scholarly journals Detection of expression of microRNAs in serum of loco-regionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients: A potential marker for prognosis prediction of nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy screening

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhimin Zhang ◽  
Ge Wang ◽  
Feng Jin ◽  
Jijun Zheng ◽  
He Xiao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Distant Metastasis ◽  
Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cox Regression Model ◽  
Serum Mirna ◽  
Before And After

Abstract Background Serum miRNA signature has recently been found as potential disease fingerprints to predict survival. Therefore we investigated the role of serum miRNA in predicting prognosis in patients with loco-regionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT). Methods This study included two phases: (i) We enrolled 3 NPC patients with recurrence or distant metastasis (experimental group, EG) and 3 NPC patients in clinical remission (control group, CG), who were treated with CCRT within 5 years. The paired serum was collected before and after treatment and biomarkers were discovered by TaqMan Human MiRNA Arrays. (ii) we used the bioinformatic analysis, marker selection and an independent validation by qRT-PCR to analyse the serums of 29 NPC patients with recurrent disease or distant metastasis and 19 NPC patients treated with CCRT. We used the Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test and Cox regression model to estimate the accuracy of the miRNAs to predict PFS and OS, and identified factors significantly associated with prognosis, respectively. Results Using fold change≥2.0 or ≤0.5 and p≤0.05 as a cutoff level, we identified 1 up-regulated and 9 down-regulated miRNAs, 1 up-regulated and 6 down-regulated miRNAs in EG versus CG before and after CCRT, respectively. After significantly down-regulated miRNA from EG versus CG before and after CCRT were removed, only 9 different miRNAs were significantly reduced. In an independent set of serum samples, the expression of miR-26b, miR-29a and miR-125b showed no significant difference in 48 NPC patients before CCRT. The expression of miR-143 and miR-29b showed no significantly difference between the two groups after CCRT. We calculated a risk score from the expression of miR-26b、miR-29a、miR-125b、miR-29b、miR-143 and then classified patients as with high or low risk. Compared to patients with low-risk score, high-risk patients had shorter PFS and OS. Cox regression model suggested that combining serum miR-29a and miR-125b before CCRT with miR-26b after CCRT was independent prognostic factors for PFS, whereas combining the former two is independent for OS. Conclusions Combined expression of serum miR-29a, miR-125b and miR-26b might provide prognostic value in loco-regionally advanced NPC patients treated with CCRT, especially for high-risk progression patients.

scholarly journals Serum miRNAs, a potential prognosis marker of loco-regionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients treated with CCRT

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhimin Zhang ◽  
Ge Wang ◽  
Feng Jin ◽  
Jijun Zheng ◽  
He Xiao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Distant Metastasis ◽  
Clinical Remission ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Cox Regression Model ◽  
Serum Mirnas ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Before And After

Abstract Background: Serum miRNA was once found as potential disease survival index,thus we investigated the role of miRNA in predicting prognosis in loco-regionally advanced NPC patients treated with CCRT. Methods: This study included two phases: (i) We enrolled 3 NPC patients with recurrence or distant metastasis (experimental group, EG) and 3 NPC patients in clinical remission (control group, CG) , who were treated with CCRT within 5 years.The paired serum was collected before and after treatment and biomarkers were discovered by TaqMan Human MicroRNA Arrays. (ii) we used the bioinformatic analysis, marker selection and an independent validation by qRT-PCR to analyse the serums of 29 NPC patients with recurrent disease or distant metastasis and 19 NPC patients in clinical remission treated with CCRT. We used the Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test and Cox regression model to estimate the accuracy of the miRNAs to predict PFS and OS, and identified factors significantly associated with prognosis, respectively. Results: Using fold change≥2.0 or ≤0.5 and p≤0.05 as cutoff levels, we identified 1 up-regulated and 9 down-regulated miRNAs, 1 up-regulated and 6 down-regulated miRNAs in EG versus CG before and after CCRT, respectively. After significantly down-regulated miRNAs from EG versus CG were removed, only 9 different miRNAs were significantly reduced. In the serum samples of 48 NPC patients, there were no significant difference in the expression of miRNA-26b, miRNA-29a and miRNA-125b before CCRT, and the expression of miRNA-143 and miRNA-29b after CCRT. We calculated a risk score with the expression of miRNA-26b、miRNA-29a、miRNA-125b、miRNA-29b、miRNA-143 and then classified patients as high or low risk group. Cox regression model suggested that combining miRNA-29a and miRNA-125b before CCRT with miRNA-26b after CCRT was independent prognostic factors for PFS (HR=3.149, 95%CI:1.018-9.115, p=0.034), whereas combining the former two is independent for OS (HR=5.146, 95%CI:1.674-15.817, p=004）. Conclusions: For loco-regionally advanced NPC patients treated with CCRT, especially high-risk patients- serum miRNAs such as miRNA-29a, miRNA-125b and miRNA-26b etc, play an important role in predicting prognosis factors for PFS and OS, which will contribute to the strategic direction of future research.

