An Efficient Hybrid Grey Wolf Optimization Based KELM Approach for Prediction of the Discharge Coefficient of Submerged Radial Gates

Author(s):  
Kiyoumars Roushangar ◽  
Saman Shahnazi ◽  
Arman Alirezazadeh Sadaghiani

Abstract Radial gates are widely used hydraulic structures for flow control in irrigation canals. Accurately prediction of discharge coefficient through radial gates is considered as a challenging hydraulic subject, particularly under highly submerged flow conditions. Incurring the advantages of Kernel-depend Extreme Learning Machine (KELM), this study offers a Grey Wolf Optimization-based KELM (GWO-KELM) for effective prediction of discharge coefficient through submerged radial gates. Additionally, Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) methods are also presented for comparative purposes. To build prediction models using GWO-KELM, GPR, and SVM an extensive experimental database was established, consisting of 2125 data samples gathered by the US Bureau of Reclamation. From simulation results, it is observed that the proposed GWO-KELM approach with input parameters of the ratio of the downstream flow depth to the gate opening (y3/w) and submergence ratio (y1-y3/w) provides the best performance with the correlation coefficient (R) of 0.983, the Determination Coefficient (DC) of 0.966 and the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.027. Furthermore, the obtained results showed that the employed kernel-depend methods are capable of a statistically predicting the discharge coefficient under varied submergence conditions with satisfactory level of accuracy.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Binghui Xu ◽  
Tzu-Chia Chen ◽  
Danial Ahangari ◽  
S. M. Alizadeh ◽  
Marischa Elveny ◽  
...  

This paper deals with modeling hydrogen contents of bio-oil (H-BO) as a function of pyrolysis conditions and biomass compositions of feedstock. The support vector machine algorithm optimized by the grey wolf optimization method has been used in modeling this end. Comprehensive data for this purpose were aggregated from previous sources and reports. The results of various analyses showed that this algorithm has a high ability to predict actual results. The calculated values of R2, MRE (%), MSE, and RMSE were obtained as 0.973, 1.98, 0.0568, and 0.241, respectively. According to the results of various analyses, the high performance of this model in predicting the output values was proved. Also, by comparing this model with the previously proposed models in terms of accuracy, it was observed that this model had a better performance. This algorithm can be a good alternative to costly and time-consuming laboratory data.


2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 1275-1281
Author(s):  
R. Sudha ◽  
G. Indirani ◽  
S. Selvamuthukumaran

Resource management is a significant task of scheduling and allocating resources to applications to meet the required Quality of Service (QoS) limitations by the minimization of overhead with an effective resource utilization. This paper presents a Fog-enabled Cloud computing resource management model for smart homes by the Improved Grey Wolf Optimization Strategy. Besides, Kernel Support Vector Machine (KSVM) model is applied for series forecasting of time and also of processing load of a distributed server and determine the proper resources which should be allocated for the optimization of the service response time. The presented IGWO-KSVM model has been simulated under several aspects and the outcome exhibited the outstanding performance of the presented model.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (18) ◽  
pp. 3765 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yin Xing ◽  
Jianping Yue ◽  
Chuang Chen ◽  
Yunfei Xiang ◽  
Yang Chen ◽  
...  

Accurate PM2.5 concentration prediction is crucial for protecting public health and improving air quality. As a popular deep learning model, deep belief network (DBN) for PM2.5 concentration prediction has received increasing attention due to its effectiveness. However, the DBN structure parameters that have a significant impact on prediction accuracy and computation time are hard to be determined. To address this issue, a modified grey wolf optimization (MGWO) algorithm is proposed to optimize the DBN structure parameters containing number of hidden nodes, learning rate, and momentum coefficient. The methodology modifies the basic grey wolf optimization (GWO) algorithm using the nonlinear convergence and position update strategies, and then utilizes the training error of the DBN to calculate the fitness function of the MGWO algorithm. Through the multiple iterations, the optimal structure parameters are obtained, and a suitable predictor is finally generated. The proposed prediction model is validated on a real application case. Compared with the other prediction models, experimental results show that the proposed model has a simpler structure but higher prediction accuracy.


Agriculture ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 517
Author(s):  
Ali Mostafaeipour ◽  
Mohammad Bagher Fakhrzad ◽  
Sajad Gharaat ◽  
Mehdi Jahangiri ◽  
Joshuva Arockia Dhanraj ◽  
...  

