Machine Learning Application for Gas Lift Performance and Well Integrity

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mostafa Sa'eed Yakoot ◽  
Adel Mohamed Salem Ragab ◽  
Omar Mahmoud

Abstract Constructing and maintaining integrity for different types of wells requires accurate assessment of posed risk level, especially when one barrier element or group of barriers fails. Risk assessment and well integrity (WI) categorization is conducted typically using traditional spreadsheets and in-house software that contain their own inherent errors. This is mainly because they are subjected to the understanding and the interpretation of the assigned team to WI data. Because of these limitations, industrial practices involve the collection and analysis of failure data to estimate risk level through certain established probability/likelihood matrices. However, those matrices have become less efficient due to the possible bias in failure data and consequent misleading assessment. The main objective of this work is to utilize machine learning (ML) algorithms to develop a powerful model and predict WI risk category of gas-lifted wells. ML algorithms implemented in this study are; logistic regression, decision trees, random forest, support vector machines, k-nearest neighbors, and gradient boosting algorithms. In addition, those algorithms are used to develop physical equation to predict risk category. Three thousand WI and gas-lift datasets were collected, preprocessed, and fed into the ML model. The newly developed model can predict well risk level and provide a unique methodology to convert associated failure risk of each element in the well envelope into tangible value. This shows the total potential risk and hence the status of well-barrier integrity overall. The implementation of ML can enhance brownfield asset operations, reduce intervention costs, better control WI through the field, improve business performance, and optimize production.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mostafa Sa'eed Yakoot ◽  
Adel Mohamed Salem Ragab ◽  
Omar Mahmoud

Abstract Well integrity has become a crucial field with increased focus and being published intensively in industry researches. It is important to maintain the integrity of the individual well to ensure that wells operate as expected for their designated life (or higher) with all risks kept as low as reasonably practicable, or as specified. Machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) models are used intensively in oil and gas industry nowadays. ML concept is based on powerful algorithms and robust database. Developing an efficient classification model for well integrity (WI) anomalies is now feasible because of having enormous number of well failures and well barrier integrity tests, and analyses in the database. Circa 9000 dataset points were collected from WI tests performed for 800 wells in Gulf of Suez, Egypt for almost 10 years. Moreover, those data have been quality-controlled and quality-assured by experienced engineers. The data contain different forms of WI failures. The contributing parameter set includes a total of 23 barrier elements. Data were structured and fed into 11 different ML algorithms to build an automated systematic tool for calculating imposed risk category of any well. Comparison analysis for the deployed models was performed to infer the best predictive model that can be relied on. 11 models include both supervised and ensemble learning algorithms such as random forest, support vector machine (SVM), decision tree and scalable boosting techniques. Out of 11 models, the results showed that extreme gradient boosting (XGB), categorical boosting (CatBoost), and decision tree are the most reliable algorithms. Moreover, novel evaluation metrics for confusion matrix of each model have been introduced to overcome the problem of existing metrics which don't consider domain knowledge during model evaluation. The innovated model will help to utilize company resources efficiently and dedicate personnel efforts to wells with the high-risk. As a result, progressive improvements on business, safety, environment, and performance of the business. This paper would be a milestone in the design and creation of the Well Integrity Database Management Program through the combination of integrity and ML.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (17) ◽  
pp. 5942 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan de la Torre ◽  
Javier Marin ◽  
Sergio Ilarri ◽  
Jose J. Marin