scholarly journals Serum miRNAs, a potential prognosis marker of loco-regionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients treated with CCRT

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhimin Zhang ◽  
jiangbiao Huang ◽  
Ge Wang ◽  
Feng Jin ◽  
Jijun Zheng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Distant Metastasis ◽  
Clinical Remission ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Cox Regression Model ◽  
Serum Mirnas ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Before And After

Abstract Background: Serum miRNA was once found as potential disease survival index,thus we investigated the role of miRNA in predicting prognosis in loco-regionally advanced NPC patients treated with CCRT. Methods: This study included two phases: (i) We enrolled 3 NPC patients with recurrence or distant metastasis (experimental group, EG) and 3 NPC patients in clinical remission (control group, CG),who were treated with CCRT within 5 years.The paired serum was collected before and after treatment and biomarkers were discovered by LNA-TaqMan Human MicroRNA Arrays. (ii) we used the bioinformatic analysis, marker selection and an independent validation by qRT-PCR to analyse the serums of 29 NPC patients with recurrent disease or distant metastasis and 19 NPC patients in clinical remission treated with CCRT. Using the Kaplan-Meier method, log-rank test and Cox regression model to estimate the accuracy of the miRNAs to predict PFS and OS, and identified factors significantly associated with prognosis, respectively. Results: Using fold change≥2.0 or ≤0.5 and p≤0.05 as cutoff levels, we identified 1 up-regulated and 6 down-regulated miRNAs, 1 up-regulated and 9 down-regulated miRNAs in EG versus CG before and after CCRT, respectively. After these down-regulated miRNAs were dealed with bioinformatics analysis and normalization, only 5 different miRNAs were significantly reduced, which there were no significant difference in the expression of miRNA-26b, miRNA-29a and miRNA-125b before CCRT, and the expression of miRNA-143 and miRNA-29b after CCRT in the serum samples of 48 NPC patients. Based on this, we calculated a risk score with the expression of miRNA-26b、miRNA-29a、miRNA-125b、miRNA-29b、miRNA-143 and then classified patients as high or low risk group. Cox regression model suggested that combining miRNA-29a and miRNA-125b before CCRT with miRNA-26b after CCRT was independent prognostic factors for PFS (HR=3.149, 95%CI:1.018-9.115, p=0.034), whereas combining the former two is independent for OS (HR=5.146, 95%CI:1.674-15.817, p=0.04). Conclusions : For loco-regionally advanced NPC patients treated with CCRT, especially high-risk patients- serum miRNAs, such as miRNA-29a, miRNA-125b and miRNA-26b etc., play an important role in predicting prognosis factors of PFS and OS, which will contribute to the strategic direction for future research.