The global population growth has led to a considerable rise in demand for wheat. Today, the amount of energy consumption in agriculture has also increased due to the need for sufficient food for the growing population. Thus, agricultural policymakers in most countries rely on prediction models to influence food security policies. This research aims to predict and reduce the amount of energy consumption in wheat production. Data were collected from the farms of Estahban city in Fars province of Iran by the Jihad Agricultural Department’s experts for 20 years from 1994 to 2013. In this study, a novel prediction method based on consumed energy in the production period is proposed. The model is developed based on artificial intelligence to forecast the output energy in wheat production and uses extreme learning machine (ELM) and support vector regression (SVR). In the experimental stage, the value of elevation metrics for the EVM and ELM was reported to be equal to 0.000000409 and 0.9531, respectively. Total input energy (consumed) is found to be 1,460,503.1 Mega Joules (MJ), and output energy (produced wheat) is 1,401,011.945 MJ for the Estahban. The result indicates the superiority of the ELM model to enhance the decisions of the agricultural policymakers.


Author(s):  
Qiuyu Meng ◽  
Xun Liu ◽  
Jiajia Xie ◽  
Dayong Xiao ◽  
Yi Wang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background This study aimed to analyse the epidemiological characteristics of bacillary dysentery (BD) caused by Shigella in Chongqing, China, and to establish incidence prediction models based on the correlation between meteorological factors and BD, thus providing a scientific basis for the prevention and control of BD. Methods In this study, descriptive methods were employed to investigate the epidemiological distribution of BD. The Boruta algorithm was used to estimate the correlation between meteorological factors and BD incidence. The genetic algorithm (GA) combined with support vector regression (SVR) was used to establish the prediction models for BD incidence. Results In total, 68,855 cases of BD were included. The incidence declined from 36.312/100,000 to 23.613/100,000, with an obvious seasonal peak from May to October. Males were more predisposed to the infection than females (the ratio was 1.118:1). Children < 5 years old comprised the highest incidence (295.892/100,000) among all age categories, and pre-education children comprised the highest proportion (34,658 cases, 50.335%) among all occupational categories. Eight important meteorological factors, including the highest temperature, average temperature, average air pressure, precipitation and sunshine, were correlated with the monthly incidence of BD. The obtained mean absolute percent error (MAPE), mean squared error (MSE) and squared correlation coefficient (R2) of GA_SVR_MONTH values were 0.087, 0.101 and 0.922, respectively. Conclusion From 2009 to 2016, BD incidence in Chongqing was still high, especially in the main urban areas and among the male and pre-education children populations. Eight meteorological factors, including temperature, air pressure, precipitation and sunshine, were the most important correlative feature sets of BD incidence. Moreover, BD incidence prediction models based on meteorological factors had better prediction accuracies. The findings in this study could provide a panorama of BD in Chongqing and offer a useful approach for predicting the incidence of infectious disease. Furthermore, this information could be used to improve current interventions and public health planning.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahana priynaka ◽  
Kavitha Ganesan

Abstract Prognosis of in a dementia disorder is a tedious task in preclinical stage. Ventricle pathology changes in dementia appear to be overlapped for neuro degeneration in brain. Identification of these overlaps among the groups severity helps to understand the pathogenesis of this disorder. In this work impact of changes in ventricle region on severity stages of dementia is observed using dual deep learning techniques (DDLT). Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) database that contains 1169 MR images are used in this study. Segmentation of ventricle region is carried out using multilevel threshold based Grey Wolf Optimization (GWO) technique. The feature vectors obtained from combined AlexNet and ResNet are analysed. The fused feature vectors are given to support vector machine (SVM) to observe the severity changes. Consequently, symmetry analysis of ventricle is carried out to perceive the distinctive changes in progression. The obtained results show that ventricle region is accurately delineated from other region with optimized thresholds. The segmented ventricle shows better correlation for all considered classes (> 0.9). It is observed that DDLT with multiclass SVM provides an improved accuracy of about 79.87% compared to individual transfer learning such as AlexNet (74%) and ResNet (76.53%). Further, symmetry analysis shows that left side ventricle with DDLT features shows an improved performance than right side for onset stages. Further, clinical correlation of left ventricle seems to be statically significant (p<0.0001) which prominently differentiate dementia severity variations. This framework is more prominent and clinically useful to identify the distinct ventricle region variation in dementia.


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