scholarly journals The effects of estimated remnant-like particle cholesterol on incident cardiovascular disease: Insights from a general Chinese population

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanli Chen ◽  
Guangxiao Li ◽  
Xiaofan Guo ◽  
Nanxiang Ouyang ◽  
Zhao Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Renal Dysfunction ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cubic Spline ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Linear Association ◽  
High Level

Abstract Background Growing evidence suggests that remnant cholesterol (RC) may contribute to residual atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. But the cut-off point to treat RC for reducing ASCVD is still not known. This study was aimed to investigate the relationships between RC and combined cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) in a general China cohort, with 11,956 subjects aged ≥ 35 years. Methods Baseline RC was estimated with the Friedewald formula for 8782 subjects. The outcome was the incidence of combined CVD, including fatal and nonfatal stroke and coronary heart disease (CHD). Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals. Restricted cubic spline model was used to evaluate dose-response relationship between continuous RC and the natural log of HRs. Results After a mean follow-up of 4.66 years, 431 CVD events occurred. In the cox proportional models, participants with high level of categorial RC had significantly higher risk for combined CVD (HR: 1.37; 95% CI: 1.07–1.74) and CHD (HR: 1.63; 95% CI: 1.06–2.53), compared to those with medium level of RC. In the stratification analyses, high level of RC significantly increased combined CVD risk for subgroups females, age < 65years, non-current smokers, non-current drinkers, normal weight, renal dysfunction, and no hyperuricemia. Same trends were found for CHD among subgroups males, age < 65 years, overweight, renal dysfunction, and normal uric acid; stroke for subgroup females. In the restricted cubic spline models, significantly linear association between RC and combined CVD and non-linear association between RC and CHD were shown. The risk of outcomes was relatively flat until 0.84mmol/l of RC and increased rapidly afterwards, with HR of 1.308 (1.102 to 1.553) for combined CVD and 1.411 (1.061 to 1.876) for CHD. Stratified analyses showed significant nonlinearity association between RC and CVD outcomes in subgroup aged < 65 years or subgroup diabetes. Conclusions In this large-scale and long-term follow-up cohort study, participants with higher RC levels had significantly worse prognosis, especially for subgroup aged 35–65 years or subgroup diabetes mellitus.

scholarly journals The Effects of Calculated Remnant-Like Particle Cholesterol on Incident Cardiovascular Disease: Insights from a General Chinese Population

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (15) ◽  
pp. 3388
Author(s):  
Yanli Chen ◽  
Guangxiao Li ◽  
Xiaofan Guo ◽  
Nanxiang Ouyang ◽  
Zhao Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Renal Dysfunction ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
High Level ◽  
Nonlinear Association

Background: Growing evidence suggests that remnant cholesterol (RC) contributes to residual atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk. However, the cutoff points to treat RC for reducing ASCVD are still unknown. This study aimed to investigate the relationships between RC and combined cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) in a general China cohort, with 11,956 subjects aged ≥ 35 years. Methods: Baseline RC was estimated with the Friedewald formula for 8782 subjects. The outcome was the incidence of combined CVD, including fatal and nonfatal stroke and coronary heart disease (CHD). The Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) model was used to evaluate the dose–response relationship between continuous RC and the natural log of HRs. Results: After a median follow-up of 4.66 years, 431 CVD events occurred. In the Cox proportional models, participants with a high level of categorial RC had a significantly higher risk for combined CVD (HR: 1.37; 95% CI: 1.07–1.74) and CHD (HR: 1.63; 95% CI: 1.06–2.53), compared to those with a medium level of RC. In the stratification analyses, a high level of RC significantly increased combined CVD risk for subgroups females, age < 65 years, noncurrent smokers, noncurrent drinkers, normal weight, renal dysfunction, and no hyperuricemia. The same trends were found for CHD among subgroups males, age < 65 years, overweight, renal dysfunction, and no hyperuricemia; stroke among subgroup females. In RCS models, a significant linear association between RC and combined CVD and a nonlinear association between RC and CHD resulted. The risk of outcomes was relatively flat until 0.84 mmol/L of RC and increased rapidly afterwards, with an HR of 1.308 (1.102 to 1.553) for combined CVD and 1.411 (1.061 to 1.876) for CHD. Stratified analyses showed a significant nonlinear association between RC and CVD outcomes in the subgroup aged < 65 years or the diabetes subgroup. Conclusions: In this large-scale and long-term follow-up cohort study, participants with higher RC levels had a significantly worse prognosis, especially for the subgroup aged 35–65 years or the diabetes mellitus subgroup.

