AI-Based Well Ranking System for Hydraulic Fracturing Events

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrei Erofeev ◽  
Denis Orlov ◽  
Dmitry Perets ◽  
Dmitry Koroteev
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Hydraulic Fracturing ◽  
Oil Field ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Ranking System ◽  
Stable Regime ◽  
Flow Stabilization ◽  
Cumulative Production ◽  
Mean Square Errors

Abstract We are presenting a new, highly intelligent AI-based ranking system for selecting the most appropriate candidates for well treatment. The system is trained to predict flow rates after hydraulic fracturing (HF) and rank wells by the expected effect of the event with machine learning techniques. We demonstrate a significant effort for preprocessing the available field data to create a dataset for training machine learning (ML) models. The dataset included information about geology, transport and storage properties, depths, oil/liquid rates before fracturing for target and neighboring wells. Each ML model has been trained to predict monthly production of oil and liquid right after fracturing and after flow stabilization. Also, confidence intervals of the prediction have been provided. To study the dynamics of future oil rate decline after HF on a stable regime, we have trained several regression models to make predictions at each future point (6 next months after fracturing). To estimate the effect due to HF, we defined expected production "without fracturing." Typically, wells behave with a stable decline trend of production that is approximated by Arps function. The function is defined before HF, then extrapolated to the period after the event where it shows expected production without fracturing. One may conclude about the effectiveness of HF by calculating areas difference under the extrapolated curve (cumulative production without HF), and ML predicted cumulative production for future six months. Reservoir engineers could calculate these differences for each well and create a ranking list from the highest effect to the lowest. The developed system does this automatically for the required oilfield or its part. Therefore, one may easily define the list of best candidates for HF. Gradient Boosting algorithm has been applied to obtain results. Feature selection and tuning of hyperparameters have been provided with the application of cross-validation technique. To test the developed approach, we have divided the dataset from 8 conventional oil fields at a ratio of four to one. The total dataset included 700+ well interventions. Then we have trained and validated models for flow rate prediction on the major part and tested on the holdout part. For different oil field determination coefficients (R2) and normalized root mean square errors (n-RMSE) for oil rate predictions were around R2=0.8 and n-RMSE=0.35 correspondently. The proposed technique is a new approach for fast, accurate, and objective selection of the candidates for hydraulic fracturing based on real-time state of a field. Such AI-based system could become very handy assistant for reservoir engineer in addition to hydraulic fracturing and hydrodynamic simulators. The presented solution computationally efficient and does not require detailed information about HF design.

scholarly journals Machine learning models to identify low adherence to influenza vaccination among Korean adults with cardiovascular disease

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Moojung Kim ◽  
Young Jae Kim ◽  
Sung Jin Park ◽  
Kwang Gi Kim ◽  
Pyung Chun Oh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Influenza Vaccination ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Age Group ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Abstract Background Annual influenza vaccination is an important public health measure to prevent influenza infections and is strongly recommended for cardiovascular disease (CVD) patients, especially in the current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. The aim of this study is to develop a machine learning model to identify Korean adult CVD patients with low adherence to influenza vaccination Methods Adults with CVD (n = 815) from a nationally representative dataset of the Fifth Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES V) were analyzed. Among these adults, 500 (61.4%) had answered "yes" to whether they had received seasonal influenza vaccinations in the past 12 months. The classification process was performed using the logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) machine learning techniques. Because the Ministry of Health and Welfare in Korea offers free influenza immunization for the elderly, separate models were developed for the < 65 and ≥ 65 age groups. Results The accuracy of machine learning models using 16 variables as predictors of low influenza vaccination adherence was compared; for the ≥ 65 age group, XGB (84.7%) and RF (84.7%) have the best accuracies, followed by LR (82.7%) and SVM (77.6%). For the < 65 age group, SVM has the best accuracy (68.4%), followed by RF (64.9%), LR (63.2%), and XGB (61.4%). Conclusions The machine leaning models show comparable performance in classifying adult CVD patients with low adherence to influenza vaccination.

scholarly journals Feasibility of Machine Learning Algorithms for Predicting the Deformation of Anodic Titanium Films by Modulating Anodization Processes

Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 1089
Author(s):  
Sung-Hee Kim ◽  
Chanyoung Jeong
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Multiclass Classification ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Smart Manufacturing ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Experimental Conditions ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Tio2 Nanostructures