Given the exponential availability of data in health centers and the massive sensorization that is expected, there is an increasing need to manage and analyze these data in an effective way. For this purpose, data mining (DM) and machine learning (ML) techniques would be helpful. However, due to the specific characteristics of the field of healthcare, a suitable DM and ML methodology adapted to these particularities is required. The applied methodology must structure the different stages needed for data-driven healthcare, from the acquisition of raw data to decision-making by clinicians, considering the specific requirements of this field. In this paper, we focus on a case study of cervical assessment, where the goal is to predict the potential presence of cervical pain in patients affected with whiplash diseases, which is important for example in insurance-related investigations. By analyzing in detail this case study in a real scenario, we show how taking care of those particularities enables the generation of reliable predictive models in the field of healthcare. Using a database of 302 samples, we have generated several predictive models, including logistic regression, support vector machines, k-nearest neighbors, gradient boosting, decision trees, random forest, and neural network algorithms. The results show that it is possible to reliably predict the presence of cervical pain (accuracy, precision, and recall above 90%). We expect that the procedure proposed to apply ML techniques in the field of healthcare will help technologists, researchers, and clinicians to create more objective systems that provide support to objectify the diagnosis, improve test treatment efficacy, and save resources.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Íris Viana dos Santos Santana ◽  
Andressa C. M. da Silveira ◽  
Álvaro Sobrinho ◽  
Lenardo Chaves e Silva ◽  
Leandro Dias da Silva ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND controlling the COVID-19 outbreak in Brazil is considered a challenge of continental proportions due to the high population and urban density, weak implementation and maintenance of social distancing strategies, and limited testing capabilities. OBJECTIVE to contribute to addressing such a challenge, we present the implementation and evaluation of supervised Machine Learning (ML) models to assist the COVID-19 detection in Brazil based on early-stage symptoms. METHODS firstly, we conducted data preprocessing and applied the Chi-squared test in a Brazilian dataset, mainly composed of early-stage symptoms, to perform statistical analyses. Afterward, we implemented ML models using the Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Decision Tree (DT), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithms. We evaluated the ML models using precision, accuracy score, recall, the area under the curve, and the Friedman and Nemenyi tests. Based on the comparison, we grouped the top five ML models and measured feature importance. RESULTS the MLP model presented the highest mean accuracy score, with more than 97.85%, when compared to GBM (> 97.39%), RF (> 97.36%), DT (> 97.07%), XGBoost (> 97.06%), KNN (> 95.14%), and SVM (> 94.27%). Based on the statistical comparison, we grouped MLP, GBM, DT, RF, and XGBoost, as the top five ML models, because the evaluation results are statistically indistinguishable. The ML models` importance of features used during predictions varies from gender, profession, fever, sore throat, dyspnea, olfactory disorder, cough, runny nose, taste disorder, and headache. CONCLUSIONS supervised ML models effectively assist the decision making in medical diagnosis and public administration (e.g., testing strategies), based on early-stage symptoms that do not require advanced and expensive exams.


Author(s):  
Mohamed hanafy ◽  
Omar M. A. Mahmoud

Insurance is a policy that eliminates or decreases loss costs occurred by various risks. Various factors influence the cost of insurance. These considerations contribute to the insurance policy formulation. Machine learning (ML) for the insurance industry sector can make the wording of insurance policies more efficient. This study demonstrates how different models of regression can forecast insurance costs. And we will compare the results of models, for example, Multiple Linear Regression, Generalized Additive Model, Support Vector Machine, Random Forest Regressor, CART, XGBoost, k-Nearest Neighbors, Stochastic Gradient Boosting, and Deep Neural Network. This paper offers the best approach to the Stochastic Gradient Boosting model with an MAE value of 0.17448, RMSE value of 0.38018and R -squared value of 85.8295.


Foods ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 1543
Author(s):  
Fernando Mateo ◽  
Andrea Tarazona ◽  
Eva María Mateo

