scholarly journals Optimistic Prediction Model for the COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic Based on the Reported Data Analysis

Author(s):  
Khalid Aloufi

The world is facing new challenges every day; however, with the spread of the pandemic around the world, this new challenge is different. The pandemic is increasing and concentrating various challenges simultaneously. Although different sectors are facing consequences, the most important sectors, that is, health and economy are the most affected. When the pandemic began, it was not known how long it would last, which complicated health and economic planning. Therefore, it is important for decision makers and the public to know the predictions and expectations of the future of these challenges. In this work, the current situation is analyzed. Then, an expectation model is developed based on the statistics of the pandemic using a growth rate model based on an exponential and logarithmic rate of increase. Based on the available open data about the pandemic spread, the model can successfully predict future expectations, including the duration and maximum number of cases of the pandemic. The model uses the equilibrium point as the day the cases decrease. The model can be used for planning and the development of strategies to overcome these challenges.

Author(s):  
Khalid Aloufi

The world is facing new challenges every day. however, with the pandemic spread over the world, a new challenge is different. The pandemic challenge is taking all the challenges to concentrate and increase in one time. Although different sectors are facing consequences, the most important sectors, health and economy are the most affected. When the pandemic start, it is not known when it will last for different health and economic planning. Therefore, it is very important for decision makers and the public to know the prediction and expectations of the future of these challenges to successfully goes over it. In this work, the current situation is analyzed. Then, an expectation model is developed based on the statistics of the pandemic using a growth rate model based on the exponential and logarithmic increase rate. Based on the available open data about the pandemic spread, the model successfully can predict the future expectations. The model expects the time and the maximum number of cases of the pandemic. The model uses the equilibrium point as the day the of cases decreases. The model can be used for planning and development of strategies to overcome the challenges.


Water Policy ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 1145-1160 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Edson Espíndola Gonçalo ◽  
Danielle Costa Morais

AbstractThe world is facing a growing water scarcity problem in the most diverse regions. The Rio Grande do Norte (RN), a Brazilian semi-arid region, is facing its severest drought in the last 100 years. Given this context, managing water resources and combating the effects of the drought have become even more important. Decisions made in this context may involve multiple criteria established by more than one decision-maker. To tackle this issue, a multicriteria model for group decisions is proposed in order to rank the municipalities of the region and thus guide the public administration's efforts in tackling the drought and mitigating its effects. The applicability of the model is exemplified by studying the Apodi-Mossoró river basin, for which the PROMETHEE GDSS method was selected and the preferences of three decision-makers were calculated.


Author(s):  
Valentinus Roby Hananto ◽  
I Gusti Ngurah Alit Widana Putra

In developing countries where population grows rapidly, air pollution has been a serious issue for the public health. Among various pollutants, fine particulate matters (PM2.5) is associated with distinct serious health problems, e.g., asthma, cancer, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. To raise the awareness of the community and decision makers in order to solve the air-pollution problem, the level of the PM2.5 index should be monitored. In this paper, we propose a dashboard system for monitoring air pollution based on PM2.5. A portable device (i.e., Edimax Airbox) was installed inside the building of Stikom Surabaya college to measure the PM2.5 level. The sensors in this device read the PM2.5 level, air temperature, and humidity level, and then it transmits the data to the cloud service. The cloud platform makes the collected data accessible through an open data API that allows our system to interact with the data in the JSON format. The data then was parsed in a web server and visualized in a dashboard system. The dashboard system provides two indicators, the live PM2.5 sensor measurement and the measurement history. The dashboard successfully visualized the indicator of air pollution index, based on PM2.5 standards by WHO and Dinas Kesehatan Indonesia (the Indonesian Department of Health).  Within seven days of the study, PM2.5 level reaches the maximum value of 65 µg/m3 with the average value of 39.36 µg/m3 on July 8, 2018. This is an alarming rate given that the indoor average level threshold of PM2.5 by WHO is 25 µg/m3.


1976 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-26 ◽  
Author(s):  

My contribution to the crusade for the perpetuation of all life on Earth, indeed for the very tools for survival if the situation becomes more critical, has been the opportunity to put the case for conservation of Nature and natural resources over to the public in general, and also to present it to the great decision-makers of our time—the men and women who have such mighty power for good or evil, and on whose vision and actions the future of Man depends. I have been able to do this because of the dedicated support I have received from my colleagues in the World Wildlife Fund (WWF), and from our sister organization and scientific adviser, the International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources (IUCN), all working in close partnership.