P6355The behavior of atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure hospitalization

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Fukunaga ◽  
K Hirose ◽  
A Isotani ◽  
T Morinaga ◽  
K Ando
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Background Relationship between atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) is often compared with proverbial question of which came first, the chicken or the egg. Some patients showing AF at the HF admission result in restoration of sinus rhythm (SR) at discharge. It is not well elucidated that the restoration into SR during hospitalization can render the preventive effect for rehospitalization. Purpose To investigate the impact of restoration into SR during hospitalization for readmission rate of the HF patients showing AF. Methods We enrolled consecutive 640 HF patients hospitalized from January 2015 to December 2015. Patients data were retrospectively investigated from medical record. Patients showing atrial fibrillation on admission but unrecognized ever were defined as “incident AF”; patients with AF diagnosed before admission were defined as “prevalent AF”. Primary endpoint was a composite of death from cardiovascular disease or hospitalization for worsening heart failure. Secondary endpoints were death from cardiovascular disease, unplanned hospitalization related to heart failure, and any hospitalization. Results During mean follow up of 19 months, 139 patients (22%) were categorized as incident AF and 145 patients (23%) were categorized as prevalent AF. Among 239 patients showing AF on admission, 44 patients were discharged in SR (39 patients in incident AF and 5 patients in prevalent AF). Among incident AF patients, the primary composite end point occurred in significantly fewer in those who discharged in SR (19% vs. 42% at 1-year; 23% vs. 53% at 2-year follow-up, p=0.005). To compare the risk factors related to readmission due to HF with the cox proportional-hazards model, AF only during hospitalization [Hazard Ratio (HR)=0.37, p<0.01] and prevalent AF (HR=1.67, p=0.04) was significantly associated. There was no significant difference depending on LVEF. Conclusion Newly diagnosed AF with restoration to SR during hospitalization was a good marker to forecast future prognosis.

scholarly journals A lower maximum bite force is a risk factor for developing cardiovascular disease: the Suita study

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sakae Hashimoto ◽  
Takayuki Kosaka ◽  
Michikazu Nakai ◽  
Momoyo Kida ◽  
Shuri Fushida ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Risk Factor ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Bite Force ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Trend Test ◽  
Quantitative Index ◽  
Masticatory Function

AbstractDecreases in masticatory function are believed to be related to the development of cardiovascular disease (CVD) through inappropriate nutritional intake. This study focused on maximum bite force (MBF), which is an objective, quantitative index of masticatory function, and its association with the development of CVD (stroke and coronary heart disease) was investigated. The subjects were 1547 participants of the Suita study with no history of CVD who underwent medical and dental health examinations between June 2008 and June 2013. In addition to undergoing a basic physical examination at baseline, their MBF was measured. They subsequently underwent follow-up surveys for the development of CVD (mean follow-up, 3.5 years). The association between baseline MBF and the development of CVD was investigated by multivariate adjustment using a Cox proportional hazards model. CVD developed in 32 subjects during follow-up. The trend test showed a significant association between baseline MBF and CVD in a model that combined men and women. When analysed by sex, the trend test found a significant association between baseline MBF and CVD in women. Low MBF, which is an objective and quantitative index of masticatory function, may be a risk factor for the development of CVD.