This study aims to demonstrate the feasibility of applying eight machine learning algorithms to predict the classification of the surface characteristics of titanium oxide (TiO2) nanostructures with different anodization processes. We produced a total of 100 samples, and we assessed changes in TiO2 nanostructures’ thicknesses by performing anodization. We successfully grew TiO2 films with different thicknesses by one-step anodization in ethylene glycol containing NH4F and H2O at applied voltage differences ranging from 10 V to 100 V at various anodization durations. We found that the thicknesses of TiO2 nanostructures are dependent on anodization voltages under time differences. Therefore, we tested the feasibility of applying machine learning algorithms to predict the deformation of TiO2. As the characteristics of TiO2 changed based on the different experimental conditions, we classified its surface pore structure into two categories and four groups. For the classification based on granularity, we assessed layer creation, roughness, pore creation, and pore height. We applied eight machine learning techniques to predict classification for binary and multiclass classification. For binary classification, random forest and gradient boosting algorithm had relatively high performance. However, all eight algorithms had scores higher than 0.93, which signifies high prediction on estimating the presence of pore. In contrast, decision tree and three ensemble methods had a relatively higher performance for multiclass classification, with an accuracy rate greater than 0.79. The weakest algorithm used was k-nearest neighbors for both binary and multiclass classifications. We believe that these results show that we can apply machine learning techniques to predict surface quality improvement, leading to smart manufacturing technology to better control color appearance, super-hydrophobicity, super-hydrophilicity or batter efficiency.

scholarly journals Predictors of outpatients’ no-show: big data analytics using apache spark

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tahani Daghistani ◽  
Huda AlGhamdi ◽  
Riyad Alshammari ◽  
Raed H. AlHazme
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Big Data ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Big Data Analytics ◽  
Quality Of Healthcare ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Healthcare Organizations ◽  
Data Framework ◽  
Learning Techniques

AbstractOutpatients who fail to attend their appointments have a negative impact on the healthcare outcome. Thus, healthcare organizations facing new opportunities, one of them is to improve the quality of healthcare. The main challenges is predictive analysis using techniques capable of handle the huge data generated. We propose a big data framework for identifying subject outpatients’ no-show via feature engineering and machine learning (MLlib) in the Spark platform. This study evaluates the performance of five machine learning techniques, using the (2,011,813‬) outpatients’ visits data. Conducting several experiments and using different validation methods, the Gradient Boosting (GB) performed best, resulting in an increase of accuracy and ROC to 79% and 81%, respectively. In addition, we showed that exploring and evaluating the performance of the machine learning models using various evaluation methods is critical as the accuracy of prediction can significantly differ. The aim of this paper is exploring factors that affect no-show rate and can be used to formulate predictions using big data machine learning techniques.

scholarly journals Learning from Imbalanced Educational Data Using Ensemble Machine Learning Algorithms

Webology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (Special Issue 01) ◽  
pp. 183-195
Author(s):  
Thingbaijam Lenin ◽  
N. Chandrasekaran
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Missing Values ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Adaptive Boosting ◽  
Stochastic Gradient Boosting ◽  
Ensemble Machine Learning ◽  
Learning Techniques ◽  
Student’S Performance

Student’s academic performance is one of the most important parameters for evaluating the standard of any institute. It has become a paramount importance for any institute to identify the student at risk of underperforming or failing or even drop out from the course. Machine Learning techniques may be used to develop a model for predicting student’s performance as early as at the time of admission. The task however is challenging as the educational data required to explore for modelling are usually imbalanced. We explore ensemble machine learning techniques namely bagging algorithm like random forest (rf) and boosting algorithms like adaptive boosting (adaboost), stochastic gradient boosting (gbm), extreme gradient boosting (xgbTree) in an attempt to develop a model for predicting the student’s performance of a private university at Meghalaya using three categories of data namely demographic, prior academic record, personality. The collected data are found to be highly imbalanced and also consists of missing values. We employ k-nearest neighbor (knn) data imputation technique to tackle the missing values. The models are developed on the imputed data with 10 fold cross validation technique and are evaluated using precision, specificity, recall, kappa metrics. As the data are imbalanced, we avoid using accuracy as the metrics of evaluating the model and instead use balanced accuracy and F-score. We compare the ensemble technique with single classifier C4.5. The best result is provided by random forest and adaboost with F-score of 66.67%, balanced accuracy of 75%, and accuracy of 96.94%.

scholarly journals Predictive models for stage and risk classification in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC)

PeerJ ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. e9656
Author(s):  
Sugandh Kumar ◽  
Srinivas Patnaik ◽  
Anshuman Dixit
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Expression Profiles ◽  
Disease Process ◽  
Penalized Regression ◽  
Functional Enrichment ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Sequencing Data ◽  
Therapeutic Modalities

