scholarly journals Demographic projections and accuracy of the spatial development statistics of Siberia and Far East of Russia

POPULATION ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 15-29
Author(s):  
Maxim Fomin
Keyword(s):  
Regional Analysis ◽  
Far East ◽  
Qualitative Change ◽  
Spatial Development ◽  
High Price ◽  
Demographic Projections ◽  
Territorial Planning ◽  
Competitive Network ◽  
Federal Districts

The subject of the research is spatial development statistics (as a system of indicators of regional analysis and management) on the example of the Siberian and Far East Federal districts. The correlation of the indices of migration and the state of the infrastructure deficit of these districts is considered. The importance of a qualitative change in the system of placement of population and productive forces in the country (in accordance with the adopted and agreed economic model) for the creation of an internationally competitive network of settlements is emphasized. The relevance of this topic, which characterizes qualitative territorial planning and sustainable-safe spatial development at the level of federal districts of Russia (as established macro-regions) and their constituent entities, is due to several key factors. First, the territory, being itself a complex subject of research, involves development and use of a significant number of statistical metrics for a comprehensive assessment, systematization and current management organization of spatial development potentials. Secondly, it becomes possible to unify coordination of macro-regional and interregional planning, interconnection of sectoral plans, and development of recommendations for formation of long-term tariffs. Thirdly, on the basis of such indicators, there is predicted the basis of the qualitative changes, which are fixed both in strategies, targeted and regional programs, and resettlement schemes at the federal and regional (in the long term, macro-regional) levels. At the same time, primarily because of the extremely high price of managerial errors, there is a practical need for correct forecasting activities, studying best practices and finding consensus, especially in demographic projections as the basis for further long-term planning. The findings of the study can be used in further research at the national and interregional levels.

scholarly journals Long-term dynamics and epidemic intensity of Siberian tick typhus in federal districts and regions of Russian Federation during 2002-2018

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 68-76
Author(s):  
S. V. Shtrek ◽  
N. V. Rudakov ◽  
N. A. Penjevskaya ◽  
D. A. Saveliev ◽  
A. I. Blokh
Keyword(s):  
Central Asia ◽  
Russian Federation ◽  
Far East ◽  
Krasnoyarsk Region ◽  
Novosibirsk Region ◽  
Natural Foci ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
Endemic Areas ◽  
Far Eastern

Aim. To analyze epidemic intensity and long-term dynamics of Siberian tick typhus (STT) in Siberian and Far Eastern regions of Russian Federation.Materials and Methods. We analyzed STT incidence in different regions of Siberia and Far East during 2002-2018 utilising standardised data. Regions were further ranked according to incidence levels.Results. Cases of STT were regularly documented in 17 regions of Siberia and Far East. In six regions (Republic of Khakassia, Altai, Amur, Tyumen, Irkutsk, and Krasnoyarsk Region), a declining trend was revealed while in four regions there was a trend towards an increase in STT incidence (Republic of Tyva, Khabarovsk Region, Novosibirsk Region, and Omsk Region).Conclusion. The monitoring of STT foci and reservoirs natural foci in endemic areas in Central Asia is needed to predict the trends in STT incidence in Siberia and Far East. 

SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT & INFRASTRUCTURE CONNECTIVITY OF THE RUSSIAN FAR EAST

2020 ◽  
pp. 41-56
Author(s):  
Maksim V. Fomin ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Russian Far East ◽  
Local Population ◽  
Far East ◽  
Spatial Development ◽  
Railway Network ◽  
Progressive Development ◽  
Territorial Planning ◽  
Port Facilities ◽  
And Migration ◽  
The Russian Far East

The article deals with the spatial development of the Russian Far East in the context of infrastructure connectivity and migration. The construction of a new railway network, the renovation of highways and the modernization of airports are the most important conditions for the successful functioning of the state, ensuring competitiveness, socio-economic growth and capitalization of territories. The coordinated and progressive development of infrastructure not only contributes to the retention of the local population, but also increases the investment and migration attractiveness of the territories. Taking into account the territorial conditions of Russia-first of all, its length and spatial disproportion-the problems of transport and logistics infrastructure are of particular importance. The conclusions obtained as a result of the study can be used both in strategic planning at the level of macro-regions, and in conducting further research at the national and interregional levels. Keywords: spatial development, territorial planning, migration, The Russian Far East, airfield infrastructure, railway network, regional highways, port facilities.