Increased Incident Ischemic Stroke Risk in Advanced Kidney Disease: A Large-Scale Real-World Data Study

2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (8) ◽  
pp. 659-668
Author(s):  
Tosihki Maeda ◽  
Takumi Nishi ◽  
Shunsuke Funakoshi ◽  
Kazuhiro Tada ◽  
Masayoshi Tsuji ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Kidney Disease ◽  
Real World ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Total Population ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Real World Data ◽  
World Data

Introduction: Evidence using real-world data is sparse regarding the effects of oral anticoagulants (OACs) among patients with kidney disease. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of kidney disease on ischemic stroke (IS) or systemic embolism (SE) among patients taking OAC, using large-scale real-world data in Japan. Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study using claims data and health checkup data from health insurance associations in Japan, from January 2005 to June 2017. We enrolled 21,581 patients diagnosed with atrial fibrillation (AF). Of the total population, 11,848 (54.9%) patients were taking OAC. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the effect of kidney disease on IS/SE with or without OAC. Results: During follow-up, 208 participants who were not taking OAC (mean follow-up 2.6 years) and 200 who were taking OAC (mean follow-up 3.0 years) experienced IS/SE. The % IS/SE incidence rates with and without kidney disease were 2.42/person-year and 0.63/person-year in the total population, 3.66/person-year and 0.76/person-year in the group without OAC use, and 1.52/person-year and 0.55/person-year in patients with OAC use, respectively. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of kidney disease for IS/SE were high, irrespective of OAC, even after adjustment: adjusted HR 2.62 (95% CI: 1.72–3.99) without OAC and adjusted HR 2.03 (95% CI: 1.20–3.44) with OAC; p = 0.193 for interaction between no OAC and OAC. Although bleeding risk was also high for kidney disease irrespective of OAC use (HR 2.93 [95% CI: 2.27–3.77] in the total population, HR 3.08 [95% CI: 2.15–4.43] in the group without OAC, and HR 2.73 [95% CI: 1.90–3.91] in the group with OAC use), net clinical benefit indicated that the benefit of OAC use exceeded the risk of bleeding: HR 4.50 (95% CI: 0.76–8.23) among those with kidney disease and HR 0.35 (95% CI: 0.04–0.66) among those without kidney disease. Conclusion: Although we found that OAC use was effective and recommended for patients with AF, advanced kidney disease is still an independent risk factor for IS/SE, even in patients taking OAC. Physicians should be aware of this risk and strictly control modifiable risk factors, regardless of OAC use.

scholarly journals The triglyceride glucose index is a simple and low-cost marker associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: a population-based study

BMC Medicine ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sangmo Hong ◽  
Kyungdo Han ◽  
Cheol-Young Park
Keyword(s):  
Insulin Resistance ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Large Population ◽  
Surrogate Marker ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Tyg Index ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract Background The triglyceride glucose (TyG) index is an inexpensive clinical surrogate marker for insulin resistance. However, the relationship between TyG index and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains unclear. We evaluated the relationship between TyG index and CVD using a large-scale population dataset from the National Health Information Database (NHID). Methods We performed a retrospective observational cohort study of 5,593,134 persons older than 40 years from 2009 to 2017 using the NHID. We divided the participants into TyG index quartiles. Outcome variables were stroke, myocardial infarction, and both. The incidence of outcomes was estimated for each TyG quartile over the total follow-up period. All outcomes were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards regression analysis while controlling for baseline covariates. Results During 8.2 years of mean follow-up, stroke was diagnosed in 89,120 (1.59%), MI in 62,577 (1.12%), and both stroke and MI in 146,744 (2.62%) participants. Multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for patients in the highest TyG index quartile demonstrated that these patients were at higher risk for stroke (HR = 1.259; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.233–1.286), for MI (HR = 1.313; 95% CI 1.28–1.346), and for both (HR = 1.282; 95% CI 1.261–1.303) compared with participants in the lowest TyG index quartile. These effects were independent of age, sex, smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, and total cholesterol. Conclusions In our large population study, TyG index, a simple measure reflecting insulin resistance, was potentially useful in the early identification of individuals at high risk of experiencing a cardiovascular event.

scholarly journals Risk factors associated with major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events following percutaneous coronary intervention: a 10-year follow-up comparing random survival forest and Cox proportional-hazards model

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maryam Farhadian ◽  
Sahar Dehdar Karsidani ◽  
Azadeh Mozayanimonfared ◽  
Hossein Mahjub
Keyword(s):  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Coronary Intervention ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Cerebrovascular Events ◽  
Long Term Follow Up ◽  
Stent Length