Machine learning techniques are increasingly used in the analysis of high throughput genome sequencing data to better understand the disease process and design of therapeutic modalities. In the current study, we have applied state of the art machine learning (ML) algorithms (Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine Radial Kernel (svmR), Adaptive Boost (AdaBoost), averaged Neural Network (avNNet), and Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM)) to stratify the HNSCC patients in early and late clinical stages (TNM) and to predict the risk using miRNAs expression profiles. A six miRNA signature was identified that can stratify patients in the early and late stages. The mean accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) was found to be 0.84, 0.87, 0.78, and 0.82, respectively indicating the robust performance of the generated model. The prognostic signature of eight miRNAs was identified using LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) penalized regression. These miRNAs were found to be significantly associated with overall survival of the patients. The pathway and functional enrichment analysis of the identified biomarkers revealed their involvement in important cancer pathways such as GP6 signalling, Wnt signalling, p53 signalling, granulocyte adhesion, and dipedesis. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first such study and we hope that these signature miRNAs will be useful for the risk stratification of patients and the design of therapeutic modalities.

scholarly journals Understanding Multi-Vehicle Collision Patterns on Freeways—A Machine Learning Approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (8) ◽  
pp. 62
Author(s):  
Clint Morris ◽  
Jidong J. Yang
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Statistical Methods ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Crash Analysis ◽  
Suitable Alternative ◽  
Crash Data ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Modern Machine

Generating meaningful inferences from crash data is vital to improving highway safety. Classic statistical methods are fundamental to crash data analysis and often regarded for their interpretability. However, given the complexity of crash mechanisms and associated heterogeneity, classic statistical methods, which lack versatility, might not be sufficient for granular crash analysis because of the high dimensional features involved in crash-related data. In contrast, machine learning approaches, which are more flexible in structure and capable of harnessing richer data sources available today, emerges as a suitable alternative. With the aid of new methods for model interpretation, the complex machine learning models, previously considered enigmatic, can be properly interpreted. In this study, two modern machine learning techniques, Linear Discriminate Analysis and eXtreme Gradient Boosting, were explored to classify three major types of multi-vehicle crashes (i.e., rear-end, same-direction sideswipe, and angle) occurred on Interstate 285 in Georgia. The study demonstrated the utility and versatility of modern machine learning methods in the context of crash analysis, particularly in understanding the potential features underlying different crash patterns on freeways.

scholarly journals Estimating Warehouse Rental Price using Machine Learning Techniques

2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 235-250 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yixuan Ma ◽  
Zhenji Zhang ◽  
Alexander Ihler ◽  
Baoxiang Pan
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Logistics Industry ◽  
Real Estate Price ◽  
Learning Techniques

Boosted by the growing logistics industry and digital transformation, the sharing warehouse market is undergoing a rapid development. Both supply and demand sides in the warehouse rental business are faced with market perturbations brought by unprecedented peer competitions and information transparency. A key question faced by the participants is how to price warehouses in the open market. To understand the pricing mechanism, we built a real world warehouse dataset using data collected from the classified advertisements websites. Based on the dataset, we applied machine learning techniques to relate warehouse price with its relevant features, such as warehouse size, location and nearby real estate price. Four candidate models are used here: Linear Regression, Regression Tree, Random Forest Regression and Gradient Boosting Regression Trees. The case study in the Beijing area shows that warehouse rent is closely related to its location and land price. Models considering multiple factors have better skill in estimating warehouse rent, compared to singlefactor estimation. Additionally, tree models have better performance than the linear model, with the best model (Random Forest) achieving correlation coefficient of 0.57 in the test set. Deeper investigation of feature importance illustrates that distance from the city center plays the most important role in determining warehouse price in Beijing, followed by nearby real estate price and warehouse size.

scholarly journals Predicting Forest Fires using Supervised and Ensemble Machine Learning Algorithms

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 3697-3705 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Forest Fires ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Physical Factors

Forest fires have become one of the most frequently occurring disasters in recent years. The effects of forest fires have a lasting impact on the environment as it lead to deforestation and global warming, which is also one of its major cause of occurrence. Forest fires are dealt by collecting the satellite images of forest and if there is any emergency caused by the fires then the authorities are notified to mitigate its effects. By the time the authorities get to know about it, the fires would have already caused a lot of damage. Data mining and machine learning techniques can provide an efficient prevention approach where data associated with forests can be used for predicting the eventuality of forest fires. This paper uses the dataset present in the UCI machine learning repository which consists of physical factors and climatic conditions of the Montesinho park situated in Portugal. Various algorithms like Logistic regression, Support Vector Machine, Random forest, K-Nearest neighbors in addition to Bagging and Boosting predictors are used, both with and without Principal Component Analysis (PCA). Among the models in which PCA was applied, Logistic Regression gave the highest F-1 score of 68.26 and among the models where PCA was absent, Gradient boosting gave the highest score of 68.36.

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