Aspartate transaminase/alanine transaminase ratio as a significant prognostic factor in patients with sepsis: a retrospective analysis

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pengyue Zhao ◽  
Renqi Yao ◽  
Chao Ren ◽  
Songyan Li ◽  
Yuxuan Li ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The study was performed to investigate the relationship between aspartate transaminase/alanine transaminase ratio (DRR) and long-term mortality among patients diagnosed with sepsis or septic shock. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study among adult septic patients who were admitted to surgical intensive care unit (ICU) of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) General Hospital from January 2014 to December 2018. Baseline characteristics were compared between survivors and non-survivors. We applied univariate as well as multivariate Cox regression analyses to evaluate DRR in relation to 180-day mortality. The potential prognostic value of DRR in predicting mortality rate was assessed by receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis. Besides, we conducted subgroup analysis by stratifying patients via optimal DRR cut-off value. Results: We included a total number of 183 patients in the current study, 44 (24%) patients died within 180-day hospitalization. Univariate and multivariate Cox analysis revealed that DRR was an independent predictor of 180-day mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.421, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.073-1.883, P = 0.014). The predicting accuracy of 180-day mortality for DRR was presented as ROC with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.708 (95% CI 0.629–0.786, P < 0.001). As we stratified all enrolled patients into two groups by using the optimal cut-off value of 1.29, we observed a significantly higher mortality in patients with relatively high DRR. Conclusions: An elevated DRR was associated with higher 180-day mortality among septic patients, and DRR might be an optimal marker for predicting the long-term mortality of sepsis. More prospective and randomized trials are needed to confirm the prognostic value of DRR.

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Faheem W. Guirgis ◽  
Christiaan Leeuwenburgh ◽  
Lyle Moldawer ◽  
Gabriela Ghita ◽  
Lauren Page Black ◽  
...  

Abstract Rationale Sepsis is a life-threatening, dysregulated response to infection. Lipid biomarkers including cholesterol are dynamically regulated during sepsis and predict short-term outcomes. In this study, we investigated the predictive ability of lipid biomarkers for physical function and long-term mortality after sepsis. Methods Prospective cohort study of sepsis patients admitted to a surgical intensive-care unit (ICU) within 24 h of sepsis bundle initiation. Samples were obtained at enrollment for lipid biomarkers. Multivariate regression models determined independent risk factors predictive of poor performance status (Zubrod score of 3/4/5) or survival at 1-year follow-up. Measurements and main results The study included 104 patients with surgical sepsis. Enrollment total cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein (HDL-C) levels were lower, and myeloperoxidase (MPO) levels were higher for patients with poor performance status at 1 year. A similar trend was seen in comparisons based on 1-year mortality, with HDL-C and ApoA-I levels being lower and MPO levels being higher in non-survivors. However, multivariable logistic regression only identified baseline Zubrod and initial SOFA score as significant independent predictors of poor performance status at 1 year. Multivariable Cox regression modeling for 1-year survival identified high Charlson comorbidity score, low ApoA-I levels, and longer vasopressor duration as predictors of mortality over 1-year post-sepsis. Conclusions In this surgical sepsis study, lipoproteins were not found to predict poor performance status at 1 year. ApoA-I levels, Charlson comorbidity scores, and duration of vasopressor use predicted 1 year survival. These data implicate cholesterol and lipoproteins as contributors to the underlying pathobiology of sepsis.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyeong Dong Yuk ◽  
Chang Wook Jeong ◽  
Cheol Kwak ◽  
Hyeon Hoe Kim ◽  
Ja Hyeon Ku

Introduction. To investigate the correlation between preoperative De Ritis ratio (aspartate transaminase (AST)/alanine transaminase (ALT)) and postoperative outcome in patients with urothelial cell carcinoma (UC) treated with radical cystectomy. Materials and Methods. We analyzed the clinical and pathological data of 771 patients who underwent radical cystectomy for bladder UC. Patients were divided into two groups according to the optimal value of AST/ALT ratio. The effect of the AST/ALT ratio was analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier method and Cox regression hazard models for patients’ cancer-specific survival (CSS), overall survival (OS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS). In addition, propensity score matching of 1 : 1 was performed between the two groups. Results. Median follow-up was 84.0 (36–275) months. Mean age was 64.8±10.0 years. According to the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, the optimal threshold of the AST/ALT ratio was 1.1. In Kaplan–Meier analyses, the high AST/ALT group showed worse outcomes in CSS and OS (all P<0.001). Also, RFS (P=0.001) in the Cox regression models of clinical and pathological parameters was used to predict CSS, OS, and AST/ALT ratio (HR 2.15, 95% CI 1.23-3.73, P=0.007) and pathological T stage (HR 4.80, 95% CI 1.19-19.28, P=0.003). To predict OS and AST/ALT ratio (HR 2.05, 95% CI 1.65–2.56, P<0.001), pathological T stage (HR 2.96, 95% CI 0.57–17.09, P=0.037) and positive lymph node (HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.50–1.91, P=0.021) were determined as independent prognostic factors. Conclusion. Preoperative AST/ALT ratio could be an independent prognostic factor in patients with UC treated with radical cystectomy.