Author(s):  
Felix Krause

The world of global politics is composed of complex, interrelated and events. To obtain information, to form an opinion and to react to recent developments, policy makers as well as the public depend on news media. Decisions in the field of global politics, therefore, are based on perceptions and beliefs rather than on objective assessments. The following study takes the example of the German print media, analysing the German perception of Russia and Ukraine within the context of the ongoing Ukraine conflict. The current political development in Ukraine is complex, driven by geopolitical, economical and ideological factors. A mediation of these events by news media therefore requires a drastic reduction of complexity to inform readers and decision-makers on developments in this region. Through examination of conceptual metaphors used in the representation of the conflict, this study seeks to better understand how the two main state actors are comprehended and portrayed in German media discourse.


Author(s):  
Sharadini Rath

Defining ‘open data’ to mean insights from accessible data becoming available to elected decision makers within governance as structured inputs, this paper sets out the status in India in a study done in 2008-10 in the case of Madhubani district in the state of Bihar for district economic planning. The paper demonstrates that a large amount of accessible data can generate highly structured inputs, such as village level digital maps and comparative analysis to set out sectoral, temporal and geographical dimensions of the changes in the local economy. It also identifies disconnects within institutional and political functioning of governance that impedes such opening of data to structured decision making in local governance.


2014 ◽  
Vol 67 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Naemah Hamzah ◽  
Mohd Ismail Mustari ◽  
Bushrah Basiron

The world today witnesses a significant increase in the needs of women engagement in the workforce, particularly in successful economic transformation of the country. Women today are not only seen as a support group, but also as decision makers; in line with the government’s aspiration. Thus, women today need the right inspiration based on Sharia in achieving success in their careers and households. Data were collected through qualitative design using in-depth interviews of women working JUSA (VK7) in the public sector and document analysis involves fiqh books, journals, papers and documents of the study participants as data support. Interview support data also includes the interviews of husbands, children, employers and colleagues to create a triangulation of data. The findings were analysed using Nvivo 7.0. This research has produced models of supporting factors in the success of career women and homemakers that involves skills that is essential and individual supporting factors.


Data & Policy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefaan G. Verhulst

Abstract Data and data science offer tremendous potential to address some of our most intractable public problems (including the Covid-19 pandemic). At the same time, recent years have shown some of the risks of existing and emerging technologies. An updated framework is required to balance potential and risk, and to ensure that data is used responsibly. Data responsibility is not itself a new concept. However, amid a rapidly changing technology landscape, it has become increasingly clear that the concept may need updating, in order to keep up with new trends such as big data, open data, the Internet of things, and artificial intelligence, and machine learning. This paper seeks to outline 10 approaches and innovations for data responsibility in the 21st century. The 10 emerging concepts we have identified include: End-to-end data responsibility Decision provenance Professionalizing data stewardship From data science to question science Contextual consent Responsibility by design Data asymmetries and data collaboratives Personally identifiable inference Group privacy Data assemblies Each of these is described at greater length in the paper, and illustrated with examples from around the world. Put together, they add up to a framework or outline for policy makers, scholars, and activists who seek to harness the potential of data to solve complex social problems and advance the public good. Needless to say, the 10 approaches outlined here represent just a start. We envision this paper more as an exercise in agenda-setting than a comprehensive survey.


2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 227-252
Author(s):  
Deborah Solomon

This essay draws attention to the surprising lack of scholarship on the staging of garden scenes in Shakespeare's oeuvre. In particular, it explores how garden scenes promote collaborative acts of audience agency and present new renditions of the familiar early modern contrast between the public and the private. Too often the mention of Shakespeare's gardens calls to mind literal rather than literary interpretations: the work of garden enthusiasts like Henry Ellacombe, Eleanour Sinclair Rohde, and Caroline Spurgeon, who present their copious gatherings of plant and flower references as proof that Shakespeare was a garden lover, or the many “Shakespeare Gardens” around the world, bringing to life such lists of plant references. This essay instead seeks to locate Shakespeare's garden imagery within a literary tradition more complex than these literalizations of Shakespeare's “flowers” would suggest. To stage a garden during the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries signified much more than a personal affinity for the green world; it served as a way of engaging time-honored literary comparisons between poetic forms, methods of audience interaction, and types of media. Through its metaphoric evocation of the commonplace tradition, in which flowers double as textual cuttings to be picked, revised, judged, and displayed, the staged garden offered a way to dramatize the tensions produced by creative practices involving collaborative composition and audience agency.


Author(s):  
Muhammad Idrees Ahmad

The Road to Iraq is an empirical investigation that explains the causes of the Iraq War, identifies its main agents, and demonstrates how the war was sold to decision makers and by decision makers to the public. It shows how a small but ideologically coherent and socially cohesive group of determined political agents used the contingency of 9/11 to outflank a sceptical foreign policy establishment, military brass and intelligence apparatus and provoked a war that has had disastrous consequences.


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