Abstract Background Due to the limited number of studies with long term follow-up of patients undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention (PCI), we investigated the occurrence of Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events (MACCE) during 10 years of follow-up after coronary angioplasty using Random Survival Forest (RSF) and Cox proportional hazards models. Methods The current retrospective cohort study was performed on 220 patients (69 women and 151 men) undergoing coronary angioplasty from March 2009 to March 2012 in Farchshian Medical Center in Hamadan city, Iran. Survival time (month) as the response variable was considered from the date of angioplasty to the main endpoint or the end of the follow-up period (September 2019). To identify the factors influencing the occurrence of MACCE, the performance of Cox and RSF models were investigated in terms of C index, Integrated Brier Score (IBS) and prediction error criteria. Results Ninety-six patients (43.7%) experienced MACCE by the end of the follow-up period, and the median survival time was estimated to be 98 months. Survival decreased from 99% during the first year to 39% at 10 years' follow-up. By applying the Cox model, the predictors were identified as follows: age (HR = 1.03, 95% CI 1.01–1.05), diabetes (HR = 2.17, 95% CI 1.29–3.66), smoking (HR = 2.41, 95% CI 1.46–3.98), and stent length (HR = 1.74, 95% CI 1.11–2.75). The predictive performance was slightly better by the RSF model (IBS of 0.124 vs. 0.135, C index of 0.648 vs. 0.626 and out-of-bag error rate of 0.352 vs. 0.374 for RSF). In addition to age, diabetes, smoking, and stent length, RSF also included coronary artery disease (acute or chronic) and hyperlipidemia as the most important variables. Conclusion Machine-learning prediction models such as RSF showed better performance than the Cox proportional hazards model for the prediction of MACCE during long-term follow-up after PCI.

scholarly journals Elevated plasma growth and differentiation factor 15 predicts incident anemia in older adults aged 60 years and older

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuko Yamaguchi ◽  
Marta Zampino ◽  
Toshiko Tanaka ◽  
Stefania Bandinelli ◽  
Yusuke Osawa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Older Adults ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Differentiation Factor ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract Background Anemia is common in older adults and associated with greater morbidity and mortality. The causes of anemia in older adults have not been completely characterized. Although elevated circulating growth and differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) has been associated with anemia in older adults, it is not known whether elevated GDF-15 predicts the development of anemia. Methods We examined the relationship between plasma GDF-15 concentrations at baseline in 708 non-anemic adults, aged 60 years and older, with incident anemia during 15 years of follow-up among participants in the Invecchiare in Chianti (InCHIANTI) Study. Results During follow-up, 179 (25.3%) participants developed anemia. The proportion of participants who developed anemia from the lowest to highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 was 12.9%, 20.1%, 21.2%, and 45.8%, respectively. Adults in the highest quartile of plasma GDF-15 had an increased risk of developing anemia (Hazards Ratio 1.15, 95% Confidence Interval 1.09, 1.21, P&lt;.0001) compared to those in the lower three quartiles in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for age, sex, serum iron, soluble transferrin receptor, ferritin, vitamin B12, congestive heart failure, diabetes mellitus, and cancer. Conclusions Circulating GDF-15 is an independent predictor for the development of anemia in older adults.

scholarly journals Clinical impact of regression from sustained to paroxysmal atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
A Fujino ◽  
H Ogawa ◽  
S Ikeda ◽  
K Doi ◽  
Y Hamatani ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiac Death ◽  
Proportional Hazards ◽  
Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards ◽  
Clinical Impact ◽  
Cox Proportional Hazards Model ◽  
Cardiac Events ◽  
Hazards Model ◽  
Adverse Cardiac Events