THE SOCIOLOGICAL ANALYSIS OF THE SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT PROBLEMS (ON EXAMPLE OF WESTERN AND EASTERN SIBERIA REGIONS)

2020 ◽  
pp. 5-23
Author(s):  
Igor A. Seleznev ◽  
◽  
Nikolay Yu. Mikryukov ◽  
Timur R. Miriazov ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Russian Far East ◽  
Far East ◽  
Federal District ◽  
Spatial Development ◽  
Eastern Siberia ◽  
Sociological Study ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
Alternative Scenarios ◽  
And Migration ◽  
Far Eastern

The article presents the results of a sociological study of the problems of regional spatial development of the regions of the Siberian Federal district (SFD). There are the materials of the survey of residents of four regions of the SFD are analyzed, the socio-demographic and socio-economic situation in Western and Eastern Siberia is compared, and the opinions and assessments of the population of the main socio-economic indicators of regional development are considered; General and special in the social self-feeling, demographic and migration situation, lifestyle of the population of Western and Eastern Siberia. The research was carried out under the project “Modeling scenarios of spatial development of Siberia and the Russian Far East until 2030: features of the settlement system”, which won the RFBR competition. The main goal is to assess the current state of the resettlement system, develop strategic prospects and model alternative scenarios for the spatial development of the regions of the Siberian and Far Eastern Federal Districts. Based on the author's development of an empirical research model, a survey of respondents living in four Siberian regions was conducted in August 2019. The results of the survey allowed us to identify differences in migration preferences, a number of features of the economic potential and quality of infrastructure and social sphere.

Approaches to the definition of territorial backwardness in the regional development management

2020 ◽  
Vol 93 (4) ◽  
pp. 60-73
Author(s):  
E. B. Veprikova ◽  
◽  
A. A. Kislenok ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Policy ◽  
Russian Far East ◽  
Far East ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Spatial Development ◽  
Territorial Development ◽  
Development Management ◽  
Gradual Process ◽  
Definition Of

Reducing the level of interregional differentiation is one of the problems in spatial development management according to the Spatial Development Strategy of the Russian Federation. Presence of significant regional imbalances hampers formation of a common economic, social, cultural, and institutional space and lead to a creation of backward territories which lag behind in the development. The focus of public policy measures on the centers of economic growth, with the concentration of financial and labor resources, without solving the problems of backward territories does not bring the expected effect – overall development and well-being. Local effects in the absence of positive changes in other territories result in the increase in imbalances, which limit the overall effectiveness of the public policy. At the same time, a steadily increasing lag may cause a loss of potential of economic growth and thus forms backward territories. The creation of territorial backwardness is a gradual process. Therefore, diagnosing the state of the territory and identifying the signs of increasing depression is an essential issue of public administration. The article presents the main approaches to the definition of territorial backwardness used in the Russia and overseas, it also reviews the determinants of backward territories. Different methods for identification of backwardness in the territorial development have been tested on the basis of the regions of the Russian Far East.

scholarly journals Evaluating the Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Agricultural Drought in Bangladesh Using Effective Drought Index

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 2437 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Kamruzzaman ◽  
Syewoon Hwang ◽  
Jaepil Cho ◽  
Min-Won Jang ◽  
Hanseok Jeong
Keyword(s):  
Central Region ◽  
Drought Index ◽  
Regional Analysis ◽  
Mitigation Strategies ◽  
Agricultural Drought ◽  
Monthly Precipitation ◽  
Effective Drought Index ◽  
Spatiotemporal Characteristics ◽  
North Western

This study aims to assess the spatiotemporal characteristics of agricultural droughts in Bangladesh during 1981–2015 using the Effective Drought Index (EDI). Monthly precipitation data for 36 years (1980–2015) obtained from 27 metrological stations, were used in this study. The EDI performance was evaluated for four sub-regions over the country through comparisons with historical drought records identified by regional analysis. Analysis at a regional level showed that EDI could reasonably detect the drought years/events during the study period. The study also presented that the overall drought severity had increased during the past 35 years. The characteristics (severity and duration) of drought were also analyzed in terms of the spatiotemporal evolution of the frequency of drought events. It was found that the western and central regions of the country are comparatively more vulnerable to drought. Moreover, the southwestern region is more prone to extreme drought, whereas the central region is more prone to severe droughts. Besides, the central region was more prone to extra-long-term droughts, while the coastal areas in the southwestern as well as in the central and north-western regions were more prone to long-term droughts. The frequency of droughts in all categories significantly increased during the last quinquennial period (2011 to 2015). The seasonal analysis showed that the north-western areas were prone to extreme droughts during the Kharif (wet) and Rabi (dry) seasons. The central and northern regions were affected by recurring severe droughts in all cropping seasons. Further, the most significant increasing trend of the drought-affected area was observed within the central region, especially during the pre-monsoon (March–May) season. The results of this study can aid policymakers in the development of drought mitigation strategies in the future.

