scholarly journals KETANGGUHAN APBN DALAM PEMBAYARAN UTANG

2011 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Haryo Kuncoro
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Theoretical Background ◽  
Fiscal Sustainability ◽  
Government Budget ◽  
Quarterly Data ◽  
Excess Burden ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
The Government

This paper is designed to analyze the sustainability of the central government budget in the case of Indonesia over the period of 1999-2009. First, we explore the theoretical background of the fiscal sustainability. Second, we develop a model to capture some factors determining the fiscal sustainability. Unlike the previous studies, we use both domestic debt and foreign debt to assess the fiscal solvency. Finally, we estimate it empirically.Based on the quarterly data analysis, we concluded that the government budget is unsustainable. This is associated with domestic debt rather than foreign debt. They imply that the central government should manage the debts carefully including re-profile, re-schedule, and re-structure them in order to spread the excess burden in the future. Also, the fiscal risks should be calculated comprehensively in order to maintain solvency.Keywords: Domestic debt, Foreign debt, Fiscal sustainability, Primary balanceJEL Classification: E62, H63

scholarly journals THE SUSTAINABILITY OF STATE BUDGET IN DEBT REPAYMENT

2011 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 415-434
Author(s):  
Haryo Kuncoro
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Theoretical Background ◽  
Fiscal Sustainability ◽  
Government Budget ◽  
State Budget ◽  
Quarterly Data ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
The Government

This paper is designed to analyze the sustainability of the central government budget in the case of Indonesia over the period of 1999-2009. First, we explore the theoretical background of the fiscal sustainability. Second, we develop a model to capture some factors determining the fiscal sustainability. Unlike the previous studies, we use both domestic debt and foreign debt to assess the fiscal solvency. Finally, we estimate it empirically. Based on the quarterly data analysis, we concluded that the government budget is unsustainable. This is associated with domestic debt rather than foreign debt. They imply that the central government should manage the debts carefully including re-profile, re-schedule, and re-structure them in order to spread the excess burden in the future. Also, the fiscal risks should be calculated comprehensively in order to maintain solvency.Keywords: Domestic debt, Foreign debt, Fiscal sustainability, Primary balanceJEL Clasbsification: E62, H63

scholarly journals THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES ON FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY IN INDONESIA, PERIOD 2004Q1-2018Q4

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 61
Author(s):  
Muhammad Latif Abdullah ◽  
FNU Sunaryati
Keyword(s):  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Fiscal Sustainability ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Government Budget ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Government Budget Deficit

Abstract Fiscal sustainability illustrates the condition of a healthy government budget which can finance government spending without increasing debt supply. The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of macroeconomic variables on fiscal sustainability which in this study fiscal sustainability is proxied as a government budget deficit. The data used in this study is the 2004Q1-2018Q4 time series data using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The results showed that fiscal conditions in Indonesia are sustainable and macroeconomic variables such as domestic debt andinflation has a positive effect on increasing the government budget deficit. Whereas the variable state revenues and foreign debt negatively affect the government budget deficit.Keywords : Fiscal Sustainability, Government Budget Deficit, Domestic Debt, Foreign Debt.

scholarly journals Afghanistan: Balancing Social and Security Spending in the Context of a Shrinking Resource Envelope

2014 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 165-197 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aqib Aslam ◽  
Enrico Berkes ◽  
Martin Fukac ◽  
Jeta Menkulasi ◽  
Axel Schimmelpfennig
Keyword(s):  
Central Government ◽  
Fiscal Sustainability ◽  
Growth Potential ◽  
Medium Term ◽  
Public Finances ◽  
Donor Support ◽  
Macroeconomic Impact ◽  
Strategic Policy ◽  
Near Term ◽  
The Government

For Afghanistan, the dual prospect of declining donor support and high ongoing security spending over the medium term keeps its government budget tight. This paper uses a general equilibrium model to capture the security–development trade-off facing the government in its effort to rehabilitate growth and fiscal sustainability. In particular, it considers strategic policy options for counteracting and minimizing the negative macroeconomic impact of possible aid and revenue shortfalls. We find that the mobilization of domestic revenues through changes in tax policy is the preferred policy response for the Afghan central government. Such a response helps to place its finances on a sustainable path in the near term and preserve most of the growth potential. Cutting expenditures balances public finances but causes the economy to permanently shrink. Debt financing helps to preserve much of the economy size but can quickly put the sustainability of public finances at risk.

scholarly journals Pembiayaan Defisit dengan Utang dan Ketahanan Fiskal di Indonesia

The Winners ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 127
Author(s):  
La Ode Suriadi
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Multiple Regression Model ◽  
Fiscal Sustainability ◽  
Debt Ratio ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
Domestic Debt ◽  
Deficit Financing ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Primary Surplus