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly progresses from paroxysmal type to sustained type in the natural course of the disease, and we previously demonstrated that the progression of AF was associated with increased risk of clinical adverse events. There are some patients, though less frequently, who regress from sustained to paroxysmal AF, but the clinical impact of the regression of AF remains unknown. Purpose We sought to investigate whether regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF is associated with better clinical outcomes. Methods Using the dataset of the Fushimi AF Registry, patients who were diagnosed as sustained (persistent or permanent) AF at baseline were studied. Conversion of sustained AF to paroxysmal AF during follow-up was defined as regression of AF. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) were defined as the composite of cardiac death, stroke, and hospitalization for heart failure (HF). Event rates were compared between the patients with and without regression of AF. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, predictors of MACE were identified using Cox proportional hazards model. Results Among 2,253 patients who were diagnosed as sustained AF at baseline, regression of AF was observed in 9.0% (202/2,253, 2.0 per 100 patient-years) during a median follow-up of 4.0 years. Of these, 24.3% (49/202, 4.6 per 100 patient-years) of the patients finally recurred to sustained AF during follow-up. The proportion of asymptomatic patients was lower in patients with regression of AF than those without (with vs without regression; 49.0% vs 69.5%, p&lt;0.01). The percentage of beta-blocker use at baseline was similar between the two groups (37.2% vs 33.8%, p=0.34). The prevalence of patients who underwent catheter ablation or electrical cardioversion during follow-up was higher in patients with regression of AF (catheter ablation: 15.8% vs 5.5%; p&lt;0.01, cardioversion: 4.0% vs 1.4%; p&lt;0.01, respectively). The rate of MACE was significantly lower in patients with regression of AF as compared with patients who maintained sustained AF (3.7 vs 6.2 per 100 patient-years, log-rank p&lt;0.01). Figure shows the Kaplan-Meier curves for MACE, cardiac death, hospitalization for heart failure, and stroke. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, multivariable Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated that regression of AF was an independent predictor of lower MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.28 to 0.88, p=0.02), stroke (HR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.30 to 0.88, p=0.02), and hospitalization for HF (HR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.29 to 0.85, p=0.01). Conclusion Regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF was associated with a lower incidence of adverse cardiac events. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol goal attainment and treatment patterns in a cohort of >143,000 patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in Ontario, Canada

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Fairbairn ◽  
P Oh ◽  
R Goeree ◽  
R.M Rogoza ◽  
M Packalen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Goal Attainment ◽  
Low Density Lipoprotein ◽  
Density Lipoprotein ◽  
Data Repository ◽  
Funding Source ◽  
Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Low Density ◽  
Low Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol

Abstract Background/Introduction Limited real-world data are available on attainment of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) treatment goals in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in Canada. Purpose A retrospective observational study was conducted to describe types of ASCVD events/procedures, time between events and use of lipid lowering treatment (LLT) in patients who did not achieve LDL-C goal. Methods Patients in Ontario ≥65 years with a primary ASCVD event/procedure between 1 Apr 2005 and 31 Mar 2016, treated with an LLT and with index and follow up LDL-C values were identified from claims data at the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences data repository. Patients were assessed over a 1-year follow up period for LDL-C goal attainment (&lt;2.0 mmol/L or 50% reduction from index LDL-C) and analysed by LLT and by index event type. Results Overall, 28% of 143,302 patients ≥65 years on LLT failed to attain LDL-C goal at follow up (Figure). The proportion of patients failing to achieve LDL-C goal decreased from 35% to 22% over the 11-year study period. Mean time between index and follow up LDL-C (based on lowest score &gt;2 weeks and up to 1 year after index LDL-C) was 203±97 days. When analysed by low-, moderate- or high-intensity statin, 57%, 30%, and 22% of patients failed to achieve LDL-C goal at follow up, respectively. Conclusions In this study, more than 1 in 4 patients with ASCVD in Ontario failed to achieve guideline recommended LDL-C goal despite treatment. In particular, ∼1 in 3 patients with cerebral and peripheral arterial disease were not at goal. An opportunity exists to better manage these high risk ASCVD patients with further statin intensification and additional LLTs This study made use of de-identified data from the ICES Data Repository, which is managed by the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences with support from its funders and partners: Canada's Strategy for Patient-Oriented Research (SPOR), the Ontario SPOR Support Unit, the Canadian Institutes of Health Research and the Government of Ontario. The opinions, results and conclusions reported are those of the authors. No endorsement by ICES or any of its funders or partners is intended or should be inferred. Parts of this material are based on data and/or information compiled and provided by CIHI. However, the analyses, conclusions, opinions and statements expressed in the material are those of the author(s), and not necessarily those of CIHI Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Private company. Main funding source(s): Amgen Canada Inc.

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