2022 ◽  
Vol 91 (1) ◽  
pp. 8-35
Author(s):  
Mary E. Charlson ◽  
Danilo Carrozzino ◽  
Jenny Guidi ◽  
Chiara Patierno

The present critical review was conducted to evaluate the clinimetric properties of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), an assessment tool designed specifically to predict long-term mortality, with regard to its reliability, concurrent validity, sensitivity, incremental and predictive validity. The original version of the CCI has been adapted for use with different sources of data, ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes. The inter-rater reliability of the CCI was found to be excellent, with extremely high agreement between self-report and medical charts. The CCI has also been shown either to have concurrent validity with a number of other prognostic scales or to result in concordant predictions. Importantly, the clinimetric sensitivity of the CCI has been demonstrated in a variety of medical conditions, with stepwise increases in the CCI associated with stepwise increases in mortality. The CCI is also characterized by the clinimetric property of incremental validity, whereby adding the CCI to other measures increases the overall predictive accuracy. It has been shown to predict long-term mortality in different clinical populations, including medical, surgical, intensive care unit (ICU), trauma, and cancer patients. It may also predict in-hospital mortality, although in some instances, such as ICU or trauma patients, the CCI did not perform as well as other instruments designed specifically for that purpose. The CCI thus appears to be clinically useful not only to provide a valid assessment of the patient’s unique clinical situation, but also to demarcate major diagnostic and prognostic differences among subgroups of patients sharing the same medical diagnosis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Johanna Helmersson-Karlqvist ◽  
Miklos Lipcsey ◽  
Johan Ärnlöv ◽  
Max Bell ◽  
Bo Ravn ◽  
...  

AbstractDecreased glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is linked to poor survival. The predictive value of creatinine estimated GFR (eGFR) and cystatin C eGFR in critically ill patients may differ substantially, but has been less studied. This study compares long-term mortality risk prediction by eGFR using a creatinine equation (CKD-EPI), a cystatin C equation (CAPA) and a combined creatinine/cystatin C equation (CKD-EPI), in 22,488 patients treated in intensive care at three University Hospitals in Sweden, between 2004 and 2015. Patients were analysed for both creatinine and cystatin C on the same blood sample tube at admission, using accredited laboratory methods. During follow-up (median 5.1 years) 8401 (37%) patients died. Reduced eGFR was significantly associated with death by all eGFR-equations in Cox regression models. However, patients reclassified to a lower GFR-category by using the cystatin C-based equation, as compared to the creatinine-based equation, had significantly higher mortality risk compared to the referent patients not reclassified. The cystatin C equation increased C-statistics for death prediction (p < 0.001 vs. creatinine, p = 0.013 vs. combined equation). In conclusion, this data favours the sole cystatin C equation rather than the creatinine or combined equations when estimating GFR for risk prediction purposes in critically ill patients.


Angiology ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 000331972098795
Author(s):  
Songyuan Luo ◽  
Yi Zhu ◽  
Enmin Xie ◽  
Huanyu Ding ◽  
Fan Yang ◽  
...  