scholarly journals Identification of a Pyroptosis-Related Gene Signature for Predicting Overall Survival and Response to Immunotherapy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Susu Zheng ◽  
Xiaoying Xie ◽  
Xinkun Guo ◽  
Yanfang Wu ◽  
Guobin Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Gene Signature ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Related Gene

Pyroptosis is a novel kind of cellular necrosis and shown to be involved in cancer progression. However, the diverse expression, prognosis and associations with immune status of pyroptosis-related genes in Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have yet to be analyzed. Herein, the expression profiles and corresponding clinical characteristics of HCC samples were collected from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases. Then a pyroptosis-related gene signature was built by applying the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression model from the TCGA cohort, while the GEO datasets were applied for verification. Twenty-four pyroptosis-related genes were found to be differentially expressed between HCC and normal samples. A five pyroptosis-related gene signature (GSDME, CASP8, SCAF11, NOD2, CASP6) was constructed according to LASSO Cox regression model. Patients in the low-risk group had better survival rates than those in the high-risk group. The risk score was proved to be an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (OS). The risk score correlated with immune infiltrations and immunotherapy responses. GSEA indicated that endocytosis, ubiquitin mediated proteolysis and regulation of autophagy were enriched in the high-risk group, while drug metabolism cytochrome P450 and tryptophan metabolism were enriched in the low-risk group. In conclusion, our pyroptosis-related gene signature can be used for survival prediction and may also predict the response of immunotherapy.

Poor-prognosis nasopharyngeal carcinoma as defined by a molecularly distinct subgroup and prediction by a miRNA expression signature.

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 6056-6056
Author(s):  
Lan Zhao ◽  
Feng Gao ◽  
Wang Wei ◽  
Xin Duan ◽  
Yuchen Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma ◽  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Distant Metastasis ◽  
Mirna Expression ◽  
Poor Prognosis ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
Training Cohort

6056 Background: Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a highly invasive and metastatic cancer, with diverse molecular characteristics and clinical outcomes. Our aim in this study is to dissect the molecular heterogeneity of NPC, followed by construction of a prognostic model for prediction of distant metastasis. Methods: For molecular subtyping of NPC using miRNA expression data, we selected 86 stage II (AJCC 7th Edition) NPC patients from GSE32960 as training cohort. The remaining 226 NPC patients from GSE32960 and 246 NPC patients from GSE70970 were used as two validation cohorts. Consensus clustering was employed for unsupervised classification of the training cohort. Classifier was built using support vector machine (SVM), and was validated in the two validation cohorts. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed for feature selection and constructing a prognostic model for predicting high-risk distant metastasis, respectively. Results: We identified three NPC subtypes (NPC1, 2, and 3) that are molecularly distinct and clinically relevant. NPC1 (~45%) is enriched for cell cycle related pathways, and patients classified to NPC1 have an intermediate survival; NPC3 (~19%) is enriched for immune related pathways, and has good clinical outcomes. More importantly, NPC2 (~36%) is associated with poor prognosis, and is characterized by upregulation of epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT). Out of the total 25 differentially expressed miRNAs in NPC2, miR-142, miR-26a, miR-141 and let-7i have significant prognostic power (p < 0.05), as determined by univariate Cox regression analysis. For identification of high-risk distant metastasis, we built a multivariate Cox regression model using the selected 4 miRNAs. Our model can robustly stratify NPC patients into high- and low- risk groups both in GSE32960 (HR 3.1, 95% CI 1.8-5.4, p = 1.2e-05) and GSE70970 (HR 2.2, 95% CI 1.1-4.5, p = 0.022) cohorts. Conclusions: We proposed for the first time that NPC can be stratified into three subtypes. Using a panel of 4 miRNAs, we established a prognostic model that can robustly stratify NPC patients into high- and low- risk groups of distant metastasis.