scholarly journals HFRS Morbidity Dynamics in Federal Districts of the Russian Federation from 2001 to 2007

2008 ◽  
pp. 25-28
Author(s):  
V. P. Toporkov ◽  
L. N. Velichko ◽  
A. E. Shiyanova ◽  
E. V. Kouklev ◽  
N. V. Popov ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Far East ◽  
Federal District ◽  
Specific Weight ◽  
Sickness Rate ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Average Index ◽  
Epidemiologic Analysis

The retrospective epidemiologic analysis of HFRS morbidity carried out from 2001 to 2007 showed that the highest sickness rate was registered in Privolzhsky federal district with 20.4±2.3 average index that exceeded the similar one countrywide 4-fold and the incidence specific weight was 88.0 % of the total number of cases. The indexes of HFRS incidence in the rest 6 dis­tricts were lower than the Russia wide one 3-4-fold and more. During the analyzed period the tendency to increase the HFRS incidence level was observed in Privolzhsky, Ural and Far East districts and in the country.

scholarly journals Beyond Neo-liberalism: Research Policies and Society. The Case of Japan

2013 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 58-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alain-Marc Rieu
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Social Systems ◽  
Qualitative Change ◽  
Economic Systems ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Science And Technology Policies ◽  
Systemic Crisis ◽  
Technology Policies ◽  
Industrial Societies

The idea of decoupling is playing a major role in various interpretations of the present systemic crisis. This crisis is understood as an effect of neo-liberal policies, which have revolutionized economic systems since the 1980s. Decoupling indicates a qualitative change in the level of autonomy of the economic sphere in industrial societies. But a new level of differentiation also generates various types of recoupling, new forms of integration, cooperation and regulation recomposing social systems at another level. The goal of this article is first to situate the idea of decoupling within its conceptual complex. Secondly, the ecological constraint is considered the source of this intense differentiation within social systems, which has intensified since the 1970s. Finally, based on the case of Japan, this paper explains why large-scale science and technology policies developed since the 1990s have to be understood as part of a recoupling process, a project to reconstruct and reach a social and economic coherence in the long term. Similar policies are now implemented by all major industrial nations. Such policies have the potential to overcome neo-liberalism's negative effects.

scholarly journals Epidemic Activity of Natural Tularemia Foci in the Territory of the Russian Federation in 2018 and Forecast of the Situation for 2019

2019 ◽  
pp. 32-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Yu. Kudryavtseva ◽  
V. P. Popov ◽  
A. N. Mokrievich ◽  
N. D. Pakskina ◽  
A. V. Kholin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Russian Federation ◽  
Far East ◽  
Human Infection ◽  
Control Center ◽  
The North ◽  
Federal Districts ◽  
Preventive Vaccination ◽  
Sporadic Cases ◽  
The Russian Federation ◽  
Statistical Survey

Objective of the study – assessment of epizootic and epidemic situation on tularemia in 2018 and forecasting the risk of infection in the territory of the Russian Federation in 2019. Analysis of epidemiological situation was carried out on the basis of the data from monitoring activities performed by the Rospotrebnadzor institutions and the data contained in the reports of the Irkutsk Research Anti-Plague Institute of Siberia and Far East, Plague Control Center, Federal Center of Hygiene and Epidemiology, as well as federal statistical survey forms No 5 “Information on preventive vaccination” and No 2 “Information on infectious and parasitic  diseases” over the period of January-December 2018 in eight Federal Districts including 85 constituent entities. Given are the retrospective data on tularemia epidemic situation in the territory of the Russian Federation over the past decade. 1944 human tularemia cases were registered in Russia between 2009 and 2018, 1005 out of which occurred during epidemic outbreak in 2013 in Khanty-Manssiysk Autonomous Region. High sporadic and small cluster incidence was mainly observed in the territories of the North-estern and Siberian Federal Districts over the recent years. In 2018, 71 cases of human infection with tularemia agent were reported. Epizootic manifestations of varying degree of intensity were detected in 52 entities of Russia. Against that background, sporadic cases of human infection were registered in 19 regions of the country. For three years epidemic complications expressed to the maximum were observed in the Omsk Region – 18 cases of tularemia infection, and Karelia – 14 cases, respectively. 15 Francisella tularensis cultures were isolated from ambient  environment objects in Pskov, Leningrad Regions, Altai Territory, Republics of Altai and Tuva. Conclusions have been drawn in relation to the regions where epidemic complications associated with tularemia are most likely to emerge in 2019. 

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