The focus of this study is to analyze the fiscal sustainability in Indonesia. To achieve these objectives, multiple regression model was constructed by the method of ordinary least squares (OLS). This model modified of the model of Buiter, Cudington, and Din. H.T. Data were collected from various sources such as the World Bank, Asian Development Bank, Bank of Indonesia, the Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Indonesia and the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics. The data are in the form of time series from 1980 - 2011. The results indicated that the budget deficit financing via debt (both foreign debt and domestic debt) still maintaining fiscal sustainability. This indication is seen from the change in value of the primary surplus that causes the debt ratio has decreased. Besides debt financing (both foreign debt and domestic debt) does not significantly causes the debt ratio increases.

scholarly journals Improving the Estimation Efficiency of Jordanian Central Government Budget Depending on Information Based on Final Account Statement-Field Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 201
Author(s):  
Hamdan Moh’D Al–Hiyasat
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Descriptive Statistics ◽  
Response Ratio ◽  
Government Budget ◽  
Estimation Efficiency ◽  
Statistical Program ◽  
Ministry Of Finance ◽  
The Government ◽  
One Way Anova

This study aims at improving the estimation efficiency of Jordanian central government budget depending on information based on final account statement. To achieve the aims of the study, a questionnaire was designed and handed to administrative and financial jobs in addition to workers as budget analyst workers among the study society consisting of the Ministry of Finance represented in general budget department as it is the responsible part of making the general budget for the government due to law number (58) for the year (2008). The researcher distributed (94) questionnaires to the members of the study sample, (63) have been regained that are valid to statistical analysis aims with a response ratio (%67.02). Also, the statistical program of social science (SPSS) represented in descriptive statistics and (One Sample T-Test), (One Way ANOVA) and (Reliability Analysis Alpha) were used to describe and analyze the study variables and testing its hypotheses. The study occludes that it is possible to improve Jordanian the estimation efficiency of central government budget depending on information based on final account statement, with a high relative degree of importance. In light of this, the researcher recommends the necessity of depending greatly the central government on final account statement information showing among the recommendations depending greatly on final account statement justifications in improving Jordanian central government budget estimation.

Wage and Earnings from Participation in MGNREGA Works in Jharkhand

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 20-53
Author(s):  
Anupam Sarkar ◽  
Jechonia Islary
Keyword(s):  
Central Government ◽  
Recent Trend ◽  
Income Generation ◽  
Public Employment ◽  
Government Budget ◽  
Rural Employment ◽  
The Core ◽  
The Government ◽  
Public Money ◽  
Employment Guarantee

Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (2005) is regarded as largest public employment programme in the world. As per the official parlance MGNREGA belongs to the core of core programmes of Government of India. Majority of participants of MGNREGA are poor and vulnerable sections of the society. ₹480 billion has been allocated for the programme in Central government budget in 2017–18. However, in recent years there are criticisms on the government to weaken and dilute the key features of the programme to the detriment of the interest of poor labourers. On the other hand many see the programme as unnecessary drag on public money. In this context this article aims to study recent trend and patterns of participation, employment and income generation from MGNREGA among casual labourers in Jharkhand which happens to be one of poor and tribal dominated states of India.

scholarly journals Implementasi Kurikulum 2013 dalam Pembelajaran Sejarah di Sekolah Menengah Atas Negeri 106 Jakarta Timur

Tsaqofah ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 16
Author(s):  
Febta Pratama ◽  
Arief Hidayat
Keyword(s):  
Qualitative Research ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
School Readiness ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Learning Tools ◽  
Data Display ◽  
Technical Data ◽  
Three Stages ◽  
The Government

SMA Negeri 106 Jakarta is a school designated by the government as the first school to implement the 2013 curriculum. This study aims to see and describe the implementation of the 2013 curriculum in learning, how the form of acceptance, school readiness, and the obstacles faced in implementing the curriculum. This research uses qualitative research methods, with a case study in the school of SMAN 106 Jakarta. Data analysis was carried out by technical data analysis according to Miles and Hubberman with three stages, namely data reduction, data display, and data verification. The results show that the 2013 curriculum has been implemented since the beginning at SMAN 106 Jakarta. History subjects are among the subjects that first apply the 2013 curriculum in the learning process. The learning methods taught have used the Scientific and Discovery methods. The implementation of the 2013 curriculum can be seen in the learning tools that are in accordance with the provisions of the central government. The obstacles faced in implementing the 2013 curriculum are technical constraints related to learning resources and facilities and infrastructure.

