scholarly journals Review: Climate change and the water footprint of wheat production in Zimbabwe

Water SA ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 45 (3 July) ◽  
Author(s):  
Simbarashe Govere ◽  
Justice Nyamangara ◽  
Emerson Z Nyakatawa
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Crop Production ◽  
Water Footprint ◽  
Water Productivity ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Crop Water ◽  
Wheat Production ◽  
Fertilization Effect ◽  
Impacts Of Climate Change

Reductions in the water footprint (WF) of crop production, that is, increasing crop water productivity (CWP), is touted as a universal panacea to meet future food demands in the context of global water scarcity. However, efforts to reduce the WF of crop production may be curtailed by the effects of climate change. This study reviewed the impacts of climate change on the WF of wheat production in Zimbabwe with the aim of identifying research gaps. Results of the review revealed limited local studies on the impacts of climate change on the WF of wheat production within Zimbabwe. Despite this, relevant global and regional studies suggest that climate change will likely result in a higher WF in Zimbabwe as well as at the global and regional level. These impacts will be due to reductions in wheat yields and increases in crop water requirements due to high temperatures, despite the CO2 fertilization effect. The implications of a higher WF of wheat production under future climate change scenarios in Zimbabwe may not be sustainable given the semi-arid status of the country. The study reviewed crop-level climate change adaptation strategies that might be implemented to lower the WF of wheat production in Zimbabwe.

scholarly journals Modelling Maize Yield and Water Requirements under Different Climate Change Scenarios

Climate ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 127
Author(s):  
Oludare Sunday Durodola ◽  
Khaldoon A. Mourad
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Crop Production ◽  
Water Productivity ◽  
Baseline Period ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Crop Water ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Water Requirements ◽  
The Future ◽  
Impacts Of Climate Change

African countries such as Nigeria are anticipated to be more susceptible to the impacts of climate change due to large dependence on rainfed agriculture and to several uncertainties in the responses of crop production to climate change. The impacts of climate change on crop water requirements (CWR), irrigation water requirements (IWR), yields and crop water productivity (CWP) of rainfed maize in Ogun-Osun River Basin, Nigeria were evaluated for a baseline period (1986–2015) and future projection period (2021–2099) under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. For the baseline period, there is no significant trend within the variables studied. However, IWR is projected to increase significantly by up to 140% in the future period, while yield might likely decline under both scenarios up to −12%. This study shows that in the future periods, supplemental irrigation has little impact in improving yields, but an increase in soil fertility can improve yields and CWP by up to 80% in 2099. This paper offers useful information on suitable adaptation measures which could be implemented by stakeholders and policymakers to counterbalance the effects of climate change on crop production.

scholarly journals Spatiotemporal responses in crop water footprint and benchmark under different irrigation techniques to climate change scenarios in China

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiwei Yue ◽  
Xiangxiang Ji ◽  
La Zhuo ◽  
Wei Wang ◽  
Zhibin Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Crop Production ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Water Footprint ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Sprinkler Irrigation ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Crop Water

Abstract. Adaptation to future climate change with limited water resources is a major global challenge to sustainable and sufficient crop production. However, the large-scale responses of crop water footprint and its associated benchmarks under various irrigation techniques to future climate change scenarios remain unclear. The present study quantified the responses of maize and wheat water footprint per unit yield (WFP, m3 t−1) and corresponding WFP benchmarks under two representative concentration pathways (RCPs) in the 2030s, 2050s, and 2080s at a 5-arc minute grid level in the case for China. The differences among rain-fed and furrow-, micro-, and sprinkler-irrigated wheat and maize were identified. Compared with the baseline year (2013), maize WFP will increase under both RCP2.6 and RCP8.5, by 17 % and 13 %, respectively, until the 2080s. Wheat WFP will increase under RCP2.6 (by 12 % until the 2080s), while decrease by 12 % under RCP8.5 until the 2080s. WFP will increase the most for rain-fed crops. Relative to rain-fed crops, micro irrigation and sprinkler irrigation result in the smallest increases in WFP for maize and wheat, respectively. These water-saving managements will more effectively mitigate the negative impact of climate change. Furthermore, the spatial distributions of WFP benchmarks will not change as dramatically as those of WFP. The present study demonstrated that the visible different responses to climate change in terms of crop water consumption, water use efficiency, and WFP benchmarks under different irrigation techniques must be addressed and monitored. It also lays the foundation for future investigations into the influences of irrigation methods, RCPs, and crop types on WFP and its benchmarks in response to climate change in all agricultural regions worldwide.