scholarly journals Adjuvant Chemotherapy Following Combined Induction Chemotherapy and Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy Improves Survival in N2-3-positive Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao-Yun Tao ◽  
Hui Liu ◽  
Cai-Xian He ◽  
Ran Li ◽  
Kun-Peng Du ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Adjuvant Chemotherapy ◽  
Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma ◽  
Induction Chemotherapy ◽  
Distant Metastasis ◽  
Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Clinical Value ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Kaplan Meier

Abstract Objective: This study aimed to explore the clinical value of adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANC) following concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) and induction chemotherapy (ICT).Methods: We included 839 newly diagnosed LANC patients in the study. ICT plus CCRT (ICT+CCRT group) was administered to 443 patients and 396 patients who received ACT after receiving ICT plus CCRT (ICT+CCRT+ACT group). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were carried out in this study. Furthermore, to balance the study and control groups, propensity score matching (PSM) was applied.Results: 373 pairs of LANC patients were obtained after the PSM analysis. We found that ACT following ICT+CCRT had no significant effect on improving the survival of LANC patients. By further exploring the ICT+CCRT+ACT regimen, we excluded N0-1-positive patients and performed PSM in the ICT+CCRT and ICT+CCRT+ACT groups again. Each group consisted of 237 patients. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that there was a difference between the ICT+CCRT and ICT+CCRT+ACT groups in terms of the 5-year overall survival (OS) (78.9% vs. 85.0%, P = 0.034), disease-free survival (DFS) (73.4% vs. 81.7%, P = 0.029), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) (84.9% vs. 76.0%, P = 0.019). In addition, the ICT+CCRT+ACT group had a higher incidence of grade 3-4 acute leukocytopenia/neutropenia.Conclusion: Compared with ICT+CCRT, ACT following ICT plus CCRT can reduce distant metastasis of N2-3-positive LANC and improve the OS and DFS of these patients, thus demonstrating higher clinical feasibility.

Prognostic Significance of Elevated Endothelin-1 Levels in Patients with Colorectal Cancer

2004 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 32-37 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Arun ◽  
N.J.M. London ◽  
D.M. Hemingway
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Adjuvant Therapy ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Prognostic Significance ◽  
Cox Regression Model ◽  
Endothelin 1

Background Prognostic factors from clinical, laboratory and pathological data of patients with colorectal cancer are essential to identify high-risk groups to whom beneficial adjuvant therapy could be given. Endothelin-1, a growth factor, has been associated with the development and spread of solid tumours. This prospective study was performed to determine whether preoperative plasma big ET-1 levels might be useful as a prognostic indicator in patients with colorectal carcinoma. Method Sixty-five consecutive patients with colorectal cancer confirmed by biopsy were included prospectively into this study over a 12-month period. Plasma samples from a peripheral vein were obtained prior to surgery. Univariate analysis of survival using age (< or > 70 years), sex, Dukes’ stage (A&B versus C), tumour size (< or > 50 mm), vascular invasion and plasma big ET-1 levels was performed and significant factors were then analysed with the Cox regression model. Results Three variables, age, Dukes’ tumour stage and plasma big ET-1 levels, were found to have prognostic significance (p<0.05). Factors associated with a poorer prognosis were age >70 years (p=0.02), Dukes’ C tumours (p=0.04) and plasma big ET-1 levels >4.2 pg/mL (p=0.02). The Cox regression model identified the same three variables as having independent prognostic value for overall survival. Conclusion Preoperative plasma big ET-1 levels may be useful in predicting overall survival in patients with colorectal cancer. Plasma big ET-1 levels may be useful in the selection of high-risk lymph node-negative patients with colorectal cancer for adjuvant therapy.

scholarly journals A Robust Seven-Gene Signature Associated With Tumor Microenvironment to Predict Survival Outcomes of Patients With Stage III–IV Lung Adenocarcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Zhao ◽  
Xuening Zhang ◽  
Lan Guo ◽  
Songhe Shi ◽  
Ciyong Lu
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Tumor Microenvironment ◽  
Lung Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Gene Signature ◽  
Survival Outcomes ◽  
Cox Regression Model