Unifloral honeys are highly demanded by honey consumers, especially in Europe. To ensure that a honey belongs to a very appreciated botanical class, the classical methodology is palynological analysis to identify and count pollen grains. Highly trained personnel are needed to perform this task, which complicates the characterization of honey botanical origins. Organoleptic assessment of honey by expert personnel helps to confirm such classification. In this study, the ability of different machine learning (ML) algorithms to correctly classify seven types of Spanish honeys of single botanical origins (rosemary, citrus, lavender, sunflower, eucalyptus, heather and forest honeydew) was investigated comparatively. The botanical origin of the samples was ascertained by pollen analysis complemented with organoleptic assessment. Physicochemical parameters such as electrical conductivity, pH, water content, carbohydrates and color of unifloral honeys were used to build the dataset. The following ML algorithms were tested: penalized discriminant analysis (PDA), shrinkage discriminant analysis (SDA), high-dimensional discriminant analysis (HDDA), nearest shrunken centroids (PAM), partial least squares (PLS), C5.0 tree, extremely randomized trees (ET), weighted k-nearest neighbors (KKNN), artificial neural networks (ANN), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM) with linear and radial kernels and extreme gradient boosting trees (XGBoost). The ML models were optimized by repeated 10-fold cross-validation primarily on the basis of log loss or accuracy metrics, and their performance was compared on a test set in order to select the best predicting model. Built models using PDA produced the best results in terms of overall accuracy on the test set. ANN, ET, RF and XGBoost models also provided good results, while SVM proved to be the worst.


Complexity ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 2022 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Nihad Brahimi ◽  
Huaping Zhang ◽  
Lin Dai ◽  
Jianzi Zhang

The car-sharing system is a popular rental model for cars in shared use. It has become particularly attractive due to its flexibility; that is, the car can be rented and returned anywhere within one of the authorized parking slots. The main objective of this research work is to predict the car usage in parking stations and to investigate the factors that help to improve the prediction. Thus, new strategies can be designed to make more cars on the road and fewer in the parking stations. To achieve that, various machine learning models, namely vector autoregression (VAR), support vector regression (SVR), eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), k-nearest neighbors (kNN), and deep learning models specifically long short-time memory (LSTM), gated recurrent unit (GRU), convolutional neural network (CNN), CNN-LSTM, and multilayer perceptron (MLP), were performed on different kinds of features. These features include the past usage levels, Chongqing’s environmental conditions, and temporal information. After comparing the obtained results using different metrics, we found that CNN-LSTM outperformed other methods to predict the future car usage. Meanwhile, the model using all the different feature categories results in the most precise prediction than any of the models using one feature category at a time


2021 ◽  
Vol 118 (49) ◽  
pp. e2108013118
Author(s):  
Ivan Olier ◽  
Oghenejokpeme I. Orhobor ◽  
Tirtharaj Dash ◽  
Andy M. Davis ◽  
Larisa N. Soldatova ◽  
...  

Almost all machine learning (ML) is based on representing examples using intrinsic features. When there are multiple related ML problems (tasks), it is possible to transform these features into extrinsic features by first training ML models on other tasks and letting them each make predictions for each example of the new task, yielding a novel representation. We call this transformational ML (TML). TML is very closely related to, and synergistic with, transfer learning, multitask learning, and stacking. TML is applicable to improving any nonlinear ML method. We tested TML using the most important classes of nonlinear ML: random forests, gradient boosting machines, support vector machines, k-nearest neighbors, and neural networks. To ensure the generality and robustness of the evaluation, we utilized thousands of ML problems from three scientific domains: drug design, predicting gene expression, and ML algorithm selection. We found that TML significantly improved the predictive performance of all the ML methods in all the domains (4 to 50% average improvements) and that TML features generally outperformed intrinsic features. Use of TML also enhances scientific understanding through explainable ML. In drug design, we found that TML provided insight into drug target specificity, the relationships between drugs, and the relationships between target proteins. TML leads to an ecosystem-based approach to ML, where new tasks, examples, predictions, and so on synergistically interact to improve performance. To contribute to this ecosystem, all our data, code, and our ∼50,000 ML models have been fully annotated with metadata, linked, and openly published using Findability, Accessibility, Interoperability, and Reusability principles (∼100 Gbytes).


