Prognostic effect of inflammatory genes on stage I-III colorectal cancer – integrative analysis of TCGA data
Abstract Background Inflammatory status indicators have been reported as a prognostic biomarker of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, since the inflammatory interactions with colon involve various modes of action, the biological mechanism to link inflammation and CRC prognosis is not fully elucidated. We comprehensively evaluated the predictive role of the expression and methylation level of inflammation-related genes for CRC prognosis and their pathophysiological associations. Method An integrative analysis was conducted on 247 patients of stage I-III CRC from The Cancer Genome Atlas. Lasso-penalized Cox proportional hazards regression (Lasso-Cox) and statistical Cox proportional hazard regression (CPH) were used for analysis. Result Models to predict overall survival were designed with respective combinations of clinical variables, including age, sex, stage, gene expression, and methylation. An integrative model combining expression, methylation, and clinical features had the highest performance (median C-index=0.756), compared to the model with clinical features alone (median C-index=0.726). By multivariate CPH with features from the best model, methylation levels of CEP250, RAB21 and TNPO3 were significantly associated with overall survival. They did not share any biological process in functional networks. The 5-year survival rate was 29.8% in a low methylation group of CEP250 and 79.1% in a high (P <0.001). Conclusion Our study result implicates the importance of integrating the expression and methylation information along with clinical information in prediction of survival. CEP250, RAB21 and TNPO3, in the prediction model might have a crucial role in CRC prognosis and further improve our understanding of potential mechanisms linking inflammatory reaction and CRC progression.