BackgroundDue to the relatively insidious early symptoms of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD), most LUAD patients are at an advanced stage at the time of diagnosis and lose the best chance of surgical resection. Mounting evidence suggested that the tumor microenvironment (TME) was highly correlated with tumor occurrence, progress, and prognosis. However, TME in advanced LUAD remained to be studied and reliable prognostic signatures based on TME in advanced LUAD also had not been well-established. This study aimed to understand the cell composition and function of TME and construct a gene signature associated with TME in advanced LUAD.MethodsThe immune, stromal, and ESTIMATE scores of each sample from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database were, respectively, calculated using an ESTIMATE algorithm. The LASSO and Cox regression model were applied to select prognostic genes and to construct a gene signature associated with TME. Two independent datasets from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) were used for external validation. Twenty-two subsets of tumor-infiltrating immune cells (Tiics) were analyzed using the CIBERSORT algorithm.ResultsFavorable overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were found in patients with high immune score (p = 0.048 and p = 0.028; respectively) and stromal score (p = 0.024 and p = 0.025; respectively). Based on the immune and stromal scores, 453 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were identified. Using the LASSO and Cox regression model, a seven-gene signature containing AFAP1L2, CAMK1D, LOXL2, PIK3CG, PLEKHG1, RARRES2, and SPP1 was identified to construct a risk stratification model. The OS and PFS of the high-risk group were significantly worse than that of the low-risk group (p &lt; 0.001 and p &lt; 0.001; respectively). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis confirmed the good potency of the seven-gene signature. Similar findings were validated in two independent cohorts. In addition, the proportion of macrophages M2 and Tregs was higher in high-risk patients (p = 0.041 and p = 0.022, respectively).ConclusionOur study established and validated a seven-gene signature associated with TME, which might serve as a prognosis stratification tool to predict survival outcomes of advanced LUAD patients. In addition, macrophages M2 polarization may lead to worse prognosis in patients with advanced LUAD.

scholarly journals 813. The Reduction of the acquisition rate of carbapenem resistant Acinetobacter baumannii after room privatization in the intensive care unit

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S448-S449
Author(s):  
Jongtak Jung ◽  
Pyoeng Gyun Choe ◽  
Chang Kyung Kang ◽  
Kyung Ho Song ◽  
Wan Beom Park ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Acinetobacter Baumannii ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Univariate Analysis ◽  
Intervention Group ◽  
Feeding Tube ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Cox Regression Model ◽  
Carbapenem Resistant ◽  
Hospital Acquired

Abstract Background Acinetobacter baumannii is one of the major pathogens of hospital-acquired infection recently and hospital outbreaks have been reported worldwide. On September 2017, New intensive care unit(ICU) with only single rooms, remodeling from old ICU with multibed bay rooms, was opened in an acute-care tertiary hospital in Seoul, Korea. We investigated the effect of room privatization in the ICU on the acquisition of carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii(CRAB). Methods We retrospectively reviewed medical records of patients who admitted to the medical ICU in a tertiary care university-affiliated 1,800-bed hospital from 1 January 2015 to 1 January 2019. Patients admitted to the medical ICU before the remodeling of the ICU were designated as the control group, and those who admitted to the medical ICU after the remodeling were designated as the intervention group. Then we compared the acquisition rate of CRAB between the control and intervention groups. Patients colonized with CRAB or patients with CRAB identified in screening tests were excluded from the study population. The multivariable Cox regression model was performed using variables with p-values of less than 0.1 in the univariate analysis. Results A total of 1,105 cases admitted to the ICU during the study period were analyzed. CRAB was isolated from 110 cases in the control group(n=687), and 16 cases in the intervention group(n=418). In univariate analysis, room privatization, prior exposure to antibiotics (carbapenem, vancomycin, fluoroquinolone), mechanical ventilation, central venous catheter, tracheostomy, the presence of feeding tube(Levin tube or percutaneous gastrostomy) and the length of ICU stay were significant risk factors for the acquisition of CRAB (p&lt; 0.05). In the multivariable Cox regression model, the presence of feeding tube(Hazard ratio(HR) 4.815, 95% Confidence interval(CI) 1.94-11.96, p=0.001) and room privatization(HR 0.024, 95% CI 0.127-0.396, p=0.000) were independent risk factors. Table 1. Univariate analysis of Carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii Table 2. Multivariable Cox regression model of the acquisition of Carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii Conclusion In the present study, room privatization of the ICU was correlated with the reduction of CRAB acquisition independently. Remodeling of the ICU to the single room would be an efficient strategy for preventing the spreading of multidrug-resistant organisms and hospital-acquired infection. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures

scholarly journals Testing the proportional hazards assumption in cox regression and dealing with possible non-proportionality in total joint arthroplasty research: methodological perspectives and review

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ilari Kuitunen ◽  
Ville T. Ponkilainen ◽  
Mikko M. Uimonen ◽  
Antti Eskelinen ◽  
Aleksi Reito
Keyword(s):  
Survival Analysis ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Total Joint Arthroplasty ◽  
Full Text ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Joint Arthroplasty ◽  
Central Research ◽  
Cox Regression Model ◽  
Pubmed Database

Abstract Background Survival analysis and effect of covariates on survival time is a central research interest. Cox proportional hazards regression remains as a gold standard in the survival analysis. The Cox model relies on the assumption of proportional hazards (PH) across different covariates. PH assumptions should be assessed and handled if violated. Our aim was to investigate the reporting of the Cox regression model details and testing of the PH assumption in survival analysis in total joint arthroplasty (TJA) studies. Methods We conducted a review in the PubMed database on 28th August 2019. A total of 1154 studies were identified. The abstracts of these studies were screened for words “cox and “hazard*” and if either was found the abstract was read. The abstract had to fulfill the following criteria to be included in the full-text phase: topic was knee or hip TJA surgery; survival analysis was used, and hazard ratio reported. If all the presented criteria were met, the full-text version of the article was then read. The full-text was included if Cox method was used to analyze TJA survival. After accessing the full-texts 318 articles were included in final analysis. Results The PH assumption was mentioned in 114 of the included studies (36%). KM analysis was used in 281 (88%) studies and the KM curves were presented graphically in 243 of these (87%). In 110 (45%) studies, the KM survival curves crossed in at least one of the presented figures. The most common way to test the PH assumption was to inspect the log-minus-log plots (n = 59). The time-axis division method was the most used corrected model (n = 30) in cox analysis. Of the 318 included studies only 63 (20%) met the following criteria: PH assumption mentioned, PH assumption tested, testing method of the PH assumption named, the result of the testing mentioned, and the Cox regression model corrected, if required. Conclusions Reporting and testing of the PH assumption and dealing with non-proportionality in hip and knee TJA studies was limited. More awareness and education regarding the assumptions behind the used statistical models among researchers, reviewers and editors are needed to improve the quality of TJA research. This could be achieved by better collaboration with methodologists and statisticians and introducing more specific reporting guidelines for TJA studies. Neglecting obvious non-proportionality undermines the overall research efforts since causes of non-proportionality, such as possible underlying pathomechanisms, are not considered and discussed.

scholarly journals FRI0181 ORGAN DAMAGE FREE SURVIVAL IN SOUTHERN CHINESE PATIENTS WITH ACTIVE LUPUS NEPHRITIS

2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 674.1-674
Author(s):  
C. C. Mok ◽  
C. S. Sin ◽  
K. C. Hau ◽  
T. H. Kwan
Keyword(s):  
Lupus Nephritis ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Organ Damage ◽  
Renal Survival ◽  
Cox Regression Model ◽  
Free Survival ◽  
Renal Response