Rwanda: Lessons from Applied Intergovernmental Fiscal Equalization Formula

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 101-109
Author(s):  
Ludovick Leon Shirima
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Service Delivery ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Modern World ◽  
Budget Support ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Government ◽  
Support Fund ◽  
The Mathematical Model

It is a well-known fact that budgetary allocations need to be based on a just formula for balanced service delivery in the modern world. This paper describes the intergovernmental formula designed for Rwanda in 2003 to allocate grants from the central to local governments (LGs). First, the previous criterion, the Local Authority Budget Support Fund, was reviewed. This was followed by a literature review and field visits. Finally, the specifications of the mathematical model are described, followed by the proxy selection, data analysis, econometric evaluation, and estimations used in the study. In 2003, data analysis revealed that LGs had low fiscal capacities and ubiquitous fiscal needs. These were proxied by mean own source revenues and expenditure needs, respectively, in the proposed formula. The difference between the two was taken as the mean fiscal gap. This formula corrected the inherent weaknesses in the previous transfer system. It proposed weighting parameters to determine subnational transfer entitlements. Additionally, it constructed and applied welfare poverty and fiscal gap indices that captured the behavior of LGs in terms of wellbeing, fiscal needs, and revenue capacity for the first time in Rwanda. The study recommendations were entirely adopted by the government. The formula was used to allocate unconditional grants from the central government to LGs to improve service delivery and reduce poverty. The study also highlights that any successful transfer formula design depends on how the following are determined—the transfer pool, weights, proposed variables, and proxy indices—and how they enter the model.

scholarly journals Analisis Konsistensi Perencanaan dan Penganggaran Urusan Pendidikan di Kota Solok Tahun 2016-2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 31
Author(s):  
Sridarnilawati Sridarnilawati ◽  
Suhairi Suhairi ◽  
Vima Tista Putriana
Keyword(s):  
Local Government ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Primary Data ◽  
Regional Government ◽  
Government Budget ◽  
Regional Performance ◽  
The Government ◽  
The City

The preparation of planning and budgeting documents greatly contributes to the achievement of regional performance. Consistency in planning and budgeting is an indicator in assessing the performance of local governments. The object of this research is educational affairs. Education affairs are given top priority for the local government of Kota Solok. It is intended that the budget for education affairs reaches more than 20% of the total regional expenditure budget. Types of data are secondary data and primary data. Secondary data are RPJMD, RKPD, KUA, PPAS and APBD and LAKIP while primary data is neglecting to interview members of the Regional Government Budget Team (TAPD), BAPPEDA and OPD who are responsible for Educational Affairs. Assessment of the consistency of planning and budgeting uses the Planning and Budgeting Consolidated Matrix (MKPP) and the causes of inconsistency are interviews with informants who understand and know this. The results of this research consistency of planning and budgeting for educational affairs is very good. The causes of inconsistency in planning and budgeting documents are that the proposed Special Allocation Fund (DAK) was not approved by the Central Government, the intervention of the Government and Members of the Council, the existence of regulations from the Central Government. Analysis of the achievement of the performance of education affairs in the City of Solok shows that in general the achievement of the indicators of education affairs has not been achieved because the achievement of indicators according to each year is.

scholarly journals Analysis of Local Government Implementation Report Model (LPPD) in North Bolaang Mongondow Regency, North Sulawesi Province

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (5) ◽  
pp. 19-23
Author(s):  
Siske Anani ◽  
Imam Mashudi ◽  
Dini Ariyasanti
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Local Government ◽  
Government Regulation ◽  
Central Government ◽  
Main Role ◽  
Regional Government ◽  
Literature Study ◽  
Government Administration ◽  
North Sulawesi ◽  
The Government

This study raised the title of the Analysis of Local Government Implementation Report (LPPD) in Bolaang Mongondow Utara Regency, North Sulawesi Province. The data collection technique was done by interviewing and literature study. The data analysis technique used is the Miles and Huberman model, namely data analysis which is carried out directly and continuously until it is complete, so that the data is saturated. Based on the results of the data research and analysis process carried out, it can be explained that in Article 16 of Government Regulation Number 6 of 2009 which is the implementation of Article 6 paragraph (3) of Law Number 32 of 2004 concerning Guidelines for the Evaluation of Regional Government Administration, it is stated that the source of information The main role in implementing the Implications of the Performance Evaluation of Regional Government Administration (EKPPD) is the Regional Government Implementation Report (LPPD). The LPPD itself, as stated in Law Number 32 Year 2005, states that regional heads are required to submit a Regional Government Administration Report (LPPD) to the central government. The scope of the LPPD is divided into matters of decentralization, general duties, and assistance tasks. This is stated in article 2 PP No. 3 of 2007 which contains the LPPD to the government, information on the LPPD to the public, reports on the accountability of the Regional Head to the Regional People's Representative Council (DPRD).

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