Author(s):  
Pulung Hendro Prastyo ◽  
I Gede Yudi Paramartha ◽  
Michael S. Moses Pakpahan ◽  
Igi Ardiyanto

Breast cancer is the most common cancer among women (43.3 incidents per 100.000 women), with the highest mortality (14.3 incidents per 100.000 women). Early detection is critical for survival. Using machine learning approaches, the problem can be effectively classified, predicted, and analyzed. In this study, we compared eight machine learning algorithms: Gaussian Naïve Bayes (GNB), k-Nearest Neighbors (K-NN), Support Vector Machine(SVM), Random Forest (RF), AdaBoost, Gradient Boosting (GB), XGBoost, and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP). The experiment is conducted using Breast Cancer Wisconsin datasets, confusion matrix, and 5-folds cross-validation. Experimental results showed that XGBoost provides the best performance. XGBoost obtained accuracy (97,19%), recall (96,75%), precision (97,28%), F1-score (96,99%), and AUC (99,61%). Our result showed that XGBoost is the most effective method to predict breast cancer in the Breast Cancer Wisconsin dataset.


2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (9) ◽  
pp. 662-669 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junnan Zhao ◽  
Lu Zhu ◽  
Weineng Zhou ◽  
Lingfeng Yin ◽  
Yuchen Wang ◽  
...  

Background: Thrombin is the central protease of the vertebrate blood coagulation cascade, which is closely related to cardiovascular diseases. The inhibitory constant Ki is the most significant property of thrombin inhibitors. Method: This study was carried out to predict Ki values of thrombin inhibitors based on a large data set by using machine learning methods. Taking advantage of finding non-intuitive regularities on high-dimensional datasets, machine learning can be used to build effective predictive models. A total of 6554 descriptors for each compound were collected and an efficient descriptor selection method was chosen to find the appropriate descriptors. Four different methods including multiple linear regression (MLR), K Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Gradient Boosting Regression Tree (GBRT) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) were implemented to build prediction models with these selected descriptors. Results: The SVM model was the best one among these methods with R2=0.84, MSE=0.55 for the training set and R2=0.83, MSE=0.56 for the test set. Several validation methods such as yrandomization test and applicability domain evaluation, were adopted to assess the robustness and generalization ability of the model. The final model shows excellent stability and predictive ability and can be employed for rapid estimation of the inhibitory constant, which is full of help for designing novel thrombin inhibitors.


Diagnostics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 574
Author(s):  
Gennaro Tartarisco ◽  
Giovanni Cicceri ◽  
Davide Di Pietro ◽  
Elisa Leonardi ◽  
Stefania Aiello ◽  
...  

In the past two decades, several screening instruments were developed to detect toddlers who may be autistic both in clinical and unselected samples. Among others, the Quantitative CHecklist for Autism in Toddlers (Q-CHAT) is a quantitative and normally distributed measure of autistic traits that demonstrates good psychometric properties in different settings and cultures. Recently, machine learning (ML) has been applied to behavioral science to improve the classification performance of autism screening and diagnostic tools, but mainly in children, adolescents, and adults. In this study, we used ML to investigate the accuracy and reliability of the Q-CHAT in discriminating young autistic children from those without. Five different ML algorithms (random forest (RF), naïve Bayes (NB), support vector machine (SVM), logistic regression (LR), and K-nearest neighbors (KNN)) were applied to investigate the complete set of Q-CHAT items. Our results showed that ML achieved an overall accuracy of 90%, and the SVM was the most effective, being able to classify autism with 95% accuracy. Furthermore, using the SVM–recursive feature elimination (RFE) approach, we selected a subset of 14 items ensuring 91% accuracy, while 83% accuracy was obtained from the 3 best discriminating items in common to ours and the previously reported Q-CHAT-10. This evidence confirms the high performance and cross-cultural validity of the Q-CHAT, and supports the application of ML to create shorter and faster versions of the instrument, maintaining high classification accuracy, to be used as a quick, easy, and high-performance tool in primary-care settings.


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