Background:The goals of treatment of lupus nephritis (LN) are to induce remission, retard the progression of chronic kidney disease, prevent organ complications and ultimately reduce mortality. Previous cohort studies of LN have mainly focused on the risk of mortality and development of end stage renal failure (ESRF) (renal survival). The cumulative frequency of LN patients who survive without organ damage, which correlates better with the balance between treatment efficacy and toxicity, as well as quality of life, has not been well studied.Objectives:To study the organ damage free survival and its predictive factors in patients with active LN.Methods:Consecutive patients who fulfilled ≥4 ACR/SLICC criteria for SLE and with biopsy proven active LN between 2003 and 2018 were retrospectivey analyzed. Those with organ damage before LN onset were excluded. Data on renal parameters and treatment regimens were collected. Complete renal response (CR) was defined as normalization of serum creatinine (SCr), urine P/Cr (uPCR) <0.5 and inactive urinary sediments. Partial renal response (PR) was defined as ≥50% reduction in uPCR and <25% increase in SCr. Organ damage of SLE was assessed by the ACR/SLICC damage index (SDI). The cumulative risk of having any organ damage or mortality since LN was studied by Kaplan-Meier’s analysis. Factors associated with a poor outcome were studied by a forward stepwise Cox regression model, with entry of covariates with p<0.05 and removal with p>0.10.Results:273 LN patients were identified but 64 were excluded (organ damage before LN onset). 211 LN patients were studied (92% women; age at SLE 30.4±13.5 years; SLE duration at LN 1.9±3.1years). 47 (22%) patients had nephrotic syndrome and 60 (29%) were hypertensive. Histological LN classes was: III/IV±V (75.1%), I/II (7.8%) and pure V (17.1%) (histologic activity and chronicity score 7.0±4.2 and 1.8±1.5, respectively). Induction regimens were: prednisolone (33.1±17.5mg/day) in combination with intravenous cyclophosphamide (CYC) (21.4%; 1.0±0.2g per pulse), oral CYC (8.6%; 96.4±37.8mg/day), azathioprine (AZA) (14.3%; 78.6±25.2mg/day), mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) (22.8%; 1.9±0.43g/day) and tacrolimus (TAC) (17.1%; 4.3±1.1mg/day). After a follow-up of 8.6±5.4 years, 94(45%) patient developed organ damage (SDI≥1) and 21(10%) patients died. The commonest organ damage was renal (36.3%) and musculoskeletal (17.9%), and the causes of death were: infection (38.1%), malignancy (19.0%), cardiovascular events (9.5%) and ESRF complications (9.5%). At last visit, 114 (55%) patients survived without any organ damage. The cumulative organ damage free survival at 5, 10 and 15 years after renal biopsy was 73.5%, 59.6% and 48.3%, respectively. The 5, 10 and 15-year renal survival rate were 95.2%, 92.0% and 84.1% respectively. In a Cox regression model, nephritic relapse (HR 3.72[1.78-7.77]), proteinuric relapse (HR 2.30[1.07-4.95]) and older age (HR 1.89[1.05-3.37]) were associated with either organ damage or mortality, whereas CR (HR 0.25[0.12-0.50]) at month 12 were associated with organ damage free survival. Baseline SCr, uPCR and histological LN classes were not significantly associated with a poor outcome. Among patients with class III/IV LN, the long-term organ damage free survival were not significantly different in users of MMF (reference) from CYC (IV/oral) (HR 1.45[0.76- 2.75]) or TAC (HR 1.03[0.26-1.62]) as induction therapy.Conclusion:Organ damage free survival is achieved in 55% of patients with active LN upon 9 years of follow-up. CYC/MMF/TAC based induction regimens did not differ for the long-term outcome of LN. Targeting complete renal response and preventing renal relapses remain important goals of LN treatment.Acknowledgments:NILDisclosure of Interests:None declared

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