County Poverty: The Case Of Los Angeles
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: justify; margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">This study serves two purposes.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>First, it demonstrates a method of estimating and projecting annual poverty at the sub-national level.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Data obtained from decennial censuses provide the benchmarks from which poverty is estimated and projected for various demographic groups.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Projections are based upon curvilinear trends both of rates and of counts for each group.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The methodology can be easily applied in a variety of jurisdictional settings and levels.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The second objective is to provide a specific portrait of poverty by demographic group within the County of Los Angeles.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The evidence indicates a substantial increase over the next decade both in the incidence of poverty and in the number of impoverished residents.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>The primary source of County poverty is the growth in its Hispanic community.</span></span></p>