growing uncertainty of economic development increases the interest in future research and its role in determining the priority areas of scientific and technological, socio-economic, regional development. Related to this is the rapid spread of the foresight practice as a process of actively learning about the future and creating a medium- and long-term vision to consolidate the efforts of all stakeholders in making relevant decisions. The scope of foresight, which is already becoming the subject of international cooperation, is also expanding. Methodological recommendations have been adopted for the EU countries to balance the countries’ foresight methods when conducting strategic forecast research. Ukraine lags far behind European practices in organising the foresight process, limiting itself to individual initiatives for limited periods. The country has not yet developed the organisational methods required for full-fledged foresight research. Above all, the analysis of organisational and methodological support of the foresight process, the basic aspects of which are formed at the pre-foresight stage of the study. Therefore, the subject of the study was to highlight the organisational aspect of pre-foresight research. The purpose of this publication is a detailed study and analysis of the organisation of pre-foresight research in terms of the formation of informational, communicative, and methodological components of the pre-foresight stage, as well as recommendations for measures to improve the effectiveness of national foresight as a tool for long-term development in the country. Based on bibliographic analysis using systematic, comparative-historical, structural, interdisciplinary approaches, the foreign experience of organising pre-foresight research was generalised, the expediency of improving the information and regulatory framework for foresight research was substantiated, the scope of application of foresight-specific research and criteria were determined by stakeholders of the process, as well as methodological approaches to the formation of a combination of research methods were discovered.

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (8) ◽  
pp. 160-172
Author(s):  
A. O. Chetverikov

The paper analyzes the provisions of the legislation and the latest court practice of the European Court of Justice (ECJ) regulating the procedure for refusing to issue Schengen visas and other migration permits necessary for foreign scientists to participate in experiments using unique European mega-science facilities, as well as in other scientific events in the EU. The first section "Visa refusal and the right to appeal it in the EU: Historical and comparative legal aspects" examines the formation and initial content of the EU rules on the rationale and appeal of the refusal of Schengen visas, starting with the Schengen agreements of the 1980s and before the adoption of the 2009 EU Visa Code. The second section "Right to appeal against refusal of Schengen and equivalent visas" is devoted to the rules of the 2009 EU Visa Code regarding visas for short-term stays (up to 90 days within a period of 180 days), amended and supplemented by the 2017 EU Court of Justice prejudicial decision as in the case of "El Hassani" regarding the recognition of foreigners’ right to judicial appeal against a visa refusal and, in a broader context, "the right to a fair and adequate consideration of their application" for a visa. The subject of the third, final section "The right to appeal the refusal of visas for long-term stay and residence permits" are the provisions of the latest ECJ court practice (judgment in the case of "M.A." of 10.03.2021), which made it possible to challenge in the courts of the EU Member States refusals to issue even those migration permits that are issued in accordance with national law.


Author(s):  
Paul B. Paulus ◽  
Jared B. Kenworthy

In this chapter, we present an overview of some major topics and themes explored in the research on team creativity. We discuss the strengths and limitations of some primary methodological approaches to the study of creativity in teams, including short-term team settings, long-term team settings, and case studies. We also explore some of the major theories of collaborative creativity, which to varying degrees focus on contextual and organizational factors, as well as motivational, cognitive, and social processes involved in enhancing innovation in teams. We evaluate the sometimes conflicting findings from research on team size, participative safety, conflict, affective processes, and supportive versus constrained environments. At a broader level, we discuss interteam and network dynamics as they impact team innovation. Finally, we summarize some areas of research that seem to have conflicting or paradoxical effects, suggesting areas of future research focus.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 64-69
Author(s):  
A. O. Mamonov ◽  
I, V. Tarasov

This article is devoted to development of methodological approaches to evalution of African energy markets’ strategic opportunities for Russian companies. The main research method in this paper is in-depth case study, which allows to test proposed approaches. The subject of case study is one of the largest African countries – Nigeria. A comprehensive analysis of nigerian energy market from the standpoint of quantitative indicators, technological and financial prospects, as well as the difficulties associated with entering the market, and the possibilities of overcoming them, is carried out. The long-term prospect of the feasibility of entering the energy markets within African countries has been identified.


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 195-206 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Ongenaert

The world has faced a major increase in forced displacement and the theme has also become the subject of many public, media and political debates. The public communication of refugee organizations thereby increasingly impacts their operations, the public perception on forcibly displaced people and societal and policy beliefs and actions. However, little research has been conducted on the topic. Therefore, this conceptual article aims to (1) define refugee organizations’ public communication, (2) situate it within broader research fields, and (3) motivate the latter’s relevance as research perspectives. In order to be able to achieve these research objectives, the article first discusses the social and scientific relevance of the research subject and identifies important gaps within literature which both form an essential scientific base for developing the main arguments. Adopting a historical perspective, the article demonstrates that in recent decades the social and scientific relevance of research on strategic and non-profit communication in general and on refugee organizations’ public communication in particular have increased. Nevertheless, these fields remain underdeveloped and are mostly text-focused, while the production and reception dimensions are barely explored. Remarkably, however, little or no research has been conducted from an organizational communication perspective, although this article demonstrates that the subject can be adequately embedded in and examined from the fields of strategic, non-profit and public communication. Finally, the article highlights the relevance of the holistic Communicative Constitution of Organizations perspective and argues that future research can benefit by adopting multi-perspective, practice-oriented, multi-methodological, comparative and/or interdisciplinary approaches.