Climate, ticks and disease

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Spatial Distribution ◽  
Disease Ecology ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Expert Opinions ◽  
The World ◽  
Host Pathogen ◽  
The Future ◽  
Impacts Of Climate Change

Abstract This book is a collection of 77 expert opinions arranged in three sections. Section 1 on "Climate" sets the scene, including predictions of future climate change, how climate change affects ecosystems, and how to model projections of the spatial distribution of ticks and tick-borne infections under different climate change scenarios. Section 2 on "Ticks" focuses on ticks (although tick-borne pathogens creep in) and whether or not changes in climate affect the tick biosphere, from physiology to ecology. Section 3 on "Disease" focuses on the tick-host-pathogen biosphere, ranging from the triangle of tick-host-pathogen molecular interactions to disease ecology in various regions and ecosystems of the world. Each of these three sections ends with a synopsis that aims to give a brief overview of all the expert opinions within the section. The book concludes with Section 4 (Final Synopsis and Future Predictions). This synopsis attempts to summarize evidence provided by the experts of tangible impacts of climate change on ticks and tick-borne infections. In constructing their expert opinions, contributors give their views on what the future might hold. The final synopsis provides a snapshot of their expert thoughts on the future.

scholarly journals Benchmark levels for the consumptive water footprint of crop production for different environmental conditions: a case study for winter wheat in China

2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (11) ◽  
pp. 4547-4559 ◽  
Author(s):  
La Zhuo ◽  
Mesfin M. Mekonnen ◽  
Arjen Y. Hoekstra
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Factors ◽  
Winter Wheat ◽  
Crop Production ◽  
Water Footprint ◽  
Arid Zone ◽  
Southern China ◽  
Water Productivity ◽  
Climate Zones ◽  
Wheat Production ◽  
Growing Period

Abstract. Meeting growing food demands while simultaneously shrinking the water footprint (WF) of agricultural production is one of the greatest societal challenges. Benchmarks for the WF of crop production can serve as a reference and be helpful in setting WF reduction targets. The consumptive WF of crops, the consumption of rainwater stored in the soil (green WF), and the consumption of irrigation water (blue WF) over the crop growing period varies spatially and temporally depending on environmental factors like climate and soil. The study explores which environmental factors should be distinguished when determining benchmark levels for the consumptive WF of crops. Hereto we determine benchmark levels for the consumptive WF of winter wheat production in China for all separate years in the period 1961–2008, for rain-fed vs. irrigated croplands, for wet vs. dry years, for warm vs. cold years, for four different soil classes, and for two different climate zones. We simulate consumptive WFs of winter wheat production with the crop water productivity model AquaCrop at a 5 by 5 arcmin resolution, accounting for water stress only. The results show that (i) benchmark levels determined for individual years for the country as a whole remain within a range of ±20 % around long-term mean levels over 1961–2008, (ii) the WF benchmarks for irrigated winter wheat are 8–10 % larger than those for rain-fed winter wheat, (iii) WF benchmarks for wet years are 1–3 % smaller than for dry years, (iv) WF benchmarks for warm years are 7–8 % smaller than for cold years, (v) WF benchmarks differ by about 10–12 % across different soil texture classes, and (vi) WF benchmarks for the humid zone are 26–31 % smaller than for the arid zone, which has relatively higher reference evapotranspiration in general and lower yields in rain-fed fields. We conclude that when determining benchmark levels for the consumptive WF of a crop, it is useful to primarily distinguish between different climate zones. If actual consumptive WFs of winter wheat throughout China were reduced to the benchmark levels set by the best 25 % of Chinese winter wheat production (1224 m3 t−1 for arid areas and 841 m3 t−1 for humid areas), the water saving in an average year would be 53 % of the current water consumption at winter wheat fields in China. The majority of the yield increase and associated improvement in water productivity can be achieved in southern China.

scholarly journals Benchmark levels for the consumptive water footprint of crop production for different environmental conditions: a case study for winter wheat in China

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
La Zhuo ◽  
Mesfin M. Mekonnen ◽  
Arjen Y. Hoekstra
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Factors ◽  
Winter Wheat ◽  
Crop Production ◽  
Water Footprint ◽  
Arid Zone ◽  
Southern China ◽  
Water Productivity ◽  
Climate Zones ◽  
Wheat Production ◽  
Growing Period