We aimed to investigate whether sex differences influence the clinical outcomes of patients who undergo thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR) for type B aortic dissection (TBAD). We retrospectively analyzed a prospectively maintained single-center cohort of patients with TBAD who underwent TEVAR between January 2010 and June 2017. We evaluated the in-hospital and long-term mortality and composite end point. Of the 913 patients, 793 (86.8%) were male and 120 (13.1%) were female. Compared to male patients, the female patients were older, more likely to have diabetes mellitus, but less likely to smoke or have hypertension. The proximal landing zone in 0 and 1 was higher in male patients ( P = .023), who were more likely to require an aortic arch bypass. Endoleak, delirium, and ICU stay after stent-graft implantation were also more frequent in men. Sex factor was not associated with in-hospital or long-term mortality or the composite end point in the multivariable regression analyses and Cox regression model. The mean estimated survival time was similar between males and females (2462.9 ± 141.2 vs 2804.1 ± 117.4 days, P = .167) in the propensity score–matched cohort. Despite distinct characteristics between sex, there was no sex-related difference in long-term clinical outcomes after TEVAR for TBAD.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Kawai ◽  
D Nakatani ◽  
T Yamada ◽  
T Watanabe ◽  
T Morita ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Diuretics has been reported to have a potential for an activation of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system and the sympathetic nervous system, leading to a possibility of poor clinical outcome in patients with cardiovascular disease. However, few data are available on clinical impact of diuretics on long-term outcome in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) based on plasma volume status. Methods To address the issue, a total of 3,416 survived patients with AMI who were registered to a large database of the Osaka Acute Coronary Insufficiency Study (OACIS) were studied. Plasma volume status was assessed with the estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) that was calculated at discharge as follows: actual PV = (1 − hematocrit) × [a + (b × body weight)] (a=1530 in males and a=864 in females, b=41.0 in males and b=47.9 in females); ideal PV = c × body weight (c=39 in males and c=40 in females), and ePVS = [(actual PV − ideal PV)/ideal PV] × 100 (%). Multivariable Cox regression analysis and propensity score matching were performed to account for imbalances in covariates. The endpoint was all-cause of death (ACD) within 5 years. Results During a median follow-up period of 855±656 days, 193 patients had ACD. In whole population, there was no significant difference in long-term mortality risk between patients with and without diuretics in both multivariate cox regression model and propensity score matching population. When patients were divided into 2 groups according to ePVS with a median value of 4.2%, 46 and 147 patients had ACD in groups with low ePVS and high ePVS, respectively. Multivariate Cox analysis showed that use of diuretics was independently associated with an increased risk of ACD in low ePVS group, (HR: 2.63, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.22–5.63, p=0.01), but not in high ePVS group (HR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.44–1.10, p=0.12). These observations were consistent in the propensity-score matched cohorts; the 5-year mortality rate was significantly higher in patients with diuretics than those without among low ePVS group (4.7% vs 1.7%, p=0.041), but not among high ePVS group (8.0% vs 10.3%, p=0.247). Conclusion Prescription of diuretics at discharge was associated with increased risk of 5-year mortality in patients with AMI without PV expansion, but not with PV expansion. The role of diuretics on long-term mortality may differ in plasma volume status. Therefore, prescription of diuretics after AMI may be considered based on plasma volume status. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 185-193
Author(s):  
Jamie I Verhoeven ◽  
Marco Pasi ◽  
Barbara Casolla ◽  
Hilde Hénon ◽  
Frank-Erik de Leeuw ◽  
...  

Introduction Intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) in young adults is rare but has devastating consequences. We investigated long-term mortality rates, causes of death and predictors of long-term mortality in young spontaneous ICH survivors. Patients and methods We included consecutive patients aged 18–55 years from the Prognosis of Intracerebral Haemorrhage cohort (PITCH), a prospective observational cohort of patients admitted to Lille University Hospital (2004–2009), who survived at least 30 days after spontaneous ICH. We studied long-term mortality with Kaplan-Meier analyses, collected causes of death, performed uni-/multivariable Cox-regression analyses for the association of baseline characteristics with long-term mortality. Results Of 560 patients enrolled in the PITCH, 75 patients (75% men) met our inclusion criteria (median age 50 years, interquartile range [IQR] 44–53 years). During a median follow-up of 8.2 years (IQR 5.0–10.1), 26 patients died (35%), with a standardized mortality ratio of 13.0 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 8.5–18.0) compared to peers from the general population. Causes of death were vascular in 7 (27%) patients, non-vascular in 13 (50%) and unknown in 6 (23%). Global cerebral atrophy (hazard ratio [HR] 3.0, 95% CI 1.1–8.6), modified Rankin Score >2 before ICH (HR 3.4, 95% CI 1.0–11.0), and excessive alcohol consumption (HR 3.3, 95% CI 1.1–10.2) were independently associated with long-term mortality. Discussion We found a 13-fold higher mortality risk for young ICH survivors compared to the general French population. Predictors of long-term mortality were pre-existing conditions, not ICH-characteristics. Conclusion Young ICH survivors remain at increased mortality risk of vascular and non-vascular death for years after ICH.


2021 ◽  
Vol 49 (3) ◽  
pp. 030006052199299
Author(s):  
Wenlan Hu ◽  
Kaiping Zhao ◽  
Youzhou Chen ◽  
Jihong Wang ◽  
Mei Zheng ◽  
...  

Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics and long-term mortality of patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) after orthopaedic surgery. Methods This retrospective, single-centre study enrolled patients that underwent inpatient orthopaedic surgery from 2009 to 2017 in Beijing Jishuitan Hospital. The patients were screened for a cardiac troponin I elevation and fulfilled the Fourth Universal Definition of Myocardial Infarction within 30 days of surgery. Results A total of 180 patients that developed perioperative myocardial infarction (MI) were included in the study. Among them, 14 patients (7.8%) were classified as STEMI, and 166 (92.2%) had NSTEMI. Compared with those with NSTEMI, STEMI patients had significantly higher 30-day and long-term mortality rates (50.0% versus 5.4%; 71.4% versus 22.3%; respectively). Multivariate Cox regression model analysis among the entire cohort demonstrated that STEMI (hazard ratio [HR] 5.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.50, 13.38) and prior MI (HR 2.35, 95% CI 1.02, 5.38) were the most significant independent predictors of long-term mortality. Conclusion Perioperative MI after orthopaedic surgery was associated with a high mortality rate. STEMI was independently associated with a significant increase in short- and long-term mortality.


2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Zhang ◽  
X Xie ◽  
C He ◽  
X Lin ◽  
M Luo ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Late left ventricular remodeling (LLVR) after the index acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is a common complication, and is associated with poor outcome. However, the optimal definition of LLVR has been debated because of its different incidence and influence on prognosis. At present, there are limited data regarding the influence of different LLVR definitions on long-term outcomes in AMI patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Purpose To explore the impact of different definitions of LLVR on long-term mortality, re-hospitalization or an urgent visit for heart failure, and identify which definition was more suitable for predicting long-term outcomes in AMI patients undergoing PCI. Methods We prospectively observed 460 consenting first-time AMI patients undergoing PCI from January 2012 to December 2018. LLVR was defined as a ≥20% increase in left ventricular end-diastolic volume (LVEDV), or a &gt;15% increase in left ventricular end-systolic volume (LVESV) from the initial presentation to the 3–12 months follow-up, or left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) &lt;50% at follow up. These parameters of the cardiac structure and function were measuring through the thoracic echocardiography. The association of LLVR with long-term prognosis was investigated by Cox regression analysis. Results The incidence rate of LLVR was 38.1% (n=171). The occurrence of LLVR according to LVESV, LVEDV and LVEF definition were 26.6% (n=117), 31.9% (n=142) and 11.5% (n=51), respectively. During a median follow-up of 2 years, after adjusting other potential risk factors, multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed LLVR of LVESV definition [hazard ratio (HR): 2.50, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19–5.22, P=0.015], LLVR of LVEF definition (HR: 16.46, 95% CI: 6.96–38.92, P&lt;0.001) and LLVR of Mix definition (HR: 5.86, 95% CI: 2.45–14.04, P&lt;0.001) were risk factors for long-term mortality, re-hospitalization or an urgent visit for heart failure. But only LLVR of LVEF definition was a risk predictor for long-term mortality (HR: 6.84, 95% CI: 1.98–23.65, P=0.002). Conclusions LLVR defined by LVESV or LVEF may be more suitable for predicting long-term mortality, re-hospitalization or an urgent visit for heart failure in AMI patients undergoing PCI. However, only LLVR defined by LVEF could be used for predicting long-term mortality. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None. Association Between LLVR and outcomes Kaplan-Meier Estimates of the Mortality


2019 ◽  
Vol 68 (2) ◽  
pp. 392-396 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akito Tsukinaga ◽  
Shunsuke Takaki ◽  
Takahiro Mihara ◽  
Kenta Okamura ◽  
Susumu Isoda ◽  
...  

While low-risk patients who undergo elective surgery can tolerate low hematocrit levels, the benefits of higher hematocrit levels might outweigh the risk of transfusion in high-risk patients. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the effects of perioperative hematocrit levels on mortality in patients requiring prolonged mechanical ventilation (PMV) after a cardiovascular surgery. This single-center retrospective cohort study was conducted on 172 patients who underwent cardiovascular surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass or off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting and required PMV for ≥72 hours in the intensive care unit (ICU) from 2008 to 2012 at the Yokohama City University Medical Center in Yokohama, Japan. Patients were classified according to hematocrit levels on ICU admission: high (≥30%) and low (<30%) groups. Of 172 patients, 86 were included to each of the low-hematocrit and high-hematocrit groups, with median hematocrit levels (first to third quartiles) of 27.4% (25.4%–28.7%) and 33.0% (31.3%–35.5%), respectively. The difference in survival rates was significant between the two groups using the log-rank test (HR 0.55, 95% CI 0.32 to 0.95, p=0.033). Cox regression analysis revealed that ≥30% increase in hematocrit levels on ICU admission was significantly associated with decreased long-term mortality (HR 0.40, 95% CI 0.20 to 0.80, p=0.0095). Lower hematocrit levels on ICU admission was a risk factor for increased long-term mortality, and higher hematocrit levels might outweigh the risk of transfusion in patients requiring PMV after a cardiovascular surgery.


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