2015 ◽  
Vol 95 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikola Todorovic ◽  
Jelena Apelic ◽  
Gorana Romic

Growth of youth tourism share in overall tourist expenditures and arrivals is noted on global level. Despite of that, the available data regarding socio-demographic characteristics of youth tourists, characteristics of their travel and tourist stay, as well as their motivation for coming to Belgrade and their satisfaction with their stay in it, is sparse. Aim of this research is attaining scientific findings on the discussed matter. The results of the survey conducted at Belgrade Main Railway Station showed that students from the EU account for the majority of the sample and that the majority of the indicators corresponds with global trends. The significant difference is noted regarding the type of used accommodation, where an absolute domination of hostels is noted. Several figures indicate the transit character of the visit and the general satisfaction with the stay in Belgrade. In average, this tourist segment accounts for larger number of overnight stays than Belgrade's overall average of overnight stays. Differences are also noted regarding the geographic structure of the respondents, but that may potentially be explained by methodological limitations which should be addressed in future research of the subject.


Author(s):  
Lynda A. King ◽  
Anica Pless Kaiser ◽  
Jennifer Schuster Wachen ◽  
Carrie M. Potter ◽  
Crystal L. Park ◽  
...  

This chapter provides an overview of risk and protective factors that may account for posttraumatic responses. In addition to risk and protective factors specifically for posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD), the outcomes of resilience and posttraumatic growth are considered. Emphasis is placed on the importance of a longitudinal and especially a lifespan developmental framework to understand both the short- and long-term implications of trauma exposure and the factors that influence its consequences. A brief introduction to methodological approaches for documenting longitudinal change is presented, followed by suggestions for future research.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 160-181
Author(s):  
A. N. Kuriukin

Purpose: to try to delineate the boundaries and formulate the characteristic features and signs of a "new normalcy", which, already taking shape today in the course of the ongoing development of the coronavirus pandemic, will in the long term be a determining factor for the further economic, political and social development of modern civilization.Methods: consists in a complex research paradigm, which includes the principles of systemic, theoretical-cognitive, institutional, instrumental and interdisciplinary approaches, mediated by the accepted in social science ideas about the relationship and interaction of subjective and objective factors in social processes with relative independence of the subject.Results: the general direction of the development of civilization will be the preservation, in the foreseeable future, of the requirements of social distancing and restrictions on cross-border mobility. Remote forms of work, low-contact manufacturing and the formation of Industry 4.0 will come to the fore in the economy. In society, there will be a need to revise modern social values, in the direction of the transition from the degree of satisfaction of individual and personal needs to the availability of such satisfaction as the main value. The central issue of post-image politics will be the question of whether the pandemic will bring about an anti-democratic rollback and an evolving authoritarianization of power, or, on the contrary, will become an impetus for the positive development of democracy, an increase in the role of civil society and the political participation of citizens.Conclusions and Relevance: with regard to the economy, society and politics, it is stated that, on the one hand, they will experience unprecedented transformational pressures under the influence of the ongoing pandemic crisis, but at the same time, they will face a choice – to maintain crisis stagnation hoping to “just survive” or perceive the crisis as source of new opportunities for development and progress.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
A. S. Plotnikova ◽  

The article is devoted to the review of various methodological approaches to the estimation of natural fire danger (NFD), as well as to the creation, updation and application of the NFD maps, which are offered by modern Russian scholars. The scale of natural fire danger assessment recommended for use and developed by I. S. Melekhov is presented and analyzed. The methodological drawbacks of this scale as stated by modern researchers are indicated. The paper reviews the development of a new methodological approach to compilation of regional scales for assessing the natural fire danger of forests, by taking into account the links between forest growth conditions as well as seasonal and climatic conditions in the regions of the Russian Federation. The method for mapping of natural fire danger on the basis of maps of plant combustible materials, proposed by the scientific group of the V. N. Sukachev Institute of Forest SB RAS, is studied. We consider studies of the Mytischi Branch of Bauman Moscow State Technical University related to investigation if the possibility for applying mathematical modeling methods for long-term forecasting of changes in NFD under different scenarios of forest management. The method for annual mapping of NFD classes, proposed in the CEPF RAS, is presented. An example of the use of NFD maps in assessing the probability of forest fires in the ICARP FEB RAS is considered. Future research areas are identified, namely, a cartographic representation of the created regional scales of NFD and the results of mathematical modeling of long-term changes in NFD.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 625-636
Author(s):  
Natalia Kovalevskaia ◽  
Iuliia Fedoritenko ◽  
Roman Troian

The objective of the article is to examine the process of digitalization of the EU cultural diplomacy enhanced by the pandemic of COVID-19, considering the factors of the long-term cycles called long waves. The theory of long waves is represented by various concepts, the first one was the Kondratiev model. On their basis, indicators of the onset of a new wave were identified: 1) Innovation implementation; 2) Economic challenges; 3) Social transformation; 4) Sustainability. From the point of defining the correct terminology, the terms ‘digitalization’ and ‘digitization’ are presented. The statistics data presents the current implications of the COVID-19 pandemic for the cultural sectors and influencing the acceleration of digitalization, which indicates the relevance of this study. The final part offers the main features of the development of the EU cultural diplomacy, considering the mentioned indicators of a long new wave. Future research could be based on the discovered consequences of accelerating digitalization of cultural diplomacy.


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 205510291881065 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamsyn Hawken ◽  
Julie Turner-Cobb ◽  
Julie Barnett

This systematic review assessed coping and adjustment in caregivers of all ages to provide a synthesis of existing literature in the context of methodological approaches and underlying theory. Four databases were searched. Reference lists, citations and experts were consulted. In total, 27 studies (13 quantitative and 14 qualitative) were included. Coping factors associated with adjustment (problem- versus emotion-focussed coping and cognitive strategies) and psychosocial factors associated with physiological adjustment (trait anxiety, coping style and social support) were identified. Results raised methodological issues. Future research requires physiological adjustment measures and longitudinal assessment of the long-term impact of childhood caregiving. Findings inform future caregiver research and interventions.


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