Abstract. Meeting growing food demands while simultaneously shrinking the water footprint (WF) of agricultural production is one of the greatest societal challenges. Benchmarks for the WF of crop production can serve as a reference and be helpful in setting WF reduction targets. The consumptive WF of crops, the consumption of rainwater stored in the soil (green WF) and the consumption of irrigation water (blue WF) over the crop growing period, varies spatially and temporally depending on environmental factors like climate and soil. The study explores which environmental factors should be distinguished when determining benchmark levels for the consumptive WF of crops. Hereto we determine benchmark levels for the consumptive WF of winter wheat production in China for all separate years in the period 1961–2008, for rain-fed versus irrigated croplands, for wet versus dry years, for warm versus cold years, for four different soil classes and for two different climate zones. We simulate consumptive WFs of winter wheat production with the crop water productivity model AquaCrop at a 5 by 5 arc min resolution, accounting for water stress only. The results show that (i) benchmark levels determined for individual years for the country as a whole remain within a range of ±20 % around long-term mean levels over 1961–2008; (ii) the WF benchmarks for irrigated winter wheat are 8–10 % larger than those for rain-fed winter wheat; (iii) WF benchmarks for wet years are 1–3 % smaller than for dry years, (iv) WF benchmarks for warm years are 7–8 % smaller than for cold years, (v) WF benchmarks differ by about 10–12 % across different soil texture classes; and (vi) WF benchmarks for the humid zone are 26–31 % smaller than for the arid zone, which has relatively higher reference evapotranspiration in general and lower yields in rain-fed fields. We conclude that when determining benchmark levels for the consumptive WF of a crop, it is useful to primarily distinguish between different climate zones. If actual consumptive WFs of winter wheat throughout China were reduced to the benchmark levels set by the best 25 % of Chinese winter wheat production (1224 m3 t−1 for arid areas and 841 m3 t−1 for humid areas), the water saving in an average year would be 53 % of the current water consumption at winter wheat fields in China. The majority of the yield increase and associated improvement in water productivity can be achieved in southern China.

Improving crop water use in West Africa in the context of climate change

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sehouevi Mawuton David Agoungbome ◽  
Nick van de Giesen ◽  
Frank Ohene Annor ◽  
Marie-Claire ten Veldhuis
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
West Africa ◽  
Water Use ◽  
Crop Production ◽  
Rainfall Variability ◽  
Water Productivity ◽  
Yield Response ◽  
Crop Water ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Crop Water Use

<p>Africa’s population is growing fast and is expected to double by 2050, meaning the food production must follow the cadence in order to meet the demand. However, one of the major challenges of agriculture in Africa is productivity (World Bank, 2009; IFRI, 2016). For instance, more than 40 million hectares of farmland were dedicated to maize in Africa in 2017 (approx. 20% of world total maize farms), but only 7.4% of the total world maize production came from the African continent (FAO, 2017). This shows the poor productivity which has its causes rooted in lack of good climate and weather information, slow technology uptake and financial support for farmers. In West Africa, where more than 70% of crop production is rain-fed, millions of farmers depend on rainfall, yet the region is one of the most vulnerable and least monitored in terms of climate change and rainfall variability. With a high uncertainty of future climate conditions in the region, one must foresee the big challenges ahead: farmers will be exposed to a lot of damages and losses leading to food insecurity resulting in famine and poverty if measures are not put in place to improve productivity. This study aims at addressing low productivity in agriculture by providing farmers with the right moment to start farming in order to improve efficiency and productivity of crop water use. By analyzing yield response to water availability of specific crops using AquaCrop, the Food and Agriculture Organization crop growth model, we investigate the crop water productivity variability throughout the rainy season and come up with recommendations that help optimize rainfall water use and maximize crop yield.</p>

Performance of rain-fed Aman rice yield in Bangladesh in the presence of climate change

2017 ◽  
Vol 34 (04) ◽  
pp. 304-312 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Abdur Rashid Sarker ◽  
Khorshed Alam ◽  
Jeff Gow
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Rice Yield ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Quadratic Functional ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Maximum Temperatures ◽  
Impacts Of Climate Change

AbstractThis paper uses the framework of the Just–Pope production function to evaluate the impacts of climate change on yields of the rainfed Aman rice crop in Bangladesh. It analyses disaggregated district-level data on climate variables and Aman rice yield over a 48 year time horizon. The results reveal that changes in maximum temperatures have had positive and negative effects on yield in the linear and quadratic functional forms, respectively. However, the elasticity values in the variance function confirm that maximum temperature is risk-increasing for Aman rice while minimum temperature is likely to decrease yield variability. Rainfall has become risk-increasing for Aman rice. Based on three climate change scenarios, this paper also reveals that future climate change is expected to increase the variability of Aman rice yields. Finally, statistically significant dummies for different in-country climate zones require zone-specific adaptation policies to reduce the adverse impacts of climate change.

scholarly journals Accessing future crop yield and crop water productivity over the Heihe River basin in northwest China under a changing climate

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Qi Liu ◽  
Jun Niu ◽  
Bellie Sivakumar ◽  
Risheng Ding ◽  
Sien Li
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Crop Yield ◽  
Water Productivity ◽  
Heihe River Basin ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Heihe River ◽  
Crop Water ◽  
Crop Water Productivity ◽  
The Heihe River Basin

AbstractQuantitative evaluation of the response of crop yield and crop water productivity (CWP) to future climate change is important to prevent or mitigate the adverse effects of climate change. This study made such an evaluation for the agricultural land over the Heihe River basin in northwest China. The ability of 31 climate models for simulating the precipitation, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature was evaluated for the studied area, and a multi-model ensemble was employed. Using the previously well-established Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), crop yield and crop water productivity of four major crops (corn, wheat, barley, and spring canola-Polish) in the Heihe River basin were simulated for three future time periods (2025–2049, 2050–2074, and 2075–2099) under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). The results revealed that the impacts of future climate change on crop yield and CWP of wheat, barley, and canola would all be negative, whereas the impact on corn in the eastern part of the middle reaches of the Heihe River basin would be positive. On the whole, climate change under RCP8.5 scenario would be more harmful to crops, while the corn crops in the Minle and Shandan counties have better ability to cope with climate change.

scholarly journals Evaluating the Impact of Climate Change on Water Productivity of Maize in the Semi-Arid Environment of Punjab, Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 3905
Author(s):  
Muhammad Mohsin Waqas ◽  
Syed Hamid Hussain Shah ◽  
Usman Khalid Awan ◽  
Muhammad Waseem ◽  
Ishfaq Ahmad ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Statistical Downscaling ◽  
Water Productivity ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Future Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Farming Practices ◽  
Impact Of Climate Change ◽  
Swap Model ◽  
Semi Arid

Impact assessments on climate change are essential for the evaluation and management of irrigation water in farming practices in semi-arid environments. This study was conducted to evaluate climate change impacts on water productivity of maize in farming practices in the Lower Chenab Canal (LCC) system. Two fields of maize were selected and monitored to calibrate and validate the model. A water productivity analysis was performed using the Soil–Water–Atmosphere–Plant (SWAP) model. Baseline climate data (1980–2010) for the study site were acquired from the weather observatory of the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD). Future climate change data were acquired from the Hadley Climate model version 3 (HadCM3). Statistical downscaling was performed using the Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) for the A2 and B2 scenarios of HadCM3. The water productivity assessment was performed for the midcentury (2040–2069) scenario. The maximum increase in the average maximum temperature (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) was found in the month of July under the A2 and B2 scenarios. The scenarios show a projected increase of 2.8 °C for Tmax and 3.2 °C for Tmin under A2 as well as 2.7 °C for Tmax and 3.2 °C for Tmin under B2 for the midcentury. Similarly, climate change scenarios showed that temperature is projected to decrease, with the average minimum and maximum temperatures of 7.4 and 6.4 °C under the A2 scenario and 7.7 and 6.8 °C under the B2 scenario in the middle of the century, respectively. However, the highest precipitation will decrease by 56 mm under the A2 and B2 scenarios in the middle of the century for the month of September. The input and output data of the SWAP model were processed in R programming for the easy working of the model. The negative impact of climate change was found under the A2 and B2 scenarios during the midcentury. The maximum decreases in Potential Water Productivity (WPET) and Actual Water Productivity (WPAI) from the baseline period to the midcentury scenario of 1.1 to 0.85 kgm−3 and 0.7 to 0.56 kgm−3 were found under the B2 scenario. Evaluation of irrigation practices directs the water managers in making suitable water management decisions for the improvement of water productivity in the changing climate.

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